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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                   25thMay 2012


              Nifty Analysis                       Equity Index and Currency Overview
Maximum                                            Nifty saw short covering as discount narrowed and open
               5000         4900        4800
Call OI                                            interest shrank, along with India VIX falling by 6%.
Maximum
               4700         4800        4600
Put OI
                                                   Bank Nifty saw fresh long buildup with flat discount and
Writing               4600 to 4900 PE              rise in open interest.
Buying                   5100 CE

Unwinding
                      4700 to 5000 CE              The equilibrium for the Nifty and Bank Nifty remained
                      5100 to 5700 PE              unchanged around 4900 and 9200 respectively inspite of
Equilibrium          4900 (unchanged)              the rally in the underlying.
Futures
            Discount 8vs Discount 17
Discount                                           USD/INR halted the steep ascent with futures ending at a
Futures OI Down 2%- Short Covering                 discount to RBI reference and open interest falling.
India VIX             25.5 down by 6%
                                                   STOCK FUTURES
            Bank Nifty Analysis
Maximum                                            Long Buildup:
               9500         9400        9300
Call OI                                            Andhra, Bombay Dyeing, HDFC Bank, IDFC, IOB,
Maximum
               9000         9500        9200
                                                   Polaris, SBI, Tata Comm, Tata Global
Put OI
Writing               8800 to 9200PE               Long Unwinding:
Buying           9300, 9500 to 9700 CE             Adani Power, Century, IFCI, LIC, ONGC, Powergrid,
                9400 and 9800, 9900 CE             Ranbaxy, RPower, Tata Motors, Vijaya, Welcorp, Wipro
Unwinding
                    9300 to 9900 PE
Equilibrium        9200 (unchanged)                Short Buildup :
Futures                                            Crompton, IGL, NMDC, Voltas
            Discount 78vs Discount 75
Discount
Futures OI    Up 5% (Long buildup)                 Short Unwinding :
                                                   Bharat Forge, Opto Circuits
             USD/INR Analysis
                 1            2           3        Call Writing at Resistance strike against Investment :
Maximum                                            Crompton 120, ONGC 270 , LIC 250, Ranbaxy 560
                 55          55.5         56
Call OI
Maximum                                            Put Writing at Support strike for Investment :
                55.5          55          56
Put OI                                             HDFC Bank 480, SBI 1850, RInfra 420, Yes Bank 300,
Equilibrium          56 (unchanged)
FuturesPre      Discount 0.58vs Premium
mium                      0.15                     SOURCE – NSE
                  Down by 6.6%(Long
Futures OI
                       unwinding)
ATM IV         11.5 vs 13.3 ( down by 1.8)



                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                  th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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               The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322

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Keynote derivatives daily report for 260213
 

Keynote derivatives daily report for 250512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 25thMay 2012 Nifty Analysis Equity Index and Currency Overview Maximum Nifty saw short covering as discount narrowed and open 5000 4900 4800 Call OI interest shrank, along with India VIX falling by 6%. Maximum 4700 4800 4600 Put OI Bank Nifty saw fresh long buildup with flat discount and Writing 4600 to 4900 PE rise in open interest. Buying 5100 CE Unwinding 4700 to 5000 CE The equilibrium for the Nifty and Bank Nifty remained 5100 to 5700 PE unchanged around 4900 and 9200 respectively inspite of Equilibrium 4900 (unchanged) the rally in the underlying. Futures Discount 8vs Discount 17 Discount USD/INR halted the steep ascent with futures ending at a Futures OI Down 2%- Short Covering discount to RBI reference and open interest falling. India VIX 25.5 down by 6% STOCK FUTURES Bank Nifty Analysis Maximum Long Buildup: 9500 9400 9300 Call OI Andhra, Bombay Dyeing, HDFC Bank, IDFC, IOB, Maximum 9000 9500 9200 Polaris, SBI, Tata Comm, Tata Global Put OI Writing 8800 to 9200PE Long Unwinding: Buying 9300, 9500 to 9700 CE Adani Power, Century, IFCI, LIC, ONGC, Powergrid, 9400 and 9800, 9900 CE Ranbaxy, RPower, Tata Motors, Vijaya, Welcorp, Wipro Unwinding 9300 to 9900 PE Equilibrium 9200 (unchanged) Short Buildup : Futures Crompton, IGL, NMDC, Voltas Discount 78vs Discount 75 Discount Futures OI Up 5% (Long buildup) Short Unwinding : Bharat Forge, Opto Circuits USD/INR Analysis 1 2 3 Call Writing at Resistance strike against Investment : Maximum Crompton 120, ONGC 270 , LIC 250, Ranbaxy 560 55 55.5 56 Call OI Maximum Put Writing at Support strike for Investment : 55.5 55 56 Put OI HDFC Bank 480, SBI 1850, RInfra 420, Yes Bank 300, Equilibrium 56 (unchanged) FuturesPre Discount 0.58vs Premium mium 0.15 SOURCE – NSE Down by 6.6%(Long Futures OI unwinding) ATM IV 11.5 vs 13.3 ( down by 1.8) Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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