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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Thursday, February 16, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
                                                           • Indian markets rose for the third straight session
 Name of Index         Feb 14        Feb 15   Change (%)
                                                             yesterday, up ~2% to their highest level in more than
 Sensex              17,848.57    18,202.41      1.98%       six months, after China pledged to help resolve the
 CNX Nifty            5,416.05     5,531.95      2.14%       euro-zone debt crisis and as Greek leaders said they
 BSE Mid-cap          6,347.22     6,480.68      2.10%       will provide written austerity promises in exchange for
 BSE IT               6,042.12     6,149.12      1.77%       a European Union-led bailout. Sustained buying of
 BSE Banks           12,127.07    12,558.11      3.55%       Indian stocks by foreign funds underpinned sentiment.
                                                             Markets risen more than 17% this year, with foreign
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       institutional investors buying about $4.2bn of Indian
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       equities. Except oil & gas, all sectoral indices closed
 14-Feb                 2,972         1,825       1147       on positive note with real estate, capital goods, power
 13-Feb                 2,592         1,944        648       and bank stocks major gainers. Interest rate sensitive
                                                             auto, realty and banking shares gained as a further
 Total Feb             36,572        25,535      11037
                                                             decline in inflation in January 2012 reinforced
 2012 YTD              89,511        67,393      22118
                                                             expectations that the central bank will start cutting
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      interest rates in the coming months to revive slowing
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       economic growth. Power utilities stocks soared after
                                                             the government ordered state-run miner, Coal India to
 14-Feb                   536          484          52
                                                             sign 20-year guaranteed fuel supply contracts with
 13-Feb                   313          574         -261
                                                             power producers for projects that would be ready for
 Total Feb              6,107         7,220      -1113       generation by March 2015. TCS scaled record high as
 2012 YTD              16,528        19,496       -2968      the company's chief executive N. Chandrasekaran said
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 that the company expects business momentum to
                                                             strengthen next fiscal year as clients have started
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                             loosening their purse strings despite economic
 Trading Volume (Cr)               131.39         43.16      uncertainties. ONGC rose after Oil Minister S. Jaipal
 Turnover (`Cr)                    18,737         4,139      Reddy told the media that a panel of ministers has
 Advances                           1,064         1,896      approved divestment in ONGC through an auction.
 Declines                             427         1,081      Max India rose 4.4% after the Economic Times
 Unchanged                             66          102
                                                             newspaper reported New York Life Insurance Co was in
                                                             talks to sell its stake in life insurance joint venture
 Total                              1,557         3,079
                                                             with Max India.
Global Markets                                             • Market breadth was strong at ~1.75x as investors
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     bought large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs
 DJIA                            12,780.95      -0.76%       bought equity of `18.38bn while domestic institutions
                                                             sold equity of `3.13bn.
 NASDAQ                           2,915.83      -0.55%
                                                           • Asian shares traded mostly lower Thursday, as
 Nikkei *                         9,235.89      -0.26%
                                                             investors worried over Greek default, although
 Hang Seng *                     21,217.66      -0.69%
                                                             Japanese shares got some support from a relatively
* as of 8.25AM IST                                           weak yen.
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                          • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets,
                                    Latest     Previous      following the Asian cues and some profit booking from
                                    Quote         Close      the investors.
 Indian Rupee per $                  49.29        49.41    Economic and Corporate Developments
 Indian Rupee per €                  64.16        64.36    • Oil companies cut jet fuel prices by a marginal `350
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            101.63        101.80      per kilolitre, the second reduction in this month.
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,722.40     1,726.70    • India's services exports fell marginally by 0.8% to
                                                             $11.18bn in December, over the previous month,
 Silver ($/oz)                       33.36        33.41
                                                             according to the Reserve Bank data.


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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                               INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                              Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                            • Marico has acquired the personal care portfolio of
                     Previous   Current    Change          Paras from British consumer goods maker Reckitt
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          Benckiser. While Marico did not disclose the deal
 Voltas                94.55     118.25     25.07          size, analysts estimate the portfolio, which includes
 ADANI POWER           69.55      78.65     13.08          brands such as Livon, Set Wet and Zatak, to be
 Reliance Power       108.70     122.55     12.74          valued at `600-700Cr.
 Havells India        507.40     554.65      9.31        • Tata Motors launched Tata Sumo Gold, its
 Indiabulls Fin       200.80     219.25      9.19          redesigned sports utility vehicle (SUV), here on on
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                              Wednesday. The new vehicle is available in four
                                                           variants along with a warranty of three years or
                     Previous   Current    Change          100,000 km, whichever is earlier.
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Voltas                94.55     118.25     25.07        • Just two months after the Eenadu and Network18
 Sunteck Realty       349.50     417.35     19.41          deal, the Subhash Chandra-promoted Zee Network
 INDIAB POWER           13.87     16.55     19.32          has emerged as front-runner in buying out the
 India Cements         94.95     108.35     14.11          majority 51% stake in English news channel NewsX.
 Sterlite Tech         37.20      41.85     12.50        • Grupo Mexico won $82.8mn in a lawsuit against
                                                           Indian copper producer Sterlite Industries, a unit of
TOP LOSERS                                                 Vedanta Resources, over a failed deal to buy its
                                                           Arizona-based Asarco out of bankruptcy, or less than
(BSE A-Group)
                                                           four per cent of what it seeked.
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                            • Wyeth Pharmaceuticals Inc, a Pfizer group company,
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Educomp Sol          248.10     236.95      -4.49         has claimed $960mn (`4,700Cr) in damages from
 India Sec             56.80      54.85      -3.43         Sun Pharma for allegedly infringing the patent on its
 TTK Prestige        3076.30    3004.80      -2.32
                                                           anti-ulcer brand, Protonix.
 Aurobindo Phar       117.75     115.70      -1.74       • PSL bagged orders worth `742Cr so far in this
 Cadila Health        728.25     717.00      -1.54         quarter from infrastructure firms in India and abroad.

(BSE Mid-Cap)                                            US markets
                                                         US stocks dropped on Wednesday for the third session
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                            in four, with market direction largely dictated by the
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 VAARAD                40.90      38.90      -4.89       swings in shares of Apple, the largest company in the
 Shree Global Trd     192.85     183.75      -4.72       world.
 Educomp Sol          248.10     236.95      -4.49       The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 97.33 points,
 Alok Inds             23.25      22.25      -4.30       or 0.76%, to 12,780.95. The Standard & Poor's 500
 India Sec             56.80      54.85      -3.43       Index lost 7.27 points, or 0.54%, to 1,343.23. The
                                                         Nasdaq Composite Index fell 16.00 points, or 0.55%, to
                                                         2,915.83.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research              (research@keynotecapitals.net)            (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                 Thursday                                    Friday                                  Monday                                   Tuesday

   Regions                       16/Feb                                   17/Feb                                    20/Feb                                   21/Feb

   India                                                     Forex Reserves Data

                                                             Weekly Supplement
                                                             of RBI



   US               Jobless Claims                           Consumer Price Index                      Chicago Fed national                     4-Week Bill
                                                             (YoY & MoM)                               activity index                           Announcement

                    Producer price Index                     Consumer Price Index                                                               3-Month Bill Auction
                                                             Ex Food & Energy
                                                             (YoY & MoM)

                                                             Leading Indicators
                                                             (MoM)




   Global           ECB monthly report                       UK Nationwide                                                                      Japan's All Industry
                                                             Housing Prices (YoY &                                                              Activity Index (MoM)
                                                             MoM)

                                                             UK Retail Sales (YoY                                                               UK's Public Sector Net
                                                             & MoM)                                                                             Borrowing

                                                             UK Retail Sales ex-                                                                Eurozone Consumer
                                                             Fuel (YoY & MoM)                                                                   Confidence

                                                             Euro Zone Purchasing
                                                             Manager Index
                                                             Services (Feb)

                                                             Euro Zone
                                                             Construction Output
                                                             (YoY & MoM)




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
           4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                   Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynotecapitals.com

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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India Morning Note: Markets Rise for Third Straight Session

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Thursday, February 16, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today • Indian markets rose for the third straight session Name of Index Feb 14 Feb 15 Change (%) yesterday, up ~2% to their highest level in more than Sensex 17,848.57 18,202.41 1.98% six months, after China pledged to help resolve the CNX Nifty 5,416.05 5,531.95 2.14% euro-zone debt crisis and as Greek leaders said they BSE Mid-cap 6,347.22 6,480.68 2.10% will provide written austerity promises in exchange for BSE IT 6,042.12 6,149.12 1.77% a European Union-led bailout. Sustained buying of BSE Banks 12,127.07 12,558.11 3.55% Indian stocks by foreign funds underpinned sentiment. Markets risen more than 17% this year, with foreign FII Activity (`Cr) institutional investors buying about $4.2bn of Indian Date Buy Sell Net equities. Except oil & gas, all sectoral indices closed 14-Feb 2,972 1,825 1147 on positive note with real estate, capital goods, power 13-Feb 2,592 1,944 648 and bank stocks major gainers. Interest rate sensitive auto, realty and banking shares gained as a further Total Feb 36,572 25,535 11037 decline in inflation in January 2012 reinforced 2012 YTD 89,511 67,393 22118 expectations that the central bank will start cutting MF Activity (`Cr) interest rates in the coming months to revive slowing Date Buy Sell Net economic growth. Power utilities stocks soared after the government ordered state-run miner, Coal India to 14-Feb 536 484 52 sign 20-year guaranteed fuel supply contracts with 13-Feb 313 574 -261 power producers for projects that would be ready for Total Feb 6,107 7,220 -1113 generation by March 2015. TCS scaled record high as 2012 YTD 16,528 19,496 -2968 the company's chief executive N. Chandrasekaran said Volume & Advances / Declines that the company expects business momentum to strengthen next fiscal year as clients have started NSE BSE loosening their purse strings despite economic Trading Volume (Cr) 131.39 43.16 uncertainties. ONGC rose after Oil Minister S. Jaipal Turnover (`Cr) 18,737 4,139 Reddy told the media that a panel of ministers has Advances 1,064 1,896 approved divestment in ONGC through an auction. Declines 427 1,081 Max India rose 4.4% after the Economic Times Unchanged 66 102 newspaper reported New York Life Insurance Co was in talks to sell its stake in life insurance joint venture Total 1,557 3,079 with Max India. Global Markets • Market breadth was strong at ~1.75x as investors Index Latest Values Change (%) bought large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs DJIA 12,780.95 -0.76% bought equity of `18.38bn while domestic institutions sold equity of `3.13bn. NASDAQ 2,915.83 -0.55% • Asian shares traded mostly lower Thursday, as Nikkei * 9,235.89 -0.26% investors worried over Greek default, although Hang Seng * 21,217.66 -0.69% Japanese shares got some support from a relatively * as of 8.25AM IST weak yen. Currencies / Commodities Snapshot • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets, Latest Previous following the Asian cues and some profit booking from Quote Close the investors. Indian Rupee per $ 49.29 49.41 Economic and Corporate Developments Indian Rupee per € 64.16 64.36 • Oil companies cut jet fuel prices by a marginal `350 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 101.63 101.80 per kilolitre, the second reduction in this month. Gold ($/oz) 1,722.40 1,726.70 • India's services exports fell marginally by 0.8% to $11.18bn in December, over the previous month, Silver ($/oz) 33.36 33.41 according to the Reserve Bank data. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Marico has acquired the personal care portfolio of Previous Current Change Paras from British consumer goods maker Reckitt Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Benckiser. While Marico did not disclose the deal Voltas 94.55 118.25 25.07 size, analysts estimate the portfolio, which includes ADANI POWER 69.55 78.65 13.08 brands such as Livon, Set Wet and Zatak, to be Reliance Power 108.70 122.55 12.74 valued at `600-700Cr. Havells India 507.40 554.65 9.31 • Tata Motors launched Tata Sumo Gold, its Indiabulls Fin 200.80 219.25 9.19 redesigned sports utility vehicle (SUV), here on on (BSE Mid-Cap) Wednesday. The new vehicle is available in four variants along with a warranty of three years or Previous Current Change 100,000 km, whichever is earlier. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Voltas 94.55 118.25 25.07 • Just two months after the Eenadu and Network18 Sunteck Realty 349.50 417.35 19.41 deal, the Subhash Chandra-promoted Zee Network INDIAB POWER 13.87 16.55 19.32 has emerged as front-runner in buying out the India Cements 94.95 108.35 14.11 majority 51% stake in English news channel NewsX. Sterlite Tech 37.20 41.85 12.50 • Grupo Mexico won $82.8mn in a lawsuit against Indian copper producer Sterlite Industries, a unit of TOP LOSERS Vedanta Resources, over a failed deal to buy its Arizona-based Asarco out of bankruptcy, or less than (BSE A-Group) four per cent of what it seeked. Previous Current Change Company Name • Wyeth Pharmaceuticals Inc, a Pfizer group company, Close(`) Price(`) (%) Educomp Sol 248.10 236.95 -4.49 has claimed $960mn (`4,700Cr) in damages from India Sec 56.80 54.85 -3.43 Sun Pharma for allegedly infringing the patent on its TTK Prestige 3076.30 3004.80 -2.32 anti-ulcer brand, Protonix. Aurobindo Phar 117.75 115.70 -1.74 • PSL bagged orders worth `742Cr so far in this Cadila Health 728.25 717.00 -1.54 quarter from infrastructure firms in India and abroad. (BSE Mid-Cap) US markets US stocks dropped on Wednesday for the third session Previous Current Change Company Name in four, with market direction largely dictated by the Close(`) Price(`) (%) VAARAD 40.90 38.90 -4.89 swings in shares of Apple, the largest company in the Shree Global Trd 192.85 183.75 -4.72 world. Educomp Sol 248.10 236.95 -4.49 The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 97.33 points, Alok Inds 23.25 22.25 -4.30 or 0.76%, to 12,780.95. The Standard & Poor's 500 India Sec 56.80 54.85 -3.43 Index lost 7.27 points, or 0.54%, to 1,343.23. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 16.00 points, or 0.55%, to 2,915.83. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 16/Feb 17/Feb 20/Feb 21/Feb India Forex Reserves Data Weekly Supplement of RBI US Jobless Claims Consumer Price Index Chicago Fed national 4-Week Bill (YoY & MoM) activity index Announcement Producer price Index Consumer Price Index 3-Month Bill Auction Ex Food & Energy (YoY & MoM) Leading Indicators (MoM) Global ECB monthly report UK Nationwide Japan's All Industry Housing Prices (YoY & Activity Index (MoM) MoM) UK Retail Sales (YoY UK's Public Sector Net & MoM) Borrowing UK Retail Sales ex- Eurozone Consumer Fuel (YoY & MoM) Confidence Euro Zone Purchasing Manager Index Services (Feb) Euro Zone Construction Output (YoY & MoM) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.