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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                   10thMay 2012



               Spot         Near       Premium     Nifty
                                                   The Nifty futures premium to spot increased slightly to 8
Nifty          4975         4983          8
                                                   points with a 2% decrease in open interestindicating short
Bank Nifty     9405         9380         -25       covering. Writing was seen in the 4900 to 5300 call
USD/INR       53.4600 54.1000            0.64      optionswhile the 4300 to 5000 puts were boughtand short
                                                   covering/long liquidation happened in the 5200to 5600
                                                   puts. The equilibrium remained at the 5100 strike.
        Nifty Open Interest Analysis
                 1            2           3
Maximum                                            Bank Nifty
                5200        5300        5400
Call OI                                            The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a 4% increase inopen
Maximum                                            interestas short positions were built. Writing happened in
                4900        5000        4800
Put OI                                             the 9300 to 10500 callswhile buying was seen in the 9000
Equilibrium                  5100                  to 9400 puts as well as the 8500 and 8600 puts. Short
                                                   covering happened in the 9500 to 10000 puts. The
                                                   equilibriumfell to the 9500strike.
   Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis
              1               2           3        USD/INR
Maximum
            10500           11000       10000      The futures premium widened by 0.1 to 0.64( wrt RBI
Call OI                                            reference rate) due to freshlong buildup. The
Maximum                                            equilibriummoved up to 54 with the highest Call OI at 53
            9500            9000        10000
Put OI
                                                   and the highest Put OI also at 53.
Equilibrium                  9500
                                                   STOCK FUTURES
                                                   Long Buildup: Asian Paint, BPCL, Ranbaxy, TCS
    USD/INR Open Interest Analysis
                                                   Long Reduction/Short Covering: ITC, IDFC, HCL Tech,
                 1            2           3
                                                   Ashok, Central Bank
Maximum
                 53           54         53.5
Call OI
                                                   Short Buildup : Coal, JP Assoc, Tata Motor DVR, SBI,
Maximum
                 53           54         52.5      Tata Steel, Arvind, Educomp, HDIL, Jet, Mcdowell,
Put OI
Equilibrium                    54                  Renuka, Union Bank, Andhra Bank, Canara Bank


SOURCE – NSE




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Keynote derivatives daily report for 100512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 10thMay 2012 Spot Near Premium Nifty The Nifty futures premium to spot increased slightly to 8 Nifty 4975 4983 8 points with a 2% decrease in open interestindicating short Bank Nifty 9405 9380 -25 covering. Writing was seen in the 4900 to 5300 call USD/INR 53.4600 54.1000 0.64 optionswhile the 4300 to 5000 puts were boughtand short covering/long liquidation happened in the 5200to 5600 puts. The equilibrium remained at the 5100 strike. Nifty Open Interest Analysis 1 2 3 Maximum Bank Nifty 5200 5300 5400 Call OI The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a 4% increase inopen Maximum interestas short positions were built. Writing happened in 4900 5000 4800 Put OI the 9300 to 10500 callswhile buying was seen in the 9000 Equilibrium 5100 to 9400 puts as well as the 8500 and 8600 puts. Short covering happened in the 9500 to 10000 puts. The equilibriumfell to the 9500strike. Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis 1 2 3 USD/INR Maximum 10500 11000 10000 The futures premium widened by 0.1 to 0.64( wrt RBI Call OI reference rate) due to freshlong buildup. The Maximum equilibriummoved up to 54 with the highest Call OI at 53 9500 9000 10000 Put OI and the highest Put OI also at 53. Equilibrium 9500 STOCK FUTURES Long Buildup: Asian Paint, BPCL, Ranbaxy, TCS USD/INR Open Interest Analysis Long Reduction/Short Covering: ITC, IDFC, HCL Tech, 1 2 3 Ashok, Central Bank Maximum 53 54 53.5 Call OI Short Buildup : Coal, JP Assoc, Tata Motor DVR, SBI, Maximum 53 54 52.5 Tata Steel, Arvind, Educomp, HDIL, Jet, Mcdowell, Put OI Equilibrium 54 Renuka, Union Bank, Andhra Bank, Canara Bank SOURCE – NSE Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322