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KĀ EĀ YĀ NĀ OĀ TĀ EĀ 
                                                                                  INSTITUTIONALĀ Ā RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Dec 19       Dec 20    Change (%)   ā€¢ Indian markets continued their downward trend and
 Sensex              15,379.34    15,175.08     -1.33%       fell for a fifth session in a row yesterday to their lowest
 CNX Nifty            4,613.10     4,544.20     -1.49%       close in 28 months as risk aversion deepened in the
 BSE Mid-cap          5,172.10     5,076.04     -1.86%       absence of policy initiatives to revive slowing domestic
 BSE IT               5,657.79     5,610.16     -0.84%       growth. Swelling fiscal deficit, widening current
 BSE Banks            9,130.56     8,975.01     -1.70%       account gap, high interest rates, slowing economy and
                                                             policy inaction were driving investors away. Foreign
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       funds have pulled out a net $300 million from Indian
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       shares this year till last Friday, after ploughing in a
 19-Dec                  2,245        2,642        -396      record of more than $29 billion in 2010.However,
 16-Dec                  2,270        2,420        -150      investors ignored positive European markets as
 Total Dec              26,279       26,104        175       sustained buying witnessed after European countries
                                                             channeled ā‚¬150bn to the International Monetary Fund
 2011 YTD             594,723      597,493        -2770
                                                             as the European Central Bank widened its support for
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      sagging bond markets and Sweden cuts the interest
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       rate after 2009. Except FMCG, all sectoral indices
 19-Dec                   547          611          -64      closed on negative note with capital goods, real
 16-Dec                   450          364          86
                                                             estate, metal and power stocks were major losers.
                                                             Engineering and construction conglomerate Larsen
 Total Dec               5493         5824         -331
                                                             and Toubro, which has been facing a slowdown in new
 2011 YTD             127,719      122,603        5116
                                                             orders as companies put off investment in large
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 projects, was among the big losers. Media firm
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                             Network 18 bucked the trend and rose 6.9% after a
                                                             newspaper report Mukesh Ambani is seeking to buy a
 Trading Volume (`Cr)               9,590         1,908
                                                             stake in the company. ONGC gained 2.4% after the
 Advances                             382          862
                                                             news that the government proposes to cut petrol
 Declines                           1,112         1,877
                                                             excise duty and plans to impose an additional tax on
 Unchanged                             48          116       diesel-powered cars.
 Total                              1,542         2,855
                                                           ā€¢ Market breadth was week at ~0.46x as investors sold
Global Markets                                               large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth `5.26bn while
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     domestic institutions bought equities of `1.86bn.
 DJIA                            12,103.58        2.9%     ā€¢ Asia markets rallied in early trade Wednesday, led by
 NASDAQ                           2,603.73        3.2%       exporters and technology firms, as renewed optimism
 Nikkei *                         8,453.26        1.4%       about the health of the global economy boosted risk
 Hang Seng *                     18,386.52        1.7%       appetite.
* as of 8.25AM IST                                         ā€¢ We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            today, following the global cues. However, the upside
                                    Latest     Previous      may be limited as domestic economic concern looms
                                    Quote         Close      large on the country.
 Indian Rupee per $                  52.81        52.80
                                                           Economic and Corporate Developments
 Indian Rupee per ā‚¬                  69.27        69.06
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              98.02        97.24
                                                           ā€¢   The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has imposed penalties
                                                               on 19 commercial banks, including State Bank of India
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,620.20     1,615.60
                                                               (SBI), HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Citibank, for violating
 Silver ($/oz)                       29.65        29.49
                                                               norms on derivatives.


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                                                                                INSTITUTIONALĀ Ā RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                               Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                             ā€¢ The Delhi-based Abhey Oswal Group, with interests
                    Previous     Current    Change          in petrochemicals, fertilisers and entertainment, has
 Company Name                                               bought a 14.2% stake in NDTV for `24.24Cr.
                    Close (`)   Price (`)      (%)
 Petronet LNG         160.10     163.10       1.87        ā€¢ Union minister of state for finance S. S.
 SAIL                  76.35       77.65      1.70          Palanimanickam told Parliament that the Vijay
 ITC                  197.35     200.55       1.62          Mallya-run airline hasnā€™t deposited with the
 ONGC                 247.30     251.05       1.52          government most of the income tax it deducted from
 Gujarat Gas          342.50     347.40       1.43          staff pay for the past two financial years.
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                             ā€¢ Ashok Leyland would increase stake in British bus
                                                            maker Optare Plc from the current 26% to 75.1%.
                     Previous   Current     Change
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)        ā€¢ Chhattisgarh government said that state-run
 Network18             36.15       40.55     12.17          National Mineral Development Corporation (NMDC)
 TV18 Broadcast         29.00      31.65       9.14         should export the steel-making raw material only
 Orchid Chem          124.40      131.55       5.75         after meeting stateā€™s requirement.
 FDC                    81.35      84.50       3.87       ā€¢ Srei Infrastructure Finance Ltd has decided to raise
 Strides Arco         379.40      389.00       2.53         up to `500Cr through a public issue of infrastructure
                                                            bonds.
TOP LOSERS
                                                          ā€¢ IDFC today mopped up `538.08Cr from the first
(BSE A-Group)                                               tranche of its tax-saving long term infrastructure
                    Previous    Current     Change          bonds from around 2.7 lakh retail investors.
 Company Name
                    Close(`)    Price(`)       (%)        ā€¢ Tata Motors will increase output of light commercial
 Ashok Leyland         23.00       21.70      -5.65         trucks from its Pantnagar plant in north India by up
 Uco Bank              56.00       53.20      -5.00         to 90,000 vehicles per year from early 2012. The
 United Spirits       628.45     597.00       -5.00         production rise will take the plant's annual output to
 Jaiprakash Asso       57.85       55.40      -4.24         around 450,000 vehicles.
 Allahabad Bank       131.40     126.15       -4.00       US markets
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                             US stocks surged ~3% yesterday, as sentiment about
                                                          the global economy got a boost from a jump in the
                     Previous   Current     Change
 Company Name                                             nationā€™s housing starts, improving German business
                     Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)
 S Mobility             78.80      70.25     -10.85       data and a better Spanish bond auction.
 Ashok Leyland          23.00      21.70      -5.65       The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 337.17 points,
 Uco Bank               56.00      53.20      -5.00       or 2.9%, to 12,103.43. The S&P 500 jumped 35.95
 Sujana Towers           6.21       5.90      -4.99       points, or 3%, to 1,241.30. The Nasdaq Composite
 Tata Teleservice      13.43       12.77      -4.91       advanced 80.59 points, or 3.2%, to 2,603.73.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research               (research@keynotecapitals.net)            (+9122-30266000)
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 India and Global Economic Calendar
   Countries /                           Wednesday                                             Thursday                                               Friday

   Regions                                  Dec. 21                                     Dec. 22                                             Dec. 23
   India                                                                       Weekly Inflation Data                               Forex Reserves Data

                                                                                                                                   Weekly Supplement of RBI




   US                      Existing Home sales Data                            Gross domestic purchases                            Core Personal
                                                                               price index                                         Consumption Expenditure
                                                                                                                                   - Prices Index
                                                                               Gross domestic product                              Durable Goods Order ex
                                                                               annualized                                          Transportation
                                                                               Initial jobless claims                              Personal Consumption
                                                                                                                                   Expenditure
                                                                               Reuters/Michigan                                    Personal Income
                                                                               consumer sentiment index
                                                                                                                                   New Home Loans



   Global                  Japan Interest Rate                                 UK GDP data                                         UK Index of Service
                           decision
                                                                                                                                   UK BBA Mortgage
                                                                                                                                   Approvals
                                                                                                                                   Canada GDP




                                             KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
         4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                    Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            ā€¢   www.keynotecapitals.net

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note december 21-'11

  • 1. KĀ EĀ YĀ NĀ OĀ TĀ EĀ  INSTITUTIONALĀ Ā RESEARCH India Morning Note Wednesday, December 21, 2011 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Dec 19 Dec 20 Change (%) ā€¢ Indian markets continued their downward trend and Sensex 15,379.34 15,175.08 -1.33% fell for a fifth session in a row yesterday to their lowest CNX Nifty 4,613.10 4,544.20 -1.49% close in 28 months as risk aversion deepened in the BSE Mid-cap 5,172.10 5,076.04 -1.86% absence of policy initiatives to revive slowing domestic BSE IT 5,657.79 5,610.16 -0.84% growth. Swelling fiscal deficit, widening current BSE Banks 9,130.56 8,975.01 -1.70% account gap, high interest rates, slowing economy and policy inaction were driving investors away. Foreign FII Activity (`Cr) funds have pulled out a net $300 million from Indian Date Buy Sell Net shares this year till last Friday, after ploughing in a 19-Dec 2,245 2,642 -396 record of more than $29 billion in 2010.However, 16-Dec 2,270 2,420 -150 investors ignored positive European markets as Total Dec 26,279 26,104 175 sustained buying witnessed after European countries channeled ā‚¬150bn to the International Monetary Fund 2011 YTD 594,723 597,493 -2770 as the European Central Bank widened its support for MF Activity (`Cr) sagging bond markets and Sweden cuts the interest Date Buy Sell Net rate after 2009. Except FMCG, all sectoral indices 19-Dec 547 611 -64 closed on negative note with capital goods, real 16-Dec 450 364 86 estate, metal and power stocks were major losers. Engineering and construction conglomerate Larsen Total Dec 5493 5824 -331 and Toubro, which has been facing a slowdown in new 2011 YTD 127,719 122,603 5116 orders as companies put off investment in large Volume & Advances / Declines projects, was among the big losers. Media firm NSE BSE Network 18 bucked the trend and rose 6.9% after a newspaper report Mukesh Ambani is seeking to buy a Trading Volume (`Cr) 9,590 1,908 stake in the company. ONGC gained 2.4% after the Advances 382 862 news that the government proposes to cut petrol Declines 1,112 1,877 excise duty and plans to impose an additional tax on Unchanged 48 116 diesel-powered cars. Total 1,542 2,855 ā€¢ Market breadth was week at ~0.46x as investors sold Global Markets large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth `5.26bn while Index Latest Values Change (%) domestic institutions bought equities of `1.86bn. DJIA 12,103.58 2.9% ā€¢ Asia markets rallied in early trade Wednesday, led by NASDAQ 2,603.73 3.2% exporters and technology firms, as renewed optimism Nikkei * 8,453.26 1.4% about the health of the global economy boosted risk Hang Seng * 18,386.52 1.7% appetite. * as of 8.25AM IST ā€¢ We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets Currencies / Commodities Snapshot today, following the global cues. However, the upside Latest Previous may be limited as domestic economic concern looms Quote Close large on the country. Indian Rupee per $ 52.81 52.80 Economic and Corporate Developments Indian Rupee per ā‚¬ 69.27 69.06 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 98.02 97.24 ā€¢ The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has imposed penalties on 19 commercial banks, including State Bank of India Gold ($/oz) 1,620.20 1,615.60 (SBI), HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Citibank, for violating Silver ($/oz) 29.65 29.49 norms on derivatives. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of ā€œIndiaā€™s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009ā€ by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2. Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  KĀ EĀ YĀ NĀ OĀ TĀ EĀ  INSTITUTIONALĀ Ā RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) ā€¢ The Delhi-based Abhey Oswal Group, with interests Previous Current Change in petrochemicals, fertilisers and entertainment, has Company Name bought a 14.2% stake in NDTV for `24.24Cr. Close (`) Price (`) (%) Petronet LNG 160.10 163.10 1.87 ā€¢ Union minister of state for finance S. S. SAIL 76.35 77.65 1.70 Palanimanickam told Parliament that the Vijay ITC 197.35 200.55 1.62 Mallya-run airline hasnā€™t deposited with the ONGC 247.30 251.05 1.52 government most of the income tax it deducted from Gujarat Gas 342.50 347.40 1.43 staff pay for the past two financial years. (BSE Mid-Cap) ā€¢ Ashok Leyland would increase stake in British bus maker Optare Plc from the current 26% to 75.1%. Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) ā€¢ Chhattisgarh government said that state-run Network18 36.15 40.55 12.17 National Mineral Development Corporation (NMDC) TV18 Broadcast 29.00 31.65 9.14 should export the steel-making raw material only Orchid Chem 124.40 131.55 5.75 after meeting stateā€™s requirement. FDC 81.35 84.50 3.87 ā€¢ Srei Infrastructure Finance Ltd has decided to raise Strides Arco 379.40 389.00 2.53 up to `500Cr through a public issue of infrastructure bonds. TOP LOSERS ā€¢ IDFC today mopped up `538.08Cr from the first (BSE A-Group) tranche of its tax-saving long term infrastructure Previous Current Change bonds from around 2.7 lakh retail investors. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) ā€¢ Tata Motors will increase output of light commercial Ashok Leyland 23.00 21.70 -5.65 trucks from its Pantnagar plant in north India by up Uco Bank 56.00 53.20 -5.00 to 90,000 vehicles per year from early 2012. The United Spirits 628.45 597.00 -5.00 production rise will take the plant's annual output to Jaiprakash Asso 57.85 55.40 -4.24 around 450,000 vehicles. Allahabad Bank 131.40 126.15 -4.00 US markets (BSE Mid-Cap) US stocks surged ~3% yesterday, as sentiment about the global economy got a boost from a jump in the Previous Current Change Company Name nationā€™s housing starts, improving German business Close(`) Price(`) (%) S Mobility 78.80 70.25 -10.85 data and a better Spanish bond auction. Ashok Leyland 23.00 21.70 -5.65 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 337.17 points, Uco Bank 56.00 53.20 -5.00 or 2.9%, to 12,103.43. The S&P 500 jumped 35.95 Sujana Towers 6.21 5.90 -4.99 points, or 3%, to 1,241.30. The Nasdaq Composite Tata Teleservice 13.43 12.77 -4.91 advanced 80.59 points, or 3.2%, to 2,603.73. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3. Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  K E Y N O T E Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā  Ā Ā  Ā  Ā Ā INSTIT UT IONAL Ā  Ā  R ES EAR C HĀ  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Wednesday Thursday Friday Regions Dec. 21 Dec. 22 Dec. 23 India Weekly Inflation Data Forex Reserves Data Weekly Supplement of RBI US Existing Home sales Data Gross domestic purchases Core Personal price index Consumption Expenditure - Prices Index Gross domestic product Durable Goods Order ex annualized Transportation Initial jobless claims Personal Consumption Expenditure Reuters/Michigan Personal Income consumer sentiment index New Home Loans Global Japan Interest Rate UK GDP data UK Index of Service decision UK BBA Mortgage Approvals Canada GDP KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 ā€¢ www.keynotecapitals.net Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.