Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 1
How’s Holcomb Doing?
A poll of 400 likely Indianapolis voters surveyed last week for Indy Politics by Mason Strategies shows high
marks for Governor Eric Holcomb.
The survey, conducted Aug 11-14, shows Marion County voters give Holcomb a 60 percent approval rating,
while only 24 percent disapprove of the job he is doing. Sixteen percent have no opinion. This is in-line with the
53 percent majority of Indianapolis voters who feel the state is headed in the right direction.
Holcomb’s approval is highest among Republicans, with over three-quarters (78 percent) giving him good
marks. A similar amount, 74 percent, think the state is headed in the right direction. In addition, almost half of
Indianapolis Democrats (47 percent) also approve of Holcomb, and two-thirds (65 percent) of Independents.
A majority of black voters, 56 percent, approve of Holcomb; only 22% disapprove. Around half (49 percent) also
say that the state is headed in the right direction. The Governor’s approval is a bit higher among men, at 63
percent of men, than women at 55 percent.
“Heading into his re-election year, most voters in Indianapolis say that Governor Holcomb is providing good,
steady leadership for the state,” said Stephen Spiker, President and owner of Mason Strategies. “With great job
approval numbers, even among Democrats, he is a heavy favorite to win a second term next year.”
Indy Politics also looked at the favorable/unfavorable ratings of several other elected officials.
• President Donald Trump
o 38% total favorable
o 58% total unfavorable
o 4% no opinion
• Vice-President Mike Pence
o 43% total favorable
o 51% total unfavorable
o 5% no opinion
• Pete Buttigieg
o 41% total favorable
o 28% total unfavorable
o 28% no opinion/never heard of
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 2
• Curtis Hill
o 14% total favorable
o 30% total unfavorable
o 54% no opinion/never heard of
President Trump receives a net positive rating from non-college educated men in Indianapolis, 59% of whom
say they have a favorable view of him. However, all three other categories have a strongly unfavorable view:
31% to 65% among non-college educated women, 24%-72% among college-educated men, and 70%-74%
among college-educated women.
Said Spiker on those ratings: “It’s not surprising to see a blue city like Indianapolis have a negative view of the
President. It speaks to the job that Governor Holcomb is doing, and also that the level of negative partisanship
that is so prevalent in national politics has less of an impact on state-level politics.
“In addition,” continued Spiker, “this poll is another proof point for the emerging consensus that education and
gender will be a defining voter characteristic for election outcomes.”
The survey sample was composed of 42 percent Democrats, 27 percent Republicans and 26 percent identified
themselves as Independents. It has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 3
Topline Results - Indianapolis Survey
n=400 likely voters
August 11 - 14, 2018
Introduction & Screener Questions
1. First, are you or any member of your family a member of the news media, a public relations
company, or an active participant with any political campaign?
No 100%
2. When there are local elections for mayor and the city-county council, do you always vote, almost
always vote, vote most of the time, vote some of the time, hardly ever vote, or never vote?
Always vote 66%
Almost always vote 15%
Vote most of the time 19%
Mayor’s Ballot
3. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
Images
Next, I’m going to read you some names. For each, please tell me whether you have a favorable or
unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion or have never heard of them, just say so. IF
FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE, PROBE: Is that very or somewhat? RANDOMIZE SERIES
TOTAL
FAV
TOTAL
UNFAV
Very
Fav
S’what
Fav
S’what
Unfav
Very
Unfav
No
Opinion
Never
Heard of
4. Donald Trump 38% 58% 29% 9% 6% 52% 4% *
5. Mike Pence 43% 51% 29% 14% 9% 42% 5% *
6. [EMBARGOED FOR
FUTURE RELEASE]
7. Pete Buttigieg 41% 28% 21% 20% 5% 23% 15% 13%
8. [EMBARGOED FOR
FUTURE RELEASE]
9. Curtis Hill 14% 30% 4% 10% 11% 19% 27% 27%
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 4
Issues & Job Approval
10. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
11. Moving on, would you say that things in Indiana are headed in the right direction, or have things
gotten off on the wrong track?
Right Direction 54%
Wrong Track 33%
DK/Refused 13%
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Eric Holcomb is doing as Governor? PROBE: Is that
strongly or somewhat?
TOTAL APPROVE 60%
Strongly approve 17%
Somewhat approve 43%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 24%
Strongly disapprove 16%
Somewhat disapprove 8%
DK/Refused 16%
13. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
14. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
15. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
16. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
17. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
18. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 5
Education Policy
19. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
20. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
21. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
22. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
Demographics
23. Wrapping up, I have just a few more questions for demographic purposes only. First, in which of
the following ranges is your age:
18-40 26%
41-54 24%
55-64 26%
65 or older 25%
Refused 1%
24. Gender:
Male 53%
Female 47%
25. Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?
White 69%
Hispanic or Latino 2%
African-American 22%
Asian-American 1%
Something else 5%
Refused 1%
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 6
26. If you had to label yourself, would you say you are a [ROTATE] liberal, moderate, or
conservative in your political beliefs? IF LIBERAL OR CONSERVATIVE, PROBE: Is that very
[liberal/conservative] or somewhat?
TOTAL CONSERVATIVE 32%
Very conservative 16%
Somewhat conservative 16%
TOTAL MODERATE 38%
TOTAL LIBERAL 28%
Somewhat liberal 17%
Very liberal 11%
DK/Refused 3%
27. In politics, do you generally consider yourself to be a (ROTATE) Republican, Independent, or
Democrat? IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, PROBE: Is that a strong (Republican/Democrat) or
not-so-strong?
TOTAL REPUBLICAN 27%
Strong Republican 19%
Not-so-strong Republican 8%
TOTAL INDEPENDENT 26%
TOTAL DEMOCRAT 42%
Not-so-strong Democrat 10%
Strong Democrat 32%
Other 1%
DK/Refused 4%
28. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
Some high school 4%
Graduated high school 29%
Some college or associate’s 32%
Graduated college 21%
Masters/Post-Graduate 15%
Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 7
29. Which of the following categories best describes your annual household income?
IF REFUSED INITIALLY: This information is for demographic purposes and is confidential. Which
of these broad income categories best describes your annual household income?
Less than $25,000 7%
$25,000 to less than $50,000 24%
$50,000 to less than $100,000 31%
$100,000 to less than $150,000 14%
$150,000 or more 9%
DK/Refused 15%
Thank you for your time. This call was authorized and paid for by Indy Politics.
Methodology Statement
On behalf of IndyPolitics.org, Mason Strategies, LLC, a research firm located out of Woodbridge, Virginia, conducted a telephone
survey of 400 likely voters in Marion County, Indiana. The survey was completed from August 11 - 14, 2018 using live
interviewers from a call center who called of landline and cell phones. 50% of the interviews were completed on cell phones.
The survey used RBS (Registration-Based Sampling) methodology, using voter registration records to create a random sample of
voters who have voted in at least two of the previous four general elections, or were newly registered to vote. The final sample
was weighted for age and education.
The survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.9% at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error applies to each individual data
point at the topline level. When applying margins of error to relative analysis (e.g., a ballot test), it would apply to each data
point and not the margin between the two. Thus, even a difference greater than 4.9% between two data points may not be
statistically significant. Sampling error is larger for subgroup analysis.
Pollster Contact:
Stephen Spiker
President & Owner of Mason Strategies
(757) 618-0676
email: stephen.spiker@gmail.com
www.masonstrategies.com
Sponsor Contact:
Abdul-Hakim Shabazz
IndyPolitics.org
(317) 727-1250
attyabdul@gmail.com

How's Holcomb Doing?

  • 1.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 1 How’s Holcomb Doing? A poll of 400 likely Indianapolis voters surveyed last week for Indy Politics by Mason Strategies shows high marks for Governor Eric Holcomb. The survey, conducted Aug 11-14, shows Marion County voters give Holcomb a 60 percent approval rating, while only 24 percent disapprove of the job he is doing. Sixteen percent have no opinion. This is in-line with the 53 percent majority of Indianapolis voters who feel the state is headed in the right direction. Holcomb’s approval is highest among Republicans, with over three-quarters (78 percent) giving him good marks. A similar amount, 74 percent, think the state is headed in the right direction. In addition, almost half of Indianapolis Democrats (47 percent) also approve of Holcomb, and two-thirds (65 percent) of Independents. A majority of black voters, 56 percent, approve of Holcomb; only 22% disapprove. Around half (49 percent) also say that the state is headed in the right direction. The Governor’s approval is a bit higher among men, at 63 percent of men, than women at 55 percent. “Heading into his re-election year, most voters in Indianapolis say that Governor Holcomb is providing good, steady leadership for the state,” said Stephen Spiker, President and owner of Mason Strategies. “With great job approval numbers, even among Democrats, he is a heavy favorite to win a second term next year.” Indy Politics also looked at the favorable/unfavorable ratings of several other elected officials. • President Donald Trump o 38% total favorable o 58% total unfavorable o 4% no opinion • Vice-President Mike Pence o 43% total favorable o 51% total unfavorable o 5% no opinion • Pete Buttigieg o 41% total favorable o 28% total unfavorable o 28% no opinion/never heard of
  • 2.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 2 • Curtis Hill o 14% total favorable o 30% total unfavorable o 54% no opinion/never heard of President Trump receives a net positive rating from non-college educated men in Indianapolis, 59% of whom say they have a favorable view of him. However, all three other categories have a strongly unfavorable view: 31% to 65% among non-college educated women, 24%-72% among college-educated men, and 70%-74% among college-educated women. Said Spiker on those ratings: “It’s not surprising to see a blue city like Indianapolis have a negative view of the President. It speaks to the job that Governor Holcomb is doing, and also that the level of negative partisanship that is so prevalent in national politics has less of an impact on state-level politics. “In addition,” continued Spiker, “this poll is another proof point for the emerging consensus that education and gender will be a defining voter characteristic for election outcomes.” The survey sample was composed of 42 percent Democrats, 27 percent Republicans and 26 percent identified themselves as Independents. It has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.
  • 3.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 3 Topline Results - Indianapolis Survey n=400 likely voters August 11 - 14, 2018 Introduction & Screener Questions 1. First, are you or any member of your family a member of the news media, a public relations company, or an active participant with any political campaign? No 100% 2. When there are local elections for mayor and the city-county council, do you always vote, almost always vote, vote most of the time, vote some of the time, hardly ever vote, or never vote? Always vote 66% Almost always vote 15% Vote most of the time 19% Mayor’s Ballot 3. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] Images Next, I’m going to read you some names. For each, please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion or have never heard of them, just say so. IF FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE, PROBE: Is that very or somewhat? RANDOMIZE SERIES TOTAL FAV TOTAL UNFAV Very Fav S’what Fav S’what Unfav Very Unfav No Opinion Never Heard of 4. Donald Trump 38% 58% 29% 9% 6% 52% 4% * 5. Mike Pence 43% 51% 29% 14% 9% 42% 5% * 6. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 7. Pete Buttigieg 41% 28% 21% 20% 5% 23% 15% 13% 8. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 9. Curtis Hill 14% 30% 4% 10% 11% 19% 27% 27%
  • 4.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 4 Issues & Job Approval 10. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 11. Moving on, would you say that things in Indiana are headed in the right direction, or have things gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 54% Wrong Track 33% DK/Refused 13% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Eric Holcomb is doing as Governor? PROBE: Is that strongly or somewhat? TOTAL APPROVE 60% Strongly approve 17% Somewhat approve 43% TOTAL DISAPPROVE 24% Strongly disapprove 16% Somewhat disapprove 8% DK/Refused 16% 13. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 14. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 15. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 16. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 17. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 18. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE]
  • 5.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 5 Education Policy 19. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 20. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 21. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] 22. [EMBARGOED FOR FUTURE RELEASE] Demographics 23. Wrapping up, I have just a few more questions for demographic purposes only. First, in which of the following ranges is your age: 18-40 26% 41-54 24% 55-64 26% 65 or older 25% Refused 1% 24. Gender: Male 53% Female 47% 25. Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity? White 69% Hispanic or Latino 2% African-American 22% Asian-American 1% Something else 5% Refused 1%
  • 6.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 6 26. If you had to label yourself, would you say you are a [ROTATE] liberal, moderate, or conservative in your political beliefs? IF LIBERAL OR CONSERVATIVE, PROBE: Is that very [liberal/conservative] or somewhat? TOTAL CONSERVATIVE 32% Very conservative 16% Somewhat conservative 16% TOTAL MODERATE 38% TOTAL LIBERAL 28% Somewhat liberal 17% Very liberal 11% DK/Refused 3% 27. In politics, do you generally consider yourself to be a (ROTATE) Republican, Independent, or Democrat? IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, PROBE: Is that a strong (Republican/Democrat) or not-so-strong? TOTAL REPUBLICAN 27% Strong Republican 19% Not-so-strong Republican 8% TOTAL INDEPENDENT 26% TOTAL DEMOCRAT 42% Not-so-strong Democrat 10% Strong Democrat 32% Other 1% DK/Refused 4% 28. What is the highest level of education you have completed? Some high school 4% Graduated high school 29% Some college or associate’s 32% Graduated college 21% Masters/Post-Graduate 15%
  • 7.
    Mason Strategies, LLCfor Indy Politics August 2019 Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 7 29. Which of the following categories best describes your annual household income? IF REFUSED INITIALLY: This information is for demographic purposes and is confidential. Which of these broad income categories best describes your annual household income? Less than $25,000 7% $25,000 to less than $50,000 24% $50,000 to less than $100,000 31% $100,000 to less than $150,000 14% $150,000 or more 9% DK/Refused 15% Thank you for your time. This call was authorized and paid for by Indy Politics. Methodology Statement On behalf of IndyPolitics.org, Mason Strategies, LLC, a research firm located out of Woodbridge, Virginia, conducted a telephone survey of 400 likely voters in Marion County, Indiana. The survey was completed from August 11 - 14, 2018 using live interviewers from a call center who called of landline and cell phones. 50% of the interviews were completed on cell phones. The survey used RBS (Registration-Based Sampling) methodology, using voter registration records to create a random sample of voters who have voted in at least two of the previous four general elections, or were newly registered to vote. The final sample was weighted for age and education. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.9% at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error applies to each individual data point at the topline level. When applying margins of error to relative analysis (e.g., a ballot test), it would apply to each data point and not the margin between the two. Thus, even a difference greater than 4.9% between two data points may not be statistically significant. Sampling error is larger for subgroup analysis. Pollster Contact: Stephen Spiker President & Owner of Mason Strategies (757) 618-0676 email: stephen.spiker@gmail.com www.masonstrategies.com Sponsor Contact: Abdul-Hakim Shabazz IndyPolitics.org (317) 727-1250 attyabdul@gmail.com