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BDP Manchester Net Zero Carbon Summit - BDP
Global climate change poses severe risks to human life and the global economy if left unaddressed. The effects include rising temperatures, more extreme weather, rising sea levels, and disruption to food and water supplies. In response, the Paris Climate Accord set a goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C. Manchester has committed to becoming a zero carbon city by 2038. It has set a carbon budget of 15 million tonnes between 2018-2100. At current emission rates, the budget would be exceeded by 2026. Manchester aims to reduce emissions by 15% annually to stay within its budget and meet the UK's 2050 zero carbon target. Significant changes are needed across various sectors like buildings, transport,
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BDP Manchester Net Zero Carbon Summit - BDP
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- 2. Global and UKContext
- 3. Global and UKContext What is climate change and why does it matter? Effects of climate change • Permanent rise in global average temperature. • More frequent and more extreme weather events. • Rise in sea levels (estimated 2 metres by 2100). Effects on human life • Significant parts of the world made uninhabitable due to extreme temperatures. • Death and disruption caused by extreme weather events. • Disruption to food and water supplies. • Significant parts of the world made uninhabitable due to flooding (sea level rise). • Increase in illnesses and diseases. • Mass migration. • Significant disruption to the global economy. • Massive costs of adaptation. Source: Le Treut et al. 2007, FAQ 1.3, fig. 1
- 4. Global and UKContext Paris Climate Accord 2015 © Arnaud Bouissou - MEDDE / SG COP21
- 5. Global and UKContext
- 6. Global and UKContext https://www.globalcovenantofmayors.org
- 7. Vancouver Milan Melbourne Allnew family and multi-unit low-rise housing emits zero GHGs, thus improving air quality and saving $44 million in annual energy bills. Introduced congestion charges to eliminate 25 million car journeys into the city centre in just three years. Regional institutions collectively purchased a long-term renewable energy plan from a newly built wind farm, that has saved 96,800 tonnes of GHG emissions per year, as well as generating 150 new jobs. Cities taking action Global and UK Context AdobeStock
- 8. A new eraof activism Global and UK Context PenguinRandomHouseUK FrederickFlorin/AFPviaGettyImages ManchesterEveningNews
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- 10. Manchester’s Zero CarbonCommitments Carbon Budget
- 11. Carbon Budget Manchester’s ZeroCarbon Commitments
- 12. Carbon Budget 15 million tonnesCO2 2018-2100 Manchester’s Zero Carbon Commitments
- 13. Manchester’s Zero CarbonCommitments 3500.000 3000.000 2500.000 2000.000 1500.000 1000.000 5000.000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 Historic emissions 2009-2018 Currently emitting circa 2.0m tonnes per year Progress to date 41% reduction in CO2 from 2005 levels
- 14. Manchester’s Zero CarbonCommitments 3500.000 3000.000 2500.000 2000.000 1500.000 1000.000 5000.000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 15m tonnes carbon budget 15m tonnes CO2 = 2m tonnes per year @ the current rate of emissions, the budget will have been used up by 2026
- 15. Manchester’s Zero CarbonCommitments 3500.000 3000.000 2500.000 2000.000 1500.000 1000.000 5000.000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 Science based target Manchester’s science based target 15% reduction year on year
- 16. Manchester’s Zero CarbonCommitments 3500.000 3000.000 2500.000 2000.000 1500.000 1000.000 5000.000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 UK Government commitment UK Government’s ‘World Leading Target’ Zero carbon by 2050 EMISSIONS OVER TARGET
- 17. Background - Manchester’sCarbon Emissions Manchester’s Zero Carbon Commitments
- 18. 20502020 2025 20302035 2040 2045 Staying in Budget Manchester’s Zero Carbon Commitments 2015 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 MtCO2e Level 1 Current trajectory Required trajectory Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Source: Anthesis’ tool
- 19. Shift to electrificationby 2050Heating and cooling demand reduction by 2050 Commercial Buildings Manchester’s Zero Carbon Commitments Level 4 - most ambitious level 40% reduction in space heating demand. 30% reduction in hot water demand. 60% reduction in cooling demand. Level 4 - most ambitious level The proportion of commercial heat supplied using electricity is 80-100% Level 1 - least ambitious level Space heating remains stable. 25% increase in hot water demand. Cooling demand remains stable. Level 1 - least ambitious level The proportion of commercial heat supplied using electricity is 0-10% Source: Anthesis’ tool
- 20. Shift to zeroemissions transport Reducing distance travelled and changing mode Transport By 2035 Level 4 - most ambitious level 25% reduction in passenger Km. Manchester’s Zero Carbon Commitments By 2050 Level 1 - least ambitious level Individuals travel the same distance as today. By 2035 Level 4 - most ambitious level 100% zero emissions cars and buses. By 2025 Complete railway electrification By 2050 Level 1 - least ambitious level 100% zero emission cars and buses. 100% buses and passenger trains electrified. Source: Anthesis’ tool
- 21. Domestic Buildings -reducing demand and average temperature of homes Manchester’s Zero Carbon Commitments Level 4: Most ambitious level Average room temperature decreases to 16o C (across all rooms and all seasons). Level 1: Least ambitious level Average room temperature remains at 18o C (across all rooms and all seasons). Level 4: Most ambitious level 60% (130,000) homes will be insulated, with the average thermal leakiness reduced by 75%. Level 1: Least ambitious level 17% (337,000) homes will be insulated, with the average thermal leakiness reduced by 20%. Source: Anthesis’ tool
- 22. Supply - Significantincrease in roll out of renewable technologies (eg solar) Manchester’s Zero Carbon Commitments Level 4: Most ambitious level 16m2 solar PV is provided on 50% of domestic properties. 3.1km2 on commercial roof space and ground mounted sites. Level 1: Least ambitious level 16m2 solar PV is provided on 25% of domestic properties. 0.1km2 on commercial roof space and ground mounted sites. Source: Anthesis’ tool
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- 24. Commercial Property Sector Buildings Actions: • Measuring carbon and benchmarking projects. • Retrofitting stock to zero carbon standards. • Net zero carbon new builds. • SMART energy and storage systems – use of SMART BIM. • Lobbying for high(er) standards in construction. • Improving sustainability of supply chains in F&M, Building Services and management. • Encouraging adaptive reuse, recycling and promoting the circular economy. Emissions from buildings 45%
- 25. Transport Actions: • Promotion ofwalking, cycling and active travel for staff. • Financial incentives for electric vehicles for staff. • Electric vehicle fleet. • Commercial partnership opportunities. • Reduce emissions from flying. Commercial Property Sector 29% Emissions from transport
- 26. Consumption based emissions Emissionsfrom: Hidden/ embedded/ consumption based emissions Food Construction Materials Clothes Furniture Electronics Waste Commercial Property Sector 26%
- 27. Meeting our targets Actionsfor all Getting started Taking Action Inspiring and influencing 14. Voice your opinion 15. Spread the word 1. Commit to act 9. Existing buildings4. Food 6. Flying 5. Transport2. Awareness, and Education 3. Measure your CO2 10. Green spaces and gardens 13. Where you put your money 11. Water conservation 7. Reduce, reuse and recycle 8. Renewable energy 12. New developments and construction
- 28. Meeting our targets The widerbenefits
- 29. In conclusion... “Firms ignoringclimate crisis will go bankrupt” • Real and urgent need to deal with Climate Crisis • Need to follow Science Based Targets • Bad things will happen if we don’t... But • Benefit from Early Movers Advantage • Future-proof your business • Help to create a better, greener, more liveable City. Commit to being a LEADER not a follower Photograph: Leon Neal/Getty Images
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