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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                  30thApril 2012



               Spot         Near       Basis       Nifty
                                                   The Nifty futures closed at around the same 28 points
Nifty          5209         5237          28
                                                   premium over spot after the mini Saturday session but
Bank Nifty     10213        10227         14       the open interest did not register any significant change in
USD/INR       52.6813 52.8825            0.2       the new series indicating cautious view in the markets.
                                                   The May call options are evenly distributed between5200
                                                   to 5600 with the put options showing activity between
        Nifty Open Interest Analysis               5000 and 5200. The equilibrium is between 5200 and
                 1            2           3        5300 for the May series.
Maximum
               5600         5400        5300
Call OI
Maximum                                            Bank Nifty
               5000         5100        5200
Put OI                                             The Bank Nifty May futures added 7% open interest amid
Equilibriu                                         flat price action indicating indecision in the markets. The
                Between 5200 and 5300
m
                                                   narrow premium over spot indicates possible selling
                                                   pressure in the May series. Activity was seen in the
                                                   10200 to 10700 calls and the 10000 to 10200 puts. The
   Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis               equilibrium for the May series in Bank Nifty is at 10200.
                 1            2           3
Maximum
               11000        10500       10200      USD/INR
Call OI
Maximum                                            The basis over spot came off from 0.33 to 0.2 indicating
               10000        9500        10200      short build-up just under the 53 levels. The equilibrium for
Put OI
Equilibriu
                            10200
                                                   the May series is between 52.5 and 53. The highest Call
m                                                  OI is at 53.5 and highest Put OI is at 52.


                                                   STOCK FUTURES
    USD/INR Open Interest Analysis
                                                   Long OI Buildup was seen in Apollo Tyres, Arvind Mills,
                 1            2           3        Asian Paints, AurobindoPharma, Bata ,Biocon, Financial
Maximum                                            Technologies, Hexaware, Mphasis, Siemens and Sun TV.
                53.5          53         52.5
Call OI
Maximum
Put OI
                 52           53         52.5      Short positions were built in PSU Banks viz. Andhra,
Equilibriu                                         Canara, IDBI and Union as well as Mid cap Infra stocks
                 Between 52.5 and 53               like HCC, IVRCL and LITL.
m


SOURCE – NSE




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Keynote derivatives daily report for 300412

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 30thApril 2012 Spot Near Basis Nifty The Nifty futures closed at around the same 28 points Nifty 5209 5237 28 premium over spot after the mini Saturday session but Bank Nifty 10213 10227 14 the open interest did not register any significant change in USD/INR 52.6813 52.8825 0.2 the new series indicating cautious view in the markets. The May call options are evenly distributed between5200 to 5600 with the put options showing activity between Nifty Open Interest Analysis 5000 and 5200. The equilibrium is between 5200 and 1 2 3 5300 for the May series. Maximum 5600 5400 5300 Call OI Maximum Bank Nifty 5000 5100 5200 Put OI The Bank Nifty May futures added 7% open interest amid Equilibriu flat price action indicating indecision in the markets. The Between 5200 and 5300 m narrow premium over spot indicates possible selling pressure in the May series. Activity was seen in the 10200 to 10700 calls and the 10000 to 10200 puts. The Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis equilibrium for the May series in Bank Nifty is at 10200. 1 2 3 Maximum 11000 10500 10200 USD/INR Call OI Maximum The basis over spot came off from 0.33 to 0.2 indicating 10000 9500 10200 short build-up just under the 53 levels. The equilibrium for Put OI Equilibriu 10200 the May series is between 52.5 and 53. The highest Call m OI is at 53.5 and highest Put OI is at 52. STOCK FUTURES USD/INR Open Interest Analysis Long OI Buildup was seen in Apollo Tyres, Arvind Mills, 1 2 3 Asian Paints, AurobindoPharma, Bata ,Biocon, Financial Maximum Technologies, Hexaware, Mphasis, Siemens and Sun TV. 53.5 53 52.5 Call OI Maximum Put OI 52 53 52.5 Short positions were built in PSU Banks viz. Andhra, Equilibriu Canara, IDBI and Union as well as Mid cap Infra stocks Between 52.5 and 53 like HCC, IVRCL and LITL. m SOURCE – NSE Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322