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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                     12th January 2012
         Indices *              Close           % Chg.
                                                           The domestic markets witnessed a flat opening. The over all
 BSE SENSEX                    16175.86           0.07
                                                           trend remained range bound amidst lackluster volumes.
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  4860.95           0.24
                                                           Follow up buying support remained elusive after yesterday’s
 NIFTY JAN. FUT.                4872.35           0.04
                                                           smart rally. Occasional bouts of profit taking and selling
 India VIX                       24.54            2.25     pressure were witnessed. The markets ended the day flat to
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                     close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day
                                                           were BPCL, Hindalco, Sterlite, Sesa Goa, DLF, JP
                     Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                           Associates, SAIL, IDFC, Rel. Power and Axis Bank.
Support               4747       4563            4481
Resistance            4987       5037            5161      Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
                                                           higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets.
                                                           The global market set of cues are divergent. The
50 Day SMA                      4867.42
                                               ◄Negative   domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The
100 Day SMA                     4939.29
                                                           Nifty has managed to sustain above the 4747 level, which
200 Day SMA                     5247.65        ◄Negative   augurs well for the markets. The Stochastic, MACD, RSI,
             Volume (Lacs Shares)          *               and KST are placed above their respective averages,
                                                           which would help in fueling further buying support. The
                   11/01/12    10/01/12         % Chg.
                                                           KST and MACD are placed in the positive territory.
BSE                  2875        2693             6.76
                                                           Moreover, the Nifty is placed above the October 2011
NSE                  7983        7226            10.49     descending trend line. which is a positive sign for the
Total               10858        9919             9.47     markets. However, the prevailing technical negatives
                                                           continue to hold good and would cap the upside gains.
             Turnover ( ` Crores)          *
                                                           More so the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone,
                   11/01/12    10/01/12         % Chg.     which would lead to intermediate outs of profit taking
BSE                 2620.59     2555.43           2.55     and selling pressure. The Nifty continues to trade below
NSE                11715.59    11011.07           6.40     its 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The 50-day SMA also
NSE F&O            86203.25    107862.87         -20.08    remains placed below the 100-day SMA. All these
Total              100539.43   121429.37         -17.20    conditions would lead to selling pressure especially at
                                                           higher levels. The ADX, -DI line and +DI line are moving
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)              *         sideways, indicating a range bound trend. The market
                   11/01/12    10/01/12         % Chg.     sentiment remains tentatively positive. Now, it is
Index Fut.          399646      549015           -27.21    important that the markets witness follow up buying
Stock Fut.          566850      525827            7.80     support for the markets to move higher and test the 4987
Index Opt.         2393442     3273973           -26.89
                                                           level. Profit taking and selling pressure are likely at
                                                           higher levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take
Stock Opt.          212284      163432           29.89
                                                           cues from the IIP numbers, Q3 results of Infosys Tech.,
Total              3572222     4512247           -18.43
                                                           the global markets, the crude prices and news flow from
             Market Breadth (NSE) *                        the forthcoming RBI’s monetary policy. The support levels
Advances                         1030
                                                           for Nifty are placed at 4747, 4563, 4481, 4353 and 4003. The
                                                           Nifty faces resistance at the 4987, 5037 and 5161 levels.
Declines                          471
Same                              54
Total                            1555
A/D Ratio                       2.19 : 1
NOTE -   *- Source – BSE & NSE
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                    Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                 Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
             4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)

                                                                                  Stop
                                                     Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
       Stock           Close          Action           Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
                                                                                                                        TGT of 625
                                                                                                                        Achieved
                                                                                                                        given Buy @
                                                                                                                        596.50 on
ABB                      639.95      Buy Above              642        631.00        1.71          666           3.74   04/01/12
                                                                                                                        TGT of 365
                                                                                                                        Achieved
                                                                                                                        given Buy @
                                                                                                                        342 on
APIL                     363.20      Buy Above              366        349.00        4.64          404          10.38   11/01/12
Dr. Reddys             1650.75       Buy Above             1657       1629.00        1.69         1718           3.68
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on Closing basis.

                                                               Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
       Indices            Close         Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   16176                16183       16238      16300          16417         16121        16066         15949
S&P CNX NIFTY                 4861                 4860        4878        4896          4931            4843        4824         4789
NIFTY JAN. FUT.               4872                 4855        4906        4939          5023            4822        4771         4687




                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or
other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking
statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment
businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short
positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other
transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the
financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company
(ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and
opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal
views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation
was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior
written consent.




                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
     th
    4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                     www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 120112

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 12th January 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. The domestic markets witnessed a flat opening. The over all BSE SENSEX 16175.86 0.07 trend remained range bound amidst lackluster volumes. S&P CNX NIFTY 4860.95 0.24 Follow up buying support remained elusive after yesterday’s NIFTY JAN. FUT. 4872.35 0.04 smart rally. Occasional bouts of profit taking and selling India VIX 24.54 2.25 pressure were witnessed. The markets ended the day flat to S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were BPCL, Hindalco, Sterlite, Sesa Goa, DLF, JP Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Associates, SAIL, IDFC, Rel. Power and Axis Bank. Support 4747 4563 4481 Resistance 4987 5037 5161 Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. The global market set of cues are divergent. The 50 Day SMA 4867.42 ◄Negative domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The 100 Day SMA 4939.29 Nifty has managed to sustain above the 4747 level, which 200 Day SMA 5247.65 ◄Negative augurs well for the markets. The Stochastic, MACD, RSI, Volume (Lacs Shares) * and KST are placed above their respective averages, which would help in fueling further buying support. The 11/01/12 10/01/12 % Chg. KST and MACD are placed in the positive territory. BSE 2875 2693 6.76 Moreover, the Nifty is placed above the October 2011 NSE 7983 7226 10.49 descending trend line. which is a positive sign for the Total 10858 9919 9.47 markets. However, the prevailing technical negatives continue to hold good and would cap the upside gains. Turnover ( ` Crores) * More so the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, 11/01/12 10/01/12 % Chg. which would lead to intermediate outs of profit taking BSE 2620.59 2555.43 2.55 and selling pressure. The Nifty continues to trade below NSE 11715.59 11011.07 6.40 its 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The 50-day SMA also NSE F&O 86203.25 107862.87 -20.08 remains placed below the 100-day SMA. All these Total 100539.43 121429.37 -17.20 conditions would lead to selling pressure especially at higher levels. The ADX, -DI line and +DI line are moving F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * sideways, indicating a range bound trend. The market 11/01/12 10/01/12 % Chg. sentiment remains tentatively positive. Now, it is Index Fut. 399646 549015 -27.21 important that the markets witness follow up buying Stock Fut. 566850 525827 7.80 support for the markets to move higher and test the 4987 Index Opt. 2393442 3273973 -26.89 level. Profit taking and selling pressure are likely at higher levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take Stock Opt. 212284 163432 29.89 cues from the IIP numbers, Q3 results of Infosys Tech., Total 3572222 4512247 -18.43 the global markets, the crude prices and news flow from Market Breadth (NSE) * the forthcoming RBI’s monetary policy. The support levels Advances 1030 for Nifty are placed at 4747, 4563, 4481, 4353 and 4003. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4987, 5037 and 5161 levels. Declines 471 Same 54 Total 1555 A/D Ratio 2.19 : 1 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 625 Achieved given Buy @ 596.50 on ABB 639.95 Buy Above 642 631.00 1.71 666 3.74 04/01/12 TGT of 365 Achieved given Buy @ 342 on APIL 363.20 Buy Above 366 349.00 4.64 404 10.38 11/01/12 Dr. Reddys 1650.75 Buy Above 1657 1629.00 1.69 1718 3.68 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on Closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16176 16183 16238 16300 16417 16121 16066 15949 S&P CNX NIFTY 4861 4860 4878 4896 4931 4843 4824 4789 NIFTY JAN. FUT. 4872 4855 4906 4939 5023 4822 4771 4687 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com