This presentation provides all the necessary information about COVID-19: general facts about coronavirus, how it spreads, how it affects the human, how to prevent infection and what are the possible pandemic scenarios.

1. CURRENT ISSUES OF THE WORLD IN
THE COVID-19 QUARANTINE REGIME
AND HOW TO FACE THEM PROPERLY
PROJECT DONE BY DEMETRE BUKIA

2. WE WILL DETERMINE THE MAIN PROBLEMS AND MAKE A DEEP DIVE IN EACH OF THEM TO UNDERSTAND HOW
TO SOLVE THEM AND WHAT WE SHOULD EXPECT IN THE COMING MONTHS
PRESENTATION PLAN:
I. What we should know about COVID-19 ?
a) What is COVID-19 ? Where did it come from ?
b) How dangerous is this coronavirus, how does it work and spread ?
c) What precautions should be taken to avoid infection with COVID-19 ?
d) Myths about COVID-19;
e) Where to get unbiased and fresh information about COVID-19 ?
II. What economic and social forecasts are possible during a pandemic ?
a) Soft scenarios;
b) Scenarios of medium heaviness;
c) Very bad scenarios.
III. Exhortation.

3. 1. https://www.who.int/en/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
2. https://eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.9.2000202
3. https://www.google.com/covid19/
4. https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/here-are-some-graphics-help-explain-social-distancing-
180974444/
5. https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/health/coronavirus-how-epidemics-spread-and-end/
6. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus_disease_2019
7. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_pandemic
8. https://www.freepik.com/free-vector
9. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hwVl_-lnoys
10.https://www.whiteboxanalytics.com.au/white-box-home/flattening-the-coronavirus-curve
LITERATURE

5. The COVID-19 virus has
spikes that allow access to the
human cells. Having access to
a human cell, coronavirus
deposits its genetic material in
a human cell, making it copy
itself.
HOW DOES THE COVID-19 WORK?

6. HOW DOES THE COVID-19 SPREAD?
An important thing to note here is the
basic reproductive number (R), which
indicates the number of people a
diagnosed person is likely to infect over
the course of their illness. For COVID-19,
it is estimated that this number is 2.3. As a
comparison, measles has a basic
reproductive number of somewhere
between 12 and 18.

7. WHAT PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO AVOID
INFECTION WITH COVID-19 ?
The main recommendations of the World Health Organization on prevention:
Wash your hands frequently; Maintain social distancing; Avoid touching eyes, nose and mouth; Practice
respiratory hygiene; If you have fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical care early; Stay informed and
follow advice given by your healthcare provider; Work from home.

8. HOW THESE METHODS HELP TO PREVENT
THE SPREAD?
Prevention efforts are
multiplicative, with effects far
beyond that of a single
spread. Each avoided case
leads to more avoided cases
down the line, which in turn
can stop the outbreak in its
tracks.

9. MYTHS ABOUT COVID-19 #1
Exposing yourself to the
sun or to temperatures
higher than 25C degrees
DOES NOT prevent the
coronavirus disease
(COVID-19).

10. MYTHS ABOUT COVID-19 #2
You can recover from
the coronavirus disease
(COVID-19). Catching
the new coronavirus
DOES NOT mean you
will have it for life.

11. MYTHS ABOUT COVID-19 #3
Being able to hold your
breath for 10 seconds or
more without coughing or
feeling discomfort DOES
NOT mean you are free
from the coronavirus
disease (COVID-19) or any
other lung disease.

12. MYTHS ABOUT COVID-19 #4
Drinking alcohol
does not protect you
against COVID-19
and can be
dangerous.

13. MYTHS ABOUT COVID-19 #5
COVID-19 virus can
be transmitted in
areas with hot and
humid climates.

14. OTHER MYTHS ABOUT COVID-19

15. OTHER MYTHS ABOUT COVID-19

16. OTHER MYTHS ABOUT COVID-19

17. The best source of fresh news regarding
the coronavirus COVID-19 is the official
website of the World Health Organization
www.who.int
WHERE TO GET UNBIASED AND FRESH
INFORMATION ABOUT COVID-19 ?

18. WHAT ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL FORECASTS ARE
POSSIBLE DURING A PANDEMIC ?
Now that we finally know what
COVID-19 is, it's time to make
predictions. We will talk about
how forecasts are made, and
then describe three types of
scenarios, from soft to really
bad.
The severity of diagnosed COVID-19 cases in China

19. Briefly. The epidemic will be quickly defeated,
China will suffer (or have already suffered), and
recovery will take only a few months. These
scenarios are the least likely.
SOFT SCENARIOS
Soft scenarios describe a situation in which China
has suffered predominantly from the epidemic. The
scenarios are based on the optimistic assumption
that the second wave of the spread of the virus will
not happen in the country - after the restrictions on
the movement of citizens and measures of "social
distance", that is, strict quarantine, are lifted.

20. SCENARIOS OF
MEDIUM HEAVINESS
Briefly. What China went through, many countries will experience.
One way or another, everyone will succeed, by paying a heavy
price, to stop the spread of the virus. The global economy as a
whole will restore growth by mid-2020, a global recession is
unlikely. These scenarios are most likely.
The medium heaviness scenarios describe the development of a
pandemic in which authorities in various countries, taking the example
from China, defeat the spread of coronavirus by severe restrictions on
the movement and communication of citizens. At the same time, many
countries will have to endure hardships comparable to those in China,
and in some regions, with what happened in Wuhan, where the
epidemic was at its epicenter. So, McKinsey is considering scenarios
for the United States, in which there will be one large outbreak in the
country with the number of cases from 10 to 500 thousand people,
three to four outbreaks three times smaller and a “long tail” from cities
with dozens of cases.

21. Briefly. Estimates by different researchers of what the word
"disaster" means differ by orders of magnitude. They are also
considering options in which there will be millions of victims in
large countries, and the world economy will go into a deep
recession. Very bad scenarios are now taken seriously.
VERY BAD
SCENARIOS
Basically, researchers suggest that the disaster will look like an average scenario,
but extended in time to the third quarter of 2020, or even for the whole year. At the
same time, new independent centers of the epidemic will arise in the world. For this
scenario, as McKinsey writes, it is enough that the virus is not seasonal, that is, its
spread in the Northern Hemisphere will continue in the summer.
Scenarios based on models of connections in the global economy show that a
recession will happen in the world - that is, the global economy will not grow for at
least two consecutive quarters. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and
Development (OECD, unites all developed economies of the world) in the report
“Coronavirus. The global economy is in danger ”presented a scenario of“ falling
dominoes ”, according to which the peak of economic losses will generally fall at the
end of the year. Now losses are caused only by a decrease in demand, but soon
they will be supplemented by a deep crisis in the stock market, raw materials and
investments.

22. TRUST ONLY RELIABLE SOURCES AND DO NOT FOLLOW THE
PANIC. TAKE A PREVENTATIVE MEASURES, THE MAIN THING IS
TO STAY AT HOME AND WASH YOUR HANDS OFTEN AND
CORRECTLY.

23. THANK YOU
FOR ATTENTION !