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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                  16thMay 2012


              Nifty Analysis                       Nifty
                1            2             3       The Nifty futures discount narrowed to 1 point compared
Maximum                                            to 15 points discount along with 2% decrease in open
               5200        5100           5000     interest indicating short covering. India VIX went down by
Call OI
Maximum
               4800        4900           4700
                                                   4.2% to 22.28due to a relief rally in the underlying.Buying
Put OI                                             was seen in the 5000 to 5200 call optionswhile the 4700
Equilibrium                 5000                   to 4900 puts were soldand short covering/long liquidation
Futures
              Discount 1 vs Discount 15
                                                   happened in the 5000 to5300 puts. The equilibrium
Discount                                           remained atthe 5000 strike.
Futures OI               Down 2%

                                                   Bank Nifty
         Bank Nifty Analysis                       The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a narrowing of discount
                1            2             3       by 14 points with decrease in open interest by 2% as
Maximum                                            short positions were covered. Buying happened in the
            10000     9500      9800
Call OI                                            9100 to 9600 callswhile writing was seen in the 8800 to
Maximum                                            9300 puts. Short covering/Profit-takinghappened in the
             9000     9500     10000
Put OI                                             9400 to 10000 puts. The equilibrium moved up to the
Equilibrium           9500                         9500 strike.
Futures
            Discount 35 vs Discount 49
Discount
Futures OI          Down 2%                        USD/INR
                                                   The futures premium went down by 0.3 to 0.11( wrt RBI
                                                   reference rate)and open interest decreased by 1.7% due
   USD/INR Open Interest Analysis                  to long liquidation. The ATM IVs went down by 0.5 to 1%
                1            2             3       indicating range-bound action ahead.The equilibrium
Maximum
             54       53       53.5
                                                   remained at the 54 levels.
Call OI
Maximum                                            STOCK FUTURES
             54       53       53.5
Put OI
                                                   Long Buildup: Chambal, Godrej, SAIL, Colgate, HCL
Equilibrium           54
                                                   Tech, Hexaware, BPCL, PTC, BOB, IIFL,HDIL
Futures     Premium 0.11 vs Premium
Premium              0.41
                                                   Long Reduction/Short Covering: Hero, Tata Motor
Futures OI       Down by 1.7%
                                                   DVR, Hindalco, TTK, Rolta, Infy, Mcdowell, NTPC,
ATM IV         Call 11.15             Put 11.07    Andhra, LIC, PFC, BGR

                                                   Short Buildup : Ashok, Exide, Jet, Uniphos , Dabur,
SOURCE – NSE
                                                   Unitech




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                 th
                    The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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               The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322

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Keynote derivatives daily report for 160512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 16thMay 2012 Nifty Analysis Nifty 1 2 3 The Nifty futures discount narrowed to 1 point compared Maximum to 15 points discount along with 2% decrease in open 5200 5100 5000 interest indicating short covering. India VIX went down by Call OI Maximum 4800 4900 4700 4.2% to 22.28due to a relief rally in the underlying.Buying Put OI was seen in the 5000 to 5200 call optionswhile the 4700 Equilibrium 5000 to 4900 puts were soldand short covering/long liquidation Futures Discount 1 vs Discount 15 happened in the 5000 to5300 puts. The equilibrium Discount remained atthe 5000 strike. Futures OI Down 2% Bank Nifty Bank Nifty Analysis The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a narrowing of discount 1 2 3 by 14 points with decrease in open interest by 2% as Maximum short positions were covered. Buying happened in the 10000 9500 9800 Call OI 9100 to 9600 callswhile writing was seen in the 8800 to Maximum 9300 puts. Short covering/Profit-takinghappened in the 9000 9500 10000 Put OI 9400 to 10000 puts. The equilibrium moved up to the Equilibrium 9500 9500 strike. Futures Discount 35 vs Discount 49 Discount Futures OI Down 2% USD/INR The futures premium went down by 0.3 to 0.11( wrt RBI reference rate)and open interest decreased by 1.7% due USD/INR Open Interest Analysis to long liquidation. The ATM IVs went down by 0.5 to 1% 1 2 3 indicating range-bound action ahead.The equilibrium Maximum 54 53 53.5 remained at the 54 levels. Call OI Maximum STOCK FUTURES 54 53 53.5 Put OI Long Buildup: Chambal, Godrej, SAIL, Colgate, HCL Equilibrium 54 Tech, Hexaware, BPCL, PTC, BOB, IIFL,HDIL Futures Premium 0.11 vs Premium Premium 0.41 Long Reduction/Short Covering: Hero, Tata Motor Futures OI Down by 1.7% DVR, Hindalco, TTK, Rolta, Infy, Mcdowell, NTPC, ATM IV Call 11.15 Put 11.07 Andhra, LIC, PFC, BGR Short Buildup : Ashok, Exide, Jet, Uniphos , Dabur, SOURCE – NSE Unitech Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322