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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                   11thMay 2012



               Spot         Near         Premium    Nifty
                                                    The Nifty futures premium to spot increased to 17 points
Nifty          4966         4983            17
                                                    with a 1% increase in open interestindicating short
Bank Nifty     9411         9355            -56     covering. India VIX fell marginally due to range-bound
USD/INR       53.3375 53.6100              0.27     price action. Writing was seen in the 4900 to 5400 call
India VIX      22.72        -0.32         -1.39%    optionswhile the 4400 to 5000 puts were boughtand short
                                                    covering/long liquidation happened in the 5100to 5400
                                                    puts. The equilibrium moved down to between the 5000
        Nifty Open Interest Analysis                and 5100 strike.
                 1            2             3
Maximum
                5200        5400           5300     Bank Nifty
Call OI
Maximum                                             The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a 3% increase inopen
                4900        5000           4800
Put OI                                              interestwith a marginal increase in discountas short
Equilibrium             5000 to 5100                positions were built. Writing happened in the 9300 to
                                                    10500 callswhile buying was seen in the 9000 to 9400
                                                    puts. Short covering/Profit-takinghappened in the 9500 to
                                                    10500 puts. The equilibriumremained at the9500strike.
   Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis
                 1            2             3
Maximum                                             USD/INR
            10500           11000         10000
Call OI                                             The futures premium fell by 0.37 to 0.27 (wrt RBI
Maximum                                             reference rate) and open interest dropped by 3.68% due
            9500            9000          10000
Put OI                                              to long liquidation. The equilibriummoved down to
Equilibrium                  9500                   between 53.5 and 54.

                                                    STOCK FUTURES
                                                    Long Buildup: BPCL, Indusind Bank, Yes Bank, Canara
    USD/INR Open Interest Analysis
                                                    Bank, Colgate
                 1            2             3
Maximum                                             Long Reduction/Short Covering:IDFC, Ranbaxy, JP
                 53           54           53.5
Call OI                                             Associate, ALBK, Apollo, Arvind, Idea, Uniphos, GE
Maximum                                             Shipping, MRF.
                 53           54           53.5
Put OI
Equilibrium               53.5 to 54
                                                    Short Buildup : Coal, HDIL, Jindal Saw
ATM IV          Call 11.17             Put 12.38


SOURCE – NSE




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                  th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote derivatives daily report for 110512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 11thMay 2012 Spot Near Premium Nifty The Nifty futures premium to spot increased to 17 points Nifty 4966 4983 17 with a 1% increase in open interestindicating short Bank Nifty 9411 9355 -56 covering. India VIX fell marginally due to range-bound USD/INR 53.3375 53.6100 0.27 price action. Writing was seen in the 4900 to 5400 call India VIX 22.72 -0.32 -1.39% optionswhile the 4400 to 5000 puts were boughtand short covering/long liquidation happened in the 5100to 5400 puts. The equilibrium moved down to between the 5000 Nifty Open Interest Analysis and 5100 strike. 1 2 3 Maximum 5200 5400 5300 Bank Nifty Call OI Maximum The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a 3% increase inopen 4900 5000 4800 Put OI interestwith a marginal increase in discountas short Equilibrium 5000 to 5100 positions were built. Writing happened in the 9300 to 10500 callswhile buying was seen in the 9000 to 9400 puts. Short covering/Profit-takinghappened in the 9500 to 10500 puts. The equilibriumremained at the9500strike. Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis 1 2 3 Maximum USD/INR 10500 11000 10000 Call OI The futures premium fell by 0.37 to 0.27 (wrt RBI Maximum reference rate) and open interest dropped by 3.68% due 9500 9000 10000 Put OI to long liquidation. The equilibriummoved down to Equilibrium 9500 between 53.5 and 54. STOCK FUTURES Long Buildup: BPCL, Indusind Bank, Yes Bank, Canara USD/INR Open Interest Analysis Bank, Colgate 1 2 3 Maximum Long Reduction/Short Covering:IDFC, Ranbaxy, JP 53 54 53.5 Call OI Associate, ALBK, Apollo, Arvind, Idea, Uniphos, GE Maximum Shipping, MRF. 53 54 53.5 Put OI Equilibrium 53.5 to 54 Short Buildup : Coal, HDIL, Jindal Saw ATM IV Call 11.17 Put 12.38 SOURCE – NSE Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322