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COVID -19 PRESENT & FUTURE
1. Monday,04 May 2020 1
PAPERPRESENTEDBY DR. ANJUAGARWAL
CURRENT CHALLENGES& WHAT FUTURE HOLDS
TABLE OF
CONTENTS
PAPER HEADING .............................. ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED.
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Impact of Covid-19.............................................................................................................. 2
How each sector is coping with Covid-19........................................................................... 2
Future of world with Covid-19............................................................................................ 3
“COVID-19 has revealed how deeply interconnected all life on this planet is,” says
UNEP Executive Director, Inger Andersen.
***
The recent pandemichaschanged everything we know, particularly about how we
remain socially connected – Bhavna Jani-Negandhi
IMPACT OF COVID 19
All industry faces a severe crisis amid the coronavirus lockdown
Despite successful harvests this pastseason, two billion people did not have regular accessto safe,
nutritious, and sufficient food prior to the outbreak ofthe Coronavirus. Indeed, hunger hasbeen on
the rise globally for the past four years.
Beyond its immediate health impact, the pandemic is putting older people at greater risk ofpoverty,
discrimination and isolation.
Severe disruptions to education caused byCOVID-19,world is dealing with newstrategiesand
make decisions on safelyreopening schools for the world’s 1.3 billion students affected by ongoing
closures.
With manufacturersacrossindustries, from automotive to electronicsto pharmaceuticalsto heavy
industrials, carrying inventory of only two to four weeks, disruption and continuing uncertaintyof
supply will be felt if the crisis is prolonged.
Sanitised balls, playersin facemasks:Howcoronavirus may change cricket. One such topic that is
being discussed extensively is the use ofsaliva and sweaton the cricketball.
The lockdown also had a profound impacton coal production, which contracted for the first time
since 2012
In china, coronaviruspatients were treated byrobots for food and medicine and doctors talk to
patientsthrough video conferencing
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Holy water has been removed from church & advice catholics to refrain from receiving Communion
on the tongue or from the Chalice in order to help contain the spread of the coronavirus.
HEALTHCARE SECTOR
Health workers are at the front line of the COVID-19
outbreak response. WHO provides guidance on
infection prevention and control (IPC) strategies to
deal with infection with a novel coronavirus (2019-
nCoV). But we need to strengthen the antennae of
global health, to ensure that when the next virus
emerges — which it will — we’ll catch it faster,
perhaps even snuff it out. The budget of the WHO,
the agency ostensibly charged with safeguarding the
health of the world’s 7.8 billion citizens, is somehow
no more than that of a large urban hospital in the U.S.
We need to double down on the development of
vaccines, which will include assuring large pharma
companies that their investments won’t be wasted
should an outbreak end before one is ready.
FOOD / AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY
Pandemic affecting food systems, food security,
and agricultural livelihoods. The pandemic is
impacting global food systems, disrupting
regional agricultural value chains, and posing
risks to household food security. COVID-19 has
created heightened awareness of food safety for
producers, businesses, governments and
consumers. restrictions of movement, as well as
basic aversion behaviour by workers, may
impede farmers from farming and food
processors - who handle the vast majority of
agricultural products - from processing. Shortage
of fertilizers, veterinary medicines and other
input could affect agricultural production.
Closures of restaurants and less frequent grocery
shopping diminish demand for fresh produce
and fisheries products, affecting producers and
suppliers. Sectors in agriculture, fisheries and
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aquaculture are particularly affected by
restrictions on tourism, closure of restaurants
and café and school meals suspension. Food
demand in poorer countries is more linked to
income, and, here, loss of income-earning
opportunities could impact on consumption. Fear
of contagion can translate in reduced visits to
food markets, and we expect to see a shift in
how people buy and consume food - lower
restaurant traffic, increased e-commerce
deliveries (as evidenced in China), and a rise in
eating at home.
ECONOMY
According to analysis report by Deloitte, the
pandemic has set foot in India and is expected to lead
the country towards a major slowdown with affecting
sectors like FMCG, Healthcare, Telecom, Automotive,
Power, IT and many more counting. Also in world,
COVID-19 likely to cost economy $1 trillion during
2020, says UN trade agency. As per the UNCTAD
report presented, world financial markets tumbled
over concerns about supply-chain interruptions from
China, and oil price uncertainty. Germany economy is
particularly fragile, but the Italian economy and other
parts of the European periphery are also facing very
serious stresses right now as a consequence of trends
over the last few days. Although the threat of COVID-
19 becoming an official pandemic “has become very
real”, the world is “not at the mercy of the virus”, said
the World Health Organization
SPORTS
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As we know, sports events have seen large scale of
crowds in stadiums. But now things have changed. As
many stays at home, there will be online broadcast of
matches and other sports. Also, sports persons will be
taken strict measures to deal with sweat and spitting
while playing will be not allowed.
IT SECTOR - WORKING FROM
HOME
It took a global pandemic and a lockdown for India’s
software services providers—that collectively employ
at least four million people—to realize that remote
working could be the norm. India’s largest IT firm—
which has asked nearly 90 percent of its 4.5 lakh
employees to work from home through a secured
borderless workspace—said that based on its initial
findings over the past three weeks, it doesn’t need to
have more than a fourth of workforce at its facilities
to be 100 percent productive. TCS now calls it the
25/25 model and Gopinathan said they’re “never
going back to where we were”. Wipro’s
Neemuchwala agreed. “Every employee becomes a
virtual employee and whether you’re sitting 10 miles
away from customers in the U.S. or you’re 10,000
miles away working from home, the experience is
same.”. To be sure, work from home isn’t new to the
sector but it’s been deployed only on a smaller scale
and for select situations. But the Covid-19 outbreak
may have changed perceptions.
TRAVEL/ TOURISM INDUSTRY
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Travel industry is worst hit by this pandemic. As most
of the travel across borders have stopped. Countries
have sealed their borders. However, even China, a
previous staunch advocate of keeping borders open
during the pandemic, has now effectively shut its
borders to international travelers to ward off
imported cases. It is not alone: nearly 120 economies
now have some sort of travel restrictions – ranging
from outright blanket bans to all travelers – to
selective geographical restrictions – for the same
reason. As a result, the most immediate and perhaps
the most prolonged impact would be on travel and
tourism sectors.
EDUCATION SECTOR
While schools are reopening in some corners of the
world after pandemic-induced closures, the United
Nations and its partners are helping children continue
their learning through all possible means, including
the Internet, radio and television. The United Nations
Children’s Fund (UNICEF) is supporting Viet Nam’s
Ministry of Education and Training in developing
online and offline learning materials, including for
physical exercise, to help improve children’s physical
strength, health and mental wellbeing during school
closures. Many countries throughout the world is
switching to online education. Country wide exams
like civil services has been postponed and will likely to
appear in may with strict guidelines for prevention of
corona where everybody will wear mask and maintain
social distancing in exam halls.
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FUTURE OF CORONA
The coronavirus recession, also known as
the Great Lockdown or Great Shutdown, is
an ongoing severe global economic
recession which began affecting the world
economy in early 2020 and is the worst
recession since the Great Depression of the
1930s. COVID-19 has created a global
economic tsunami that is now hitting the
United States and Europe with full force.
Central banks are responding by slashing
interest rates and providing liquidity to
their financial systems, and governments
are ramping up spending and cutting
taxes. This will push nearly half of the
global workforce into unemployment and
destroy their livelihood. The 1.6 billion
people are at risk of seeing "massive
damage to their ability to earn a living",
said ILO Director-General Guy Ryder. WHO
and European Investment Bank strengthen
efforts to combat COVID-19 and build
resilient health systems to face future
pandemics. Robots are being used to treat
covid-19 patients for food medicine and
video conferencing is used for
communication with doctor and family.
Technology has stepped into the breach
and will continue to play a key role in
educating future generations. According to
a Dell Technologies report, 85% of the jobs
in 2030 that Generation Z and Alpha will
enter have not been invented yet.
According to this World Economic Forum
report, 65% of primary-school children
today will be working in job types that do
not exist yet. Ecommerce industry boom
will remain likely as people will prefer
things home delivered more.
Entrepreneurs must be creative to secure
the future of their business, serve their
customers, and keep supply chains intact.
Local vendors will offer home delivery,
from alcohol to agriculture to local street
vendors everything will be and can be
8. Monday,04 May 2020 8
home delivered. But from mid-size to small
scale business faces disruptions and need
Business continuity plan to strengthen and
restart with stricter guidelines to return to
new normal of after corona crisis world.
Travel and Tourism will remain affected for
next few years. However there are robots
being used at airports to disinfect
travelers.
CONCLUSIONS
Most environmental impacts of the coronavirus pandemic, such as a decline in
carbon emissions and increase in medical waste, will be temporary.
The real lesson lies in some pre-existing climate-friendly trends which have been
accelerated.
Business travel could decline, as executives realize video conferences can achieve
the same effect.
International trade might roll back as countries realize how reliant they are on the
global supply chain and decide to produce their own goods
Companies may now finally realize workers can still be productive from home,
while downsizing offices or getting rid of them altogether.
Doubtless, the loss of life from COVID-19 will be devastating. There is nothing to
celebrate about such a horrific tragedy. It is perhaps a small victory against such
a reality to learn from what’s happened and apply it to fight climate change and
slow global warming in the future.
Throughout history, nothing has killed more human beings than infectious
disease. Covid-19 shows how vulnerable we remain – and how we can
avoid similar pandemics in the future.
Over the past 15 years, there has been no shortage of articles and white
papers issuing dire warnings that a global pandemic involving a new
respiratory disease was only a matter of time.
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The plague of Justinian struck in the 6th Century and killed as many as 50
million people, perhaps half the global population at the time. Smallpox
may have killed as many as 300 million people in the 20th Century alone,
even though an effective vaccine – the world’s first – had been available
since 1796.
Some 50 to 100 million people died in the 1918 influenza pandemic –
numbers that surpass the death toll of World War One, which was being
fought at the same time. The 1918 flu virus infected one in every three
people on the planet. HIV, a pandemic that is still with us and still lacks a
vaccine, has killed an estimated 32 million people and infected 75 million,
with more added every day.
Conclusion is that we have seen such pandemics before and survived and
we will survive this one too. But we can’t ignore the fact that this will have
lasting effect on our society and change the face of our geopolitical
relations, food supply, healthcare, lifestyle and other industries to a great
extent. We must learn to live with this new normal.
REFRENCES
https://www.un.org/en/coronavirus
https://www.who.int/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus_disease_2019
https://www.google.com