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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Wednesday, December 14, 2011

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Dec 12       Dec 13    Change (%)   • Indian markets recovered in a late trading session and
                                                             closed on positive note yesterday after investors
 Sensex              15,870.35    16,002.51      0.83%
                                                             bought equities in metal and oil & gas stocks on
 CNX Nifty            4,764.60     4,800.60      0.76%
                                                             account of bounce back in the European markets and
 BSE Mid-cap          5,513.91     5,482.20     -0.58%       Indian rupee. Investors also recovered their losses for
 BSE IT               5,787.82     5,816.13      0.49%       last 3 trading sessions, ahead of the monthly inflation
 BSE Banks            9,854.61     9,863.60      0.09%       data tomorrow and the RBI's policy review on Friday.
                                                             Investors have high expectations that the credit policy
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)
                                                             will at least signal an interest rate reduction, if not an
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       actual reduction. Except consumer durables and
 12-Dec                  1,518        1,837        -319      capital goods, all sectoral indices closed on positive
 9-Dec                   1,770        2,062        -292      note with metal, oil & gas, auto and power stocks were
 Total Dec              14,862       13,370       1492       major gainers. Rise in commodity prices and European
                                                             markets helped metal stocks gained. Bounce back in
 2011 YTD             583,306      584,759        -1453
                                                             aluminium and copper prices by 0.8% and 0.4%
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      helped Hindalco Industries rose sharply by 4.8%. Jindal
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       Steel & Power gained 3.4%, as investors booked their
                                                             losses in the metals sector. ICICI Bank and Axis Bank
 12-Dec                   459          635         -176
                                                             closed on negative note after brokerage Macquarie
 9-Dec                    379          581         -202
                                                             said off-balance sheet activities have become a source
 Total Dec               3045         3568         -523      of worry for Indian banks. Excel Crop Care rallied
 2011 YTD             125,271      120,346        4925       12.2% on media reports that India's Supreme Court
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 had allowed export of existing stock of endosulfan
                                                             formulations, now a banned pesticide in Indian farms.
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                           • Market breadth was however week at ~0.68x as
 Trading Volume (`Cr)               9,284         2,067      investors sold large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth
 Advances                             540         1,105      `5.61bn while domestic institutions bought equities of
 Declines                             923         1,620      `4.82bn.
 Unchanged                             68          123     • Asian     shares    declined on  Wednesday,   with
 Total                              1,531         2,848      commodity-sector firms under some pressure, after
                                                             investors turned bearish on US Fed's comments and
Global Markets
                                                             its latest rate decision.
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)   • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets
 DJIA                            12,021.39        -1.3%      today, following the cues from the Asian markets.
 NASDAQ                           2,612.26        0.0%       However, the investors will show caution and therefore
 Nikkei *                         8,552.81        -1.2%      range bound trades, ahead of monthly inflation data
 Hang Seng *                     18,447.17        -0.7%      today and RBI's policy review meeting on Friday.

* as of 8.25AM IST
                                                           Economic and Corporate Developments
                                                           • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will soon allow
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot
                                                             microfinance institutions to raise funds up to $10mn
                                    Latest     Previous      through external commercial borrowings (ECB).
                                    Quote         Close
                                                           • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said that supplies
 Indian Rupee per $                  53.19        52.84
                                                             need to be increased rapidly to tame rising food
 Indian Rupee per €                  70.35        69.59
                                                             prices.
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              99.90       100.14
                                                           •   The Cabinet deferred a decision on the draft Food
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,636.50     1,659.90        Security Bill that seeks to give legal entitlement to
 Silver ($/oz)                       30.99        31.20        subsidised foodgrains to about 64% of the country's
                                                               population.

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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                               INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                             Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                           • Glenmark Pharmaceuticals sought an arbitration in
                   Previous     Current    Change         the US on Napo Pharmaceuticals terminating a
 Company Name                                             collaboration agreement with it to develop and
                   Close (`)   Price (`)      (%)
 GMR Infra            18.05       19.00      5.26         market an HIV-associated diarrhoea drug. Napo
 Hindalco Inds       123.55     129.45       4.78         Pharma had terminated the pact on November 10.
 Jindal Steel        503.50     524.95       4.26         The move is a fresh hurdle to Glenmark's ambitious
 Grasim Inds        2316.10    2412.45       4.16         plans to exclusively market the drug, Crofelemer, in
 Godrej Inds         196.50     204.25       3.94         140 countries.
                                                        • Tata Power tied up the entire debt requirement
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                                                          through consortium of domestic lenders for its 25
                    Previous   Current     Change         Mw solar power project in Gujarat. The consortium
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)
                                                          includes lenders such as State Bank of India and
 Areva T&D           189.95      199.80       5.19
                                                          Export Import Bank of India.
 VAARAD                38.55      40.40       4.80
                                                        • Arvind Ltd entered into a joint venture agreement
 Godrej Inds         196.50      204.25       3.94
                                                          with a German firm, PD Fibre Glass Group to
 Shipping Corp         55.10      57.15       3.72
                                                          manufacture glass fabrics for the industries in wind
 Mcleod Russel       204.45      211.45       3.42
                                                          power, shipbuilding and automobile sector. The
                                                          company aims to generate revenues worth `250Cr
TOP LOSERS
                                                          over a period of next three years from the new
(BSE A-Group)                                             venture.
                   Previous    Current     Change       • BEML plans to set up an assembling unit for mining
 Company Name
                   Close(`)    Price(`)       (%)         equipment in Indonesia. The Bangalore-based public
 Pantaloon Retl      169.90     157.60       -7.24        sector undertaking is also looking at hiving off its rail
 Apollo Hosp         617.25     573.50       -7.09        business into a new subsidiary, according to
 Amtek Auto-$        108.80     102.20       -6.07        chairman and managing director V R S Natarajan.
 Jain Irrigation     111.70     105.25       -5.77
                                                        • According to five independent sources, Network18
 Sintex Inds          85.65       81.05      -5.37        Group is likely to merge Eenadu TV's (ETV) bouquet
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                             of 11 regional channels and one Telugu news
                                                          channel with itself through a share swap. Once
                    Previous   Current     Change
 Company Name                                             concluded, this is likely to be one of the biggest
                    Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)
                                                          consolidation exercises in Indian media space.
 COX KINGS           176.00      162.80      -7.50
 Pantaloon Retl      169.90      157.60      -7.24      • Larsen & Toubro's (L&T) construction division has
 Apollo Hosp         617.25      573.50      -7.09        bagged new contracts worth `2,164Cr in the
 Amtek Auto-$        108.80      102.20      -6.07        infrastructure segment from GMR Infrastructure.
 Rallis India        138.20      130.00      -5.93      US markets
                                                        U.S. stocks tumbled Tuesday for a second session after
                                                        the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged and declined
                                                        to signal another round of quantitative easing.
                                                        The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 66.45 points, or
                                                        0.6%, to 11,954.94, with 21 of its 30 components
                                                        falling. The S&P 500 Index fell 10.74 points, or 0.9%, to
                                                        1,225.73, with consumer discretionary the greatest
                                                        laggard and utilities the sole sector rising among its 10
                                                        major industry groups. The Nasdaq Composite fell
                                                        32.99 points, or 1.3%, to 2,579.27.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research              (research@keynoteindia.net)              (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

          India and Global Economic Calendar

          Countries /                                Wednesday                                          Thursday                                           Friday
          Regions                                       Dec. 14                                          Dec. 15                                          Dec. 16
          India                         Monthly Inflation                                Weekly Inflation Data                            Forex Reserves Data
                                                                                                                                          Weekly Supplement of
                                                                                                                                          RBI


                                                                                                                                          Consumer Price Index Ex
          US                                                                             Producer price index
                                                                                                                                          Food & Energy
                                                                                         Current Account                                  Consumer Price Index
                                                                                         Net long term treasury
                                                                                         International capital
                                                                                         Initial jobless claims
                                                                                         "Industrial production
                                        Japan Industrial                                                                                  Canada Foreign
                                                                                         Philadelphia Fed
          Global                        Production data and                                                                               Investments in Canadian
                                                                                         Manufacturing Survey
                                        Manufacturing Index                                                                               securities
                                        UK Unemployment Rate
                                                                                         Hungary- Industrial                              UK Nationwide
                                        and Average Earning
                                                                                         output                                           Consumer Confidence
                                        growth rate
                                                                                         Switzerland- Industrial                          Australia RBA Foreign
                                                                                         production                                       Exchange Transaction
                                                                                         Germany- Purchasing
                                                                                                                                          Euro Zone Trade
                                                                                         Managers Index
                                                                                                                                          Balances
                                                                                         Manufacturing
                                                                                         China HSBC
                                                                                         Manufacturing
                                                                                         Purchasing Managers
                                                                                         Index
                                                                                         Eurozone purchasing
                                                                                         managers index




                                             KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
         4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                       Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynoteindia.net

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note december 14-'11

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Wednesday, December 14, 2011 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Dec 12 Dec 13 Change (%) • Indian markets recovered in a late trading session and closed on positive note yesterday after investors Sensex 15,870.35 16,002.51 0.83% bought equities in metal and oil & gas stocks on CNX Nifty 4,764.60 4,800.60 0.76% account of bounce back in the European markets and BSE Mid-cap 5,513.91 5,482.20 -0.58% Indian rupee. Investors also recovered their losses for BSE IT 5,787.82 5,816.13 0.49% last 3 trading sessions, ahead of the monthly inflation BSE Banks 9,854.61 9,863.60 0.09% data tomorrow and the RBI's policy review on Friday. Investors have high expectations that the credit policy FII Activity (`Cr) will at least signal an interest rate reduction, if not an Date Buy Sell Net actual reduction. Except consumer durables and 12-Dec 1,518 1,837 -319 capital goods, all sectoral indices closed on positive 9-Dec 1,770 2,062 -292 note with metal, oil & gas, auto and power stocks were Total Dec 14,862 13,370 1492 major gainers. Rise in commodity prices and European markets helped metal stocks gained. Bounce back in 2011 YTD 583,306 584,759 -1453 aluminium and copper prices by 0.8% and 0.4% MF Activity (`Cr) helped Hindalco Industries rose sharply by 4.8%. Jindal Date Buy Sell Net Steel & Power gained 3.4%, as investors booked their losses in the metals sector. ICICI Bank and Axis Bank 12-Dec 459 635 -176 closed on negative note after brokerage Macquarie 9-Dec 379 581 -202 said off-balance sheet activities have become a source Total Dec 3045 3568 -523 of worry for Indian banks. Excel Crop Care rallied 2011 YTD 125,271 120,346 4925 12.2% on media reports that India's Supreme Court Volume & Advances / Declines had allowed export of existing stock of endosulfan formulations, now a banned pesticide in Indian farms. NSE BSE • Market breadth was however week at ~0.68x as Trading Volume (`Cr) 9,284 2,067 investors sold large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth Advances 540 1,105 `5.61bn while domestic institutions bought equities of Declines 923 1,620 `4.82bn. Unchanged 68 123 • Asian shares declined on Wednesday, with Total 1,531 2,848 commodity-sector firms under some pressure, after investors turned bearish on US Fed's comments and Global Markets its latest rate decision. Index Latest Values Change (%) • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets DJIA 12,021.39 -1.3% today, following the cues from the Asian markets. NASDAQ 2,612.26 0.0% However, the investors will show caution and therefore Nikkei * 8,552.81 -1.2% range bound trades, ahead of monthly inflation data Hang Seng * 18,447.17 -0.7% today and RBI's policy review meeting on Friday. * as of 8.25AM IST Economic and Corporate Developments • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will soon allow Currencies / Commodities Snapshot microfinance institutions to raise funds up to $10mn Latest Previous through external commercial borrowings (ECB). Quote Close • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said that supplies Indian Rupee per $ 53.19 52.84 need to be increased rapidly to tame rising food Indian Rupee per € 70.35 69.59 prices. NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 99.90 100.14 • The Cabinet deferred a decision on the draft Food Gold ($/oz) 1,636.50 1,659.90 Security Bill that seeks to give legal entitlement to Silver ($/oz) 30.99 31.20 subsidised foodgrains to about 64% of the country's population. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Glenmark Pharmaceuticals sought an arbitration in Previous Current Change the US on Napo Pharmaceuticals terminating a Company Name collaboration agreement with it to develop and Close (`) Price (`) (%) GMR Infra 18.05 19.00 5.26 market an HIV-associated diarrhoea drug. Napo Hindalco Inds 123.55 129.45 4.78 Pharma had terminated the pact on November 10. Jindal Steel 503.50 524.95 4.26 The move is a fresh hurdle to Glenmark's ambitious Grasim Inds 2316.10 2412.45 4.16 plans to exclusively market the drug, Crofelemer, in Godrej Inds 196.50 204.25 3.94 140 countries. • Tata Power tied up the entire debt requirement (BSE Mid-Cap) through consortium of domestic lenders for its 25 Previous Current Change Mw solar power project in Gujarat. The consortium Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) includes lenders such as State Bank of India and Areva T&D 189.95 199.80 5.19 Export Import Bank of India. VAARAD 38.55 40.40 4.80 • Arvind Ltd entered into a joint venture agreement Godrej Inds 196.50 204.25 3.94 with a German firm, PD Fibre Glass Group to Shipping Corp 55.10 57.15 3.72 manufacture glass fabrics for the industries in wind Mcleod Russel 204.45 211.45 3.42 power, shipbuilding and automobile sector. The company aims to generate revenues worth `250Cr TOP LOSERS over a period of next three years from the new (BSE A-Group) venture. Previous Current Change • BEML plans to set up an assembling unit for mining Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) equipment in Indonesia. The Bangalore-based public Pantaloon Retl 169.90 157.60 -7.24 sector undertaking is also looking at hiving off its rail Apollo Hosp 617.25 573.50 -7.09 business into a new subsidiary, according to Amtek Auto-$ 108.80 102.20 -6.07 chairman and managing director V R S Natarajan. Jain Irrigation 111.70 105.25 -5.77 • According to five independent sources, Network18 Sintex Inds 85.65 81.05 -5.37 Group is likely to merge Eenadu TV's (ETV) bouquet (BSE Mid-Cap) of 11 regional channels and one Telugu news channel with itself through a share swap. Once Previous Current Change Company Name concluded, this is likely to be one of the biggest Close(`) Price(`) (%) consolidation exercises in Indian media space. COX KINGS 176.00 162.80 -7.50 Pantaloon Retl 169.90 157.60 -7.24 • Larsen & Toubro's (L&T) construction division has Apollo Hosp 617.25 573.50 -7.09 bagged new contracts worth `2,164Cr in the Amtek Auto-$ 108.80 102.20 -6.07 infrastructure segment from GMR Infrastructure. Rallis India 138.20 130.00 -5.93 US markets U.S. stocks tumbled Tuesday for a second session after the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged and declined to signal another round of quantitative easing. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 66.45 points, or 0.6%, to 11,954.94, with 21 of its 30 components falling. The S&P 500 Index fell 10.74 points, or 0.9%, to 1,225.73, with consumer discretionary the greatest laggard and utilities the sole sector rising among its 10 major industry groups. The Nasdaq Composite fell 32.99 points, or 1.3%, to 2,579.27. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Wednesday Thursday Friday Regions Dec. 14 Dec. 15 Dec. 16 India Monthly Inflation Weekly Inflation Data Forex Reserves Data Weekly Supplement of RBI Consumer Price Index Ex US Producer price index Food & Energy Current Account Consumer Price Index Net long term treasury International capital Initial jobless claims "Industrial production Japan Industrial Canada Foreign Philadelphia Fed Global Production data and Investments in Canadian Manufacturing Survey Manufacturing Index securities UK Unemployment Rate Hungary- Industrial UK Nationwide and Average Earning output Consumer Confidence growth rate Switzerland- Industrial Australia RBA Foreign production Exchange Transaction Germany- Purchasing Euro Zone Trade Managers Index Balances Manufacturing China HSBC Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index Eurozone purchasing managers index KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynoteindia.net Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.