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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                  17thMay 2012


              Nifty Analysis                      Nifty
                1            2           3        The Nifty futures discountremained at 1 point along with
Maximum                                           1% increase in open interest indicating short buildup.
               5200        5100        5000       India VIX went up by 6.4% to 23.71due to a fresh sell-
Call OI
Maximum
               4800        4700        4600
                                                  offin the underlying.
Put OI
Equilibrium    4900 vs 5000 (Down 100)            Writing :4700 to 5100 calls.
Futures
               Discount 1 vs Discount 1
                                                  Buying : 4400 to 4700 puts.
Discount                                          Unwinding : 5200 to 5800 calls and 4800 to 5300 puts.
Futures OI                 Up 1%
                                                  Bank Nifty
                                                  The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a widening of discount by
         Bank Nifty Analysis                      21 points with increase in open interest by 6% as short
                1            2           3        positions were built.
Maximum
            10000     9500     9400
Call OI                                           Writing : 9100 to 9600 calls
Maximum                                           Buying : 8400 to 9100 puts
            9000      9500     8500
Put OI                                            Unwinding : 9200 to 10000 puts and 9700 to 9800 calls.
Equilibrium 9200vs 9500 (Down 300)
Futures                                           USD/INR
            Discount 56vs Discount 35
Discount                                          The futures premium went up by 0.24 to 0.35( wrt RBI
Futures OI           Up 6%                        reference rate)and open interest increased by 2.9% due
                                                  to long buildup. The ATM IVs went up by 1% indicating
                                                  volatility ahead.The equilibriummoved up to the 54.25
          USD/INR Analysis                        levels.
                1            2           3
Maximum
                54           53          55
                                                  STOCK FUTURES
Call OI                                           Long Buildup: BPCL, Delta, IRB, Jubilant
Maximum
                54           53         53.5
Put OI
                                                  Unwinding: Apollo, Central                     Bank,       Jain     Irrigation,
Equilibrium   54.25 vs 54.00 ( up 0.25)
                                                  Mcdowell, Siemens, Unitech
Futures       Premium 0.35vs Premium
Premium                 0.11
                                                  Short Buildup : AB Nuvo, BOI, BHEL, GMDC, HDFC,
Futures OI          Up by 2.94%
                                                  ICICI, IOB, NMDC, REC, SAIL, Sintex, Suzlon, Titan,
ATM IV                12.55 ( up 1%)              Tata Steel, Voltas

SOURCE – NSE




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Keynote derivatives daily report for 170512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 17thMay 2012 Nifty Analysis Nifty 1 2 3 The Nifty futures discountremained at 1 point along with Maximum 1% increase in open interest indicating short buildup. 5200 5100 5000 India VIX went up by 6.4% to 23.71due to a fresh sell- Call OI Maximum 4800 4700 4600 offin the underlying. Put OI Equilibrium 4900 vs 5000 (Down 100) Writing :4700 to 5100 calls. Futures Discount 1 vs Discount 1 Buying : 4400 to 4700 puts. Discount Unwinding : 5200 to 5800 calls and 4800 to 5300 puts. Futures OI Up 1% Bank Nifty The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a widening of discount by Bank Nifty Analysis 21 points with increase in open interest by 6% as short 1 2 3 positions were built. Maximum 10000 9500 9400 Call OI Writing : 9100 to 9600 calls Maximum Buying : 8400 to 9100 puts 9000 9500 8500 Put OI Unwinding : 9200 to 10000 puts and 9700 to 9800 calls. Equilibrium 9200vs 9500 (Down 300) Futures USD/INR Discount 56vs Discount 35 Discount The futures premium went up by 0.24 to 0.35( wrt RBI Futures OI Up 6% reference rate)and open interest increased by 2.9% due to long buildup. The ATM IVs went up by 1% indicating volatility ahead.The equilibriummoved up to the 54.25 USD/INR Analysis levels. 1 2 3 Maximum 54 53 55 STOCK FUTURES Call OI Long Buildup: BPCL, Delta, IRB, Jubilant Maximum 54 53 53.5 Put OI Unwinding: Apollo, Central Bank, Jain Irrigation, Equilibrium 54.25 vs 54.00 ( up 0.25) Mcdowell, Siemens, Unitech Futures Premium 0.35vs Premium Premium 0.11 Short Buildup : AB Nuvo, BOI, BHEL, GMDC, HDFC, Futures OI Up by 2.94% ICICI, IOB, NMDC, REC, SAIL, Sintex, Suzlon, Titan, ATM IV 12.55 ( up 1%) Tata Steel, Voltas SOURCE – NSE Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322