Covid 19 business organization with a forecast method

The unbelievable is today that deaths are not natural.
Deaths are social constructions of our organizations.
If we accept it. Death exists (BIRD CEO)

• WHAT MATTERS IN BUSINESS MANAGEMENT IS
F A K E N E W S = T I M E L Y
EXPERIENCE OF USERS OF
SOCIAL MEDIA WITH THEIR OWN
N A R R A T I V E S W H I C H I S
RELATED TO THE GEOGRAPHY
REGIONS THE PRODUCT THEY
ARE OFFERING ONLINE AGINST
COVID 19 ILLNESSES
Quality is what people expect
most from a traditional
pandemic, but it has to be
quick and an improved quality -
compared to the fakenews
goods one year vaccine is
created for the quality of the
remedies. ‘’Vaccine = science’’
PEOPLE
PROCESS
BUSINESS
PROCESS
GOVERNEMENT
PROCESS

1
+
FAKENEWS/
COMPETITIO
N
PEOPLE BUSINESS
TIME
INVESTMENT
GROWTH
SOCIA
MEDIA
PEOPLE
E-COMMERCE
GROW CURVE E-COMMERCE PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE (PLC)
0
0
Time for
assessing
the market needs
uncertainty on the market demands for needS, while the social
media expression is supporting people needs. The cost
optimization and covid 19 good price is key? Fakenews offer
quick solutions with popular goods that can be accepted by
some scientists and medical experts (Raoul...)
physical waves,
clouds, Global media
Covid 19 Early Warning
SystemNo cost,
free access
COVID 19
1 ST JANUARY
2020
3 MONTHS

BUSINESS GROWTH
INVESTMENT GOOD
CURVE PLC
Going up with a higher demand
and successful raising funds by
the multinationals for one year
covid 19 vaccines and vaccine
variations (ARM)
and vaccine competion (Moderna,
WARSPEED, COVAX, GAVIN,
Astrazenaka, Spoutnik, Sino-
vaccine...
FAKENEWS
Choloroquinine, marijuana,
drugs, tobacco...
temporary disqualified,
however after the production of
vaccines governement are able
to legalized the use of drugs
for addicted persons or in a
medicalized way
R&D
NO PROFIT, LOW
WORLD GDP= +3%
AN ECONOMIC FALL
2019-2020-20XX
PASTEUR
10-15 YEARS
ATTENUATED
VACCINE
2
COVID 19 ONE
YEARVACCINE
PRODUCTION START
NO R&D
TIME
BUSINESS
FUNDRAISING
FOR PROFITS:
1 YEAR VACCINE
PRODUCTION
VACCINE
PREPAREDNESS
FAKENEWS GOODS
No legalisation
of street drugs
Toward more
legalization of
medicalized
street drugs
(USA,
France...)?
2021
2020

UNDERSTANDING THE SALES PRINCIPLE AND THE YEAR INVESTMENT IN WESTERN ECONOMY
A B U S I N E S S I N V E S T S 1 0 0 T O D AY ( Y E A R 0 ) , T O E A R N 1 0 5 N E X T Y E A R ( Y E A R 0 + 1 )
SO THE DIFFERENCE: US$105 (2020) - US$100 (2021)= US$5
IF IN 2020 THE RESTRICTION IS A BUSINESS RISK
THE INVESTMENTS IN 2020 (CASHFLOWS) ARE LOST
SO US$ 0 (2020 = INVESTED BUT LOST) - US$105 (EXPECTED, BUT NOT MATERIALIZED DUE TO COVID
RESTRICTIONS= - US$105
CONCLUSION THE MONEY LOST FOR THE COUNTRY IS DOUBLE OF THE INVESTMENT
LOST US$100 (A)+ LOST US$105 (B) TOTAL LOST IS US$ 205 -> BUSINESS BANKRUPCY
A= annual investment to pay the debt, salaries, investment of 2021.
B= expected return for the payment of A...
So, the world was regressing with debts, huge collapsing economies, breakdowns, airline closures..
Governement uses the bank bailout (while endebted future generations, that cannot produce and refund the banks because of
economic competion, in the case of some countries). Other countries have used the private capitals and the investors to pay back the
debts, or bonds as source of external funding. This regress may follow us in the future years, if the country is not producing. If we
cannot create jobs. If the unemployment is rasing. if there is no more solidarity...if...if....if...the return to violence is looming with
underdevelopment, and disappearance of human rights
We should all say thank you to older persons, we have boorowed of their huge accumlulated assests in the banks (ECB, IMF..) with the
payment of taxes. This money traveled from the past for today. It is increasing the future uncertainties even more.
Now, who is going to save the lives of future generations if covid 19 returns today, in
2022 or beyond?

Why social media was a king? Because the free
market society was on line in the social media
offering ready made solution for covid illnesses.
• IT WAS PERCEIVED AS FAKENEWS BECAUSE THE
TIME WAS RELATIVE (SCIENTIST ENSTEIN AND THE
RELATIVITY LAW).
• SOCIAL MEDIA ARE LIKE RELATIVITY LAW AND NOT A
CLOCK OR ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE WITH EQUAL
LENGHT TIME UNIVARIABLE IN ALL CIRCUMSTANCES.

• SO, WHE YOU ARE TELLING A STORY IN THE SOCIAL MEDIA. I WAS IN NEW YORK IN BEGINNING OF 2020, I COULD
SEE THE EVOLUTION OF THE CORONA VIRUS IN USA, WHILE IT WAS NOT SHENGEN AREA AT THAT TIME, I WAS ON
THE SOCIAL MEDIA EXCHANGES. THERE WAS ONLY ONE COVID 19 ILLNESS, BUT DIFFERENT REMEDIES
ACCORDING TO THE COUNTRY GEOGRAPHY DISPERSION, THE TIME OF THE BLOGGIST EXPERIENCE AND THE
NETWORK WAS A MARKET PLACE FOR EXCHANGES OF IDEAS AND RECIPES LIKE A COOKING OR IF YOU ARE
LOOKING FOR AN HOLIDAY RESORT AS THERE IS NO SALES POINT FOR COVID GOODS
• PEOPLE ON SOCIAL MEDIA ARE QUITE RATIONALS. THEY ARE SCIENTISTS, DOCTORS, MEDICAL PROFESSIONALS.
• HOWEVER, THE COMMUNICATION IS OFTEN LIKE ORDERIND MEAL IN A RESTAURANT WITH FRIEND,YOU NEED TO
LOOK AT THE MENU AND DISCUSS ABOUT THE ASSORTED OR THE MEAL SOPHISTICATION ASSORTED TO YOUR
OWN TASTE AND COULD ASK MORE QUESTIONS. THE REFLEXION MAY LEAD TO DIFFERENT PERCEPTION. FOR
EXAMPLE, THE NARRATIVE FOR THE ILLNESS AND THE TREATMENT IS NOT BASED ON THE SYNERGY OF TIME. MY
VIRUS STORY OR QUESTION IS PERHAPS IN MY PAST. HOWEVER, IT COULD SERVE FOR YOUR OWN COVID
ILLNESS TODAY OR IN THE FUTURE. ALSO, PEOPLE ARE IMAGING THAT IN THE FUTURE IF THEY HAVE AN ILLNESS,
THEY COULD TAKE REMEDIES FROM AN EXPERIENCED CONVERSATION OF THE PAST OR TODAY TO BEST SERVE
THEIR IN FUTURE. NO EXPERIENCE ON SOCIAL MEDIA CAN BE SEEN. IT IS PURELY IN THE IMAGINATION AND PURE
PROCESS OF BRAIN AND INTLLECTUAL PROPERTIES FROM INDIVIDUAL GATHERING IN THE CLOUDS AND LINKED
TO THE WAY YOU CAN THINK OR YOUR CULTURE.
• CONCLUSION ALL REMEDIES WERE FREE AND ACCESSIBLE WITHOUT THE PATENT RIGHTS THAT ARE NEEDED
FOR COVID 19 (IN 2021) AND REDUCING THE BUSINESS SCOPE AND CREATING THE GROWTH WITHOUT A SPREAD
OF NEW CAPITALISM WITH THE USA POLICIES ON VACCINE THAT BORROWS I ASSUMED ON BLOGGISTS DEALS
DURING THE SOCIAL MEDIA EXCAHNGES IN 2020

• SO, COLLECTIVELY, ALL SOCIAL MEDIA BLOGGISTS HAVE MEDICAL INPUTS FROM
THE ILLNESS EXPEREINCE AND THEY ARE SHARING IT. THE SOCIAL MEDIA
PROCESS, IF YOU ARE NOT AN EXPERT OF SOCIAL MEDIA IS PERCEIVED AS
FAKENEWS.
• BUT, BELIEVE ME SCIENCE IS ALSO A FAKENEWS. TAKE FOR EXAMPLE THE COVID
19 VACCINE. 1 YEAR TO MAKE A VACCINE. IT IS IMPOSSIBLE. A CLASSIC VACCINE
BASED ON THE SCIENTIST PASTEUR TOOK 10- 15 YEARS TO DEVELOP AND EACH
TIME A VACCINE BRAND WAS 15 YEARS. SO, SAYING THAT 1 YEAR VACCINE IS
SCIENCE IS ALSO A FAKENEWS. THE COVID 19 VACCINE IS NOT DIFFEREN THAN
FAEKENEWS ON SOCIAL MEDIA. BECAUSE YOU DO NOT KNOW IN THE FUTURE THE
CONSEQUENCE OF SUCH EMERGING TECHNOLOGY ON THE HUMAN BODY. NO
SCIENTIST CAN SEE THE FUTURE TO SAY THAT COV ID 19 VACCINE IN 2021 WILL BE
STILL A GOOD REMEDIES TO PROTECT PEOPLE LIVES;
• ALSO, NOBODY CAN OBSERVE THE PAST OF COVID 19 VACCINE. BECAUSE IT WAS A
VACCINE MADE WITHOUT RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT.

• SO ALL EXPERIENCES MADE BY SCIENTISTS ARE THEIR OWN CONTRIBUTION AND INNOVATIONS AND
NOT SCIENCES. THEY HAVE OBSERVED ONLY TODAY. HOW THE COVID VACCINE PLAYS ON THE HUMAN
BODY WITH STATISTICAL ANALYSES TO TEST THE COMPATIBILITY TODAY (15 MINUTES AFTER
RECEIGVING THE COVID VACCINE SHOT).
• SAMPLING OF POPULATION AND LONG TERM WITH R&D CAN BE DIFFERENT. MEDICAL SCIENTISTS
KNOW ONLY THE COVID 19 VACCINE BEHAVIOR TODAY ON THE PANDEMIC, BUT NOT IN THE PAST AND
NOT IN THE FUTURE, BECAUSE WE ARE NOT ABLE TO OBSERVE IT AS WITH THE PASTEUR VACCINE. THE
FUTURE REACTION OF COVID 19 ON THE LONG RUN. WE WANT TO SAVE LIVES IMMEDIATELY BECAUSE
OF THE FEARS OF THE NGO PROSECUTING GOVERNMENTS FOR NOT ACTING ENOUGH OR QUICKLY.
• SO, COVID 19 VACCINE IN THIS WAY IS COMPARABLE TO A FAKE VACCINE. TO REINFORCE THE FAKE
ASPECT OF THE COVID VACCINE IT HAS BEEN CALLED NEW EMERGING VACCINE. THE NEW VACCINE
BRAND FORCES PEOPLE TO SEE IN THE FUTURE WHILE THEY HAVE A CLASSIC VISION OF REAL
VACCINE BASED ON 10 YEAR TIMESCALE PRODUCTION OF A TRUE VACCINE.
• ANOTHER ASPECT OF FAKENEWS VACCINE IS THE FACT THAT THE VACCINE IS ON DEMAND, AND NOT
FREELY ACCESSIBLE. IT HAS TO BRING REVENUES TO THE MANUFACTURERS. OTHERWISE, THEY ARE
NOT PRODUCING THE COVID 19 VACCINE. SO, BUSINESSES HAVE RECRUITED EXPERTS AND
MARKETERS LIKE BILL GATES PHILANTROPIST AND LEADERS TO PULL THE FUNDRAISING MARKET FOR
A 1 YEAR VACCINE. IT IS THE FIRST TIME THAT BUSINESSES ARE TAKING THE RISK TO PRODUCE A
VACCINE IN ONE YEAR. SO, ONE YEAR VACCINE IS FAKE VACCINE, IN THIS WAY COMPARED TO
STANDARD OF VACCINE MANUFACTURED BASED ON THE PATENT RIGHTS, I THINK.

So, like the food business. if you have too much food. If you do not want too loose
the food. In order to make so, the supermarket can discount the food for a
cheaper price, or it can give it to homeless people.
It was the same with covid 19 vaccines. The good quality vaccines were difficult to
discount, while difficult to sell. So, it was important to avoid to produce too many,
to avoid to give them to poor countries, or to avoid to discount them, because of
the loss of the investment due to the cost of producing a vaccine.
So, a nice government like France, would not produce vaccine, but would borrow
money to buy discount vaccines or when the Spoutnik vaccine was on the market
shelves (doctors, pharmacists, stadium, townhall...) you can get a shot or two. So,
everybody is happy, the buyer, the seller and the customer of vaccine.

• Opposite to too much vaccine, you have the reverse situation that if the manufacturer of vaccine does not
know the quantity needed by the population. It cannot produce, because it can lose its money of it is
producing too much for discount. Also, it can miss an opportunity to get a profit, if it does not respond to the
exact amount of the market demand. Particulalry, if the demand starts to be important. So, in producing in
uncertainty, and without loosing the opportunity for a business profit, there will be an assessement made,
between the cost of production and the likely hood of the demand. So, the optimum vaccine price is the
production cost of the vaccine and added to it the busines margin which is representing the profit. All these
production astuces are like a race for the winning the lotteries.
• Business are engaged if other busineses are competing. The more business and more likely to share the
benefit of the vaccine cake. And at the same time, in the competition, it can have parternship and cooperation,
to avoid losing more than expected to ensure the business marging for the investors.
• Utilmate, covid vaccine would not be produced. Because business does not produce without making a profit.
• The USA law, is clear, no commerce should be at lost. You cannot sell a good under the cost of production. It
is illegal.
• All good sold should be with a price maximization and not negative with a lost. So, if the governement did not
guarantee, the covid production, there would be no vaccine on the market, because there would be no needs.
• And the social media market would be king. People, would use drugs, choloroquinine, tobacco, malaria tablet,
etc or exercize more, or keep social distancing, wear a mask...
• As there was a profit taking. Business started to raise fund and covid 19 became a real business capital
investment with opportunity and risks.

COVID 19 RISK IS
INDENTIFIED
AND MORE
URGENT
RESPONSES ARE
NEEDED
INDICATOR 1
(UPPER LIMIT)
SINCE PASTEUR
WHAT THE
WORLD CAN
MAKE BEST
AGAINST
PANDEMIC IS A
VACCINE
INDICATOR 2
(ULTIMATE
LIMIT)
MEDIA OPPOSITION
BETWEEN SCIENCE
AND FAKENEWS
COVID IS NOT A REALITY(*°)
COVID 19 IS A REALITY (*)
use of fakenews
research for the market demands
busisness raising fund for a profit
making
- decision from the government
to protect people
Economic competition to
produce a vaccine
USA decide to expand its market
opportunity abroad.
The acceptance by people that
the covid 19 can save their lives
is a reality.
Too much covid 19 vaccines -> business are
forced to discount but not able to give it free
because they are producing at an optimize costs.
They are not humanitarian actions. They need to
keep a satisfactory margins to pays the workers
and the investment
Too little good produced. There is a risks for
the business unable to assess the needs for
covid vaccine to loose the business marging.
Thus producing at optimization cost, but due to
lack of marging, it would not be a profitable
business. What is a worth to invest. No workers
want to work for free. Slavery has been
abolished and is a crime against humanity. So,
there is no production unless there is an
important command, so money is not lost. and
the business margin is superior to the cost of
production.
Governement and business leaders negotiations
with health services, trade unions workers for
- Covid vaccine quantities, qualities (Covax,
Spoutnik, moderna, Astrazenac Pfeiffer,
Sinovaccine, ARM
regularities, time period...o avoid too little or too
many

COVID IS NOT A REALITY (PERSPECTIVE OF AUTHOR VIEWPOINT AND SELECTION
OF ELEMENTS TO ASSERT THAT COVID 19 WAS NOT A REALITY UNTIL THE
PRODUCTION OF VACCINE WAS DECIDED AND THE LOGISTICS AND VACCINE
OPERATIONS WERE EFFECTIVELY AN ONGOING PROCESS AND PEOPLE ACCEPTED
IT)
Evidences:
- WHO never found Covid 19 in Huwan Market during the medical visits in January and
February 2020 (Ref. WHO website)
- Impossibility to assess the numbers for covid needs and people that are affected and covid
illnesses.
in the view of the long responsiveness of health organisations and medical researchers, which
slow actions helped to promote the fakenews as a prediction of the coming risks, without able
to produce a vaccine, but with a flourishing E-commerce for medical or paramedical goods,
which have also, been recommended by expert of the medical professions at some stages of
the covid illnesses.
- Controlling factors from an external viewpoint, for the hospital admissions

• - WHO halted the polio in Africa. Why Polio was not ended in Pakistan or Afghanistan? It is said
that because of Pakistan and Afghanistan conflicts. (Ref? WHO report). Was Africa free of
armed conflicts and violences? Answer: It is unclear. WHO uses the remaining resources
for covid 19 (Ref. WHO website)
• - Childern and Youths were more likely using the hospital than the older persons (while covid 19
was different than the Spanish flu, which killed almost only children (Ref. WHO website)
• - It is unsure that there was a real pandemic due to the definition of a pandemic per a countriy
that can have a different appreciation?
• - Also, not all countires restricted their economies during the coivd 19 to save lives. For some
countries deaths and violences are regular.
• - Lacks of resources in some countries are recurrent and always existed, saying that there
was not resource in 2020 for covid 19, was not a novelty. It was an issue with development (and
not specifically related to a specific covid illness)
• - Is covid 19 a resource (economy), political or social choice through the lense of 40 millions
death annually due to None Communicable Diseases (NCD)? (WHO reference, GARD
organization). Now we have vaccinated the older persons, we cannot identify the 40 millions
annual deaths due to NCD. Can we?

• There was a mismatch between social, economy, politics, environment,
humanitarian, science, fakenews...business profitability...BILL GATES said we
need 40 billions to vaccinate the world population. Why vaccines for the world
were not free and for all?
• -
• - Scientifical researchers showed that covid 19 existed since 1960 with the
potential to kill.
• - Lancet medical researchers and other laboratories demonstrated that covid 19
virus was not as dangerous as the winter flu virus or other viruses. Today,
the new variations from South Africa, England...are more dangerous and
killing less than the covid 19. (Ref. information from the French media)
• - The covid surmorality has always been unclear. Which deaths are we
counting? Are all deaths in hospitals, or is it just the covid 19 death rate?
Why are the death number statistics not disagragated?

• - The medical staffs and nurses were called heroes at worse of covid 19. It showed
prefessionals can work in covid 19 affected environment, without resource and no
vaccines, with only a mask, social distancing...restrictions... These measures existed
already since 1960, and was only applied by the professionals in the food
industries...(HACCP method).
• - The facts that hospitals are the worse places to go due to the nosocomial diseases,
because it is impossible to desinfect hospitals. Also, the culture of medicine based on
the chemicals are as much dangerous as covid 19. It is proven that the sanitizer for washing
hands, which have been used to clean cities,hard surfaces, dirty waters, against covid 19 are
toxic and creating diseases for vulnerable persons, chldren pregnant women and babies due
to chemical contents. (Ref. WHO, French Government website)
• Beside, germ and antibiotic resistances are big issues in modern time. (Ref. United
Nations)

• - Use of regulatory fines for not following the website recommendations,
enforcement rules, violence against women and girls increased during the covid
19 restrictions
• - Taiwan which was initially successful in eliminating covid 19 quickly in 2020,
has seen the development of covid 19 recently in May 2021 according to the
free media.
• - Various articles online wrote about the culture of fear has been created to
force citizens to think about deaths. It is not new. It is like starvation. Why do
you want people to be motivated by starvation of other poor countries while
every day the citizens of rich countries are eating too much?
• The strategy used by global organizations and world leaders to promote their
own career perspective on the discovery of covid 19, the production of covid 19
vaccines and logistic development.

• - Also, the huge gaps between annual disasters in the last
decade, which were killing annually 60,000 people and
suddenly in 2020, the death rates due to the covid natural
disaster was multiplied by 30 times more death, which is
2 millions while there was almost no deaths related to
none covid natural disaster in 2020 (maybie 15,000)
according to EMDAT database, specialized in the record
of deaths in the world due to natural disasters. Covid 19
was a natural disaster.
• (Imagine the Undiscovered Flying Objects. This time we
were able to see them, were we?)

• DESPITE THE FACT THAT COVID 19 WAS MINOR HAZARD COMPARED TO
GENOCIDE (1 MILLION DEATHS IN 3 MONTHS), SPANISH FLU (50 MILLIONS
DEATHS IN 3 YEARS MAINLY CHILDREN (WHO),...2005 TSUNAMI IN SOUTH EAST
ASIA, DEC. 24: 300,000 KILLED (SAME IN HAITY EARTHQUAKES IN JANUARY
2010...) COVID 19 REMAINED UNPRECEDENTED IN A WORLD, WHICH IS MORE
GLOBALIZED WITH SPEED, HUGE TECHNOLOGY ASSET DEVELOPMENT IN
CITIES, INCREASING WEALTH, WORLD FINANCIARISATION, INDUSTRIAL
ACTIVITIES, INTER CONNECTIONS...ETC.
• IT IS DIFFICULT TO IMAGINE HOW OUR ANCESTORS IN 1920, WITHOUT
PROGRESS AND TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT WOULD ASSESS THE COVID 19
PANDEMIC WITH THEIR OWN DISASTER RELATED METRICS.
• BUT MAYBIE, ONE CANNOT COMPARE TWO DISASTERS. NO DISASTER IS THE
SAME.

• COVID 19 BECAME A REALITY WHEN PEOPLE PERCEPTION TRANSFORMED TO THE NEW
REALITIES OF AN EXISTING VIRUS THAT THEY HAVE DISCOVERED ORIGINATED FROM CHINA
-WE NEVER PROVE IT- IT HAS TRAVELLED THE WHOLE WORLD VERY QUICKLY AND WE
STAYED BLIND TO THE PROCESS OF ILLNESS DEVELOPMENT.
• HOWEVER, WE COULD COMMUNICATE WITH THE SCIENCE BECAUSE OF OUR EDUCATION,
COMMERCE AND THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE WHICH IS SUPPORTING THE GLOBAL WORLD OF
EXCHANGES.
• BEING VACCINATED WAS AN IMPORTANT ACTION NOT BECAUSE OF THE ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE, BUT BECAUSE WE HAD A NEW MIND SET. PEOPLE BRAINS WERE READY TO
ACCEPT THIS TIME WE COULD SAVE LIVES.
• 1 YEAR VACCINE LOOKED APPROPRIATE. THE LIFESAVING MEAN OFFERS WERE DIFFERENT
THAN INITIALLY THOUGHT IN THE SOCIA MEDIA. IF YOU WERE A POLITICIAN, AN ECONOMIST,
A BUSINESS, A MEDICAL EXPERT...OUR THINKING SYSTEM WOULD BE DIFFERENT...ETC.
• NOBODY ASKED THE NURSES TO PARTICIPATE IN THE DECISION MAKING PROCESS. WE
HAVE SEEN THEM AS HEROES. ALL COUNTRIES IN THE WORLD HAVE HEROES.

• ALL THESE PEOPLE (STAKEHOLDERS, ACTORS) WITH DIFFERENT
THINKING WERE ABLE TO CREATE A SYNERGY AND COORDINATE
THEIR ACTIONS FROM A PERSPECTIVE OF THE MEDIA, BECAUSE WE
WERE NOT ABLE TO KNOW EXACTLY WHAT WAS HAPPENING IN THE
WORLD.
• EXCEPT, WITH THE INTERCESSIONS OF JOURNALISTS, MEDIA
COMMUNICATIONS THAT WE CAN TRUST. WHO SAID ITSELF THAT
SOCIAL MEDIA COULD KILL PEOPLE BECAUSE OF THE NOISE OF
FAKENEWS. I SAID NO, SOCIAL MEDIA IS WAKING PEOPLE TO VALUE
RISKS. SOCIAL MEDIA KEEP US INFORMED OF WHAT IS GOING UP
AROUND THE WORLD. SO, WE ARE PREPARING OURSELF FOR THE
RISK. SOCIAL MEDIA IS A SOURCE OF INFORMATION ACCESSIBLE TO
ALL, FAKENEWS CAN BE HIGHLY VALUED WHEN BUSINESSES ARE
FAILING TO PROVIDE A TIMELY BUSINESS RESPONSE BASED ON THE
PROFIT MAKING.

• IF YOU WERE WILLING TO INVEST. IF YOUR ORGANIZATION WERE WILLING TO
TAKE ACTION QUICKLY....ETC.
• ALSO, WAS IT THE OLDER PERSONS WHICH WERE AFFECTED BY THE COVID 19
ILLNESSES WE WERE PROTECTING OR THE WORKERS -THAT ARE PRODUCING
GOODS AND SERVICES.
• ULTIMATELY, THE COVID 19 BACKGROUND WAS A BIOLOGICAL WAR, AS WE
HAVE FOUND ENEMIES, ALLIES...VARIOUS OPPOSING CAMPS.
• ONE CANNOT DENY THE FACT THAT BUSINESSES WERE VERY CREATIVE
DURING COVID 19; THEREFORE, ON CAN WONDER IF MAKING A ONE YEAR
VACCINE IS A SCIENCE OR AN IRRATIONALITY OF THE BUSINESS WORLD, ABLE
ALSO TO CREATE A FAKE SCIENCE. BECAUSE WE ARE TOTALLY IGNORANT
AGAIN ON THE IMPACT OF 1 YEAR VACCINE ON THE HEALTH OF PEOPLE IN THE
MEDIUM AND LONG RUN. MOST OF THE WORLD POPUALTION WAS IN GOOD
HEALTH AND THEY HAVE BEEN VACCINATED TO PROTECTED THE VULNEABLE
PERSONS. NOBODY CAN AFFIRM THAT HEALTHY PEOPLE WILL NOT BE
AFECTED BY THE COVID VACCINES IN THE FUTURE?

• CONCLUSION: NEITHER THE FUTURE, NOR THE PAST IS OBSERVABLE. SO WE WILL NEVER KNOW IT.
COVID 19 TREATMENT REMAINS FOR ME A GREAT SCIENCE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM AND IN THE
NARROW WAY IT IS A DISASTER MANAGEMENT. THE HEALTH OF PEOPLE IS JUST IN THE MIDDLE OF
THE TWO EXTREMES OF MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS.
• AND IT IS HELPING TO UNDERSTAND THE CONCEPT OF ECONOMIST DR SCHUMACHER WITH THE VICIOUS
CYCLE OF POVERTY. IF PEOPLE HAVE NO HEALTH OR NO RESOURCE, THEY CANNOT INVEST, THUS THEY
ARE NOT DEVELOPING. THEREFORE THEY CAN STAY POOR. COVID 19 WAS AN ATTEMPT TO BREAK THE
VICIOUS CYCLE OF POVERTY IN 2O20 WITH THE COMING DECADE FOR ACTION 2030. THERE WAS A
TEMPATION TO SEE THE COVID 19 AGENT OF REGRESS, BECAUSE OF POOR GROWTH OR NO GROWTH
AND LACKS OF INVESTMENT IN 2O2O AND IN THE FUTURE FOR YEARS TO COME IF WE ARE DEFEATED
AND READY TO ABANDON.
• THE FACT IS THE SITUATION EXISTED BEFORE COVID 19. PERHAPS THIS TIME LED TO SUCCESSFUL
TRANSFORMATION OF COVID 19 PERCEPTION INTO A REALITY OF COVID 19. WHILE MORE DANGEROUS
RISKS ARE ALREADY WITH US, AND WE ARE NOT ABLE COLLECTIVELY CHANGE OUR BRAINS TO ACT
ACCORDING TO A RISK AGENDA. IN THE FUTURE TOWARD CLIMATE CHANGE IN 2100. IT IS PAVING THE
WAY FOR AUTORITARIAN REGIMS AND PLANNIST ECONOMIES, WHICH ARE A WORLD OF VOLUNTARY
CONTRIBUTIONS WITHOUT A MARKET ECONOMY. THE FREEDOM AND THE CULTURES ARE AT STAKE.
REMOVING SLEEVES AND ORGANIZAING IN THE COMING DECADE FOR ACTIONS 2030 BEFORE IT IS TOO
LATE. ANOTHER COVID 19 CAN REPRODUCE, AND THIS TIME, IT IS NOT PROVEN THAT WE WILL BE ABLE TO
MANAGE IT, DUE TO ECONOMIC AND ECOLOGY BURDEN WHILE SOCIALLY WE ARE ACCEPTING TO SAVE
LIVES.

CONCEPT NOTES
• The 3 concept levels
• 1- High Level: Builder Paradox
• 2- Intermediate Level: Vicious cycle of Poverty (Health,
Resources, Investment, Development
• 3- Low Level: Hazard Management and Disaster Risk
Reduction

1970 ECONOMIST DR E. F. SCHUMACHER CLAIM
• THE VICIOUS CYCLE
• OF POVERTY
NO HEALTH
NO RESOURCES
NO
INVESTISSEMENT
NO
DEVELOPMENT

FROM THE SILICON VALLEY, WHICH DEVELOPED IN THE WORLD DURING THE END OF
GLOBALIZATION, TIMEAND INVESTMENT ARE USED AS A DEVELOPMENT LOGIC.
NOBEL PRIZE IN ECONOMICS, AMARTYA SEN CONCEPT OF DEVELOPMENT IS BASED ON
THE DEVELOPMENT AS A FREEDOM
UNITED NATIONS HAVE INTRODUCED THE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX BASED ON
EDUCATION AND HEALTH
ALSO, SEVERAL COUNTRIES HAVE A DIFFERENT INDICATOR FOR DEVELOPMENT
EXAMPLE OF BUTHAN, UEA...WHICH DEVELOPMENT PROCESSES ARE BASED ON
HAPPINESS.
UNDERSTANDING THE TIME CONCEPT IS KEY WITH THE 2 MILLONS DEATHS WITH THE
SOCIAL MEDIA USES THE POSTURE AND THE FRAMING IS A WESTERN VIEWPOINT, WHERE
THE WESTERN POPULATIONS HAVE GLOBALIST AND SUPERVISORY VIEW ON
DEVELOPMENT- WHICH IS NOT THE CASE FOR ASIAN AND ORIENTALISTS.

THE SCIENCE OF HAZARD MANAGEMENT
• (WHICH IS A SYSTEMIC ANALYSIS- BY OPPOSITION TO
DESCARTES ANALYSIS BASED ON THE BREAKDOWN OF A
SYSTEM IN A ELEMENTARY PARTS AND REBUILDING THE
WHOLE SYSTEM FROM THESE ELEMENTATRY PARTS)
, WHO IS BEST KNOWN FOR THE
DYNAMIC OF FLUIDS (PRESSURES), IT IS THE SYSTEM,
WHICH IS IMPORTANT AND NOT THE BREAKDOWN PARTS. A
SYSTEM IS NOT BEHAVING LIKE THE SUM UP OF THE
BREADKDOWN PARTS.

LIST OF NATURAL DISASTERS IN 2020
• Natural disasters:
• 2020-0016 Floods; Madagascar
• 2020-0018 Floods; Kaur Regency, Indonesia
• 2020-0019 Severe weather; New South Wales and Victoria, Australia
• 2020-0020 Storm 'Gloria'; Spain
• 2020-0032 Floods; Arequipa, Huanuco Departments, Peru
• 2020-0033 Floods; West and East Java, Indonesia
• 2020-0034 Earthquake; Sivrice District (Elazig province), Turkey
COVID 19
IS A
NATURAL
DISASTER

COVID 19 LINKAGES
SCIENCE
BUSINESS
SOCIAL
MEDIA STATES

• AS A CONSEQUENCE
• IF ONE CANNOT COUNT, ONE CANNOT MANAGE:
• ORGANIZATION BLINDNESS
– Social media has a voice: FAKENEWS information is important,
but
– Businesses can produce and plan goods, but
• Conclusion only science can create the linkages between
cultural differences (thus, the fakenews)

• FAKENEWS ARE PART OF THE SCIENCE OF DISASTERS (PASCAL ANALYSIS)
• THE PROCESS OF FAKENEWS WERE BASED ON THE PREDICTION OF THE COMING COVID 19
DISASTER
• AS SUCH IS WAS A BIOLOGICAL HAZARD EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
PREDICTION
PRODUCTION
FAKE
NEWS
SOCIAL MEDIA
GLOBAL MULTIHAZARD
EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
COMMUNICATION
BUSINESS TOOL
ECONOMY

UNITED NATIONS DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
NATURAL HAZARDS ARE
GOD EVENTS BUT
DISASTERS ARE MAN
MADE
DIRECTOR SALVANO BRICENO
PARC FLORAL IN PARIS, VINCENNES - FRANCE
‘’ABOUT THE INTERNATIONAL DISASTER MEETING’’

PROJECT AIM
PARTICULARLY THE ‘’ENHANCEMENT OF THE UNDERSTANDING ACTION’’ (PARIS
AGREEMENT, ARTICLE 8) IS THE ASSUMED DURING THE FIRST QUARTER OF
JANUARY 2020
MONTHS OF JAN- FEB -MARCH 2020 WERE KEYS IN THE MANAGEMENT OF THE
2MILLIONS DEATH DISASTER RISK
USED LOGIC: THE WAY AN ISSUE IS SOLVED IS GREATLY INFLUENCED BY THE
WAY THE ISSUE SETTING IS MADE
MY APPROACH IS BASED ON A DIFFERENT VIEWPOINT- THE HIGH NUMBER OF
DEATHS IS BASED ON THE USE OF SOCIAL MEDIA NARRATIVES THAT WE HAVE
CONSIDERED AS FAKE-NEWS, WHILE THESE FAKE-NEWS WERE REAL FACTS. IN
SUCH A WAY, FAKENEWS WERE SCIENCE. AND IT JAS BEEN DENIED DURING
COVID 19 TO IMPLEMENT A PRODUCTION AND ENGINEERING MANUFACTURE OF
VACCINES (LOGIC CLASSIC OF LEADERS°

FIRST CONCEPT NOTE
• THE BUILDER PARADOX
ACCORDING TO THE PROJECT STATISTICS, 70% OF PROJECTS ARE
FAILURES Project Failure Statistics: The Shocking Truth - www ...
https://www.projectmanagementworks.co.uk/project-failure-statistics/
particularly true if it is a large project with an important budget
THE BUILDER PARADOX ENACTS THAT ONE CANNOT HAVE ALL
CORNERS OF A TRIANGLE (BUILDER PARADOX TRIANGLE AT THE
SAME TIME)
IN DESGINIGN THE PROJECT YOU NEED TO SELECT 2 CRITERIA OF
THE PROJECT IN ORDER TO GET THE THIRD ONE. EITHER A
PROJECT IS, COSTS MORE OR IS WITH A POOR QUALITY

• - TIME
• - COST
• - QUALITY
• - THE BELGIUM ORGANISATION WHICH MONITORS DEATHS IN THE WORLD FROM
NATURAL HAZARDS, TECHNOLOGIES...
• EMDAT SAID THERE IS A NUMBER OF FACTORS RESPONSIBLE FOR DEATHS
• I HAVE SELECTED THE TIME FACTOR AS IT IS REFERING TO ME AS AN APPROPRIATE
FACTOR FOR THE SOLVING OF THE CORONAVIRUS ISSUE ONLINE WITH THE FIRST
EARLY WARNING SYSTEM, WHICH WAS THE SOCIAL MEDIA FAKENEWS WERE A
REAL SCIENCE.
• (WE HAVE TO MAKE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN SCIENCE AND A TRUTH) IN ORDER
TO DEAL WITH UNCERTAINTY AND RAPID RESPONSE UNITS)

• I HAVE DIVIDED THE TIME IN 3 PARTS
• - PAST TIME
• - PRESENT TIME
• - FUTURE TIME
• IF YOU LOOK AT POSITIVISM BASED ON POSITIVE SCIENCE, THERE IS ONLY ONE TIME, THIS TIME
THE ONE USED UNITED NATIONS SECRETARY GENERAL AND ENGINEERS WHICH IS OFTEN LINKED
TO THE TIME OF ACTIONS. IT DISCONNECTED FROM PEOPLE, RELATED TO PHSYICAL WORLD AND
LEAN MANAGEMENT. THIS TIME IS LIKELY THE ONE THAT APPROACHES THE CALCULATOR WITH
ONLY ONE TIME BASED ON BINARY COUNTING WITH THE SWITCH OF ELECTRONIC COMPONENT OF
CLOCK (FOR EXAMPLE, THE ELECTRONIC DOORS OF A DIOD
• WHE THE ELECTRICAL CURRENT CAN CIRCULATE THE DOOR IS OPEN; IN BINARY ALGEBRE IN BASE
2 IS CODIFY AS NUMBER 1
• AND WHEN THE DOOR IS CLOSED, NO ELECTRICAL CURRENT IS CIRCULATIING IN THE CALCULATOR;
IT VALUE IS 0
• SO, AS THE ELECTRICAL CURRENT IS FAST AT THE SPEED OF THE LIGHT, IT QUICK FOR A
CALCULATOR WITH 2 NUMBERS 0, 1 TO MEASURE WITH SPEED THE REQUIREMENT NEEDED WITH
THE ALGORITMS.

THE BUILDER PARADOX
VACCINE
PRODUCTION
FAVORITE METHOD, UNSEC GEN WANT TO
ACCELERATE VACCINES FOR ALL
OF VACCINES
THE TRIANGLE OF BUILDER PARADOX EXPLAINS
THE HIGH DEATH RATE IN 2020, THE BULDER
PARADOX WAS A STRICKING POINT IN DESIGNING
THE ORGANIZATIONS AND SOLUTIONS TO
RECOVER (DIAGNOSE, TREAT, CURE, PREVENT...)
THE COVID 19. THE TIME MANAGEMENT WAS
IMPORTANT SOURCE OF FAILUERS. ALIKE THE
RAMAzAN IN 2021, WHICH IS CELEBRATED AT
DIFFERENT TIMES IN DIFFERENT PLACES IN THE
WORLD, THE PUBLIC EXPERIENCED A TIME
DIFFERENCES IN THEIR NARRATIVES WHICH WAS
IGNORED. THE SOCIAL MEDIA REVEALED THESE
DIFFERENCES IN TIME MANAGMENT, AS SOCIAL
MEDIA WERE EVERYWHERE IN THE WORLD.
SOME STATKEHOLDERS PASTS WERE THE OTHER
PRESENT TIME OR A REMOTE OR NEAD FUTURE.
EVERYBODY WAS CELEBRATING THE SAME
E V E N T: C O V I D 1 9 , H O W E V E R , P E O P L E
EXPERIENCES ONLINE WERE A PERSONNAL
TIMELY EXPERIENCE WITH VIRUSES AND
PANDEMICS.

THE HIGH LEVEL CONCEPT
• THE BUILDER PARADOX HELPS TO EXTRACT THE TIME VARIABLE FROM THE SPEED
OF PROCESSES
• THEY ARE TWO TIMES: SOCIAL MEDIA TIME AND VIRUS DEVELOMENT TIME
: VITUAL COVID 19
• SPEED OF THE LIGHT WITH THE ONLINE COMMUNICATION OF THE SOCIAL MEDIA
WHICH ARE TRANSMITTING THE COVID MESSAGE FROM THE VIEWPOINT OF USERS
EXPERIENCES (EMITTORS, RECEIVERS)
: REAL COVID 19
• TRANSMITTED VIA THE CROSS CONTAMINATION AT THE SPEED OF A QUARANTINE -
14 DAYS TO 10 DAYS.
• LET US REMARK AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PANDEMIC, VIRTUAL COVID WAS MORE
IMPORTANT THAN THE REAL COVID. THE ILLNESS AND THE VIRUS SPREAD HAS
GIVEN THE REAL DIMENSION TO THE PANDEMIC WITH THE SCIENCE AND MEDICAL
EXAMINATION AS WELL AS THE RESTRICTIONS AND THE ASSESSMENT OF NEEDS
FOR MEDICAL AND VACCINE NEEDS.

• 2- IT WAS IMPOSSIBLE TO PRODUCE VACCINE AS LONG AS THE NUMBER OF
DEATHS WAS UNCERTAIN AND RELATED TO COVID 19 AND HOW FAR TO SUCH
EXTENT WERE PEOPLE CONCERNED WITH THE COVID MORTALITY AND THE
MORBIDITY. WITHOUT A PRECISE ACCOUNT OF PEOPLE NEEDS FOR VACCINE IT
WAS IMPOSSIBLE TO PRODUCE AND TREAT THE ILLNESSES. SOCIAL MEDIA WAS
CREATING A FOG AND WAS NOT HELPING IN COUNTING THE DEATHS OR
UNDERSTANDING THE ILLNESS, AND WHAT SHOULD BE THE MEDICAL RESPONSEs.
DID WE NEED RESPIRATORY MACHINES? WAS IT SOCIAL DISTANCING THAT WAS
EFFECTIVE? THE ESTIMATE GIVEN BY BILL GATES OF 40 BILLIONS TO VACCINE THE
PLANET WAS POSSIBLY HIS FONDATION EXPERIENCE TO PRODUCE VACCINE AND
NOT REAL ACCOUNT OF WHAT WAS NEEDED FOR THE WORLD. AT LARGE, IT WAS
THE DIFFICULTIES OF THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES, FORECAST PEOPLE
NEEDS AS LONG AS THE VIRUS WAS UNKNOWN AND STUDIED ONLY THROUGH THE
LENSE OF THE FAKENEWS. ALSO, POLITICAL LEADERS NOT ABLE TO TAKE A
DECISION WITHOUT DATA. ULTIMATELY, THE RESPONSIBLITY TO DECIDE WAS
GIVEN TO MEDICAL DOCTORS AND HEALTH DIRECTORS.

ISSUE IS THE DECISION MAKING AND THE
RESPONSIBILITIES IN UNCERTAINTY
• THE LACKS OF DATA ON NEEDS HAVE DELAYED THE PRECISE RESPONSES IN TERM
OF MARKET DEMAND IN SUCH A WAY HAS THE SOCIAL MEDIA WAS WARNING OF
THE COMING PANDEMIC, DUE TO THE NOISE OF TIMELY EXPERIENCES IT WAS
DIFFICULT TO PREDICT THE A MEDICAL RESPONSES IN A SECURE AND
HARMONIOUS WAY TO REDUCE THE RISK OF RESOURCE DISRUPTION AND
PRODUCE THE QUANTITY OF VACCINE NEEDED WITH THE RIGHT QUALITY AND AT
CHEAPEST PRICE.
• WITHOUT EXACT DATA -WHICH CAME LATER, WHEN THE DEATH TOLL WAS
MAXIMUM, IT WAS POSSIBLE TO FORECAST NEEDS FOR A DISCOUNT VACCINE AND
ORGANIZE THE PRODUCTION PROCESS AND LOGISTICS TO DELIVER, WITH THE
FINANCE. IN SOME COUNTRIES IT LED TO POLITICAL CHANGES THROUGH
ELECTIONS.
• SOCIAL MEDIA WAS PARTICIPATING IN THE MAKING OF THE NEEDS POSSIBLY,
PROBABLY AND CERTAINLY.

THE FOG OF SOCIAL MEDIA AND THE PRESS DUE TO THE DIFFERENT TIME EXPERIENCE OF
SOCIAL MEDIA USERS
T (Past 1)
T (Future2)
To
T1,
T2,
T3
Tij
(Past,
Present,
future)
HUWAN MARKET
WHO CHINA
Dec. 2019
T (Present 3)
THE USERS OF INTERNET ARE RATIONAL PEOPLE
IN ORDINARY TIME, BUT AS THEY ARE ONLINE
WITH DIFFERENT EXPERIENCES OF COVID 19 IN
THEIR PERSONAL AND PROFESSIONAL
HISTORIES LINKED TO PANDEMICS, AS
CONSEQUENCE THE SOCIAL MEDIA IS
PRODUCING COLLECTIVELY FEARS AND ANXITIES
CREATIGN THE FAKE NEWS
FAKE NEWS WERE FACTS, AS SUCH FACTS WERE
A SCIENCE WHICH WAS PERHAPS NOT SAYING
THE TRUTH THAT WE WERE EXPECTING IN A
CLASSIC WAY FROM PNADEMIC BASED ON OUR
KNOWLEDGE OF PAST PANDEMICS
THE GLOBAL WORLD
(WHO MEMBER STATES
MARCH 2020- DEC. 2020
VERY FEW CASES
DEATH RATE= 40
DEATHTOLL= 20
MILLIONS OF DEATHS

70,000
YEARS
NUMBER
OF
DEATHS
PER
ANNUM
Number of deaths in the world from natural disasters between 2009 -2020
210,000
420,000
630,000
840,000
1,050,000
1,260,000
1470000
1,680,000
1,890,000
2,000,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
L
s
M
SOCIAL MEDIA
CONVERSATION
(Small, Medium,
Large)
In Theory Numbers of lives that
could be saved by Fakenews are
500,000 in a minimalistic way due
to the extrapolation form figures of
2020 with 2 million deaths
In Theory Numbers of lives that could
be saved by Fakenews are 2 millions in
an optimal way if the fakenews were
taken seriously immediately

Clearly social media can present an aspect of Multihazard Early Warning System
Most real early warning system in the world that are based on science are also
dysfonctional and not able to save lives in spite of billions invested in sattelite
communication, detection...Etc There is still an increasing of death tolls in the world
and esclating costs.
For example, Early Warning Pacific System did not prevent the Tsunami in South East
Asia death toll of 300,000 in a few minutes, which are 2/3 of the equivalent deaths
during covid 19 during the first quarter of 2020.
Haity is daily threatened by earthquakes of magnitude 4-5 on the Richter Scale.
Nobody can say when Port of Spain will be striken by a mega event as such in 2010,
where 300,000 were killed by an earthquake of magnitudes 7.2 on Richter scale....Etc.
Ultimately, in view of project failures of large size surveilance in the world. Social media
are perfectly fit to save lives.

The issue is not as much as the early warning method of detecting
risk. it about changing the whole system of risk detection.
Social media alone, will never be appropriate alone. As we have
seen that the social fact was not enough to assess people needs for
vaccines, the hospital resourcees, the business
restrictions...Howvern it has show a new method of alerting the
world population, which has contributed with the fake news to
transmit fears and anxities to stakeholders that were able to transmit
and shape a science and infer new activities to reduce the illnesses
and deaths, during 3 months before the WHO dclared the world
pandemic

60,000
10 YEARS DEATHTOLLS IN THE
WORLD DUE TO NATURAL
DISASTERS
2020
COVID 19 DISASTER (ONLY)
2,000,000
2020 Covid 19
deaths
Annual disaster
deaths
illness, injuries,
affected persons
leading to
covid 19
hazard
natural
hazard
source: Hannah
Ritchie and Max Roser
annual disaster death
is 60.000
COVID 19 KILLED
30 TIMES MORE
PEOPLE THAN IN AN
ORDINARY ANNUAL
DISASTER
IT IS TOO MUCH !!!
HISTOGRAM
A TSUNAMI
OF DEATH
LIKE A GIANT
DEATH WALL
IN 2020
COMPARED
TO 2009-2019

PRODUCTION OF INFERENCES WHEN WE HAVE DENIED THE FAKENEWS AS
A FACT TO IMPLEMENT A SCIENCE BASED ON PRODUCTION OF VACCINE
Fakenews
Scientific
Press and magazine,
Facebook,
Tweeter, Flisk...
https://siliconangle.com/2021/04/10/new-era-innovation-moores-law-
not-dead-ai-ready-
explode/#:~:text=The%20fact%20is%20that%20the,is%20actually%20accelerating%2C%20quite%20dramatically.&text=The%20outcome%20of%20M
oore's%20Law,speaking%2C%20Moore's%20Law%20is%20dead. AND THE SOCIAL MEDIA MODELING AND THE INFERENCES CREATED TO
IMPLEMENT SCIENCE
Diagnosis, chroloriquine,
drugs, Pandemics, cure,
treating...
Modeling
Cost of health
world market failure
Hospital resources
US$
Economic
growth
Business restriction
School closure
Medical Investigation,
Counting deaths, Use
technologie, Research, ...
Pandemic waves, Political
election changes, Vaccine
production, Proclaim, bans on
travels, Financial stimulus
100
0

• INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION
TECHNOLOGIES

EMITTER(S) RECEPTORS
CHANNEL OF COMMUNCATION
PHYSICAL WAVES - WAVE LENGTHS
ONLINE MESSAGE TRANSMISSION
EMITTER
MESSAGE
ENCODING
ENCODING
MESSAGE
DECODING
MESSAGE
RECEIVER
TRANSMITTED
SIGNAL
DECODING
MESSAGE
‘’SCIENCE IS NOT DEAD’’
IN REFERENCE TO ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND APPLE WHO SAID THAT
THERE IS A FUTURE FOR THE MOORE LAW
(AFTER THE SOCIAL MEDIA WE CAN STILL USE SCIENCE TO EXTEND THE
KNOWLEDGE OF THE SOCIAL MEDIA EXPERIENCE)
PEOPLE IN
RELATION WITH
TIMELY
EXPERIENCES
PEOPLE IN
RELATION WITH
TIMELY
EXPERIENCES

(HARDWARE) + PEOPLE NARRATIVES (SOFTWARE)
ONLY ONE TIME EXPERIENCE SEVERAL TIME EXPERIENCES
SPEED OF INTERNET
(ELECTRONIC TIME
CALCULATOR)
SCIENCE FAKENEWS
CLEAR MESSAGE
ONLY ONE SPEED OR
TIMELY EXPERIENCE
UNCLEAR MESSAGE
DUE TO MIXING TIMELY
EXPERIENCES

MATH
HISTORY
ILLNESS
COVID
SIGNS
CAUSES
RESOURCES
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
SPEED
SOCIAL MEDIA
HOSPITAL
COVID SOUTH AFRICA
POLITICS
ECONOMY
MI MIGRANTS
RECOVERY
DEBTS
LAWS
VACCINE
IRRATIONAL
80%
MASKS
CHOLOROQ
UININE
DRUGS
STARVATION
CURFEW
POWER
HERE THE READER CAN FIND
ALL THE THEMES THAT COULD
BE DISCUSSED DURING THE
COVID 19 ON THE SOCIAL
MEDIA. THESE CONVERSATION
WERE INDIVIDUALLY
RATIONALS BECAUSE THEY
BELONGS TO THE SCIENCE OF
CHEMISTRY, BIOLOGY,
PHYSICS...HOWEVER
COLLECTIVELY TO
CONVERSATION ONLINE WITH
PEOPLE WITH DIFFERENT
TIME EXPERIENCE CREATED A
NEW FACT = FAKENEWS
PURE ENGINEERING AND
MANUFACTURE SOLUTION
SOCIETY
TIMELY (PAST,
PRESENT,
FUTURE
NARRATIVES
ON THE
COVID
PANDEMIC
SCIENTISTS
BUSINESSES
LEADERS
(*) There no statistics on the segmentation
presented in the under iceberg of communciation
as percentage of favorite themes of the internet covid 19
users. As I followed and participated to these conversations, I
remembered these various themes about the novel corona virus 2019 (SarsCOV 19)

COVID
19
A WORLD WITHOUT PEOPLE
- TECHNOLOGY
- SATTELITE
- HARDWARE
- SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT
- INVESTMENT
- PHYSICAL WAVES
- ELECTRONICS
= SOCIAL MEDIA
PLATFORMS
PEOPLE
SOFT
SCIENCE
PEOPLE
SOFT
SCIENCE
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATION
ONLINE
COMMUNICATIO
N
IRRATIONALITY
(LIVING WORLD)
RATIONALITY
(PHYSICAL WORLD)
COVID 19
VIOLENCE
BREAKDOWN OF THE SOCIAL MEDIA

USED METHOD
• TIME MANAGEMENT AND THE RELATIVITY OF TIMES
• BESIDE THE TIME STANDARDS, THEY ARE MANY DIFFERENT TIMES
FOR INDIVIDUALS AND GROUPS THAT HAVE BEEN
UNDERESTIMATED OR NEGLECTED AND WHICH ARE LIKELY TO
HAVE CREATED A WALL OF DEATHS- A TSUNAMI OF DEATH
• RATIO OF DEATHS D(T) COMPARED TO 2019 AND PREVIOUS
DECADE IS 30 TIMES MORE IMPORTANT
• D(T) = 2,000,000 = 28,571
• 70,000
• D(T) 2020 = 30 x D(T) 2019
• IT THE SCALE OF DEVASTATION WHICH IS UNBELIEVABLE
• ORDINARY FROM 2009-2019

• A double theory
• Introduction
• to modern science
• Pierre Sagaut
• Institut Jean Le Rond d’Alembert
• Université Pierre et Marie Curie – Paris 6
• pierre.sagaut@upmc.fr
• http://www.lmm.jussieu.fr/~sagaut
EPISTEMOLOGY
A THEORY
OFHUMAN
KNOWLEDGE
A THEORY
OF SCIENTIFIC
KNOWLEDGE
scientific
non
scientific

• FACEBOOK
?
X
f CLOUD
Marketing
Transmission IRRATIONAL RATIONAL
Robert Schiller
Nobel Prize
(Research) (Business)
Big data
1
2
Fakenews were the descriptions
of all the stuffs presented by the
users of social media from which
the separation was made from
the rational or the irrational.
The stakeholders and the
politicians did not believe these
facts in the cyberspace due to
security concerns and also
because of the epistemology
of science
active
passive
facilitated
Levels of personal or (**)
collective energies to
understand the
communication messages
in the cyberspace
(**) Fakenews were like the General De Gaulle,
to call for the resistance. When he was using
the radio from London, he was using the
Fakenews.
Some of these fakenews were a science for the
French resistance to
understand for the freedom of France.

• Epistemology and science, are the Fakenews a modern science (BIRD), in
the view of the large number of metaphysics?
• First science is not based on equations (certainties)
• � = ��2 What is �? (How do you �� ? )
• Then, the important development of metaphysics ( James Frederick Ferrier
(1808-1864) today has possibly disqualified the Fakenews of social media
• Ultimately, General Gaulle won world war II with Fakenews on British
Broadcasting Corporation (BBB) radio sending Fakenews to the french citizens
• These fakenews were message in the radio space sent for the French
Resistance. Only people that carefully analysed and understood the
Fakenews could resist against threats of the world war II.
• On 17/05/2021, The United Nations security council warned about the New
Technologies enabling and diruspting roles (biology war, cybersecurity...Etc)

• United Nations are the primary responsible for the
International Peace and Security, has warned about
• Namely:
• - Artifiicial Intelligence (A.I.)
• - Internet of Things (IoT)
• - Robotics
• - ...
• - Etc
FROM FAKENEWS
TO SCIENCE
When I followed online on 17/05/21 the Open United Nations Security Council
Meeting chaired by China, a large number of UN Ambassadors have warned
of the dangers of Artificial Intelligence and Technologies in the view gaps,
skills, cybersecutriy threats, biological weapons of Mass Destructions,
increase militarization on the cyberspace, cyber terrorism. Technologies are
both enacter and disrupter.

SOCIAL
MEDIA
PROCESS
ENGINEERING
AND
PRODUCTION
PROCESS
FEED-BACK
FEED-BACK
INFORMATION
CLOUDS SUN
FINANCE
INFORMATION
FRIENDS
Internet
LABORS
RAW MATERIALS
ENERGY
BUSINESS
GOODS
DEMAND FOR GOODS GOOD PROCESSES SUPPLY OF GOODS
ASSESSING
NEEDS
QUALITY
SERVICE

PARC FLORAL IN PARIS, VINCENNES - FRANCE
‘’ABOUT THE INTERNATIONAL DISASTER MEETING’’
NATURAL HAZARDS
ARE GOD EVENTS,
DISASTERS
ARE MAN MADE

• THE PROJECT IS MAKING: COUNTING DEAD BODIES FROM THE
ILLNESS PERSONS DURING THE 20XX NATURAL DISASTER
• COVID 19 NATURAL DISASTER + NON COVID 19 NATURAL DISASTER
= NUMBER OF DEATHS PER ANNUM
NATURAL
DISASTERS
YEAR 20XX
DEATH
RATES IN
YEAR 20XX
COVID
DEATHS
NON
COVID
DEATHS
2020
COVID
DISATER
2009-
2020 NON
COVID
DISATER DISASTER PROCESS
MAN-MADE
VIRUS
EARTHQUAKE
HEAT WAVE
FLOOD
WILD FIRE
..

• 1- FAKE-NEWS ARE GOOD -> OTHERWISE THERE
WILL BE NO VACCINE TODAY
• 2- SOCIAL MEDIA IS AN UNPRECENDENTED
BUSINESS PROCESS OF A MULTIHAZARD EARLY
WARNING SYSTEM (MEWS)
• 3- COVID 19 COULD HAVE KILLED MORE PEOPLE IN
2020
• 4- IMPROVMENT OF A QUALITATIVE FORECAST
METHOD BASED ON THE SOCIAL MEDIA AND EMDAT
ANNUAL NATURAL DISASTER DEATHTOLL RECORDS

• 1- THE BUILDER PARADOX
• 2- THE VICIOUS CYCLE OF POVERTY
• 3- THE BIOLOGY DISASTER
• 4- THE SOCIAL MEDIA FAKENEWS

• HOW TO BUILD A TOOL TO FORECAST NEEDS IN UNCERTAINTIES ?
– ANNUAL DEATH RATES
• DUE TO NATURAL DISASTER: 70,000 [2009-2019]
• DUE TO NATURAL DISASTER: 15,000 [2020]
• DUE TO COVID 19: 2,000,000 [2020]
– FIRST QUARTER 2020
• 01-2020: A FEW COVID 19 DEATHS, COVID MARKET (HUWAN)
• 02-2020: WHO DIRECTOR VISITS IN CHINA (HUWAN MARKET)
• 03-2020: GLOBAL COVID 19 RESTRICTIONS (THE WORLD)
– USE OF SOCIAL MEDIA
• MULTIHAZARD EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
• SOCIAL MEDIA COMMUNICATION PROCESS
• SOCIAL MEDIA OUTPUT: FAKENEWS
• USERS TIMELY NARRATIVE EXPERIENCE STRUCTURES

• INTERPRETATING THE USED TIME MANAGEMENT IN VARIOUS EXPERIENCE
• IN THE 4 CONCEPTS IN ORDER TO ASSESS THE NEEDS FOR THE WORLD POPULATIONS
WITH A FORECAST METHOD
TIME
VARIABLE
BUILDER
PARADOX
VICIOUS
CYCLE OF
POVERTY
BIOLOGY
DISASTER
SOCIAL
MEDIA

ANNUAL
DEATH
RATES
X X X X X X X X X X X
09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
70,000
2,000,000 X
EMDAT
NATURAL
DISASTER
COVID 19
NATURAL
DISASTER
NONE COVID
19
NATURAL
DISASTER
15,000 X

From 2009 to 2019, there are 70,000 deaths from
natural disasters annually
In 2020, there are 2 millions deaths for covid 19 natural
disaster and 15,000 deaths from none covid19 natural
disasters
IN 2020, there were 2,000,000 deaths
and 15,000 deaths from natural disasters

A CLOSE UP ON THE
EXTRAPOLATION TECHNIQUE
70,000
2019 2020
15,000
2,000,000
COVID 19
DEATHS
NATURAL
DISASTER
DEATHS
X
NONE
COVID 19
DEATHS
2021
+ 3 MONTHS

COVID 19 NATURAL DEATH RELATED DISASTER
NONE COVID 19 DEATH RELATED NATURAL DISASTER
TOTAL NATURAL DISASTER DEATHS
+
=

I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I
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-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
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-
-0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
HERE I DID NOT MAKE THE EXTRAPOLATED CURVE.
YOU CAN MAKE IT YOURSELF. IF YOU DO NOT KNOW
HOW TO EXTRAPOLATE SEND ME AN EMAIL
GSRADJOU@OUTLOOK;COM

I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I
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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
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8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
THE OPTIMUM OF DEATHS IN 2020
WE COULD HAVE MORE DEATHS
RELATED TO COVID 19 ILLNESSES
ASSUMPTION MADE IS THAT NATURAL DISASTER NOT COVID DEATHS ARE LINKED WITH THE NATURAL
DISASTER COVID DEATHS BECAUSE EMDAT DATABASE WHICH RECORD THE ANNUAL DEATHS IN THE
WORLD SAID THAT IN 2020 THE NUMBER OF NOT COVID 19 DISASTER FALLED FROM 70000 TO 15000,
WHICH WAS ALSO UNPRECEDENTED. IN SUCH A WAY IN MY HYPOTHESIS I BUILT A LINKAGE BETWEEN
THE TWO NATURAL DISASTERS TO EXTRAPOLATE THE HIGHEST COVID DEATH RATES WITH A NUMBER
OF NATURAL DISASTER NOT COVID RELATED = 0 DEATH TO GET THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF COVID 19
DEATHS

WITH THE METHOD OF EXTRAPOLATION OF
NUMBER OF COVID 19 DEATH BIOLOGIC HAZARD
IS EXCESSIVE
QUESTIONS ABOUT THE COUNTING OF DEATHS
DUE TO NATURAL DISASTERS COVID AND NONE
COVID DISASTER DEATHS

• AS FROM 2009 T0 2019 THE ANNUAL DEATHRATE DUE TO NATURAL
HAZARDS IS 70, 000 ONE CAN ASSESS IF THE VALUE OF COVID 19
DEATH-RATE WAS NOT PREDICTED WITH THE USE OF THE SOCIAL
MEDIA DURING THE QUARTER ONE OF 2020
• WAS IT POSSIBLE TO EXTRAPOLATE ANNUAL DEATH RATE DURING
JAN. FEB. MARCH GIVEN BY SOCIAL MEDIA TO ANTICIPATE THE
ANNUAL DEATH RATE AT THE END OF THE YEAR IN DECEMBER 2020,
WHERE THE RECORD OF NUMBER OF DEATHS DUE TO
CORONAVIRUS 2019 WAS 2,000,000?.
• Was the use of social media a tool of a covid 19 Biological Hazard Early
Warning System ion 2020? Can we use the cyberspace as an effective alert
system to reduce death from a biological hazard such as a virus?

• ARE 2 MILLIONS NONE COVID RELATED DEATHS IN
2020 NOT EXCESSIVE IN THE VIEW OF THE
INTERPOLATION MADE BETWEEN 2019 AND 2020 ?
• WHY IS THERE SO LITTLE NATURAL DISASTER
NONE COVID 19 IN 2020 COMPARED TO 2019?
• IS THE TOTAL OF NATURAL DISASTER IN 2020 =
TOTAL COVID 19 DEATHS + TOTAL NONE COVID 19
DEATH DUE TO NATURAL HAZARDS?

• 2,000,000 / 4 = 500,000
• THEREFORE WITH AND INCREASE OF 70,000 PER
MONTH WE HAVE 210,000 NATURAL DISASTER
HAZARD DEATHS AND AS IN 2020, THERE IS LESSER
NATURAL DISASTER DEATH AND MORE COVID
DEATHS
• NUMBER OF COVID 19 DEATHS PER MONTH IN
QUARTER ONE OF 2020
• 500,000/3 = 160,000 PER MONTH

USE OF SOCIAL MEDIA FOR COVID 19 DEATH PREDICTION
JANUARY 2020 FEBRUARY 2020 MARCH 2020
160, 000
70,000
110,000
YOU CAN FILL THE TABLE WITH THE DATA GAINED FROM THE FORECAST
(PREDICTION BY THE SOCIAL MEDIA) GSRADJOU@OUTLOOK.COM

FORECAST METHOD TO TEST THE SOCIAL MEDIA CYBER SPACE WITH THE PRODUCTION
OF FAKE NEWS TO REDUCE THE COVID 19 DISASTER DEATH RISK IN 2020
40,000
+ 70,000
= 110, 000
Covid deaths
and natural
hazard
2,000,000
WE HAVE NEGLECTED 15, 000 DEATHS
NONE RELATED TO COVID 19 IN 2020 COMPARED TO 2MILLIONS
SOCIAL MEDIA
JAN-FEB-MARCH
UNFINISHED- MAYBE YOU CAN COMPLETE IT OR
SEND ME AN EMAIL GSRADJOU@OUTLOOK;COM
FOR AN EXCHANGE

BIRD CLAIM
Social media has killed 2,000,000 2020 However, without
them, the number of deaths could be much higher
If we did not have a social media with the Fakenews, it will be considered as
a spanish flu or a winter flu. In the case of the Spanish flu, 1/3 (500 millions)
of the world population was affected with 50 millions deaths in 3 years and
mainly children (WHO). We would not know. During the winter flu in 2020,
the likelyhood of covid 19 was very low. After the winter, the covid likelyhood
ilness increased
Conclusion: fakenews were very important, in spite of the fact that the
collective information transmitted online was irrational and not bringing a
scientifical truth. It helped to warn and created a first Multihazard Early
Warning System at Global scale.

60,000
10 YEARS DEATHTOLLS IN THE
WORLD DUE TO NATURAL
DISASTERS
2020
COVID 19 DISASTER
(ONLY)
2,000,000
2020 Covid 19
deaths
Annual disaster
deaths
illness, injuries,
affected persons
leading to
covid
hazard
natura
l
hazar
d
source: Hannah
Ritchie and Max Roser
annual disaster death
is 60.000
COVID 19 KILLED
30 TIMES MORE
PEOPLE THAN IN
AN ORDINARY
ANNUAL DISASTER
IT IS TOO MUCH !!!
HISTOGRAM
A TSUNAMI
OF DEATH
LIKE A GIANT
DEATH WALL
IN 2020
COMPARE
TO 2009-2019
THE TSUNAMI WAL
OF DEATHS IN 2020

• Comme dit le proverbe, il n’y a pas de fumée sans feu,
mais d’un autre coté, comme les réseaux sociaux font
partie du e-commerce des entreprises de la silicon valley,
on pourrait aussi penser à une prise de pouvoir des
réseaux sociaux sur la science et la recherche?
• Hollywood qui prend le pouvoir une nouvelle fois.

• COVID 19 BUSINESS SUMMARY
• TAKEAWAY

PROJECT STAGE
• WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION GLOBAL
ARCHITECTURE IN 2020
PRE-COVID 19
(Covid 19 in the
making)
WHO
FINANCE
EMERGENCY
HEALTH,
WORKPLAN
POLIO , STAFFS...
INTERNAL
ENVIRONMENT

SOCIAL MEDIA WORLD CLOUD PROCESS-
BUSINESS PROCESS
AND VACCINE MANUFACTURING
(BILL GATE= 40 MILLIONS ARE NEEDED FOR THE
WORLD VACCINE)
FAKE
NEWS
FACTS
SOCIAL SCIENCE
IRRATIONALITY
COMMUNICATION
SCIENCE FACTS
ENGINEERING
BUSINESS
COMPETION
MARKET
SCIENCE
COVID 19
SIGNS O ILLNESS
- COUGHING
- BREATHING
DIFFICULTIES
- PAINS
- FEVER
- TUMOR
IRRATIONALI
TY
SOCIAL SCIENCE WITH RESEARCHES ABOUT THE
SIGNS THE CURATIVE METHODS TREATMENT
THAT CAN BE USED: TOBACCO,
CHLOROQUININE...ETC
AMPLIFICATION
MECHANISM
Covid
Vaccines
(1 year)
double shots

COVID 19
VACCINE
LEGALIZATION
OF A DRUG
- RISK TAKING TO RAISE FUNDS
- NO RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT (R&D) -
- REMOVAL OF PATENT RIGHTS
-...ETC
GOODS
SOCIAL
(Paris, Amsterdam,
Portugal, California...
Afghanistan...)
ECONOMIC
(Multinational
profits: EU, US,
RUSSIA
CHINA...)
WHY COVID 19 VACCINE
IS AN EMERGING NEW
TECHNOLOGY?
2020 2021

• THANK YOU FRIENDS
BIRD CEO

Covid 19 business organization with a forecast method

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