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EFFECTIVE
CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP MANAGEMENT
Training



  Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction     ►►► Conclusion       ►►► Solution



                        “Identify Your Customer
                          Through Data Mining”
Bandung, 15-17 Desember 2009 By : Kanaidi, SE., M.Si

                                                08122353284 kana_ati@yahoo.com
Customer Relationship Management
      Through Data Mining
 Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




       Introduction to Customer Relationship
       Management (CRM)

       Introduction to Data Mining

       Data Mining Software

       Churn Modeling

       Acquisition and Cross Sell Modeling
Customer Relationship Management
                  (CRM)
 Ω Problem Statement    Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution



Relationship Marketing
                  Relationship Marketing is a Process
                       communicating with your customers
                       listening to their responses

                  Companies take actions
                       marketing campaigns
                       new products
                       new channels
                       new packaging
Relationship Marketing -- continued

    Customers and prospects respond
      most common response is no response


    This results in a cycle
      data is generated
      opportunities to learn from the data and improve the
      process emerge
The Move Towards Relationship
              Management
Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




     E-commerce companies want to customize the user
     experience
     Supermarkets want to be infomediaries
     Credit card companies want to recommend good
     restaurants and hotels in new cities
     Phone companies want to know your friends and
     family
     Bottom line: Companies want to be in the business
     of serving customers rather than merely selling
     products
CRM is Revolutionary
 Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




         Grocery stores have been in the business of
         stocking shelves
         Banks have been in the business of managing the
         spread between money borrowed and money lent
         Insurance companies have been in the business
         of managing loss ratios
         Telecoms have been in the business of completing
         telephone calls
 Key point: More companies are beginning to
    view customers as their primary asset
CRM Requires Learning and More
Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




    Form a learning relationship with your
    customers
            Notice their needs
                 On-line Transaction Processing Systems

            Remember their preferences
                 Decision Support Data Warehouse

            Learn how to serve them better
                 Data Mining

            Act to make customers more profitable
Relationship Makes VALUE
Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




                                        Philosophy-nya adalah
                                         melayani konsumen sebagai
                                         konsultan, bukan sebagai
                                         seorang penjual.
                                        Customer puas akan
                                         merekomendasikan kepada
                                         prospek lain
                                        Tidak puas dapat
                                         menyampaikan
                                         kekecewaannya kepada
                                         orang lain.
Remember !
Of unhappy customers ....
Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




        91%                                         They will tell
  will never buy                                      at least
        again                                             9
    from that                                     other people that
      company                                     your product or
                                                   service is awful
KEEPING CLIENTS
    Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




   Keeping clients is the
    key to growth.
   Satisfying customers is
    the key to keeping
    them.
   Servicing them above
    expectations is the key
    to satisfying them.
Like in all relationships,
let them know that ...
 Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction    ►►► Conclusion    ►►► Solution




                                                you appreciate
                                                 them
                                                they’re doing the
                                                 right thing in
                                                 being with you
Our Definition of Data Mining
Exploration and analysis of large quantities of
data
By automatic or semi-automatic means
To discover meaningful patterns and rules
These patterns allow a company to
   better understand its customers
   improve its marketing, sales, and customer
   support operations
                          Source: Berry and Linoff (1997)
Data Mining for Insight


Classification
Prediction
Estimation
Automatic Cluster Detection
Affinity Grouping
Description
Finding Prospects
 Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution



       Example : A cellular phone company
       wanted to introduce a new service
       They wanted to know which customers
       were the most likely prospects
       Data mining identified “sphere of
       influence” as a key indicator of likely
       prospects
       Sphere of influence is the number of
       different telephone numbers that
       someone calls
Paying Claims
Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution



   A major manufacturer of diesel engines must also
   service engines under warranty
   Warranty claims come in from all around the world
   Data mining is used to determine rules for routing
   claims
           some are automatically approved
           others require further research
   Result: The manufacturer saves millions of dollars
   Data mining also enables insurance companies
   and the Fed. Government to save millions of
   dollars by not paying fraudulent medical insurance
   claims
Cross Selling
 Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




    Cross selling is another major application of
    data mining
    What is the best additional or best next offer
    (BNO) to make to each customer?
    E.g., a bank wants to be able to sell you
    automobile insurance when you get a car loan
    The bank may decide to acquire a full-service
    insurance agency
Holding on to Good Customers
 Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




      Berry and Linoff used data mining to help a
      major cellular company figure out who is at risk
      for attrition
      And why are they at risk
      They built predictive models to generate call
      lists for telemarketing
      The result was a better focused, more effective
      retention campaign
Weeding out Bad Customers

Default and personal bankruptcy cost lenders
millions of dollars
Figuring out who are your worst customers can
be just as important as figuring out who are
your best customers
   many businesses lose money on most of their
   customers
Anticipating Customer Needs
Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution



    Clustering is an undirected data mining
    technique that finds groups of similar items
    Based on previous purchase patterns,
    customers are placed into groups
    Customers in each group are
    assumed to have an affinity
    for the same types of products
    New product recommendations
    can be generated automatically
    based on new purchases made
    by the group
    This is sometimes called collaborative filtering
CRM Focuses on the Customer
 Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




       The enterprise has a unified view of each
       customer across all business units and across
       all channels
       This is a major systems integration task
       The customer has a unified view of the
       enterprise for all products and regardless of
       channel
       This requires harmonizing all the channels
A Continuum
of Customer Relationships
Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




      Large accounts have sales managers
      and account teams
             E.g., Coca-Cola, Disney, and McDonalds

      CRM tends to focus on the smaller
      customer --the consumer
      But, small businesses are also good
      candidates for CRM
The 80/20 RULE
Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




            80%
     of your growth
     will come from
           20%
          of your
        customers
What is a Customer
 Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution


          A transaction?
          An account?
          An individual?
          A household?

   The customer as a transaction
                  purchases made with cash are anonymous
                  most Web surfing is anonymous
                  we, therefore, know little about the consumer
A Customer is an Account
More often, a customer is an account
Retail banking
    checking account, mortgage, auto loan, …
Telecommunications
    long distance, local, ISP, mobile, …
Insurance
    auto policy, homeowners, life insurance, …
Utilities
The account-level view of a customer also
misses the boat since each customer can
have multiple accounts
Customers Play Different Roles

Parents buy back-to-school clothes for
teenage children
   children decide what to purchase
   parents pay for the clothes
   parents “own” the transaction

Parents give college-age children cellular
phones or credit cards
   parents may make the purchase decision
   children use the product

It is not always easy to identify the customer
The Customer’s Lifecycle
Childhood
   birth, school, graduation, …
Young Adulthood
   choose career, move away from parents, …
Family Life
   marriage, buy house, children, divorce, …
Retirement
   sell home, travel, hobbies, …
Much marketing effort is directed at each
stage of life
The Customer’s Lifecycle is
           Unpredictable
It is difficult to identify the appropriate events
    graduation, retirement may be easy
    marriage, parenthood are not so easy
    many events are “one-time”
Companies miss or lose track of valuable
information
    a man moves
    a woman gets married, changes her last name,
    and merges her accounts with spouse
It is hard to track your customers so closely,
but, to the extent that you can, many
marketing opportunities arise
Customers Evolve Over Time
Ω Problem Statement   Ω Strategic Direction   ►►► Conclusion   ►►► Solution




     Customers begin as prospects
     Prospects indicate interest
            fill out credit card applications
            apply for insurance
            visit your website
     They become new customers
     After repeated purchases or usage, they
     become established customers
     Eventually, they become former customers
            either voluntarily or involuntarily
Kepuasan Pelanggan merupakan fungsi dari kenyataan
  kinerja produk (product’s percieved performance) dan
  harapan pembeli (buyer’s expectations).

Suspects
Suspects             Proses Pengembangan Pelanggan
                   (The Customer Development Process)



                First Time
               First Time  Repeat
                           Repeat
Prospects
Prospects                            Clients
                                     Clients   Advocates Partners
                                               Advocates Partners
               Customers Customers
               Customers Customers




Disqualified
Disqualified                   Inactive or
                              Inactive or
 Prospects
 Prospects                  ex-customers
                            ex-customers
Business Processes Organize Around the
              Customer Lifecycle

Acquisition   Activation   Relationship Management   Winback
                                                      Former
                                                     Customer


                                           High
                                           Value
 Prospect       New        Established               Voluntary
              Customer      Customer                  Churn
                                          High
                                         Potential


                                           Low        Forced
                                           Value      Churn
Different Events Occur
    Throughout the Lifecycle

Prospects receive marketing messages
When they respond, they become new
customers
They make initial purchases
They become established customers and are
targeted by cross-sell and up-sell campaigns
Some customers are forced to leave (cancel)
Some leave (cancel) voluntarily
Others simply stop using the product (e.g.,
credit card)
Winback/collection campaigns

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Identify Your Customer - CRM Training

  • 1. EFFECTIVE CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP MANAGEMENT Training Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution “Identify Your Customer Through Data Mining” Bandung, 15-17 Desember 2009 By : Kanaidi, SE., M.Si 08122353284 kana_ati@yahoo.com
  • 2. Customer Relationship Management Through Data Mining Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Introduction to Customer Relationship Management (CRM) Introduction to Data Mining Data Mining Software Churn Modeling Acquisition and Cross Sell Modeling
  • 3. Customer Relationship Management (CRM) Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Relationship Marketing Relationship Marketing is a Process communicating with your customers listening to their responses Companies take actions marketing campaigns new products new channels new packaging
  • 4. Relationship Marketing -- continued Customers and prospects respond most common response is no response This results in a cycle data is generated opportunities to learn from the data and improve the process emerge
  • 5. The Move Towards Relationship Management Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution E-commerce companies want to customize the user experience Supermarkets want to be infomediaries Credit card companies want to recommend good restaurants and hotels in new cities Phone companies want to know your friends and family Bottom line: Companies want to be in the business of serving customers rather than merely selling products
  • 6. CRM is Revolutionary Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Grocery stores have been in the business of stocking shelves Banks have been in the business of managing the spread between money borrowed and money lent Insurance companies have been in the business of managing loss ratios Telecoms have been in the business of completing telephone calls Key point: More companies are beginning to view customers as their primary asset
  • 7. CRM Requires Learning and More Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Form a learning relationship with your customers Notice their needs On-line Transaction Processing Systems Remember their preferences Decision Support Data Warehouse Learn how to serve them better Data Mining Act to make customers more profitable
  • 8. Relationship Makes VALUE Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution  Philosophy-nya adalah melayani konsumen sebagai konsultan, bukan sebagai seorang penjual.  Customer puas akan merekomendasikan kepada prospek lain  Tidak puas dapat menyampaikan kekecewaannya kepada orang lain.
  • 9. Remember ! Of unhappy customers .... Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution 91% They will tell will never buy at least again 9 from that other people that company your product or service is awful
  • 10. KEEPING CLIENTS Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution  Keeping clients is the key to growth.  Satisfying customers is the key to keeping them.  Servicing them above expectations is the key to satisfying them.
  • 11. Like in all relationships, let them know that ... Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution  you appreciate them  they’re doing the right thing in being with you
  • 12. Our Definition of Data Mining Exploration and analysis of large quantities of data By automatic or semi-automatic means To discover meaningful patterns and rules These patterns allow a company to better understand its customers improve its marketing, sales, and customer support operations Source: Berry and Linoff (1997)
  • 13. Data Mining for Insight Classification Prediction Estimation Automatic Cluster Detection Affinity Grouping Description
  • 14. Finding Prospects Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Example : A cellular phone company wanted to introduce a new service They wanted to know which customers were the most likely prospects Data mining identified “sphere of influence” as a key indicator of likely prospects Sphere of influence is the number of different telephone numbers that someone calls
  • 15. Paying Claims Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution A major manufacturer of diesel engines must also service engines under warranty Warranty claims come in from all around the world Data mining is used to determine rules for routing claims some are automatically approved others require further research Result: The manufacturer saves millions of dollars Data mining also enables insurance companies and the Fed. Government to save millions of dollars by not paying fraudulent medical insurance claims
  • 16. Cross Selling Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Cross selling is another major application of data mining What is the best additional or best next offer (BNO) to make to each customer? E.g., a bank wants to be able to sell you automobile insurance when you get a car loan The bank may decide to acquire a full-service insurance agency
  • 17. Holding on to Good Customers Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Berry and Linoff used data mining to help a major cellular company figure out who is at risk for attrition And why are they at risk They built predictive models to generate call lists for telemarketing The result was a better focused, more effective retention campaign
  • 18. Weeding out Bad Customers Default and personal bankruptcy cost lenders millions of dollars Figuring out who are your worst customers can be just as important as figuring out who are your best customers many businesses lose money on most of their customers
  • 19. Anticipating Customer Needs Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Clustering is an undirected data mining technique that finds groups of similar items Based on previous purchase patterns, customers are placed into groups Customers in each group are assumed to have an affinity for the same types of products New product recommendations can be generated automatically based on new purchases made by the group This is sometimes called collaborative filtering
  • 20. CRM Focuses on the Customer Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution The enterprise has a unified view of each customer across all business units and across all channels This is a major systems integration task The customer has a unified view of the enterprise for all products and regardless of channel This requires harmonizing all the channels
  • 21. A Continuum of Customer Relationships Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Large accounts have sales managers and account teams E.g., Coca-Cola, Disney, and McDonalds CRM tends to focus on the smaller customer --the consumer But, small businesses are also good candidates for CRM
  • 22. The 80/20 RULE Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution 80% of your growth will come from 20% of your customers
  • 23. What is a Customer Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution A transaction? An account? An individual? A household? The customer as a transaction purchases made with cash are anonymous most Web surfing is anonymous we, therefore, know little about the consumer
  • 24. A Customer is an Account More often, a customer is an account Retail banking checking account, mortgage, auto loan, … Telecommunications long distance, local, ISP, mobile, … Insurance auto policy, homeowners, life insurance, … Utilities The account-level view of a customer also misses the boat since each customer can have multiple accounts
  • 25. Customers Play Different Roles Parents buy back-to-school clothes for teenage children children decide what to purchase parents pay for the clothes parents “own” the transaction Parents give college-age children cellular phones or credit cards parents may make the purchase decision children use the product It is not always easy to identify the customer
  • 26. The Customer’s Lifecycle Childhood birth, school, graduation, … Young Adulthood choose career, move away from parents, … Family Life marriage, buy house, children, divorce, … Retirement sell home, travel, hobbies, … Much marketing effort is directed at each stage of life
  • 27. The Customer’s Lifecycle is Unpredictable It is difficult to identify the appropriate events graduation, retirement may be easy marriage, parenthood are not so easy many events are “one-time” Companies miss or lose track of valuable information a man moves a woman gets married, changes her last name, and merges her accounts with spouse It is hard to track your customers so closely, but, to the extent that you can, many marketing opportunities arise
  • 28. Customers Evolve Over Time Ω Problem Statement Ω Strategic Direction ►►► Conclusion ►►► Solution Customers begin as prospects Prospects indicate interest fill out credit card applications apply for insurance visit your website They become new customers After repeated purchases or usage, they become established customers Eventually, they become former customers either voluntarily or involuntarily
  • 29. Kepuasan Pelanggan merupakan fungsi dari kenyataan kinerja produk (product’s percieved performance) dan harapan pembeli (buyer’s expectations). Suspects Suspects Proses Pengembangan Pelanggan (The Customer Development Process) First Time First Time Repeat Repeat Prospects Prospects Clients Clients Advocates Partners Advocates Partners Customers Customers Customers Customers Disqualified Disqualified Inactive or Inactive or Prospects Prospects ex-customers ex-customers
  • 30. Business Processes Organize Around the Customer Lifecycle Acquisition Activation Relationship Management Winback Former Customer High Value Prospect New Established Voluntary Customer Customer Churn High Potential Low Forced Value Churn
  • 31. Different Events Occur Throughout the Lifecycle Prospects receive marketing messages When they respond, they become new customers They make initial purchases They become established customers and are targeted by cross-sell and up-sell campaigns Some customers are forced to leave (cancel) Some leave (cancel) voluntarily Others simply stop using the product (e.g., credit card) Winback/collection campaigns