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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                    INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Monday, September 19, 2011

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                    Views on markets today
 Name of Index        Sept 15       Sept 16   Change (%)     • Indian markets continued with winning streak for third
                                                               straight day and ended volatile session in the positive
 Sensex              16,876.54    16,933.83      0.34%
                                                               terrain on Friday as risk appetite returned globally on
 CNX Nifty            5,075.70     5,084.25      0.17%
                                                               hopes policymakers will come up with more actions to
 BSE Mid-cap          6,367.04     6,390.12      0.36%         combat the European debt crisis, helping investors
 BSE IT               5,145.76     5,101.70     -0.86%         shrug off a rate increase by the domestic central bank.
 BSE Banks           11,062.05    11,127.53      0.59%         The outlook for domestic markets, however, remained
                                                               cautious as the RBI stuck to its hawkish stance. The
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)
                                                               RBI lifted its policy lending rate by 25 basis points at
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net         its mid-quarter review, in line with expectations.
 15-Sep                  1981         1814         167         Except IT and FMCG, all sectoral indices closed on
 14-Sep                  2117         2126           -9        positive note with power, real estate, auto and
 Total Sept             26188        25036        1152         consumer durable stocks were major gainers. Interest
 2011 YTD              458894       458541         344
                                                               rate sensitive stocks such as banking and real estate
                                                               slipped into the negative immediately after the
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)        announcement of rate hike by the RBI. However, both
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net         the indices recouped losses to end positive. Oil and
 15-Sep                   499          392         107         gas stocks, particularly oil PSUs remained under focus
                                                               as state-run oil retailers announced a hike of `3.14 per
 14-Sep                   435          582         -147
                                                               litre in petrol prices, the 10th time since the
 Total Sept              4431         5428         -997
                                                               government decided to free this essential fuel from
 2011 YTD               97605        92600        5277         price controls in June last year. ONGC gained 5.4%
Volume & Advances / Declines                                   after the government of India deferred a follow-on
                                                               share sale expected to raise as much as $2.5bn. MARG
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                               Ltd. ended up ~5% after a unit of the company raised
 Trading Volume (`Cr)              14,283         2,787        `2bn from private-equity firm Ascent Capital.
 Advances                             648         1,337
                                                             •    Market breadth was however weak at ~0.92x as
 Declines                             813         1,460          investors bought large cap stocks. Both FIIs and
 Unchanged                             66          134           domestic institutions bought equities worth `395.16Cr
 Total                              1,527         2,931          and `39.33Cr, respectively.
Global Markets                                               • Asian markets fell today as concerns about a Greek
                                                               default increased. The Hang Seng lost more than 2%
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)
                                                               while Japanese markets are closed today.
 DJIA                            11,509.09        0.7%
                                                             • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets as
 NASDAQ                           2,622.31        0.6%
                                                               Asian stocks fall today. Investors are already worried
 Nikkei (Closed)                  8,864.16               -     about the inflation scene in India. Further, Friday's rate
 Hang Seng *                     18,983.17        -2.4%        rise by the RBI was not at all welcomed by the
* as of 8.45AM IST                                             investors.
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            Economic and Corporate Developments
                                    Latest     Previous      • India's steel demand is likely to jump by over 70% to
                                    Quote         Close        113mn tonnes (MT) by the end of the next Five-Year
 Indian Rupee per $                  47.52        47.18        Plan, with the infrastructure sector projected to
 Indian Rupee per €                  65.16        65.16        witness investments worth $1tn.
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              86.73        87.96      • The steel ministry will soon write to the finance
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,817.00     1,812.10          ministry demanding to hike export duty on iron ore to
                                                                 30% from the current 20%, a move to ensure that
 Silver ($/oz)                       40.71        40.78
                                                                 there is no shortage of the raw material for the
                                                                 domestic steel makers in the long-run.

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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                        INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

 TOP GAINERS                                                   Buzzing Stocks
 (BSE A-Group)                                                 • Emami would be investing about `2,000Cr in the
                       Previous       Current    Change          next two years on the healthcare segment. Advance
  Company Name
                       Close (`)     Price (`)      (%)          Medicare and Research Institute (AMRI) Hospitals
  Financial Tech          780.35       861.15      10.35         Ltd, controlled by Emami, is setting up seven
  Rajesh Exports          113.95       123.55       8.42         hospitals across north and east India, with an
  Tata Motors             151.10       161.70       7.02         investment of `1,750Cr. Another `300Cr would be
  Indiabulls Fin          151.20       161.80       7.01         spent on adding beds at existing hospitals.
  Manappuram Fin           53.40        57.05       6.84
                                                               • NTPC has earmarked an investment of `41,000Cr for
 (BSE Mid-Cap)                                                   setting up four thermal projects in the coal-rich
                       Previous      Current     Change          states of Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh in the
  Company Name
                       Close(`)      Price(`)       (%)          next five years.
  Financial Tech          780.35       861.15      10.35
                                                               • SAIL will invest `10,264Cr to develop its mines to
  Shree Global Trd        325.45       357.95        9.99        cater to its increased iron ore requirement. Post-
  Nava Bharat             184.70       201.70        9.20        expansion, capacity of existing mines at Kiriburu,
  Rajesh Exports          113.95       123.55        8.42        Meghahatuburu and Bolani would increase from 4.2,
  Indiabulls Fin          151.20       161.80        7.01        4.3 and 4.1mn tonnes to 5.5, 6.5 and 10mn tonnes
                                                                 respectively. The project would be completed by
 TOP LOSERS                                                      2012-13, that is when SAIL would achieve 23 million
 (BSE A-Group)                                                   tonnes capacity.
                       Previous      Current     Change        • PFC is awaiting government approval to raise
  Company Name
                       Close(`)      Price(`)       (%)          `5,000Cr through an issue of tax-free bonds to meet
  Motherson Sumi         197.90       187.40       -5.31         funding requirements of the power sector.
  Piramal Health         367.05       348.15       -5.15
                                                               • Bharat Petro Resources (BPRL), a wholly-owned
  Ambuja Cements         150.15       143.65       -4.33         subsidiary of the state-run oil marketer Bharat
  United Spirits         881.60       845.05       -4.15         Petroleum (BPCL), expects to drill 16 wells by the
  HCL Tech               403.00       388.10       -3.70         end of this fiscal and is hopeful of further discoveries
 (BSE Mid-Cap)                                                   in its blocks in the country as well as overseas.
                       Previous      Current     Change        US markets
  Company Name
                       Close(`)      Price(`)       (%)
                                                               US markets closed higher overnight for a fifth day,
  Essar Ports              71.80        67.35       -6.20
                                                               with two indexes producing their longest win streak
  HCL Infosystems          64.65        60.80       -5.96
                                                               in over two months, as the confidence among the
  India Cements            73.35        69.25       -5.59      investors for resolution of Europe worries increased.
  Hexaware Tech            76.50        72.25       -5.56
                                                               The Standard & Poor's 500 Index climbed 6.9 points,
  Jai Corp                 96.30        91.15       -5.35
                                                               or 0.6%, to 1,216.01 led by telecoms and utilities.
                                                               The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 75.91
                                                               points, or 0.7%, at 11,509.09 after rising as much as
                                                               99 points and sliding 26 points. The Nasdaq
                                                               Composite Index advanced 15.24 points, or 0.6%, to
                                                               2,622.31.




                                             KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
         4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25       •   www.keynoteindia.net

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note sept. 19-'11

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Monday, September 19, 2011 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Sept 15 Sept 16 Change (%) • Indian markets continued with winning streak for third straight day and ended volatile session in the positive Sensex 16,876.54 16,933.83 0.34% terrain on Friday as risk appetite returned globally on CNX Nifty 5,075.70 5,084.25 0.17% hopes policymakers will come up with more actions to BSE Mid-cap 6,367.04 6,390.12 0.36% combat the European debt crisis, helping investors BSE IT 5,145.76 5,101.70 -0.86% shrug off a rate increase by the domestic central bank. BSE Banks 11,062.05 11,127.53 0.59% The outlook for domestic markets, however, remained cautious as the RBI stuck to its hawkish stance. The FII Activity (`Cr) RBI lifted its policy lending rate by 25 basis points at Date Buy Sell Net its mid-quarter review, in line with expectations. 15-Sep 1981 1814 167 Except IT and FMCG, all sectoral indices closed on 14-Sep 2117 2126 -9 positive note with power, real estate, auto and Total Sept 26188 25036 1152 consumer durable stocks were major gainers. Interest 2011 YTD 458894 458541 344 rate sensitive stocks such as banking and real estate slipped into the negative immediately after the MF Activity (`Cr) announcement of rate hike by the RBI. However, both Date Buy Sell Net the indices recouped losses to end positive. Oil and 15-Sep 499 392 107 gas stocks, particularly oil PSUs remained under focus as state-run oil retailers announced a hike of `3.14 per 14-Sep 435 582 -147 litre in petrol prices, the 10th time since the Total Sept 4431 5428 -997 government decided to free this essential fuel from 2011 YTD 97605 92600 5277 price controls in June last year. ONGC gained 5.4% Volume & Advances / Declines after the government of India deferred a follow-on share sale expected to raise as much as $2.5bn. MARG NSE BSE Ltd. ended up ~5% after a unit of the company raised Trading Volume (`Cr) 14,283 2,787 `2bn from private-equity firm Ascent Capital. Advances 648 1,337 • Market breadth was however weak at ~0.92x as Declines 813 1,460 investors bought large cap stocks. Both FIIs and Unchanged 66 134 domestic institutions bought equities worth `395.16Cr Total 1,527 2,931 and `39.33Cr, respectively. Global Markets • Asian markets fell today as concerns about a Greek default increased. The Hang Seng lost more than 2% Index Latest Values Change (%) while Japanese markets are closed today. DJIA 11,509.09 0.7% • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets as NASDAQ 2,622.31 0.6% Asian stocks fall today. Investors are already worried Nikkei (Closed) 8,864.16 - about the inflation scene in India. Further, Friday's rate Hang Seng * 18,983.17 -2.4% rise by the RBI was not at all welcomed by the * as of 8.45AM IST investors. Currencies / Commodities Snapshot Economic and Corporate Developments Latest Previous • India's steel demand is likely to jump by over 70% to Quote Close 113mn tonnes (MT) by the end of the next Five-Year Indian Rupee per $ 47.52 47.18 Plan, with the infrastructure sector projected to Indian Rupee per € 65.16 65.16 witness investments worth $1tn. NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 86.73 87.96 • The steel ministry will soon write to the finance Gold ($/oz) 1,817.00 1,812.10 ministry demanding to hike export duty on iron ore to 30% from the current 20%, a move to ensure that Silver ($/oz) 40.71 40.78 there is no shortage of the raw material for the domestic steel makers in the long-run. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Emami would be investing about `2,000Cr in the Previous Current Change next two years on the healthcare segment. Advance Company Name Close (`) Price (`) (%) Medicare and Research Institute (AMRI) Hospitals Financial Tech 780.35 861.15 10.35 Ltd, controlled by Emami, is setting up seven Rajesh Exports 113.95 123.55 8.42 hospitals across north and east India, with an Tata Motors 151.10 161.70 7.02 investment of `1,750Cr. Another `300Cr would be Indiabulls Fin 151.20 161.80 7.01 spent on adding beds at existing hospitals. Manappuram Fin 53.40 57.05 6.84 • NTPC has earmarked an investment of `41,000Cr for (BSE Mid-Cap) setting up four thermal projects in the coal-rich Previous Current Change states of Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh in the Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) next five years. Financial Tech 780.35 861.15 10.35 • SAIL will invest `10,264Cr to develop its mines to Shree Global Trd 325.45 357.95 9.99 cater to its increased iron ore requirement. Post- Nava Bharat 184.70 201.70 9.20 expansion, capacity of existing mines at Kiriburu, Rajesh Exports 113.95 123.55 8.42 Meghahatuburu and Bolani would increase from 4.2, Indiabulls Fin 151.20 161.80 7.01 4.3 and 4.1mn tonnes to 5.5, 6.5 and 10mn tonnes respectively. The project would be completed by TOP LOSERS 2012-13, that is when SAIL would achieve 23 million (BSE A-Group) tonnes capacity. Previous Current Change • PFC is awaiting government approval to raise Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) `5,000Cr through an issue of tax-free bonds to meet Motherson Sumi 197.90 187.40 -5.31 funding requirements of the power sector. Piramal Health 367.05 348.15 -5.15 • Bharat Petro Resources (BPRL), a wholly-owned Ambuja Cements 150.15 143.65 -4.33 subsidiary of the state-run oil marketer Bharat United Spirits 881.60 845.05 -4.15 Petroleum (BPCL), expects to drill 16 wells by the HCL Tech 403.00 388.10 -3.70 end of this fiscal and is hopeful of further discoveries (BSE Mid-Cap) in its blocks in the country as well as overseas. Previous Current Change US markets Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) US markets closed higher overnight for a fifth day, Essar Ports 71.80 67.35 -6.20 with two indexes producing their longest win streak HCL Infosystems 64.65 60.80 -5.96 in over two months, as the confidence among the India Cements 73.35 69.25 -5.59 investors for resolution of Europe worries increased. Hexaware Tech 76.50 72.25 -5.56 The Standard & Poor's 500 Index climbed 6.9 points, Jai Corp 96.30 91.15 -5.35 or 0.6%, to 1,216.01 led by telecoms and utilities. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 75.91 points, or 0.7%, at 11,509.09 after rising as much as 99 points and sliding 26 points. The Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 15.24 points, or 0.6%, to 2,622.31. KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynoteindia.net Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.