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Stefan Reimann
Martin K. Vollmer
Stephan Henne
Dominik Brunner
Alistair Manning (UK MetOffice)
Lukas Emmenegger
Source attribution of halogenated compounds in support
of emission inventories for international agreements
stefan.reimann@empa.ch
• Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs)
CFC-11, CFC-12 , CFC-13, CFC-11, CFC-113
• Halons
H-1301, H-1211, H-2402, CH3Br
• Solvents
CH3CCl3, CCl4,
• Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs)
HCFC-141b, HCFC-124, HCFC-22, HCFC-142b
• Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
HFC-23, HFC-32, HFC-125, HFC-134a,
HFC-143a, HFC-152a, HFC-227ea,
HFC-236fa, HFC-365mfc, HFC-245fa, HFC-
43-10mee, desflurane
• Perfluorocarbons (PFCs), etc
CF4, PFC-218, PFC-318, C4F10, C6F14, SF6,
SF5CF3
Global Warming
Kyoto Protocol
Halogenated Compounds in the Atmosphere
Ozone Depletion/Global Warming
Montreal Protocol
Halocarbons as Greenhouse Gases
in IPCC 5AR
Velders et al., Science (2012)
Halocarbons as Greenhouse Gases:
History and Future
NOAA/ESRL Network
Halocarbon Surface and Aircraft Sampling
AGAGE Network
Continuous in-situ Sampling
Global Measurements of Halocarbons
2014 UNEP/WMO Ozone Assessment
The Montreal Protocol
Everything on Track
~160 000 tons/year
Global box model
𝐵(𝑡)
𝑙𝑖𝑓𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒
+
𝑑𝐵(𝑡)
𝑑(𝑡)
= emission
𝐵(𝑡): mass of F-134a in atmosphere
lifetime: 14 years
𝑑𝐵(𝑡)
𝑑(𝑡)
: rate of change
How to derive regional emissions?
Box-model approach for estimating global sources
The Kyoto-Protocol
Emission Estimation world-wide
coolant agent HFC-134a
Example: Combination of Measurements and Models:
The "unknown" European HFC-23 source
How to derive country-based emissions?
CO
COCO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CO
F-134a
F-134a
F-134a
F-134a
F-134a
During stable conditions in summer well-mixed emissions from the
Swiss boundary layer are transported to Jungfraujoch (3850 m asl)
=
CO inventory
CO above background
emission of F-134a
F-134a above background
Top-Down Emission estimation for Switzerland
Annex 5.1 Independent verification of the National Swiss Inventory for F-gases
Switzerland’s Greenhouse Gas Inventory 2001-2014
Swiss Inventory:
8.5% annual loss car air conditioners:
NIR (UNFCCC) Annex 6: Independent verification of the National UK Inventory
UK’s Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1995-2014
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Emissions(kt)
Mace Head measurements combined with the NAME model
measurement-based
1 site 4 sites
inventory
15% loss
A. Manning (MetOffice, UK)
Inversion
algorithm
Inverse Modelling for Inventory Support
A priori estimates of
surface flux
Constituent
observations
Simulated flux
sensitivities
High-Resolution Models Inventories
A posteriori estimates
of surface flux
Country total emissions
Measurements
HFC Inversion in the EU project INGOS
Four groups & inversion systems
Empa, Dominik Brunner (WP lead)
Empa2, Stephan Henne
NILU, Rona Thompson
UKMO, Tim Arnold / Alistair Manning
Three measurement sites
Jungfraujoch, Mace Head, Monte Cimone
A posteriori simulation of HFC-125 at Mace Head A posteriori HFC-125 emissions per country
Annual average sensitivity (footprint)
HFC Inversion in EU project INGOS
Brunner et al., in preparation
measurement-based
emissions
inventory-based
emissions
• Atmospheric measurements of halocarbons can be
used to provide real-world support of inventories used
in international agreements.
• The measurement-based approach is essential for
identifying gaps and for providing trust between
countries and different global regions.
• Measurements and methods for the measurement-
based emission estimation have to be performed in a
coordinated manner and have to be standardized.
Summary and Outlook

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Source attribution of halogenated compounds in support of emission inventories for international agreements

  • 1. Stefan Reimann Martin K. Vollmer Stephan Henne Dominik Brunner Alistair Manning (UK MetOffice) Lukas Emmenegger Source attribution of halogenated compounds in support of emission inventories for international agreements stefan.reimann@empa.ch
  • 2. • Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) CFC-11, CFC-12 , CFC-13, CFC-11, CFC-113 • Halons H-1301, H-1211, H-2402, CH3Br • Solvents CH3CCl3, CCl4, • Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) HCFC-141b, HCFC-124, HCFC-22, HCFC-142b • Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) HFC-23, HFC-32, HFC-125, HFC-134a, HFC-143a, HFC-152a, HFC-227ea, HFC-236fa, HFC-365mfc, HFC-245fa, HFC- 43-10mee, desflurane • Perfluorocarbons (PFCs), etc CF4, PFC-218, PFC-318, C4F10, C6F14, SF6, SF5CF3 Global Warming Kyoto Protocol Halogenated Compounds in the Atmosphere Ozone Depletion/Global Warming Montreal Protocol
  • 3. Halocarbons as Greenhouse Gases in IPCC 5AR
  • 4. Velders et al., Science (2012) Halocarbons as Greenhouse Gases: History and Future
  • 5. NOAA/ESRL Network Halocarbon Surface and Aircraft Sampling AGAGE Network Continuous in-situ Sampling Global Measurements of Halocarbons
  • 6. 2014 UNEP/WMO Ozone Assessment The Montreal Protocol Everything on Track
  • 7. ~160 000 tons/year Global box model 𝐵(𝑡) 𝑙𝑖𝑓𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒 + 𝑑𝐵(𝑡) 𝑑(𝑡) = emission 𝐵(𝑡): mass of F-134a in atmosphere lifetime: 14 years 𝑑𝐵(𝑡) 𝑑(𝑡) : rate of change How to derive regional emissions? Box-model approach for estimating global sources The Kyoto-Protocol Emission Estimation world-wide coolant agent HFC-134a
  • 8. Example: Combination of Measurements and Models: The "unknown" European HFC-23 source
  • 9. How to derive country-based emissions?
  • 10. CO COCO CO CO CO CO CO CO F-134a F-134a F-134a F-134a F-134a During stable conditions in summer well-mixed emissions from the Swiss boundary layer are transported to Jungfraujoch (3850 m asl) = CO inventory CO above background emission of F-134a F-134a above background Top-Down Emission estimation for Switzerland
  • 11. Annex 5.1 Independent verification of the National Swiss Inventory for F-gases Switzerland’s Greenhouse Gas Inventory 2001-2014 Swiss Inventory: 8.5% annual loss car air conditioners:
  • 12. NIR (UNFCCC) Annex 6: Independent verification of the National UK Inventory UK’s Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1995-2014 - 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Emissions(kt) Mace Head measurements combined with the NAME model measurement-based 1 site 4 sites inventory 15% loss A. Manning (MetOffice, UK)
  • 13. Inversion algorithm Inverse Modelling for Inventory Support A priori estimates of surface flux Constituent observations Simulated flux sensitivities High-Resolution Models Inventories A posteriori estimates of surface flux Country total emissions Measurements
  • 14. HFC Inversion in the EU project INGOS Four groups & inversion systems Empa, Dominik Brunner (WP lead) Empa2, Stephan Henne NILU, Rona Thompson UKMO, Tim Arnold / Alistair Manning Three measurement sites Jungfraujoch, Mace Head, Monte Cimone A posteriori simulation of HFC-125 at Mace Head A posteriori HFC-125 emissions per country Annual average sensitivity (footprint)
  • 15. HFC Inversion in EU project INGOS Brunner et al., in preparation
  • 17. • Atmospheric measurements of halocarbons can be used to provide real-world support of inventories used in international agreements. • The measurement-based approach is essential for identifying gaps and for providing trust between countries and different global regions. • Measurements and methods for the measurement- based emission estimation have to be performed in a coordinated manner and have to be standardized. Summary and Outlook