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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                   07thMay 2012



               Spot         Near       Premium     Nifty
                                                   The Nifty futures premium to spot decreased slightly to 11
Nifty          5086         5099          11
                                                   points with a 2% increase in open interestindicating short
Bank Nifty     9802         9794          -8       buildup. Writing was seen in the 5100 to 5400 call
USD/INR       53.7225 53.7800            0.06      optionswhile the 4800 to 5100 puts were boughtand short
                                                   covering/long liquidation happened in the 5200 to 5400
                                                   puts. The equilibrium moved down to between the 5100
        Nifty Open Interest Analysis               and5200 strikes.
                 1            2           3
Maximum
                5300        5400        5200
Call OI                                            Bank Nifty
Maximum                                            The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a 10% increase inopen
                5000        5100        4800
Put OI                                             interest as short positions were aggressively built. Writing
Equilibrium             5100 to 5200               happened in the 9800 to 10600 callswhile buying was
                                                   seen in the 9000 to 9900 puts, with short covering in the
                                                   10000 to 10200 puts. The equilibriummoved down to
                                                   between the 9800 to 10000 strikes.
   Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis
              1       2         3
Maximum
            11000   10500     10200                USD/INR
Call OI                                            The premium over the RBI reference rate went down
Maximum                                            sharply from 0.34 to 0.06 indicating long liquidation
            9500    10000      9000
Put OI
                                                   around the 54 resistance as the closing was near the low
Equilibrium      9800 to 10000
                                                   of the day. The equilibriummoved up to 53.50 with the
                                                   highest Call OI at 54 and the highest Put OI at 53.

    USD/INR Open Interest Analysis
                                                   STOCK FUTURES
                                                   Long Buildup: Ruchi Soya, Sobha
                 1            2           3
Maximum                                            Long Reduction/Short Covering: Arvind, Cipla, Central
                 54           53         53.5
Call OI
                                                   Bank, Colgate, Dish TV, DrReddy, Exide, GE Ship, India
Maximum
                 53           54          52       Cem, Lupin, OBC, Pantaloon, Petronet, Tata Power,
Put OI
Equilibrium                  53.50                 Titan, Wipro

SOURCE – NSE                                       Short Buildup : Axis, BOB, BHEL, BF Utilities, Hero, LT,
                                                   Sesa, Apollo, Ashok, BGR, FT, IRB, Jet, Jubilant, Sintex,
                                                   Syndicate, Unitech, UCO, Cummins, Educomp




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                  th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote derivatives daily report for 070512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 07thMay 2012 Spot Near Premium Nifty The Nifty futures premium to spot decreased slightly to 11 Nifty 5086 5099 11 points with a 2% increase in open interestindicating short Bank Nifty 9802 9794 -8 buildup. Writing was seen in the 5100 to 5400 call USD/INR 53.7225 53.7800 0.06 optionswhile the 4800 to 5100 puts were boughtand short covering/long liquidation happened in the 5200 to 5400 puts. The equilibrium moved down to between the 5100 Nifty Open Interest Analysis and5200 strikes. 1 2 3 Maximum 5300 5400 5200 Call OI Bank Nifty Maximum The Bank Nifty May futuressaw a 10% increase inopen 5000 5100 4800 Put OI interest as short positions were aggressively built. Writing Equilibrium 5100 to 5200 happened in the 9800 to 10600 callswhile buying was seen in the 9000 to 9900 puts, with short covering in the 10000 to 10200 puts. The equilibriummoved down to between the 9800 to 10000 strikes. Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis 1 2 3 Maximum 11000 10500 10200 USD/INR Call OI The premium over the RBI reference rate went down Maximum sharply from 0.34 to 0.06 indicating long liquidation 9500 10000 9000 Put OI around the 54 resistance as the closing was near the low Equilibrium 9800 to 10000 of the day. The equilibriummoved up to 53.50 with the highest Call OI at 54 and the highest Put OI at 53. USD/INR Open Interest Analysis STOCK FUTURES Long Buildup: Ruchi Soya, Sobha 1 2 3 Maximum Long Reduction/Short Covering: Arvind, Cipla, Central 54 53 53.5 Call OI Bank, Colgate, Dish TV, DrReddy, Exide, GE Ship, India Maximum 53 54 52 Cem, Lupin, OBC, Pantaloon, Petronet, Tata Power, Put OI Equilibrium 53.50 Titan, Wipro SOURCE – NSE Short Buildup : Axis, BOB, BHEL, BF Utilities, Hero, LT, Sesa, Apollo, Ashok, BGR, FT, IRB, Jet, Jubilant, Sintex, Syndicate, Unitech, UCO, Cummins, Educomp Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322