Hi, This is my first presentation on the covid 19 global pandemics, which was an social threat for the 8 billion people of our humanity in 2019-2020.
I was very to make a PPT presentation because of the complexity of Covid 19. Life has so many reasons to not show us what it is really. We are using these variables are likely not to be precise as a mathematical data.
The power of UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres Cvoid 19 management method was to separate the main data from the monitor and not efficient data.
It would be a real utopia to build a covid theory to understand what is covid. There are already an infinite world of viruses that we know already enough about them that helped us to make models of hazard management, resiliency... Models are our best friends. So, I have used quite a number of them to see the covid mechanism and other issues (that were not the main initially, however, they have been reinitiate recently with the UN response. The method use is a bit risky, because it can introduce some mistakes. Otherwise, there would no need to sue a response for covid 19 an dit would be difficult to manage the covid 19 hazard during the peak of crisis, from start to end.
The business modeling that I used can answer to the coivd 19 issue and various other issues, which are not presented in the response, including the Sendai, however, it was important to mention them in the research and development.
Therefore, I started with general data presentation related to the efficient models. Then, I showed how to use these models, in order to response with practical actions to the covid 19. Ultimately, I have integrated the United Nations response.
2. UN RESPONSE
The COVID-19
pandemic
is more than a
health crisis
A. GUTERRES
https://www.un.org/en/coronavirus/UN-response
WHO
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
3. Theory of Economist
Dr. E. F. Schumacher
(founder of ITDG, author
of Small is beautifull,
founder of
decentralized economy
based on the mission
unit organizations, and
engineering way to produce)
● LOGIC OF NOBODY IS SAFE, UNTIL EVERYBODY IS SAFE
● Covid 19 as shown that the world is aligned with the Economist Dr. E. F.
Schumacher vision of development (XX century) and the concept of the
vicious cycle of poverty
HEALTH
VIRUS =
VACCINES
SCIENTIST
PASTEUR
BUDDIST
ECONOMY
CONFUCIANISM
OCCIDENT
COMMUNITY
SELF SUFFICIENCY
RELIANCE
INDEPENDENCE
GLOBAL
CITIZENS
ORIENT
COVID 19
ORIGIN OF THE COVID
19 IS PERCEIVED AS
FROM EAST TO WEST
(WITHOUT EVIDENCE)
DUE TO THE VACCINE
PHILOSPHY AND
ECONOMY FOR 8
BILLION PEOPLE
GLOBAL WORLD 8 BILLION SOULS NOBODY IS SAFE UNTIL ALL ARE SAFE
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
4. SCHUMACHER VICIOUS CYCLE OF POVERTY
HEALTH
RESOURCE
CRISIS
OF
COVID 19
HEALTH
Focusing on
health (slide 5)
Neglecting or
minoring the
resources
Africa has
no resource
WHO
director 2020
Developed
countries
business and
health forecast
demands
France, UK, USA, rich countries
''stay home, do not go out...''
70% of health
ressources were
used....
Hypocrate (Greece)
- Saving lives (doctors)
- National engagement=
business, growth (over
20-40 years countries can
build a reputation on
health...)
INVESTISSMENT
DEVELOPMENT
VICIOUS
CYCLE OF
POVERTY
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
5. Covid 19 hazard
Dimensions of a hazard
(Theory of hazards)
Natural
Technology
War
ISSUE (S)
Food/
water
Housing
Health
Refugee
displacement
Tele-comunications
Transport system
Health
magnification !
Telecommunication
Food water
Housing
Refugee displacement
Transport systems
Covid is a
health bomb
Sources
People
deaths
(Pande
mics)
NEGLECTED
OR MINORED
THE
GEOSTRAT
EGIC TIME
BOMB OF
VIRUSES
(covid 19)
WHAT
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
6. HEALTH MOTIVATION
● SO, HEALTH IS GLOBAL COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
FOR SOME COUNTRIES THAT LEAD THE WORLD
● SERMON D'HYPOCRATE
● ….
● BUT ARE WE MAKING ENOUGH FOR THE ECONOMIES
TO PREVENT THE VIRUS ?
● HEALTH IS MAINLY FOCUSING ON TREATING AND
CURING
● SENDAY REQUESTS TO UNDERSTAND RISK,
STRENGTHEN, INVEST AND BUILD BACK BETTER
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
7. THE WORLD PRIORITY IS HEALTH ?
WHAT (POSSIBLE ISSUES)
● ASSUMPTIONS
● 1- IT IS ONE ELEMENT OF A GLOBAL
PACKAGE OF ELEMENTS, OF THE SCIENCE
OF HAZARD MANAGEMENT
● 2- WHICH IS PRIORITIZED
● 3- WHILE OTHERS ARE MINORED OR
NEGLECTED
● 4- RISKS
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
8. COVID STRATEGY
(COUNTRY STRATEGIES)
WHY
● SET OF ASSUMPTIONS
● STATE ENGAGEMENT AND SPECIALIZATIONS
● METRICS USED
● DELIBERATE STRATEGY
● ALTERNATIVE CHOICES
● DEVELOPMENT PROCESSES
● DECOLONIZATION
● GLOBAL MARKET COMPETIONS
● UN
● DEBT...
● POPULATION DYNAMICS
● GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT
● OTHERS
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
9. HOW TO CHANGE MEASUREMENT AND
METRICS OF SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT ARE KEYS
ACCELERATE DECADE FOR ACTIONS 2030
POST
2015 SDG
SENDAI
DRR
PARIS
AGREEMENT
FINANCING
DEVELOPMENT
4 EXISTING HIGHWAYS (2015-2030)
BIRD RESPONSES+
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
10. THE SAME COMPARAISON MAY OR MAY NOT HELP TO
COMPARE
BIRDS (SPARROW, DYNOSAURUS) SIMILAR TO THE WORLD
COUNTRIES
IF YOU HAVE A SPARROW WITH THE HEART OF A
DINOSAURUS OR A DINOSAURUS WITH THE HEART OF A
SPARROW IT IS LOOKING ODD AND EITHER THE
SPARROW OR THE DYNOSURAUS CANNOT SURVIVE
●
● IDENTICALLY IF YOU ARE LOOKING AT DEVELOPPING A
NATION THE STRATEGY NEEDS TO BE CALIBRATED
PROTOTYPE, TESTED...TO THE NATURE OF THE
COUNTRY
11. THE SAME COMPARAISON MAY OR MAY NOT HELP TO
COMPARE
BIRDS (SPARROW, DYNOSAURUS) SIMILAR TO THE WORLD
COUNTRIES
IF YOU HAVE A SPARROW WITH THE HEART OF A
DINOSAURUS OR A DINOSAURUS WITH THE HEART OF A
SPARROW IT IS LOOKING ODD AND EITHER THE
SPARROW OR THE DYNOSURAUS CANNOT SURVIVE
●
● IDENTICALLY IF YOU ARE LOOKING AT DEVELOPPING A
NATION THE STRATEGY NEEDS TO BE CALIBRATED
PROTOTYPE, TESTED...TO THE NATURE OF THE
COUNTRY
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
12. UN RESPONSE
The Response promotes three pillars of operation:
Delivery of a large-scale, coordinated and comprehensive health response
Adoption of policies that address the devastating socioeconomic,
humanitarian and human rights aspects of the crisis
A recovery process that builds back better
Pillar 1 : COMPREHENSIVE HEALTH (AND RESOURCE) R
ESPONSE:
Possible answer => SENDAI, HAZARD MANAGEMENT...
WATER LIFE AND DANGER- clean water for all should be
KEY (first priority) for 8 billion peoples
THE PROBLEM WITH THE PROMOTION :
=> THE MARKET PROMOTION IS RETURNING MORE TO ORGANIZATIONs
WHICH ARE MAKING THE PROMOTIONS (capitalist economy, national policies,
finance, debts, interest rates,...)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
13. Davos crisis cycle
● PILLAR 2 :
● The Humanitarian (human rights aspect)
response of the crisis
crisis
RESILIENCE
RECOVERY
POST RECOVERY
Davos
crisis
cycle
COVID 19
RESPONSE
Yes! Covid 19
Business and
household
Restrictions
No
Yes ! Covid 19
(Vaccines, Warp speed,
Spountnick, Astra-Zenaka,
COVAX, Chino..
No destruction of
buildings. Covid is
natural (health)
hazard
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
14. RESILIENCY
● REDUCING GAPS BETWEEN THE PRODUCTION MODELS AND THE
COMMUNITY SOCIAL CONSTRUCTION
BUSINESS
PRODUCTIONS
RISKS
COM-
PLEXITIES
SOCIAL
CONSTRUCTIONS
(COVID 19)
REDUCE
THE
GAP
IN THE
TECHNO
STRUC
TURES
TECHNOSTRUCTURES
Teams and expert
works to understand
covid 19
(uncertainties)
And to provide
response (s)
Business and
organizations
production
activities
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
15. LOGIC 2
● DISASTER REDUCTION DEFINITION (FORMER UNISDR
DIRECTOR SALVANO BRICENO)
● VIRUSES ARE NATURAL
● DISASTERS ARE MAN-MADE-
● A DISASTER IS DEFINED BY THE BELGIUM EMERGENCY
DATABASE (EMDAT) AS THE OCCURENCE OF AN EVENT WITH
MORE THAN 10 DEATHS
●
● COVID DEATHTOLLS IN 2 YEARS : 2 MILLIONS
●
CONCLUSION IT IS NOT ONLY ABOUT HEALTH. IT IS A DISASTER
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
16. WATER IS KEY BECAUSE IT IS A FLEXIBLE SOLUTION FOR ALL NEEDS
● Transforming with the water
WATER
Basic Physiological
Needs : food, cloths,
water, heat,
bathing...health
Social-security needs
Actuarization and
esteem
Climate change
(1.5° Celsius of
temperature
increase is
related to the
water cycle
PARIS
AGREEMENT
(2015-2100)
Post 2015
SDG -2015-
2030
SENDAI
(2015-2030)
ENTREPRENEUR
SHIPS
AMOSPHERIC
HYDROLOGY
Sources Use
Source Uses
6 7
SDG 12
15
Rain waters
Forests
Biodiversity
Combat
desertification
Ecology
threats
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
17. Review Paris Agreement
● ''We are all in now'' Climate change to
understand and ''enhance your understanding
action'' (Art. 8)
● https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-
paris-agreement/the-paris-agreement
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
18. WHAT WE CAN AND MUST DO
● UNITED NATIONS POTENTIAL STRATEGIC
● SWOT ANALYSIS
● WE HAVE SEEN THAT SENDAI LOOK AT THE
OPPORTUNITY :
To adopt a ;;;concise, focused, forward-looking
and action-oriented post 2015
framework for disaster risk
reduction; (Preamble, Art 1.a)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
19. SENDAI
● Art 1.b (Preamble)
● To complete the assessment of the review
● (learning process = capabilites)
● If we have learned about the Chicago principle of
construction (O Sullivan was a USA architect) he promoted
the skyscrappers)...The method was born in Chicago. The
principle is business principle enacted that best
organizations are a match between the external
environment and the internal environment. So, you can
observe these principles in your city, for example the
adaptive strategies between the railways contruction and
the landscape...In Asian philophy, it is likely called the Fen-
shui...So, stable construction needs a match.
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
20. Sendai is looking for a ''match'' and
UN for these potentials ''what we
can do and must do'', so it is not
sendai (the UN capability)
Internal
environment
External
environment
Match= adaptive measures,
equilbrium...exchanges (faire
and harmonious) : polcieis,
regulations..)
External
Resources :
natural,
peoples
Organisation-
relationships
Business
structures
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
21. UN CAPABILITIES
(UN COMPREHENSIVE RESPONSE TO COVID 19)
COUNTRY LAWS
AND REGULATIONS
COUNTRY CULTURES
AND HISTORIES
UNITED NATIONS
STRATEGIC CAPABILITIES
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
22. Review of covid 19 by
UN Secretary General
● Deliver a global response that leaves no-one
behind (HIGH LEVEL POLITICAL FORUM
2016)
https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/hlpf/2016
● Look at the country VNRs
● https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/vnrs/
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
23. BUILD THE RESILIENCE TO
FUTURE SHOCKS AND CLIMATE
● SLIDE 2
● SLIDE 11
● SLIDE 12
● SLIDE 14
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
24. Reduce our vulnerability to future pandemics
● SDG 1 (Poverty reduction), target 1.5 : Build the resilience and reduce exposure and vulnerability, (see slide
12) indicator 1.5.1 death rate 1/100,000 Now with covid it is 300/100,000
● 1.5.3. How many countries are implementing the method
● With the Tiers method to build the capacities
● Visit the website for the SDG indicators targets and goals to have the full picture.
https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/metadata/
● Also, review the HLPF 2018, Resilience of communities (and sustainable communities)
● https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/hlpf/2018
● Also slide 6
● Goal 6 : water and sanitation,
● Goal 7 : energy for all
● Goal 11 : smart sustainable cities
● Goal 12 : Consumption and production patterns
● Goal 15 : Life on land, forest, biodiversity, population dynamics...
● Goal 17 : Cooperations and building partnerships
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
25. Inequalities
● SDG 10 reduce inequlaties amongst countries
● https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal10 You will get to
the UNDESA website
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)
BUSINESS INNOVATION RSEARCH DEVELOPMENT (BIRD)