Beckie Joyce discusses latest housing plans in Lancashire.

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capitaproperty.co.uk
PLACE NORTH
WEST
DEVELOPMENT
SERIES:
LANCASHIRE
UPDATE
WHAT’S IN
A NAME?
Beckie Joyce
Project Director
Real Estate and Infrastructure

2. Leading the way in creating
places where people can prosper
Real estate and infrastructure

3. LANCASHIRE HOUSING MARKET...S
• No single Lancashire housing market
• Growth happens IN PLACES
• Politics of Place
• Two-tier administration has an influence
• Growth opportunities around towns and cities
• Implications of OAN for Lancashire
• Interventions depend upon Place

4. Places are at different stages of plan setting

5. Places create different values

6. Places deliver at a different pace

7. Places grow at different rates

8. Places produce different sales

9. OBJECTIVE ASSESSMENT OF NEED
• New methodology to cut down on technical arguments at Local
Plan Examination and Section 78 Appeals
• New “purist” approach takes household projections and increases
these with an uplift to address affordability
• Higher the affordability pressure the higher the uplift
• Consideration of economic uplift is removed from calculation
• Limited scope to challenge assumptions
• Mid Year projections may already be diverging from projections

10. OBJECTIVE ASSESSMENT OF NEED –
IMPLICATIONS FOR LANCASHIRE
Local authority 2016 No of
Households
2026 No of
Households
Average
Annual
Change
Affordability
Ratio
DCLG
Calculation
BLACKBURN 63,891 64,760 87 5.1 93
BLACKPOOL 52,502 59,016 151 4.1 153
BURNLEY 37,856 38,555 70 3.9 70
CHORLEY 48,254 53,667 541 6.8 634
FYLDE 36,338 39,011 267 5.7 296
HYNDBURN 34,482 35,075 59 4.1 60
LANCASTER 60,040 63,802 376 5.1 401
PENDLE 38,315 39,967 165 3.9 165
PRESTON 58,439 60,579 214 4.8 225
ROSSENDALE 30,115 31,984 187 6.1 212
RIBBLE VALLEY 25,140 26,578 144 7.2 172
SOUTH RIBBLE 47,099 49,091 199 6.3 228
WEST LANCS 46,642 48,319 186 6.3 212
WYRE 48,645 51,396 275 6.2 313

11. Implications of OAN for Lancashire
• Clear North South Divide
• Methodology reiterates need for
cross boundary working
• LAs to be given support to exceed
need for their area – but must be
based on a plan
• Planning Inspectors to work on
assumption that approach is sound
– unless evidence otherwise
• Those with an existing plan should
carry on with old methodology
• Where there is no plan, decision
makers must take into account new
methodology

12. PLACE BASED APPROACH
Blackburn with Darwen
• Land Allocations Plan
adopted in late 2015 and
identifies sites to build
over 9000 houses
• Over 100 housing based
projects
• Completions NEARLY
DOUBLED from 217
(16/17) to 418 (17/18)
• 12 active developers –
with 4 new entrants IN
2017
Growth and Development
Framework
Jan 2018
2016
Place Based Partnership
2017
Pipeline for Growth
2018
Growth & Development Framework

13. PLAN LED APPROACH
NEW GARDEN VILLAGE IN LANCASTER
2016
Infrastructure assessed
2017
Garden Village Status
2019
Local Plan Adopted
UP TO 5000 NEW
HOMES

14. DEAL LED APPROACH
City Deal in Central Lancashire
2013
City Deal Signed
2014
Housing Zone Status
Awarded
2017
City Centre Living Strategy Published
17,400 New Homes.
2017 Over 3000
Completions
Skills and Action Plan
Expanded Partnership

15. PLACE BASED HOUSING GROWTH

16. SO……..