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What to learn
✗ Hypothesis
✗ Types of Hypothesis
✗ Directional & Non-Directional
Hypothesis Tests
✗ Types of Error
✗ Approaches in Hypothesis Testing
2
It is a tentative relationship or testable
assumption/prediction/conjecture
between two or more variable which
gives a direction to a research
3
What is hypothesis?
It is a supposition made on
the basis of limited evidence
as a starting point for further
investigation (Oxford Dictionary)
hypothesis
 NULL HYPOTHESIS
 ALTERNATIVE HYPOTHESIS
5
Null hypothesis
✗ Denoted by 𝐻0
✗ It is also called statistical hypothesis because this
type of hypothesis is used for statistical testing and
statistical interpretation
✗ It states that there is no relationship between the
two variables being studied ( one variable does not
affect the other).
6
Alternative hypothesis
✗ Denoted by 𝐻𝐴
✗ It states that there is a relationship between
the two variables being studied (one variable
has an effect on the other).
✗ It has no statement of equality, such as >, < or
≠.
7
Example
✗ Problem:
Do high school students spend a daily average time of
3 hours on mobile legend?
Null Hypothesis
The average daily time spent by High school students
on mobile legends is 3 hours a day.
𝐻0: 𝜇 = 3
8
Alternative Hypothesis
The daily average time spent by High
school students is not equal to 3 hours a day.
9
𝐻𝑎: 𝜇 ≠ 3
Another example
✗ Students work better on Monday morning than they do on a
Friday afternoon.
Null Hypothesis
There will be no significant difference in the amount
recalled on Monday morning compared to Friday afternoon.
Alternative Hypothesis
The students will recall significantly more information
on Monday morning than on Friday afternoon.
10
 Directional
Hypothesis Test
- predicts the direction
of the relationship
between the independent
and dependent variable
Hypothesis test
 Non-Directional
Hypothesis Test
- predicts the relationship
between the independent and
dependent variable but does
not specific the directional of
the relationship
11
EXample
Directional Hypothesis
Test
High quality of nursing
education will lead to
high quality of nursing
practice skills.
Non-directional Hypothesis
Test
Teacher student relationship
influence student’s learning.
12
The two types of error in hypothesis testing
TYPE I ERROR(false-positive)
- Occurs if a researcher
rejects a null hypothesis
that is actually true in
the population
TYPE II ERROR(false-negative)
- Occurs if the researcher
fails to reject a null
hypothesis that is actually
false in the population
13
Example
14
Let’s say that the null hypothesis 𝐻0 is “John’s used car is safe to
drive. (a) Which represents a type I error? (b) Which statement
represents a type II error?
a. John thanks that his car may be safe when, in fact, it is
not safe. –
b. John thanks that his car may be safe when, in fact, it is
safe. -
c. John thanks that his car may not be safe when, in fact it is
not safe. -
d. John thanks that his car may not be safe when, in fact , it
is safe. –
TYPE II ERROR
TYPE I ERROR
In a criminal court case, the null hypothesis 𝐻0 is
that the defendant is presumed innocent. (a) Which
statement represents a type I error? (b) Which
statement represent a type II error?
15
a. The jury believes that the defendant is guilty when, in fact,
he is innocent. –
b. The jury believes that the defendant is guilty when, in fact
he is not innocent. -
c. The jury believes that the defendant is not guilty when in
fact, he is not innocent. -
d. The jury believes that the defendant is not guilty when, in
fact, he is innocent. –
TYPE I ERROR
TYPE II ERROR
Approaches in hypothesis testing
There are basically three approaches to
hypothesis testing. The researcher
should note that all three approaches
require different subject criteria and
objective statistics, but all three
approaches give the same conclusion.
16
 The first approach is to test the
statistic approach.
17
 The second approach is the
probability value approach
 The third approach is the
confidence interval approach
18
 The first approach is to test the
statistic approach or using the critical
value
- which computes a test statistic from the
empirical data and then makes a comparison
with the critical value. If the test statistic in
this classical approach is larger than the
critical value, then the null hypothesis is
rejected. Otherwise, it is accepted.
19
• The critical value is computed based on the given
significance level α and the type of probability
distribution of the idealized model. The critical value
divides the area under the probability distribution curve
in rejection region(s) and in non-rejection region.
• The following three figures show a right tailed test, a
left tailed tests, and a two-sided test. The idealized
model in the figures, and thus H0, is described by a
bell-shaped normal probability curve.
20
In a two-sided test the null hypothesis is rejected if the test
statistic is either too small or too large. Thus the rejection region for
such a test consists of two parts: one on the left and one on the
right.
21
For a left-tailed test, the null hypothesis is rejected if the test statistic is
too small. Thus, the rejection region for such a test consists of one part,
which is left from the center.
22
For a right-tailed test, the null hypothesis is rejected if the test
statistic is too large. Thus, the rejection region for such a test
consists of one part, which is right from the center.
23
 The second approach is the
probability value approach
- For the p-value approach, the likelihood (p-value) of the
numerical value of the test statistic is compared to the specified
significance level (α) of the hypothesis test.
- The p-value corresponds to the probability of observing
sample data at least as extreme as the actually obtained
test statistic. Small p-values provide evidence against the
null hypothesis. The smaller (closer to 0) the p-value, the
stronger is the evidence against the null hypothesis.
24
- If the p-value is less than or equal to the specified significance
level α, the null hypothesis is rejected; otherwise, the null hypothesis
is not rejected. In other words, if p≤α, reject H0; otherwise, if p>α do
not reject H0.
The following table provides guidelines for using the p-value to
assess the evidence against the null hypothesis (Weiss, 2010).
P-value Evidence against H0
𝑝 > 0.10 Weak or no evidence
0.05 < 𝑝 ≤ 0.10 Moderate evidence
0.01 < 𝑝 ≤ 0.05 Strong evidence
𝑝 < 0.01 Very strong evidence
25
If the hypothesized population parameter falls outside
of the confidence interval, conclude that the null
hypothesis should be rejected based on what we saw.
If it falls within the confidence interval, conclude that
we fail to reject the null hypothesis as a result of what
we saw.
 The third approach is the
confidence interval approach
Thanks!
Any questions?
26

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Hypothesis .pptx

  • 1.
  • 2. What to learn ✗ Hypothesis ✗ Types of Hypothesis ✗ Directional & Non-Directional Hypothesis Tests ✗ Types of Error ✗ Approaches in Hypothesis Testing 2
  • 3. It is a tentative relationship or testable assumption/prediction/conjecture between two or more variable which gives a direction to a research 3 What is hypothesis?
  • 4. It is a supposition made on the basis of limited evidence as a starting point for further investigation (Oxford Dictionary) hypothesis
  • 5.  NULL HYPOTHESIS  ALTERNATIVE HYPOTHESIS 5
  • 6. Null hypothesis ✗ Denoted by 𝐻0 ✗ It is also called statistical hypothesis because this type of hypothesis is used for statistical testing and statistical interpretation ✗ It states that there is no relationship between the two variables being studied ( one variable does not affect the other). 6
  • 7. Alternative hypothesis ✗ Denoted by 𝐻𝐴 ✗ It states that there is a relationship between the two variables being studied (one variable has an effect on the other). ✗ It has no statement of equality, such as >, < or ≠. 7
  • 8. Example ✗ Problem: Do high school students spend a daily average time of 3 hours on mobile legend? Null Hypothesis The average daily time spent by High school students on mobile legends is 3 hours a day. 𝐻0: 𝜇 = 3 8
  • 9. Alternative Hypothesis The daily average time spent by High school students is not equal to 3 hours a day. 9 𝐻𝑎: 𝜇 ≠ 3
  • 10. Another example ✗ Students work better on Monday morning than they do on a Friday afternoon. Null Hypothesis There will be no significant difference in the amount recalled on Monday morning compared to Friday afternoon. Alternative Hypothesis The students will recall significantly more information on Monday morning than on Friday afternoon. 10
  • 11.  Directional Hypothesis Test - predicts the direction of the relationship between the independent and dependent variable Hypothesis test  Non-Directional Hypothesis Test - predicts the relationship between the independent and dependent variable but does not specific the directional of the relationship 11
  • 12. EXample Directional Hypothesis Test High quality of nursing education will lead to high quality of nursing practice skills. Non-directional Hypothesis Test Teacher student relationship influence student’s learning. 12
  • 13. The two types of error in hypothesis testing TYPE I ERROR(false-positive) - Occurs if a researcher rejects a null hypothesis that is actually true in the population TYPE II ERROR(false-negative) - Occurs if the researcher fails to reject a null hypothesis that is actually false in the population 13
  • 14. Example 14 Let’s say that the null hypothesis 𝐻0 is “John’s used car is safe to drive. (a) Which represents a type I error? (b) Which statement represents a type II error? a. John thanks that his car may be safe when, in fact, it is not safe. – b. John thanks that his car may be safe when, in fact, it is safe. - c. John thanks that his car may not be safe when, in fact it is not safe. - d. John thanks that his car may not be safe when, in fact , it is safe. – TYPE II ERROR TYPE I ERROR
  • 15. In a criminal court case, the null hypothesis 𝐻0 is that the defendant is presumed innocent. (a) Which statement represents a type I error? (b) Which statement represent a type II error? 15 a. The jury believes that the defendant is guilty when, in fact, he is innocent. – b. The jury believes that the defendant is guilty when, in fact he is not innocent. - c. The jury believes that the defendant is not guilty when in fact, he is not innocent. - d. The jury believes that the defendant is not guilty when, in fact, he is innocent. – TYPE I ERROR TYPE II ERROR
  • 16. Approaches in hypothesis testing There are basically three approaches to hypothesis testing. The researcher should note that all three approaches require different subject criteria and objective statistics, but all three approaches give the same conclusion. 16
  • 17.  The first approach is to test the statistic approach. 17  The second approach is the probability value approach  The third approach is the confidence interval approach
  • 18. 18  The first approach is to test the statistic approach or using the critical value - which computes a test statistic from the empirical data and then makes a comparison with the critical value. If the test statistic in this classical approach is larger than the critical value, then the null hypothesis is rejected. Otherwise, it is accepted.
  • 19. 19 • The critical value is computed based on the given significance level α and the type of probability distribution of the idealized model. The critical value divides the area under the probability distribution curve in rejection region(s) and in non-rejection region. • The following three figures show a right tailed test, a left tailed tests, and a two-sided test. The idealized model in the figures, and thus H0, is described by a bell-shaped normal probability curve.
  • 20. 20 In a two-sided test the null hypothesis is rejected if the test statistic is either too small or too large. Thus the rejection region for such a test consists of two parts: one on the left and one on the right.
  • 21. 21 For a left-tailed test, the null hypothesis is rejected if the test statistic is too small. Thus, the rejection region for such a test consists of one part, which is left from the center.
  • 22. 22 For a right-tailed test, the null hypothesis is rejected if the test statistic is too large. Thus, the rejection region for such a test consists of one part, which is right from the center.
  • 23. 23  The second approach is the probability value approach - For the p-value approach, the likelihood (p-value) of the numerical value of the test statistic is compared to the specified significance level (α) of the hypothesis test. - The p-value corresponds to the probability of observing sample data at least as extreme as the actually obtained test statistic. Small p-values provide evidence against the null hypothesis. The smaller (closer to 0) the p-value, the stronger is the evidence against the null hypothesis.
  • 24. 24 - If the p-value is less than or equal to the specified significance level α, the null hypothesis is rejected; otherwise, the null hypothesis is not rejected. In other words, if p≤α, reject H0; otherwise, if p>α do not reject H0. The following table provides guidelines for using the p-value to assess the evidence against the null hypothesis (Weiss, 2010). P-value Evidence against H0 𝑝 > 0.10 Weak or no evidence 0.05 < 𝑝 ≤ 0.10 Moderate evidence 0.01 < 𝑝 ≤ 0.05 Strong evidence 𝑝 < 0.01 Very strong evidence
  • 25. 25 If the hypothesized population parameter falls outside of the confidence interval, conclude that the null hypothesis should be rejected based on what we saw. If it falls within the confidence interval, conclude that we fail to reject the null hypothesis as a result of what we saw.  The third approach is the confidence interval approach

Editor's Notes

  1. Hypothesis is a propositional statement to assume something or certain occurrences without supporting empirical evidence yet. When we say hypothesis it is a assumption or assertion It is also considered as an intelligent guess or prediction, that gives directional to the research to answer the research question
  2. We make a supposition out of limited evidence, Like for instance kanang mokita ta sa clouds if makit.an natu nga murag nagdag.om so make a a supposition or a prediction that there will be rain coming.
  3. The null hypothesis predicts that there is no relationship between the independent variable and dependent variable
  4. Any claim can be classified under either the null hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis Each hypothesis is the counterpart of the other If the null hypothesis is rejected, the alternative hypothesis is accepted, and if the null hypothesis is not rejected, it means that the alternative hypothesis is not accepted. The manner in which the alternative hypothesis is stated determines the type of hypothesis test to be used. So what are the those hypothesis test?
  5. Hypothesis test use sample data to make inference about the properties of a population Example of directional