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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                   INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Dec 16       Dec 19    Change (%)   • Indian markets fell 0.72% yesterday to their lowest
 Sensex              15,491.35    15,379.34     -0.72%       close since August 2009 as worries over slowing
                                                             domestic economy weighed on the positive European
 CNX Nifty            4,651.60     4,613.10     -0.83%
                                                             markets ahead of the conference call of the Eurozone
 BSE Mid-cap          5,277.27     5,172.10     -1.99%
                                                             finance ministers. Eurozone finance ministers were
 BSE IT               5,712.42     5,657.79     -0.96%       going to discuss €200bn in additional funding through
 BSE Banks            9,420.85     9,130.56     -3.08%       the IMF and the mechanics of a so-called fiscal
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       compact that was negotiated at European Union
                                                             summit held on 9th Dec. The impending food security
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       bill is likely to widen the fiscal deficit and the country's
 16-Dec                  2,270        2,420        -150      GDP growth will further decrease also hurt the investor
 15-Dec                  3,001        3,227        -226      sentiments. The downward movement was mainly led
 Total Dec              24,034       23,462        571       by selling pressure in capital goods, bank, real estate
 2011 YTD             592,478      594,851        -2373      and power stocks while oil & gas, FMCG and auto
                                                             stocks witnessed some buying activities which help
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      the markets to recover from day low. Banking stocks
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       were the top losers, with many banks hit more than
 16-Dec                   450          364          86       two-year lows due to lower-than-expected advance tax
                                                             payments. The cabinet's approval for food security bill
 15-Dec                   369          480         -111
                                                             to over 63% of population helped the FMCG stocks to
 Total Dec               4947         5213         -267
                                                             gain.
 2011 YTD             127,172      121,992        5180
                                                           • Market breadth was week at ~0.35x as investors sold
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth `4.5bn while
                                      NSE          BSE       domestic institutions bought equities of `0.19bn.
 Trading Volume (`Cr)               9,869         1,844    • Asian stocks mostly turned higher after a weak
 Advances                             265          726       opening, as investors recovered their losses made in
                                                             previous sessions.
 Declines                           1,229         2,066
 Unchanged                             43           91     • We expect Indian markets to open positive today,
                                                             following the Asian shares as investors may try to
 Total                              1,537         2,883
                                                             cover their losses. However, worsening domestic
Global Markets                                               growth story and tight liquidity would resist the
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     markets on the higher levels.
 DJIA                            11,766.26        -0.8%    Economic and Corporate Developments
 NASDAQ                           2,523.14        -1.3%    • The Indian IT market is expected to grow at a lower
 Nikkei *                         8,350.12        0.7%       rate of 13.4% to touch a size of about `1,30,376Cr in
 Hang Seng *                     18,174.48        0.6%       2012 compared to that in the last year, a report by IT
                                                             consultancy company Coeus Age said. The domestic IT
* as of 8.25AM IST
                                                             market had grown by approximately 14.5% in 2011
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            having a size of close to `1,15,000Cr, the report said.
                                    Latest     Previous    •   The government has asked cash-rich PSUs to issue
                                    Quote         Close
                                                               bonus shares to bring about a proper balance between
 Indian Rupee per $                  52.89        52.89
                                                               paid-up capital and accumulated reserves, a move
 Indian Rupee per €                  68.75        68.74        aimed at improving market image of state-run firms.
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              94.29        93.88
                                                           •   Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee will review the
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,599.70     1,594.40        status of eight large projects, including those in the
 Silver ($/oz)                       28.84        28.82        power sector, which are getting delayed due to
                                                               regulatory clearances.

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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                               INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                              Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                            • A consortium of Indian banks has sanctioned Orchid
                    Previous     Current    Change         Pharmaceuticals $100mn (around `531.5Cr) by way
 Company Name                                              of external commercial borrowings (ECBs). This
                    Close (`)   Price (`)      (%)
 Redington India       73.50       77.95       6.05        amount will help the company to redeem its
 Shree Renu Sug        23.95       25.25       5.43        outstanding foreign currency convertible bonds
 Tata Motors          172.25     179.90        4.44        (FCCBs) pegged at $117mn (around `621.9Cr) ahead
 Cairn India          297.50     309.90        4.17        of their due in February 2012.
 Lanco Infra             8.83       9.19       4.08      • Coromandel ups stake in Sabero Organics to 67.75%
                                                           from 36.75% after completion of the open offer.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                                                         • United    Breweries   would   make    substantial
                     Previous   Current     Change
 Company Name                                              investments to develop Dutch beer brand Heineken
                     Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)
 Redington India        73.50      77.95       6.05        in the country.
 Monnet Ispat         342.40      363.00       6.02      • Muthoot Finance announced plans to raise up to
 Shree Renu Sug         23.95      25.25       5.43        `600Cr debt from public through a debenture issue,
 FDC                    79.90      84.00       5.13        which will open for subscription on Thursday.
 Lanco Infra             8.83       9.19       4.08      • Fortis Healthcare (India) is on course to raise funds
                                                           and close a takeover of Singapore-based associate
TOP LOSERS                                                 Fortis Healthcare International by the end of
(BSE A-Group)                                              December.

                    Previous    Current     Change       • Mahindra & Mahindra will showcase its Korean
 Company Name                                              subsidiary Ssangyong's vehicles for the first time in
                    Close(`)    Price(`)       (%)
 Bata India           568.15     504.60      -11.19        India during the upcoming Auto Expo next month,
 Wockhardt            335.25     301.85       -9.96        following the acquisition of the firm over a year ago.
 Allahabad Bank       141.70     131.40       -7.27      • HCL Technologies selected as a strategic partner to
 Biocon               261.25     243.45       -6.81        provide infrastructure outsourcing services to bio-
 Jain Irrigation       91.70       85.55      -6.71        pharmaceutical firm AstraZeneca.

(BSE Mid-Cap)                                            US markets
                                                         U.S. stocks closed about 1% lower Monday, deepening
                     Previous   Current     Change
 Company Name                                            losses as separate comments from the head of the
                     Close(`)   Price(`)       (%)
 Bata India           568.15      504.60     -11.19      European Central Bank and the region’s finance
 Anant Raj Inds         44.75      39.95     -10.73      ministers disappointed the investors.
 KSK Energy            39.05       35.15      -9.99      The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended down 100.13
 Wockhardt            335.25      301.85      -9.96      points, or 0.8%, at 11,766.26. The S&P 500 fell 14.31
 Prestige Estates       67.85      61.10      -9.95      points, or 1.2%, at 1,205.35. The Nasdaq Composite
                                                         Index dropped 32.19 points, or 1.3%, to 2,523.14.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research               (research@keynoteindia.net)            (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar
   Countries /                  Tuesday                               Wednesday                                   Thursday                                    Friday

   Regions                      Dec. 20                                   Dec. 21                            Dec. 22                                  Dec. 23
   India                                                                                               Weekly Inflation                         Forex Reserves Data
                                                                                                       Data
                                                                                                                                                Weekly Supplement
                                                                                                                                                of RBI




   US               Housing Starts                            Existing Home sales                      Gross domestic                           Core Personal
                                                              Data                                     purchases price                          Consumption
                                                                                                       index                                    Expenditure - Prices
                                                                                                                                                Index
                    Building Permits                                                                   Gross domestic                           Durable Goods
                                                                                                       product annualized                       Order ex
                                                                                                                                                Transportation
                                                                                                       Initial jobless claims                   Personal
                                                                                                                                                Consumption
                                                                                                                                                Expenditure
                                                                                                       Reuters/Michigan                         Personal Income
                                                                                                       consumer sentiment
                                                                                                       index
                                                                                                                                                New Home Loans



   Global           Germany Gfk                               Japan Interest Rate                      UK GDP data                              UK Index of Service
                    Consumer                                  decision
                    Confidence Survey
                    Germany IFO -                                                                                                               UK BBA Mortgage
                    Business Climate                                                                                                            Approvals
                                                                                                                                                Canada GDP




                                             KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
         4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                       Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynoteindia.net

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note december 20-'11

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Tuesday, December 20, 2011 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Dec 16 Dec 19 Change (%) • Indian markets fell 0.72% yesterday to their lowest Sensex 15,491.35 15,379.34 -0.72% close since August 2009 as worries over slowing domestic economy weighed on the positive European CNX Nifty 4,651.60 4,613.10 -0.83% markets ahead of the conference call of the Eurozone BSE Mid-cap 5,277.27 5,172.10 -1.99% finance ministers. Eurozone finance ministers were BSE IT 5,712.42 5,657.79 -0.96% going to discuss €200bn in additional funding through BSE Banks 9,420.85 9,130.56 -3.08% the IMF and the mechanics of a so-called fiscal FII Activity (`Cr) compact that was negotiated at European Union summit held on 9th Dec. The impending food security Date Buy Sell Net bill is likely to widen the fiscal deficit and the country's 16-Dec 2,270 2,420 -150 GDP growth will further decrease also hurt the investor 15-Dec 3,001 3,227 -226 sentiments. The downward movement was mainly led Total Dec 24,034 23,462 571 by selling pressure in capital goods, bank, real estate 2011 YTD 592,478 594,851 -2373 and power stocks while oil & gas, FMCG and auto stocks witnessed some buying activities which help MF Activity (`Cr) the markets to recover from day low. Banking stocks Date Buy Sell Net were the top losers, with many banks hit more than 16-Dec 450 364 86 two-year lows due to lower-than-expected advance tax payments. The cabinet's approval for food security bill 15-Dec 369 480 -111 to over 63% of population helped the FMCG stocks to Total Dec 4947 5213 -267 gain. 2011 YTD 127,172 121,992 5180 • Market breadth was week at ~0.35x as investors sold Volume & Advances / Declines large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth `4.5bn while NSE BSE domestic institutions bought equities of `0.19bn. Trading Volume (`Cr) 9,869 1,844 • Asian stocks mostly turned higher after a weak Advances 265 726 opening, as investors recovered their losses made in previous sessions. Declines 1,229 2,066 Unchanged 43 91 • We expect Indian markets to open positive today, following the Asian shares as investors may try to Total 1,537 2,883 cover their losses. However, worsening domestic Global Markets growth story and tight liquidity would resist the Index Latest Values Change (%) markets on the higher levels. DJIA 11,766.26 -0.8% Economic and Corporate Developments NASDAQ 2,523.14 -1.3% • The Indian IT market is expected to grow at a lower Nikkei * 8,350.12 0.7% rate of 13.4% to touch a size of about `1,30,376Cr in Hang Seng * 18,174.48 0.6% 2012 compared to that in the last year, a report by IT consultancy company Coeus Age said. The domestic IT * as of 8.25AM IST market had grown by approximately 14.5% in 2011 Currencies / Commodities Snapshot having a size of close to `1,15,000Cr, the report said. Latest Previous • The government has asked cash-rich PSUs to issue Quote Close bonus shares to bring about a proper balance between Indian Rupee per $ 52.89 52.89 paid-up capital and accumulated reserves, a move Indian Rupee per € 68.75 68.74 aimed at improving market image of state-run firms. NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 94.29 93.88 • Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee will review the Gold ($/oz) 1,599.70 1,594.40 status of eight large projects, including those in the Silver ($/oz) 28.84 28.82 power sector, which are getting delayed due to regulatory clearances. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • A consortium of Indian banks has sanctioned Orchid Previous Current Change Pharmaceuticals $100mn (around `531.5Cr) by way Company Name of external commercial borrowings (ECBs). This Close (`) Price (`) (%) Redington India 73.50 77.95 6.05 amount will help the company to redeem its Shree Renu Sug 23.95 25.25 5.43 outstanding foreign currency convertible bonds Tata Motors 172.25 179.90 4.44 (FCCBs) pegged at $117mn (around `621.9Cr) ahead Cairn India 297.50 309.90 4.17 of their due in February 2012. Lanco Infra 8.83 9.19 4.08 • Coromandel ups stake in Sabero Organics to 67.75% from 36.75% after completion of the open offer. (BSE Mid-Cap) • United Breweries would make substantial Previous Current Change Company Name investments to develop Dutch beer brand Heineken Close(`) Price(`) (%) Redington India 73.50 77.95 6.05 in the country. Monnet Ispat 342.40 363.00 6.02 • Muthoot Finance announced plans to raise up to Shree Renu Sug 23.95 25.25 5.43 `600Cr debt from public through a debenture issue, FDC 79.90 84.00 5.13 which will open for subscription on Thursday. Lanco Infra 8.83 9.19 4.08 • Fortis Healthcare (India) is on course to raise funds and close a takeover of Singapore-based associate TOP LOSERS Fortis Healthcare International by the end of (BSE A-Group) December. Previous Current Change • Mahindra & Mahindra will showcase its Korean Company Name subsidiary Ssangyong's vehicles for the first time in Close(`) Price(`) (%) Bata India 568.15 504.60 -11.19 India during the upcoming Auto Expo next month, Wockhardt 335.25 301.85 -9.96 following the acquisition of the firm over a year ago. Allahabad Bank 141.70 131.40 -7.27 • HCL Technologies selected as a strategic partner to Biocon 261.25 243.45 -6.81 provide infrastructure outsourcing services to bio- Jain Irrigation 91.70 85.55 -6.71 pharmaceutical firm AstraZeneca. (BSE Mid-Cap) US markets U.S. stocks closed about 1% lower Monday, deepening Previous Current Change Company Name losses as separate comments from the head of the Close(`) Price(`) (%) Bata India 568.15 504.60 -11.19 European Central Bank and the region’s finance Anant Raj Inds 44.75 39.95 -10.73 ministers disappointed the investors. KSK Energy 39.05 35.15 -9.99 The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended down 100.13 Wockhardt 335.25 301.85 -9.96 points, or 0.8%, at 11,766.26. The S&P 500 fell 14.31 Prestige Estates 67.85 61.10 -9.95 points, or 1.2%, at 1,205.35. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 32.19 points, or 1.3%, to 2,523.14. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Regions Dec. 20 Dec. 21 Dec. 22 Dec. 23 India Weekly Inflation Forex Reserves Data Data Weekly Supplement of RBI US Housing Starts Existing Home sales Gross domestic Core Personal Data purchases price Consumption index Expenditure - Prices Index Building Permits Gross domestic Durable Goods product annualized Order ex Transportation Initial jobless claims Personal Consumption Expenditure Reuters/Michigan Personal Income consumer sentiment index New Home Loans Global Germany Gfk Japan Interest Rate UK GDP data UK Index of Service Consumer decision Confidence Survey Germany IFO - UK BBA Mortgage Business Climate Approvals Canada GDP KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynoteindia.net Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.