Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Transportation Industry Complete Deck

C r navirus
Impact Assessment and
Mitigation Strategies in
Transportation Industry

Table of Content for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies in
2
Transportation Sector Overview
› US transportation sector overview
› Travel restrictions affecting flights
› Forecasted impact on air travel
› Impact on India's truck transportation
› Worldwide transportation sector situation
Risk 1: Disruption Due to Social Distancing
› Socially distant constraints
› Application of the avoid-shift-improve framework.
› Public transport- social distancing guidelines
Risk 2: Plummeting Employee Productivity
› Impact of COVID-19 on businesses and the workforce
› Workforce loosing productivity
› Risk of losing productivity and effectiveness
Risk 3: Stressed Supply Chains
› COVID-19 global supply chain disruptions
› Effects of COVID-19 on transportation demand
› Disruption in global logistics industry: mobility: automotive &
transportation
› Effect of COVID-19 on supply chain of the transportation market
Risk 4: Recession, Unemployment and Investment
Pull-back
› Coronavirus recession with transportation industry
› Logistics industry vulnerable to COVID-19 trade flows at risk
› US trucking employment index plummeting below base in pandemic
› Jobs risk due to COVID-19 outbreak
› Industries suffering the biggest job losses
› Investment pull back status in transportation sector
Risk 5: Economic Instability and Civil Unrest
› Automotive and transportation market outlook
› GDP goods transportation sector
› Civil unrest due to COVID-19
Opportunities to make Safer, More Sustainable
Transport in a Post-covid-19 World
Risk Mitigation Activities
› Development of mutual risk-sharing strategy with suppliers
› Usage of transportation/warehouse optimization software by
suppliers
› Revisiting contract terms
› COVID-19 risk management checklist
• Review of legal documents and policies
• Pandemic coordinators
• Essential employees
• Resources and supplies
Readiness Assessments
Response to the Impact of the COVID-
19 Outbreak
Actions Taken by Transportation Companies
US Transport Passengers Survey
Business Impact Analysis
› COVID-19 impact heat map
› Risk screening
› Risk assessment matrix
› Risk impact analysis
› Effect on different business in transportation industry
Build a Risk Maturity Model
Transport Focus Survey Reveals Growing Caution
Around Return to Public Transport

3
transportation
Risk 4: Recession, Unemployment and Investment Pull-
back
suppliers
Response to the Impact of the COVID-19
Outbreak
› Risk screening

US Transportation Sector Overview 4
This slide covers impact of corona virus pandemic on United states transportation sector such as air transportation, retail and food services transportation and many more.
U.S. transportation industry set to
lose over $500 Bn in 2020
Estimated direct looses for U.S. travel
industry due to COVID pandemic is
$519 Bn.
Add text here
Add text here
-$128 bn
-$112 bn
-$97 bn
-$78 bn
-$54 bn
-$49 bn
Food Service Transportation
Lodging / Accomodation
Air Transportion
Other Transportation
Recreation & Amusement
Retail Transportation
Total Direct Losses: -$519 bn
Key Takeaways
This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes automatically based on data. Just left click on it and select “Edit Data”.

Travel Restrictions Affecting Flights 5
This slide covers impact of corona virus pandemic on flights such as number of boards closed, flights cancelled, travel prohibited and restrictions.
27 %
Flights Cancelled
27% From Destinations
Wholly or partly
Global cancelled
Flights, whatever the
Root (56 states)
21 %
Travel Prohibited
21% Destinations Are
Challenges
Bans on flying for
Rising travellers
In affected countries
COVID19 (44 Länder)
9 %
Restrictions
9% of designated
destinations Limits
(Quarantines, Visa
limits, ban
And places to travel
And doctoral certificates)
43 %
Borders Closed
Destinations: 43%
Closed around the
world Or partly closed,
Border crossings
(90 countries)
43%
27%
21%
9%
Borders Closed
Flights Cancelled
Travel Prohibited
Restrictions

Travel Restrictions Affecting Flights 6
This slide covers impact of corona virus pandemic on flights such as number of boards closed, flights cancelled, travel prohibited and restrictions.
27 %
Flights Cancelled
27% From Destinations
Wholly or partly
Global cancelled
Flights, whatever the
Root (56 states)
9 %
Restrictions
9% of designated
destinations Limits
(Quarantines, Visa
limits, ban
And places to travel
And doctoral certificates)
43 %
Borders Closed
Destinations: 43%
Closed around the
world Or partly closed,
Border crossings
(90 countries)
Travel Prohibited
21% Destinations Are
Challenges
Bans on flying for
Rising travellers
In affected countries
COVID19 (44 Länder)
21 %
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Forecasted Impact On Air Travel (2020/2019) 7
This slide covers impact of corona virus pandemic on air transportation world-wide as ninety one per cent of destinations have imposed travel restrictions due to COVID-19.
Low cost companies (LCC) will suffer the most from the COVID-19 crisis, as the policies that will be implemented would make low prices unlikely in the short to
mid-term, and aircraft will need to drastically reduce occupation in order to retain passenger space.
RKPS Evolution
Passenger Income/ km
Income Totals Per Passenger
Billions USD
Income Losses in Airports
Billions USD
-88%
-76%
-50%
-19%
-15%
-4%
Asia
Pacific Europe
North
America
Middle
East
Latin
America /
Carribean Africa
-37%
-46%
-27%
-39% -41%
-32%
Asia
Pacific Europe
North
America
Middle
East
Latin
America /
Carribean Africa
-23.9% -24.6%
-16.9%
-5.7% -4% -1.5%
Asia
Pacific Europe
North
America
Middle
East
Latin
America /
Carribean Africa

Lockdown Brings Trucks To a Standstill In India 8
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak on truck transportation in India daily moving essential goods supply transports has collapsed.
Daily movement of trucks has collapsed to less
than 10% of normal levels
Umbrella body of goods vehicle operators
representing about 10 million truckers
Road transport accounts for about 60% of freight
traffic in India and 87% of its passenger traffic
In March, India's three largest state-run fuel retailers shrank
their diesel and gasoline sales by an estimated 26% and
17% respectively, and the lockout only came into effect at the
end of the month. Sales of jet fuel plunged 33%
OUTBREAK
ALERT
CORONAVIRUS
COVID-19
LOCKDOWN
Trucking has emerged as a major choke-
point for anything from food to medical
supplies in global supply chains as
authorities take drastic measures to control
the pandemic, limiting the movement of
trucks and people to drive them.
Road transport is another big drain on fuel
demand in the third-largest oil market in
the world

Worldwide Transportation Sector Situation In Corona Virus Pandemic 9
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak lockdowns on world-wide transportation system such as loss of daily income, agencies going bankrupt and many more.
Investments in
public transport
generated 31%
more jobs per dollar
than new road and
bridge building, and
road and bridge
maintenance work
generates 16%
more jobs per dollar
than new bridges
and road
construction
Transit riding in
several areas is
down between
50-90%, on
top of a long-
term decline
The BART system
in San Francisco
loses $55
million a month
due to decreased
ridership and lower
sales tax revenues
Governments are
beginning to
interfere to avoid
collapse of public
transit systems: the
US. CARES Act
provided 25
billion dollars
in emergency
assistance for
transportation
agencies
Reports in Brazil
show a daily loss of
over 1 billion
R$ (188
million
dollars)
Pandemic coronavirus lockouts have put an enormous strain on public transit networks worldwide

10
transportation
back
suppliers
Outbreak
› Risk screening

Socially Distant Constraints 11
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak such as how one infected person can spread coronavirus to nine others in public transport due to which concept of social destining is implemented.
Key Takeaways
Covid-19 Infected
Initial Covid-19
Carrier
Covid-19 Infected
with no symptoms
Infected 30 mins after
carrier disembarked
Uninfected
Driver
4.5 meters
Citing higher chance of virus spreading across the population
in buses
Most city / state / national governments released guidelines
for the operators of public transport.
Demand for passenger transport is guided by socially
distancing constraints
These included specific instructions from ticketing to
disinfecting seats
Add text here

Application of The Avoid-shift-improve Framework 12
This slide covers the Instruments capable of supporting mobility during COVID19 were identified and structured by Avoid (evade any non-essential travel), Shift (shifting to most essential traffic) and
Improve (improving essential modes of transport).
“AVOID”
› Avoid to travel
› Add text here
No Travel Activity
No desire or need to travel
Active Transport
Walking, Cycling
Public Motorized Transport
Public Transport (Bus, Rail)
Individual Motorized Transport
Car, Taxi, Motorcycle
Bans / Restrictions Other Policies Planning / Engineering Instruments Quality of Public Transport / Taxis Information Instruments
Differentiations b/w essential and
non-essential activities transports
Expansion of E - governance
services
Expansion of (temporary) bike routes Sanitation / Cleaning Public Awareness Campaigns
Travel bans Teleworking flexible work schedule Add text here Free bike sharing schemes Mobility Management
Entry bans to countries Virtual meetings and conferences Add text here Add text here Add text here
Curfew’s / Lockdown’s Add text here Add text here Add text here Add text here
Add text here Add text here Add text here Add text here
Add text here Add text here
Add text here
› Publicity of clear public transportation
› Add text here
“SHIFT” “IMPROVE”
› Improving performance and quality
› Add text here

Public Transport- Social Distancing Guidelines 13
This slide covers the social distancing criteria and Disruption Due to Social Distancing such as limiting the number of passengers to avoid physical contact and many more.
Users of public transport are advised not to leave the house unless "absolutely
necessary" and will now keep social distance on the metro
They will need to wear a face mask while using public transport, because only
two people can share a taxi
The number of taxi riders per taxi (at the rear seat) was
limited to two
We advise riders not to use public transport, when
required, to schedule their journeys ahead in order to
avoid peak hours, as delay is anticipated due to the new
steps taken, and also to comply with or onboard the
supervisors deployed at bus and subway stations
Taxis
Officers conduct random checks on board, so make sure you 're bringing
your authorized card with you when you're on the bus or you're going to get
a USD200 fine. Women and children are reserved for the first three rows
Steps undertaken involve limiting the number of passengers per metro / bus to
keep riders at a safe distance
Bus doors will be controlled by the driver
Buses
Passengers must wear a
face mask
Passengers with fever and
flu symptoms are advised
not to ride
Observe alternate seating policy. Stand with demarcated floor stickers.
Only 2 passengers per taxi
T
AXI
T
AXI

14
transportation
back
suppliers
Outbreak
› Risk screening

Impact of COVID-19 on Businesses and The Workforce 15
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak on transportation demand such as drastic fall in in public transportation use in many towns.
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Negative Productivity
Conversion Growth or Decline due to COVID-19
Non-flexible work
arrangements
demotivates employee
and causes decrease
in productivity
Social Distancing measures
have been put in place to
control the spread of COVID-
19 to whole cities that are
subject to mandatory
lockdown and curfews
causing less demand for
transportation and travel
COVID-19 related
stress is having an
impact on productivity
Pay cuts of the
workforce due to
less demand of
transportation
Add text here
Key Takeaways

Workforce Loosing Productivity 16
This slide has covers problems causing loss of transportation works and employee's productivity such as laying-off workers due to less demand of transportation and travelling.
of workers we surveyed reported losing at least one hour a day
in productivity due to COVID-19 related stress
losing more than two hours per day
› Businesses have already started to layoff workers due
to less demand of transportation and travelling
› Pay cuts of the employees
› Stress levels at work are through the roof
› Coronavirus crisis has become a mental health crisis
for the employees.
› Add text here
Problems Causing Loss Of Productivity
Average U.S. worker, has lost at least two hours of productivity a day, costing at least
$12,000 in missed productivity a employee over a year
The focus on stress in the workers may be costly for employers , especially non-essential companies, trying to automate the
workflow in the midst of the pandemic
COVID-19 related stress is having an impact on productivity

Risk of losing Productivity And Effectiveness In COVID-19 pandemic 17
This slide covers reasons in downfall of the productivity of the employees such as such as working from home is decreasing productivity of the employees and ability of engagement with other co workers.
Work from home is
reducing productivity and
ability to engage with
colleagues and customers
36% of a manager’s time
is spent in meetings and
only 39% of meetings
achieve their objectives
Productivity and
engagement from a
workforce that is struggling
and working from home
becomes even more critical

18
transportation
back
suppliers
Outbreak
› Risk screening

COVID-19 Global Supply Chain Disruptions 19
This slide covers the disruptions in Transportation Management Services of USA, Mexico, Canada and international ocean.
U.S.
– Less than Truckload
› Volumes down
› Shipment densities in flux due to customer and business strategy recalibration
› Carriers with high operating ratios should be closely monitored as things grow
› Storage imbalances on the West Coast stabilising
› Abundant power to dray
› Competition with the market for soft trucks is becoming fiercer
› Cost-saving opportunities and higher service levels are plentiful
– Intermodal
– Flatbed
› Some airlines requesting forwarders to pre-pay for blocked space
› Add text here
› Add text here
– Bulk
› Tale of two markets – critical and non-essential commodity flows generating Tier 1 supply
chain volatility
› Add text here
› Add text here
Mexico – Truckload
› Significant government policy control, including labour and wage limits
› Automotive to ramp up in the weeks to come
› The oil and travel sectors which are key drivers of Mexico 's economy are under pressure
› Foreign currency kept at ~24 pesos / USD
Canada – Truckload/LTL
› A decrease in movements southbound into the U.S. would strain backhauls into the U.S.
› Drivers are more reticent to accept layovers; US questions impact load acceptance
› Some LTL carriers are starting to restrict rural activities
International Ocean
› Blank sailings remain a means of balancing supply-demand
› 11 Emerging high-risk carriers in the Altman Z-Scores insolvency index
› There are warehousing restrictions for main non-essential supply chains
› Loosening conditions pre-march
› Mid-March hoarding created temporary shortages of capacities in critical markets
› The situation of overcapacity in April takes over across all sectors and geographies
– Full Truckload
D i s r u p t i o n s

Effects of COVID-19 on Transportation Demand 20
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak on transportation demand such as drastic fall in in public transportation use In many towns.
› With rising policy controls, both public
transit services and their demands have
been badly hit
› Drastic drop in public transport use in
many towns
› Add text here
› Add text here
Key Takeaways
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
Change
Israel -76.5% Madrid -86.4% SF, San Fransisco - San Jose -72.8%
Roma e Lazio -89% Chicago, IL -59.2% NYC, New York -0 New Jersey -62.4%
Boston, MA -62.7% Washington, DC - Baltimore, MD -52.1% Toronto, ON -61.7%
Others -67.61%

Disruption in Global Logistics Industry: Mobility: Automotive & Transportation 21
This slide covers the unusual effect of corona pandemic on supply chain of the global logistics and transportation industry.
Production logistics approaching
deglobalization effect
Ocean freight transportation takes
the slow lane
Airlines are turning into
cargo planes
Workforce shortage and closed
borders impact the road freight and
distribution service
› The COVID-19 epidemic has
directly and indirectly affected the
global maritime industry
› Weakening trust in manufacturing
and weak demand for goods and
raw materials intensify uncertainty
for the ocean freight industry
› Two-thirds of the world's 10 largest
busiest ports meet over 40 per cent
of the world's maritime trade
› Lockdown of the market has led to
supply shortages and the pandemic
scenario is taking a toll from oil
tankers to container lines on the
maritime transportation segments
› The decline in freight volume has
contributed to increased
cancelations and delays in carrier
operation, and the announcement of
blank sailing
› The air cargo industry was a key
partner in ensuring the functioning
of the global supply chain for
essential and time-bound shipments
› Leading to the pandemic crisis, the
global demand for air cargo dropped
by 3% in January and February
2020, and the fall was partially
balanced by increased demand for
air cargo from essential relief
supplies and other intermediate
goods
› COVID-19 speeds worldwide, air
carriers have grounded their fleets
in response to the plummeting
demand and travel constraints
› Shutdowns around regions of the
economy are proving a nightmare
for road freight transport and
distribution services
› Job shortages at ports and terminal
hubs along with barrier closure have
stranded goods; driver shortages in
the trucking industry and reduced
fleet deployments have contributed
to bottlenecks in the supply chain
› The worldwide pandemic scenario
induced a fast and unusual rise in
online grocery demand, creating a
tailwind for domestic road freight
and channels of distribution

Effect of COVID-19 on supply chain of the transportation market 22
This slide covers the effect of corona pandemic on supply chain of the transportation sector causing less demand for transports and disruption in supply chain.
Causing Less Demand For Transportation And Disruption In Supply Chain
The industry may suffer from the pandemic in the long term if
consumers change their travel behavior for fear of disease
The industry may suffer from the pandemic in the long term if
consumers change their travel behavior for fear of disease
Add text here
Add text here
The logistics sector suffer strongly from closed boarders
Add text here
-20
0
20
40
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
-20
0
20
40
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
-20
0
20
40
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Automotive
Tourism & Travel
- 6.5
- 29.2
- 7.4
Logistics

23
transportation
Risk 4: Recession, Unemployment and Investment
Pull-back
› US trucking employment index plummeting below base in
pandemic
suppliers
Outbreak
› Risk screening

Coronavirus Recession With Transportation Industry 24
This slide covers the risk of recession in transportation industry such as downfall in GDP of goods and transport market and shutting off large parts of the US economy.
More than 400 shipping carriers, shippers and brokers have reported that
the economic effect of shutting off large parts of the US economy has
impacted 100%
For the second quarter, the GDP Goods Transport Market will by almost
10 % from the first quarter. If the same rate continued for the remainder of
this year the in the sector will hit 45%
The freight market is moving towards peak disruption and could be ready for
a V-shaped recovery even if the wider economy settles in a U-shaped
recovery or an L-shaped recovery
V-shaped slumps mark a sharp downturn and rapid recovery. There is a broad
trough to the U curve. L-shaped recession is prolonged for years

Logistics Industry Vulnerable To COVID-19 Trade Flows At Risk 25
This slide covers the three scenarios of the corona virus situation such as in case of fast recovery, in case of delayed cure or profound recession.
Key Takeaways
Worst-case the profound recession
situation predicts a severe decline in
demand, with recuperation not until
H1 2021 in line with global
economic growth.
The moderate scenario predicts
prolonged unscheduled downtime in
production, leading to a sustained
decline in demand for logistics
services. Further lockdowns in major
regions will also expose the industry
to increased risk.
The best-case scenario, with the
greatest impact in china, is due to
quarantine measures and the
isolation of whole provinces.
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
YoY
Growth
in
%
2020 2021
2019
YoY
Growth
in
%
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2020 2021
2019
YoY
Growth
in
%
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2020 2021
2019
Assessment Of Regional Impact
China
Europe
USA
China
Europe
USA
China
Europe
USA
Low Impact High Impact
* Gross Value Added (GVA)
Fast Recovery
2020 - 0.2 ppts 2021 - 0.0 ppts
Profound Recession
2020 - 4.0 ppts 2021 - 2.0 ppts
Delayed Care
2020 - 0.6 ppts 2021 0.0 ppts
GVA* Impact
Forecast Impact of Covid-19

US Trucking Employment Index Plummeting Below Base in Pandemic 26
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak on transportation demand such as drastic fall in in public transportation use In many towns.
Key Takeaways
As demand for critical goods stabilizes and non-essential freight
shipments plunge, US job losses are creeping into domestic
transporting goods.
Job cuts in the US trucking industry were not as severe as in the
wider economy in April.
For-hire trucking companies lost more than 88,000 jobs in April, an
employment decrease of 5.8 % from March.
Fall of 6.2 % year-over-year. More than 1.4 million employees were
involved in payrolls at truckload and less-than-truckload ( LTL)
carriers tracked.
Only courier companies increased employment by a small amount
1,800 workers, according to BLS presumably buoyed by e-
commerce demand.
93
95
97
99
101
103
105
107
Index
Reading
(100
–
4Q
2006
JOC For-Hire Trucking Employment Index
JOC For-Hire Trucking Employment Index

Industries Suffering The Biggest Job Losses 27
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak on transportation and warehousing industry along with other major industries.
-$4,59,000 bn
-$52,000 bn
-$46,200 bn
-$29,000 bn
-$18,000 bn
-$7,000 bn
4,900
1,000
800
900
2,000
12,000
Leisure and Hospitality
Healthcare and Social Assistance
Professional and Business Services
Retail Trade
Construction
Manufacturing
Transport and Warehouse
Financial Activities
Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Information
Government
The unemployment rate jumped nearly a
full percentage point to 4.4% from
3.5%
The drop in jobs nearly matched the
gains achieved over the previous
two years
Companies preparing customer meals,
snacks and beverages for either on-site
(sit-down restaurants and bars) or off-
site (delivery and take-out) consumption
saw payrolls slide by 4,17,000
Key Takeaways

Jobs Risk due to COVID-19 Outbreak 28
This slide covers the risk of unemployment in short terms as well as in long term in different industries.
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Agriculture, Forestry, & Fishing
Mining, Quarrying, & Oil and Gas
Utilities
Management of Companies & Enterprises
Repair & Maintenance
Information
Finance & Insurance
Religious Services
Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services
Personal Services
Educational Services
Real Estate & Rental
Wholesale Trade
Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation
Transportation & Warehousing
Manufacturing
Government
Administrative, Support, & Waste Services
Construction
Healthcare & Social Assistance
Retail Trade
Accomodation & Food Services
Lower Range Upper Range
Key Takeaways
› Vulnerable jobs such as furloughs,
layoffs or being rendered
unproductive.
› Workers are kept on payroll but not
working during the period of social
distancing
› 44 MM to 57 MM jobs are at risk in
short term
› Add text here
› Add text here

Investment Pull Back Status in Transportation Sector 29
This slide covers the risk of investment pull back in transportation sector due to corona outbreak and percentage of investors lost in FY2020.
Declining 14.2% on average over that period, mainly due to
weakness in their international divisions
Key Takeaways
Pullback of those stocks would likely see pressure—as they have
already—in a coronavirus-related pullback
Indicator of economic trends, has slipped 1% so far this year, as a
result of coronavirus worries, compounded by weak company results
and signs that freight activity has been soft
Transport stocks have also been an underperformer, rising 5.7%
over 12 months versus a 21% gain for the S&P 500
Figures in bold denote the % of respondents
30-45% Loss
37%
45-60% Loss
12%
Over 60% Loss
4%
Less than 15 5 Loss
14%
15-30% Loss
33%
Investor 1 Investor 2 Investor 3 Investor 4 Investor 5
INVESTORS
LOST in
2020

30
transportation
back
suppliers
Outbreak
› Risk screening

Economic Instability: Impact of COVID-19 on the Automotive and Transportation
Market Outlook
31
This slide covers the economic instability in automotive and transportation sector due to coronavirus pandemic such as down fall in sale and working staff of the companies.
Economic Impact Per $ Billion of Capital Spending Per $ Billion of Operations Spending Per $ Billion of Average Spending
Jobs (Employment, thousands) 23.8 41.1 36.1
Output (Business Sales, $ billions) $ 3.0 $ 3.8 $ 3.6
GDP (Value Added, $ billions) $ 1.5 $ 2.0 $ 1.8
Labor Income ($ billions) $ 1.1 $ 1.8 $ 1.6
Tax Revenue ($ millions, rounded) $ 350 $ 530 $ 490
› 78% of businesses do not have adequate staff to operate a
complete assembly line. More than 80% of the world's car supply
chain links with China
Engine and
Exhaust
Systems
Body (Interior
and Exterior)
On-Highway and
Off-Highway
Vehicles
Advanced
Technologies
Driving Support
and Security Automotive
Components
and Materials
Automotive
Systems
Automotive
Electronics and
Electrical
Equipment
COVID-19 Outbreak,
its impact on global and
regional economies and its
implications for the automotive
and transport sectors
‘COVID-19’ Effect on the Automotive and Transportation Industry' offers a holistic view of the automotive and transportation sector 's exposure to COVID-19,
covering markets such as…
› Car sales in China fell by 18% According to the China Passenger
Car alliance (CPCA), first-two-month sales could drop by 40% or
more especially in comparison to the same 2019 period
› Output shortfalls resulting from disruptions in China's supply chain
would affect the global automotive and transportation industry

Economic Instability : GDP Goods Transportation Sector 32
This slide covers the economic instability in transportation market due to corona virus outbreak such as drop in GDP and many more.
Key Takeaways
Forecasting by FTR economist Bill Witte
Q1’20 F Q2’20 F Q3’20 F Q4’20 F 2019 2020 F 2021 F 2022 F
Basic Gross Domestic Product
(GDP)
- 0.3% - 23.6% 22.1% 5.9% - 2.3% - 2.1% 5.5% 3.1%
Industrial Production (IP) -4.3% - 23.5% - 5.6% - 5.1% - 0.9% - 6.2% 3.7% 4.2%
Good Transportation Sector (GTS) - 11.1% - 44.5% 10.8% 23.6% 1.6% - 11.2% 9.7% 6.0%
Imports of Goods 5.8% - 28.7% - 21.0% - 1.8% - 1.5% - 6.1% 1.8% 13.4%
Unemployment Rate 3.8% 12.7% 10.2% 8.0% 3.7% 8.7% 4.4% 3.8%
Housing Starts (mills) 1.34 0.59 0.75 0.87 1.30 0.89 1.21 1.59
-23.6%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4
Forecast Prior Forecast
Q/Q Change, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate
This quarter's seasonally adjusted
GDP dropped by almost 24 per cent
The fall is predicted in the next three
months, meaning GDP will have a
greater hill to climb in the second half of
2020 and beginning of 2021
The latest GDP forecast (blue) against
early March forecast

Civil Unrest Due to COVID-19 33
This slide covers the unrests in the public due to corona virus outbreak such as Citizens are afraid of traveling in public vehicles, civil instability and religious tensions.
Citizens are afraid of traveling in public vehicles because of virus causing less demand for transportation
Public concern over Covid-19 and associated limits has interrupted a month-long wave of agitation over a
controversial bill on citizenship
The Government can not guarantee the security of workers and the provision of food, medicine and other
important products
Covid-19's dissemination is unlikely to have direct effects on civil unrest, despite widespread support for
government intervention. However, as the risk of contamination rises, more stringent policies will undoubtedly
increase the probability of civil instability and territorial conflict
Add text here
Covid-19's economic and social impacts will undoubtedly raise the likelihood of civil instability and religious
tensions in parts of the world

34
transportation
back
suppliers
Outbreak
› Risk screening

Actions Taken by Transportation Companies for Efficient and Sustainable Services 35
This slide covers the actions steps taken by transportation companies to provide effec9oent and sustainable services to the travelers.
Services should
stick to a strict
capacity limit
Social distancing
on board
PPE for
all drivers
Vehicles are fully
sanitized before
and after each
journey / transfer.
Other Steps Include…
A c t i o n s T a k e n
Ensuring protection is a key priority should only take routes when
demand requires it.
Providing access to extra capacity via a network of vetted coach
operators with vehicles otherwise not used.
Indeed, software and a 24/7 operating center to implement infection
prevention measures to keep riders safe is a way to overcome the
above challenges.

Opportunities To Make Safer, More Sustainable Transport In A Post-covid-19 World 36
This slide covers the opportunities in transportation sector to make public transport an integral part of stimulus packages for economic recovery.
Ensure Stability Through Revenue Support to Transit Operations
› In the U.S, public transport supports 430,000 jobs.
› Congestion pricing and parking management, increasing revenue, reducing
private vehicle demand and promoting the use of public transport, walking
and biking.
› National and state governments providing ongoing cash infusions for safe
and high-quality public transport and ensuring that services remain in service
and are successful until maximum demand returns are achieved.
.
Invest in Cycling and Walking
› During COVID-19 lockdowns cycling has generally accelerated in many cities. With
certain important activities it's literally the easiest way to get around.
› Biking and pedestrian projects can also produce more jobs than road projects, with one
US study finding that up to 11 jobs are generated for every $1 million invested.
› Add text here
Getting Governance Right
› Add text here
› Add text here
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Create High-Quality Bus and Transit Infrastructure
› Scaling up public bus fleet electrification.
› Lifecycle costs of electric busses come similar to conventional diesel busses.
› Convert its entire public bus fleet to electric buses
› Implementation of greater capacity busses with cashless 'tap-and-go' payments,
free wi-fi (a high-demand feature ) and bus stops covered.
› The digitalization of public transport networks in all cities is an immense field of
expenditure that can greatly lead to increasing the standard of service, and
therefore riding.
Modernize and Electrify Bus Fleets
› To give public transport riders reliability, speedy service, low fares, safety and
comfort.
› Expanding cycling and walking infrastructure
› Implementation of exclusive or chosen bus lanes will boost the first two attributes.
› Dedicated bus routes and bus rapid transit (BRT) networks will help increase travel
times and work access while reducing congestion and making roads safer

37
transportation
back
suppliers
Outbreak
› Risk screening

COVID-19 Impact Heat Map 38
This slide covers the corona virus pandemic impact heat on different sectors coming under high exposure, low exposure and moderate exposure.
Workers with high
potential for
exposure to known
or suspected sources
of COVID-19
Including medical
transport workers
(e.g., Ambulance vehicle
operators) moving
known or suspected
COVID-19 patients in
enclosed vehicles
Weakening
transportation
demand
The transport market in
US at risk is the
most vulnerable to
COVID-19 disease
outbreak disruptions due
to high exposure
Key
Takeaways
COVID-19
Impact Heatmap
Lodging / Leisure and Restaurants (Includes Cruise Lines)
Passenger Airlines
Transportation Services (Includes Shipping)
Automotive and Auto Suppliers
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Transportation Risk Screening for COVID-19 39
This slide covers the corona virus pandemic assessment criteria (allocation of a risk score )for transportation business.
Criteria Score
Is there documented local transmission (community spread) in the host country? 3
Will the event include in-person participants from outside of the host country? 1
Will the event include in-person participants from countries that have documented active local
transmission (community spread)?
5
Does the event involve a significant number of in-person participants at greater risk of serious illness
(people > 65 years of age, people with existing conditions of health)?
2
Would the incident include in-person respondents from regions which have documented active local
(community spread) transmission?
4
Total
Allocate a risk score. 1 point is allocated for each

COVID-19 Risk Assessment Matrix 40
This slide covers the corona virus outbreak potential impact on transportation business based on business importance and probability.
Areas Of Potential Risks -
Public transportation (including shipping) and
private transport enterprises
Add text here
Risk Mitigation Plan would include the following -
› Add text here
› Add text here
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Probability
Business
Importance
Medium Risk
Changes to global trade
Interest rates, exchange rates and
commodity prices
Corporate financial position
Low Risk
High Risk
Employee disruption
Supply-chain disruption
Reduction in demand / idle capacity
Medium Risk
Shifting policies & regulation e.g.
Monetary, immigration, hygiene
Health system preparedness
Low Impact Low Impact
High Impact
High Impact

COVID-19 Risk Assessment Matrix 41
This slide covers the corona virus outbreak potential impact on transportation business based on business importance and probability.
Medium Risk
Shifting policies & regulation e.g.
Monetary, immigration, hygiene
Health system preparedness
High Risk
Employee disruption
Supply-chain disruption
Reduction in demand / idle capacity
Low Risk
High Impact
Probability
Business
Importance
Areas of potential risks -
Public transportation
(including shipping) and
private transport enterprises
Add text here
Risk Mitigation Plan would
include the following -
› Add text here
› Add text here
› Add text here
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High Impact
Low Impact
Low Impact
Medium Risk
Changes to global trade
Interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices
Corporate financial position

Risk Impact Analysis of Lockdown on Business 42
This slide covers the corona virus pandemic lockdowns impact analysis on the transportation business such as shipping, public and private transportation companies and many more.
Frequency
of Infection
Very Low
Severity
Low
Severity
Medium
Severity
High
Severity
Very High
Severity
Very High Frequency Add text here
Reduction in
demand
JOB of the
workers
In assembly belt
High Frequency Add text here
Supply chain
disruption
Medium Frequency
Transportation
demand
Transportation
timings
Low Frequency Add text here
Truck barriers
and checking
Low demand of
hiring cab
Very Low Frequency Add text here Add text here
Extremely Low
Frequency
Add text here Add text here Add text here
Coloured cells are the Risk Categories Low Risk Medium Risk High Risk Very High Risk
Severity of Consequences

Affected Area Priority Ranking
Impact
Category
Recovery Time
Objective (RTO)
Recovery Point
Objective (RPO)
Qualitative
Impact
Recovery
Strategy
Time Needed
for Recovery
Automotive
Employee
disruption
Serve Expenses Tech
Public
Transportation
Reduction in
demand
Moderate Legal Services
Shipping
Transportation
Reduction in
demand
Minimal Revenue loss Employees
Trucking
Supply chain
disruption
Customer Service
Other
Transportation
Services
Add text here Goodwill
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Effect On Different Business In Transportation Industry 43
This slide covers the corona virus pandemic impact on different transportation business such as automotive, public transport, shipping carriers, trucking business and many more.
Business Unit
(BU) Name

44
transportation
back
suppliers
Outbreak
› Risk screening

Review of Legal Documents and Policies 45
This slide covers the corona virus pandemic readiness checklist for the transportation section related to Review of Legal Documents and Policies.
Completed In Progress Not Started Not Applicable
Have you reviewed your employee manual? - - - -
Does your human resources specialist have guidance and training
for addressing medical emergencies
- - - -
Does your employee manual address COVID-19 or medical
emergencies?
- - - -
Do your agreements with independent contractors address medical
emergencies like COVID-19?
- - - -

Pandemic Coordinators 46
This slide covers the corona virus outbreak readiness checklist for the transportation section related to Pandemic Coordinators.
Have you identified a pandemic coordinator and/or team with
defined roles and responsibilities for preparedness and response
planning?
- - - -
Have you identified essential employees and other critical inputs - - - -
Have you trained and prepared ancillary workforce - - - -
Did you implement an exercise/drill to test your plan,
and revise periodically?
- - - -

Essential Employees 47
This slide covers the corona virus outbreak readiness checklist for the transportation section related to essential employees.
Should you foresee and require absences of staff during a
pandemic due to factors such as personal illness, illness of family
members, community isolation measures and quarantines, closures
of schools and/or businesses and closures of public transport?
- - - -
Do you promote and monitor workers annual influenza vaccination? - - - -
Add text here - - - -

Resources and Supplies 48
This slide covers the corona virus outbreak readiness checklist for the transportation section related to resources and supplies.
Do you provide adequate and accessible supplies of infection
control ( e.g., hand-hygiene products, tissues, and receptacles for
disposal) at all business locations?
- - - -
Do you provide such supplies for all vehicles? - - - -

49
transportation
back
suppliers
Outbreak
› Risk screening

Development of Mutual Risk-Sharing Strategy with Suppliers 50
This slide covers the corona virus pandemic mitigation strategy between suppliers and buyers in transportation sector.
The complexity of the coronavirus effect on the freight and
transportation industry
The interdependence in this sector between buyers and suppliers
has to be the importance of cooperation between the two parties
to identify issues relevant to transportation activities
One of the main areas where buyers and suppliers can collaborate
effectively is the constant monitoring of new areas where
quarantine measures are being implemented and the effective
identification of alternative travel routes
Add text here

Usage of Transportation/Warehouse Optimization Software by Suppliers 51
This slide covers the corona virus pandemic risk mitigation strategies such for usage of transportation/warehouse optimization software by suppliers.
Gradual blocking of transportation routes due to the impact of coronavirus has made it
essential for buyers to optimize their transportation routes
Customers are advised to use transport and warehouse optimization tools to help them
streamline their supply routes and reduce the fuel costs
Warehouse optimization software will provide buyers with insights into the availability of
space within warehouses, allowing buyers to plan transport activities based on their ad -
hoc basis / medium / long-term requirements
Add text here

Revisiting Contract Terms 52
This slide covers the corona virus outbreak risk mitigation strategies such as revisiting contract terms with suppliers in freight and transportation industry.
Prices of food and energy are
likely to experience regular
volatility, as the effect of
coronavirus on the global
economy increases.
This should be the cue for buyers
who account for substantial
investment in commodity markets
and energy items to re-engage
their suppliers and explore
strategies to keep them immune
from price volatility.
It is prudent to set the short-
term price of procurement in
the freight and transportation
industry or, at least, to maintain
a maximum cap on upside
price moves.

53
transportation
back
suppliers
Response to the Impact of the COVID-
19 Outbreak
› Risk screening

Build a Risk Maturity Model 54
This slide covers the corona virus outbreak risk maturity model including workplace safety issues, drivers contact with public, and workers with risk exposures.
Immature Performed Managed Predictable Mature
Drivers have contact with the public. What
infection prevention measures should I take
(medium exposure risk)
Not using
Aware but not
formalized use
Using
Regular use
outcomes
consistent
Sound
understanding
good use of
tools
Workplace safety issues for transportation
companies
Text here
Aware but not
clear on benefits
Understanding
across some
parts of the
organization
Text here
High degree of
awareness &
knowledge
Risk management activities undertaken None
Some (ad
hock),insufficien
t resources
Text here Formal program Text here
Workers with medium exposure risk may need to
wear some combination of gloves, a facemask,
and/or a face shield or goggles
Unsure of
benefits
Text here
Aware of some
benefits
Text here Text here
Parameters
of
Implementation

Transport Focus Survey Reveals Growing Caution Around Return to
Public Transport
55
This slide covers impact of corona virus pandemic on transportation industry along with key stats.
› Drivers with medium exposure risk wearing some
combination of gloves, a facemask, and/or a face
shield or goggles
› A rise in the number of people claiming they do not use
public transit because there is social gap – from 62%
two weeks ago to 72%
› 63 % people are not happy to use public transport
unless passengers are required to wear face
masks/coverings up about 51 %
› Add text here
› Add text here
Key Takeaways

Response to the Impact of the COVID-19 Outbreak 56
This slide covers impact of corona virus outbreak on people of different countries along with key statistics.
Other Countries USA Brazil India China Italy
› In the first week of the poll, 2,000 respondents found that the
percentage of people able to use transit as soon as restrictions
were relaxed fell from 24% to 18%.
› 66% of people say they 're more likely to use the vehicle than
public transit as restrictions ease.
› The number of people who say they will be able to fly via public
transit has fallen from 24% to 18% as long as limits are eased
› Older people are less enthusiastic with using public
transportation than younger people, when facial masks are
mandatory. 69% of those over 65 years of age hold the view,
compared with 53% of those aged 15-24.
› Add text here
› Add text here
Key Takeaways

Survey Reveals Passengers Want Social Distancing Enforced on Public Transport
after Lockdown
57
This slide covers impact of corona virus outbreak on people that Passengers in some areas Want Social Distancing Enforced on Public Transport After Lockdown.
83% agree that hand sanitizers on public
transport buses, stations and stops should
be available
People between 18 & 24 years of age are most
confident returning to public transport (40%)
62% will not use public transport unless
there is social distance, If passengers are
forced to wear face masks
People in Scotland (32%) and the West
Midlands (29%) are the most likely, with those
in the North West (19%) the least comfortable
51% will not be comfortable
using public transport

Icons Slide for Coronavirus
Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies in Transportation Industry
58

Our Mission 60
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Comparison 63
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Thank You 68
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