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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Monday, January 23, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index          Jan 19       Jan 20   Change (%)   • Indian markets rallied to their highest close in six
 Sensex              16,643.74    16,739.01      0.57%       weeks on Friday amid high volatility, as risk appetite
 CNX Nifty            5,018.40     5,048.60      0.60%       was bolstered by strong results from software services
 BSE Mid-cap          5,669.99     5,680.07      0.18%       exporter Wipro and the country's No. 3 private lender
 BSE IT               5,495.90     5,499.91      0.07%       Axis Bank. Wipro up as much as 2.4% after it reported
 BSE Banks           10,542.14    10,912.15      3.51%       December-quarter net profit rose 10.4%, roughly in-
                                                             line with estimates while Axis Bank rose 5.65% after
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)
                                                             reporting a 24% jump in quarterly net profit. Firm cues
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       from other Asian markets also helped the markets to
 19-Jan                 2,823         2,125        698       close on positive note. The upward movement was
 18-Jan                 3,002         2,041        961       mainly led by gain in bank, consumer durable, power
 Total Jan             30,815        24,721       6094       and oil & gas stocks while FMCG, pharma and metal
 2012 YTD              30,815        24,721       6094       stocks witnessed some selling pressure. Interest rate
                                                             sensitive banking stocks rose on expectations that the
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                             Reserve Bank of India will start cutting interest rates in
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       the coming months to prop up slowing economy. ICICI
 19-Jan                   575          565          10       Bank rose 5.7% while bigger rival State Bank of India
 18-Jan                   461          617         -156      gained 2.6%. Diversified ITC, the country's largest
 Total Jan              6,308         6,994        -685      cigarette maker, fell 3.8% on concerns about
 2012 YTD               6,308         6,994        -685      moderating volume growth despite its December
                                                             quarter net profit rising 22%. Energy conglomerate
Volume & Advances / Declines
                                                             Reliance Industries fell as much as 1.7% in early trade
                                      NSE          BSE       but recovered to close up 0.89% ahead of its quarterly
 Trading Volume (Cr)                82.39         27.55      earnings report. SKS Microfinance fell 5.8% after the
 Turnover (`Cr)                    13,694         2,948      lender reported a loss for the third consecutive
 Advances                             637         1,363      quarter.
 Declines                             835         1,481    • Market breadth was however weak at ~0.92x as
 Unchanged                             76          112       investors sold large cap stocks. On provisional basis,
 Total                              1,548         2,956      FIIs bought equities worth `8.19bn while domestic
Global Markets                                               institutions sold equities of `6.14bn.

 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)   • Asian markets traded mixed early Monday, as
 DJIA                            12,720.48        0.8%       encouraging earnings results against concerns over
                                                             Greece’s negotiations with its private-sector creditors
 NASDAQ                           2,786.70        -0.1%
                                                             kept investors cautious.
 Nikkei *                         8,782.16        0.2%
 Hang Seng *                     20,110.37        0.8%     • We expect a cautious opening for the Indian markets
* as of 8.25AM IST                                           today following the cues from the Asian markets and
                                                             investors caution ahead of the monetary policy review
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot
                                                             by the RBI.
                                    Latest     Previous
                                    Quote         Close    Economic and Corporate Developments
 Indian Rupee per $                  50.23        50.24
                                                           • India is expected to grow at 6.8% this year, as against
 Indian Rupee per €                  64.74        64.98
                                                             the previous forecast of 8%, but expansion is expected
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              98.04        98.33      to accelerate strongly in 2013 to touch 9.5%, global
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,668.10     1,664.00      audit and consulting firm Ernst & Young (E&Y) has
 Silver ($/oz)                       31.97        31.65      said.


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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                              INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                             Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                           • Larsen and Toubro (L&T) is expecting a 10% growth
                   Previous    Current    Change          in sales from its electrical and automation business
 Company Name
                   Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)          in the next financial year.
 IB Real Est          58.55      63.95      9.22
                                                        • After a long wait for government approval, Reliance
 Suzlon Energy        22.75      24.60      8.13
                                                          Industries (RIL) is to begin work on development of
 Pantaloon Retl      166.20     178.15      7.19          four satellite fields—D-2, D-6, D-19 and D-22—in
 Indiabulls Fin      171.85     182.60      6.26          India’s largest gas field, block D6 in the Krishna-
 Bajaj Auto        1467.10    1557.80       6.18          Godavari basin, or KG-D6.
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                           • JSW Steel is said to be in talks with both NMDC and
                                                          Stemcor India for iron ore supply to its upcoming
                   Previous    Current    Change
 Company Name                                             Bengal steel plant.
                   Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)
 IB Real Est          58.55      63.95       9.22       • The production target for world's largest coal
 Suzlon Energy        22.75      24.60       8.13         producer Coal India (CIL) is likely to be fixed at 464
 Pantaloon Retl      166.20     178.15       7.19         million tonnes (MT) for 2012-13.
 Indiabulls Fin      171.85     182.60       6.26       • NTPC has protested against the new accounting
 Federal Bank        363.50     383.65       5.54         norms that require companies to provide for foreign
                                                          exchange risks in their contracts.
TOP LOSERS
                                                        US markets
(BSE A-Group)
                                                        U.S. stocks closed near a six-month high Friday,
                   Previous    Current    Change        extending gains into a third week, due to strong
 Company Name
                   Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)
                                                        earnings results from Microsoft Corp. and International
 Adani Enter        440.30     405.25       -7.96
                                                        Business Machines Corp.
 Sun TV Network     296.85     279.65       -5.79
                                                        The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended Friday up
 Educomp Sol        217.35     205.10       -5.64
                                                        96.50 points, or 0.8%, at 12,720.48. The S&P 500 Index
 Jet Air India      242.55     231.65       -4.49
                                                        closed up 0.9 point, or 0.1%, at 1,315.38. The Nasdaq
 HDIL                 82.25      78.60      -4.44
                                                        Composite Index fell 1.63 point, or 0.1%, to 2,786.70.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                   Previous    Current    Change
 Company Name
                   Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)
 Educomp Sol         217.35     205.10      -5.64
 HT Media            131.25     124.30      -5.30
 S Mobility-$         83.80      80.00      -4.53
 Jet Air India       242.55     231.65      -4.49
 HDIL                 82.25      78.60      -4.44




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research             (research@keynotecapitals.net)            (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                  Monday                                   Tuesday                                Wednesday                                  Thursday

   Regions                        23/Jan                                   24/Jan                                   25/Jan                                   26/Jan

   India                                                     RBI Monetory Policy                                                                Weekly Inflation Data
                                                             Review




   US                                                        FOMC Meeting Begins                       FOMC minutes                             Continuing Jobless
                                                                                                                                                claims

                                                             US President Barack                       Fed interest rates                       EIA Crude oil Change
                                                             Obama Speaks                              decision

                                                             Richmond Fed                              Pending Home sales
                                                             Manufacturing Index




   Global           European Monetary                        Japan's BoJ Interest                      Germany business
                    Union - Consumer                         Rate Decision                             climate, Current
                    Confidence                                                                         assessment and
                                                                                                       expectation data

                    China HSBC Flash                         Germany Purchasing                        UK GDP data and
                    China Manufacturing                      Manager Index                             Bank of England
                    Purchasing Managers                      Manufacturing and                         minutes
                    Index                                    Services

                                                             UK's Public Sector Net                    UK CBI Industrial
                                                             Borrowing                                 trend survey - orders




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
           4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                   Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynotecapitals.com

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note january 23-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Monday, January 23, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Jan 19 Jan 20 Change (%) • Indian markets rallied to their highest close in six Sensex 16,643.74 16,739.01 0.57% weeks on Friday amid high volatility, as risk appetite CNX Nifty 5,018.40 5,048.60 0.60% was bolstered by strong results from software services BSE Mid-cap 5,669.99 5,680.07 0.18% exporter Wipro and the country's No. 3 private lender BSE IT 5,495.90 5,499.91 0.07% Axis Bank. Wipro up as much as 2.4% after it reported BSE Banks 10,542.14 10,912.15 3.51% December-quarter net profit rose 10.4%, roughly in- line with estimates while Axis Bank rose 5.65% after FII Activity (`Cr) reporting a 24% jump in quarterly net profit. Firm cues Date Buy Sell Net from other Asian markets also helped the markets to 19-Jan 2,823 2,125 698 close on positive note. The upward movement was 18-Jan 3,002 2,041 961 mainly led by gain in bank, consumer durable, power Total Jan 30,815 24,721 6094 and oil & gas stocks while FMCG, pharma and metal 2012 YTD 30,815 24,721 6094 stocks witnessed some selling pressure. Interest rate sensitive banking stocks rose on expectations that the MF Activity (`Cr) Reserve Bank of India will start cutting interest rates in Date Buy Sell Net the coming months to prop up slowing economy. ICICI 19-Jan 575 565 10 Bank rose 5.7% while bigger rival State Bank of India 18-Jan 461 617 -156 gained 2.6%. Diversified ITC, the country's largest Total Jan 6,308 6,994 -685 cigarette maker, fell 3.8% on concerns about 2012 YTD 6,308 6,994 -685 moderating volume growth despite its December quarter net profit rising 22%. Energy conglomerate Volume & Advances / Declines Reliance Industries fell as much as 1.7% in early trade NSE BSE but recovered to close up 0.89% ahead of its quarterly Trading Volume (Cr) 82.39 27.55 earnings report. SKS Microfinance fell 5.8% after the Turnover (`Cr) 13,694 2,948 lender reported a loss for the third consecutive Advances 637 1,363 quarter. Declines 835 1,481 • Market breadth was however weak at ~0.92x as Unchanged 76 112 investors sold large cap stocks. On provisional basis, Total 1,548 2,956 FIIs bought equities worth `8.19bn while domestic Global Markets institutions sold equities of `6.14bn. Index Latest Values Change (%) • Asian markets traded mixed early Monday, as DJIA 12,720.48 0.8% encouraging earnings results against concerns over Greece’s negotiations with its private-sector creditors NASDAQ 2,786.70 -0.1% kept investors cautious. Nikkei * 8,782.16 0.2% Hang Seng * 20,110.37 0.8% • We expect a cautious opening for the Indian markets * as of 8.25AM IST today following the cues from the Asian markets and investors caution ahead of the monetary policy review Currencies / Commodities Snapshot by the RBI. Latest Previous Quote Close Economic and Corporate Developments Indian Rupee per $ 50.23 50.24 • India is expected to grow at 6.8% this year, as against Indian Rupee per € 64.74 64.98 the previous forecast of 8%, but expansion is expected NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 98.04 98.33 to accelerate strongly in 2013 to touch 9.5%, global Gold ($/oz) 1,668.10 1,664.00 audit and consulting firm Ernst & Young (E&Y) has Silver ($/oz) 31.97 31.65 said. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Larsen and Toubro (L&T) is expecting a 10% growth Previous Current Change in sales from its electrical and automation business Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) in the next financial year. IB Real Est 58.55 63.95 9.22 • After a long wait for government approval, Reliance Suzlon Energy 22.75 24.60 8.13 Industries (RIL) is to begin work on development of Pantaloon Retl 166.20 178.15 7.19 four satellite fields—D-2, D-6, D-19 and D-22—in Indiabulls Fin 171.85 182.60 6.26 India’s largest gas field, block D6 in the Krishna- Bajaj Auto 1467.10 1557.80 6.18 Godavari basin, or KG-D6. (BSE Mid-Cap) • JSW Steel is said to be in talks with both NMDC and Stemcor India for iron ore supply to its upcoming Previous Current Change Company Name Bengal steel plant. Close(`) Price(`) (%) IB Real Est 58.55 63.95 9.22 • The production target for world's largest coal Suzlon Energy 22.75 24.60 8.13 producer Coal India (CIL) is likely to be fixed at 464 Pantaloon Retl 166.20 178.15 7.19 million tonnes (MT) for 2012-13. Indiabulls Fin 171.85 182.60 6.26 • NTPC has protested against the new accounting Federal Bank 363.50 383.65 5.54 norms that require companies to provide for foreign exchange risks in their contracts. TOP LOSERS US markets (BSE A-Group) U.S. stocks closed near a six-month high Friday, Previous Current Change extending gains into a third week, due to strong Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) earnings results from Microsoft Corp. and International Adani Enter 440.30 405.25 -7.96 Business Machines Corp. Sun TV Network 296.85 279.65 -5.79 The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended Friday up Educomp Sol 217.35 205.10 -5.64 96.50 points, or 0.8%, at 12,720.48. The S&P 500 Index Jet Air India 242.55 231.65 -4.49 closed up 0.9 point, or 0.1%, at 1,315.38. The Nasdaq HDIL 82.25 78.60 -4.44 Composite Index fell 1.63 point, or 0.1%, to 2,786.70. (BSE Mid-Cap) Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Educomp Sol 217.35 205.10 -5.64 HT Media 131.25 124.30 -5.30 S Mobility-$ 83.80 80.00 -4.53 Jet Air India 242.55 231.65 -4.49 HDIL 82.25 78.60 -4.44 Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Regions 23/Jan 24/Jan 25/Jan 26/Jan India RBI Monetory Policy Weekly Inflation Data Review US FOMC Meeting Begins FOMC minutes Continuing Jobless claims US President Barack Fed interest rates EIA Crude oil Change Obama Speaks decision Richmond Fed Pending Home sales Manufacturing Index Global European Monetary Japan's BoJ Interest Germany business Union - Consumer Rate Decision climate, Current Confidence assessment and expectation data China HSBC Flash Germany Purchasing UK GDP data and China Manufacturing Manager Index Bank of England Purchasing Managers Manufacturing and minutes Index Services UK's Public Sector Net UK CBI Industrial Borrowing trend survey - orders KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.