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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                       29thMay 2012


              Nifty Analysis                          Equity Index and Currency Overview
Maximum                                               Nifty saw long buildup but with widening discount as Nifty
               5100         5000        4900
Call OI                                               rolls reached 30%. India VIX fell by 6%.
Maximum
               4800         4900        5000
Put OI
                                                      Bank Nifty saw short covering with widening discount and
Writing              4900 and 5000 PE                 falling open interest. The Bank Nifty rolls were at 29%.
Buying                        -

Unwinding
                      4500 to 5100 CE                 The equilibrium for the Nifty went up by 50 to 4950, while
                      4500 to 4800 PE                 the Bank Nifty equilibrium went up by 200 to 9500.
Equilibrium             4950 (up 50)
Futures
            Discount 10vs Discount 1                  USD/INR saw long unwinding with open interest shifting
Discount                                              to the June series. The ATM IVs once again fell by 0.22%
Futures OI Up 6%- Long Buildup                        indicating range-bound movement.
India VIX            23.68 down by 6%
                                                      STOCK FUTURES
            Bank Nifty Analysis
Maximum                                               Long Buildup ( Bullish) :
               9500         9400        9600
Call OI                                               Asian Paint, Bata, HDFC Bank, Jubilant, PNB, Power
Maximum
               9000         9500        9100
                                                      grid, Tata Power, Titan, ALBK, Bombay Dyeing, BGR,
Put OI                                                Delta, Havells, IOB, TTK, UCO, VIP
Writing               9500 to 9600 PE
Buying               9600 and 9900 CE                 Long Unwinding (Bearish) :
                      8900 to 9500 CE                 AB Nuvo, Axis, GE Ship, Hind Zinc, IRB, Rel Infra, Voltas
Unwinding
                      8500 to 9200 PE
Equilibrium            9500 (up 200)                  Short Buildup ( Bearish) :
Futures                                               BPCL, GAIL, Sun TV
            Discount 47vs Discount 39
Discount
Futures OI Down 5% – Short Covering                   Short Unwinding ( Bullish) :
                                                      NMDC
             USD/INR Analysis
                 1            2           3           Top Rollover Stocks ( Roll % above 50%):
Maximum                                               Alok, Bharat Forge, BHEL, GMR, JSW Steel, Mcleod,
                 55          55.5       55.25         SAIL, Sterlite, Welcorp
Call OI
Maximum
                54.5          55         55.5
Put OI                                                Bottom Rollover Stocks ( Roll % below 15%) :
Equilibrium        55.25 (unchanged)                  CESC, Dabur, Exide, Federal, GMDC, Hexaware,
FuturesDis     Discount 0.06vs Discount               Mphasis
count                     0.31
                  Down by 27%(Long                    SOURCE – NSE
Futures OI
                       unwinding)
ATM IV        9.03 vs 9.25 ( down by 0.22)



                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                  th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is
not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as
advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.




                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                             th
                The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322

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Keynote derivatives daily report for 290512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 29thMay 2012 Nifty Analysis Equity Index and Currency Overview Maximum Nifty saw long buildup but with widening discount as Nifty 5100 5000 4900 Call OI rolls reached 30%. India VIX fell by 6%. Maximum 4800 4900 5000 Put OI Bank Nifty saw short covering with widening discount and Writing 4900 and 5000 PE falling open interest. The Bank Nifty rolls were at 29%. Buying - Unwinding 4500 to 5100 CE The equilibrium for the Nifty went up by 50 to 4950, while 4500 to 4800 PE the Bank Nifty equilibrium went up by 200 to 9500. Equilibrium 4950 (up 50) Futures Discount 10vs Discount 1 USD/INR saw long unwinding with open interest shifting Discount to the June series. The ATM IVs once again fell by 0.22% Futures OI Up 6%- Long Buildup indicating range-bound movement. India VIX 23.68 down by 6% STOCK FUTURES Bank Nifty Analysis Maximum Long Buildup ( Bullish) : 9500 9400 9600 Call OI Asian Paint, Bata, HDFC Bank, Jubilant, PNB, Power Maximum 9000 9500 9100 grid, Tata Power, Titan, ALBK, Bombay Dyeing, BGR, Put OI Delta, Havells, IOB, TTK, UCO, VIP Writing 9500 to 9600 PE Buying 9600 and 9900 CE Long Unwinding (Bearish) : 8900 to 9500 CE AB Nuvo, Axis, GE Ship, Hind Zinc, IRB, Rel Infra, Voltas Unwinding 8500 to 9200 PE Equilibrium 9500 (up 200) Short Buildup ( Bearish) : Futures BPCL, GAIL, Sun TV Discount 47vs Discount 39 Discount Futures OI Down 5% – Short Covering Short Unwinding ( Bullish) : NMDC USD/INR Analysis 1 2 3 Top Rollover Stocks ( Roll % above 50%): Maximum Alok, Bharat Forge, BHEL, GMR, JSW Steel, Mcleod, 55 55.5 55.25 SAIL, Sterlite, Welcorp Call OI Maximum 54.5 55 55.5 Put OI Bottom Rollover Stocks ( Roll % below 15%) : Equilibrium 55.25 (unchanged) CESC, Dabur, Exide, Federal, GMDC, Hexaware, FuturesDis Discount 0.06vs Discount Mphasis count 0.31 Down by 27%(Long SOURCE – NSE Futures OI unwinding) ATM IV 9.03 vs 9.25 ( down by 0.22) Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322