- Global stock markets were mixed on Thursday as uncertainty over a US-China trade deal left investors uneasy. The S&P 500 slipped while the Dow rose slightly.
- Asian stocks gained modestly on Friday tracking improved global sentiment. However, concerns over US-China trade talks capped gains.
- Oil prices were steady supported by OPEC production cuts and US sanctions on Venezuela and Iran that have likely led to a slight supply deficit in Q1 2019. However, concerns over an economic slowdown capping fuel demand growth have limited gains.
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Special report-15-mar-2019-epic-research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
15-MAR-2019
Global markets at a glance
The S&P 500 slipped on Thursday, snapping a three-day
streak of gains, as uncertainty over when a trade deal
between the United States and China would be reached left
investors on edge.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose
7.05 points, or 0.03 percent, to 25,709.94, the S&P 500 lost
2.44 points, or 0.09 percent, to 2,808.48, and the Nasdaq
Composite dropped 12.50 points, or 0.16 percent, to
7,630.91.
Asian stocks made modest gains on Friday, tracking
improved global sentiment after UK lawmakers voted to
delay Brexit and as a weaker yen supported Japanese
shares, but a fresh flare up in US-China trade concerns is
expected to cap gains.MSCI broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan inched up 0.06 percent. Japan’s Nikkei
climbed 0.9 percent and South Korea’s KOSPI rose 0.45
percent.Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening
for the broader index in India, a fall of 19 points or 0.17
percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,366-level on
the Singaporean Exchange. Oil prices were steady on
Friday, supported as production cuts led by OPEC and US
sanctions against Venezuela and Iran likely created a slight
deficit in global supply in the first quarter of 2019. But oil
prices have been capped by concerns that an economic
slowdown will soon start denting growth in fuel demand.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Indian equity markets traded in a narrow range throughout
the day as a marginal hint of profit booking weighed in.
Nifty Realty index was among the top outperformers,
closing ~2% higher led by a strong rally in DLF, which
gained 5% at close and managed to add fresh long
positions.Nifty IT index remained under selling pressure for
the 6th
day in a row along with rising PCR, indicating a
negative bias. IndusInd Bank & Just Dial added long
positions with a fresh spike in open interest for the third
day in a row. Market breadth ended in favour of declines
with the advance/decline ratio closing at 1:2x.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+9.80pts],
C o ns um pt i o n [ - 2 .8 0 pt s ] , P SE [+ 1 6 .4 5 pt s ] , C P SE
[+40.40pts],Energy[-16.85pts],FMCG[+15.70pts],Auto[-
42.05pts],Pharma[+84.65pts],IT[-82.45pts],Metal
[+16.30pts],Realty[+5.45pts], Fin Serv sector[-6.85pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25709 +0.03
S&P500 2808 -0.09
NASDAQ 7630 -0.16
FTSE100 7185 +0.37
NIKKEI 21473 +0.88
HANG SENG 29134 +0.98
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
NTPC 153.65 5.45 3.68
IndusInd Bank 1,682.70 46.35 2.83
Yes Bank 249.85 5.55 2.27
Sun Pharma 466.15 9.65 2.11
Coal India 243.2 4.55 1.91
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Power Grid Corp 187.6 -7.15 -3.67
HCL Tech 1,006.75 -21.6 -2.1
Hero Motocorp 2,751.70 -51.95 -1.85
UltraTechCement 3,964.15 -61.5 -1.53
Tata Motors 179.55 -2.15 -1.18
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ALOKTEXT 5.05 0.45 9.78
ANUP 635.25 29 4.79
ARVINDFASN 718.2 34.2 5
AXISBANK 751 -4.3 -0.58
ASTRAL 1,295.00 -39.15 -3.14
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 11343 +1.60 +0.01
SENSEX 37754 +2.72 +0.01
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AHLEAST 225.8 -0.25 -0.1
BAJAJCON 307.8 -19.9 -5.68
BLUECOAST 42.95 -2.25 -4.98
DNAMEDIA 1.8 -0.05 -2.7
HOTELRUGBY 1.55 0 0
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
15-MAR-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
IIFL[CASH]
IIFL has double bottom chart pattern on daily chart, in this
recovery Mindcap and Smallcap Index given strong pull
back but this stock is still in pressure. Here we can see the
fresh buying is coming with strong volume as compare to
red candle and last seven trading session .Buy Above 415-
420 with stop loss of 425 /430 for target of 410 .
MACRO NEWS
Brent crude oil futures were at $67.15 per barrel at
0126 GMT, 8 cents below their last close, but still
within a dollar of the $68.14 2019-high reached
theprevious day. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI)
crude oil futures were at $58.55 per barrel, down 6
cents from their last settlement, and not far off their
2019 -high of $58.74 from the previous day.
A meeting between US President Donald Trump and
Chinese President Xi Jinping to resolve the ongoing
trade war won't take place this month and is more
likely to occur in April at the earliest, Bloomberg
reported on March 14 citing unnamed
sources.Negotiatiors from both countries have been
working towards a deal to resolve the trade dispute.
The Wall Street Journal reported earlier this month
that Xi and Trump could reach a formal trade deal at a
summit around March 27, but Trump said on March
13 he was in no rush to complete a deal.
India's oil imports rose 4.6 percent in February from a
year earlier to about 5 million barrels per day (bpd),
according to tanker arrival data from shipping and
industry sources. cargoes were discharged in March.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. BEML [FUTURE ]
BEML Future closed at ten month high & also give breakout
of important resistense of 950 .Stock is trading above all its
100 & 200 DEMA . In last trading session strong buying in
this stock & derivative data suggest that traders view bullish
on this stock . Our recommendation is to Buy on decline in
between 960-963 Target 980/1000 SL Below 940 .
2. TATAGLOBAL [FUTURE]
TATAGLOBAL future looking bullish on daily chart it has
given breakout of trendline . Stock is traded below 100 &
200 DEMA but for a intra day & as well as positional view we
may expect a bull rally in the stock.Our recommendation is
to Buy 205-206 Target 208/215 Sl below 200 .After analysis
of derivate data long position made by traders .
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
15-MAR-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 29,000 0.05 32,77,385 12,85,680
BANKNIFTY CE 29,100 0.05 25,02,162 11,39,520
BANKNIFTY CE 28,900 5.5 18,82,190 3,07,400
YESBANK CE 250 11.75 11,756 57,22,500
INDUSINDBK CE 1,700 31.95 11,436 4,12,500
YESBANK CE 260 7.75 10,131 53,09,500
RELIANCE CE 1,380 13.95 9,178 6,16,000
RELIANCE CE 1,360 20.85 8,432 9,11,000
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 28,900 0.05 27,85,196 8,63,120
BANKNIFTY PE 28,800 0.1 25,43,248 9,79,080
BANKNIFTY PE 28,700 0.1 15,73,098 5,81,420
RELIANCE PE 1,340 25.45 8,665 5,16,000
RELIANCE PE 1,300 11.75 5,445 10,64,500
RELIANCE PE 1,320 17 5,094 7,01,500
YESBANK PE 240 5.7 4,256 24,37,750
RELCAPITAL PE 170 14 3,503 13,12,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 39125 2847.01 33867 2361.89 287854 22966.39 485.1155
INDEX OPTIONS 4530703 277402.90 4527844 277129.39 914679 70750.14 273.5076
STOCK FUTURES 181935 11072.91 178652 10731.31 1418277 89266.42 341.5964
STOCK OPTIONS 116706 7202.22 117064 7280.77 129897 8113.12 -78.5525
1021.667
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
IOC, ONGC: Facing revenue shortfall, government pushes
companies to pay 2nd interim dividend - PTI
Bajaj Consumer Care: Company engaged the services of
Bain & Company which will help the company in
formulating a front-end strategy for growth and also help
in implementing it.
NIFTY FUTURE
NIFTY - On Thursday market is in narrow range due to
weekly expiry of Nifty 50 option . Nifty opened at high
but not sustain & last two days Pre –Election rally has
stoped for a time being ,but it may expected to be
contiune upto 11500 . Buying in Banking, NBFC , &
Reality sector .On teachnical point of view nifty broke a
channel line & our recommendation is to Buy nifty future
on decline in range 11300-11330 Target 11380/11415 Sl
11240 .
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 11416 11379 11346 11310 11277
BANKNIFTY 29188 29055 28937 28805 28687
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
15-MAR-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold prices rose on Wednesday in Asia as traders opted for
the safe-haven metal after U.K. Prime Minister Theresa
May’s Brexit deal suffered another defeat in the British
Parliament.Parliament rejected May’s withdrawal deal for
the second time on Tuesday, raising concerns of a “hard-
Brexit” scenario before the planned departure date on
March 29.May would hold a vote on Wednesday on
whether to leave the European Union without a deal and, if
lawmakers reject that, they will then vote on whether to
seek a limited extension to Article 50, the provision of the
EU treaty under which the U.K. is withdrawing from the
bloc.Asian stocks were mostly in the red on Wednesday as a
risk-off mood gripped investors, but the uncertainty spurred
demand for the safe-haven gold.Gold Futures rose 0.5% to
$1,304,35 by 1:24 AM ET (05:24 GMT) on the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.Meanwhile,
the U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a
basket of other currencies edged up 0.1% to 96.968.Gold
was also supported by some soft February inflation
data from the U.S., underlining the case for the Federal
Reserve to maintain its current wait-and-see
stance.Speaking last Friday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
justified the “wait-and-see approach” given that there was
“nothing in the outlook demanding an immediate policy
response and particularly given muted inflation pressures.”
Oil prices rose on Wednesday, buoyed by an official forecast
showing slower-than-expected U.S. production, and as U.S.
sanctions stall exports from Venezuela.International Brent
crude oil futures were at $66.89 a barrel at 0955 GMT, up
22 cents, or 0.33 percent, from their last close.U.S. West
Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $57.31 per barrel,
up 44 cents, or 0.77 percent.The U.S. Energy Information
Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that U.S.
crudeproduction was expected to grow more slowly in 2019
than it had previously expected, averaging about 12.30
million barrels per day (bpd).The EIA revised down its
projected 2020 production figure from 13.20 million bpd to
13.03 million bpd.While the revision is small, the comforting
part for bulls was that the direction of the revision was
down rather than up," Harry Tchilinguirian, global oil
strategist at BNP Paribas (PA:BNPP) in London, told the
Reuters Global Oil Forum.U.S. crude stocks also fell
unexpectedly last week, data from the American Petroleum
Institute showed on Tuesday, in a good sign for oil demand
as supply from various producers was being curbed.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
Gold BUY ABOVE 31780 TARGET 31800/31850 SL 31740
Gold Sell BELOW 31850 TARGET 31800/31770 SL 31920
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
Silver BUY ABOVE 38300 TARGET 38350/38400 SL 38200
Silver Sell BELOW 38120 TARGET 38050/38000 SL 38240
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
15-MAR-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1680 0.89
Castor Seed 5272 0.38
Chana 4204 -0.1
Coriander 6589 0.09
Cotton Seed Oilcake 2045 2.18
Guar Seed 10 MT 4249 0.38
Jeera 16140 -0.87
Mustardseed 3826 0.1
Soy Bean 3631 0.8
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM APR ABOVE 8830 TARGET 8845/8860/8890
SL 8770
SELL GUARGUM APR BELOW 8800 TARGET 8785/8760/8740
SL 8860
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY CORIANDER APR 6570 TARGET 6585/6600/6615 SL
6510
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6530 TARGET
6515/6495/6470 SL 6590
Malaysian palm oil futures declined for a sixth consecutive
session on Wednesday to their lowest in three months on
pressure from expectations of lower demand in top
importer India and rising domestic production.
The benchmark third-month palm oil contract on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange finished down 1.3 percent at
2,089 ringgit a tonne. Earlier in the session, the market hit
its weakest since mid-December at 2,070 ringgit a tonne.
World palm oil demand may suffer its first contraction in
two decades during the 2019/20 crop year due to rising
domestic oilseed supplies in India and slowing demand in
Europe and China, industry sources told Reuters.
Production of rapeseed, used to make an alternative oil to
palm, is likely to be a record 8 million tonnes. So, India's
imports will be the same around the last level of 15 million
tonnes, said a top official of the Solvent Extractors
Association of India, the industry group representing
oilseed producers. Palm oil exports from Malaysia, the
world’s second-largest palm producer, to the European
Union slid to 264,005 tonnes in February from 405,867
tonnes a month ago, latest data from cargo surveyor
Societe Generale de Surveillance (SGS) showed.
Inflation based on wholesale prices rose to 2.93% in
February over the previous month due to hardening of
prices of primary articles, fuel and power, according to
latest government data.The Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
based inflation stood at 2.76 per cent in January, 2019. WPI
inflation stood at 2.74 per cent during February 2018.
Inflation of primary articles, which includes kitchen
essentials like potato, onion, fruits, and milk increased to
4.84 per cent during the month, as against 3.54 in January,
the data revealed.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
15-MAR-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 69.4525 Yen 62.8750
Euro 78.64 GBP 91.8725
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 69.55 TARGET 65.65/69.75 SL
69.35
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 69.35 TARGET 69.25/69.15 SL
69.45
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 91.55 TARGET 91.65/91.75 SL
91.35
SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 91.4 TARGET 91.3/91.2 SL 91.6
The Australian dollar fell on Thursday after reports that a
meeting between China and the United States to end their
trade war had been delayed.The meeting between
President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping won't
occur this month and is more likely to happen in April at
the earliest, Bloomberg reported. Australian dollar reacted
the most to the report, falling to its lowest in three days at
$0.7049, down 0.6 percent on the day.Concern remains
that any escalation in the trade conflict will hit hard export
-oriented economies such as Australia, whose biggest
trading partner is China.The yuan was relatively stable in
the offshore market. At 1030 GMT it was down half a
percent at 6.7353, not far from a one-month low of 6.7372
CNH=D3The dollar gained for the first time in a week as the
pound fell after a vote on Brexit that failed to deliver much
clarity on where Britain's relationship with the European
Union was headed.The pound had soared nearly 2 percent
late on Wednesday after British lawmakers voted against a
potentially disorderly "no-deal" departure from the
European Union.The pound was down 0.9 percent at
$1.3208 at 1040 GMT. Traders are bracing for a
parliamentary vote later today that's expected to call for a
short delay to Brexit.
The British pound edged lower in early European hours on
Thursday, easing off Wednesday's nine-month high posted
after U.K.lawmakers voted emphatically against leaving the
EU without a transitional deal.The pound was down 0.2%
at $1.3317 by 4:45AM ET (08:45 GMT), after rallying 2.1% a
day earlier.The currency went as high as $1.3380, a level
not seen since June 2018, after parliament's vote, which
paves the way for a vote later Thursday that could delay
Brexit until at least the end of June."Yesterday’s vote to
reject a no-deal Brexit does not remove the risk of a
disorderly Brexit on March 29," Singapore's DBS said in a
note. "Hence, the pound's appreciation yesterday is still set
on shaky and not on firm foundation."Analysts said the real
test for sterling was yet to come as lawmakers still need to
agree a way forward before an extension on Britain's exit
could be obtained from the EU."If they manage to achieve
cross-party support for a deal, likely a 'softer Brexit' sort of
a deal – this could potentially be very good news for UK
assets," said Russel Silberston, Co-Head of Multi Asset at
Investec Asset Management.
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
15-MAR-2019
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT
PERIO
D
ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN WILL DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK.
MONDAY, MARCH 11
8:30 am Retail sales* (new date) Jan. -1.2%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos* (new date) Jan. -1.8%
10 am Business inventories* (new date) Dec. -0.1%
11 am Survey of consumer expectations Feb.
TUESDAY, MARCH 12
6 am NFIB small-business index Feb. 101.2
8:30 am Consumer price index Feb. 0.0%
8:30 am Core CPI Feb. 0.2%
2 pm Federal budget Feb. DELAYED
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 13
8:30 am Durable goods orders* (new date) Jan. 1.2%
8:30 am
Core capital goods orders*
(new date)
Jan. -1.0%
8:30 am Producer price index Feb. -0.1%
10 am Construction spending* (new date)
THURSDAY, MARCH 14
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 3/9 --
8:30 am Import prices Feb. 0.5%
8:30 am Retail sales* Feb. DELAYED
10 am New home sales* (new date) Jan. --
10 am Business inventories Jan. DELAYED
FRIDAY, MARCH 15
8:30 am Empire state manufacturing index March 8.8
9:15 am Industrial production Feb. -0.6%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Feb. 78.2%
10 am Job openings Jan. 7.4 mln
10 am Consumer sentiment March 95.5
9. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
15-MAR-2019
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Sachin
Yadav
Digitally signed by
Sachin Yadav
DN: cn=Sachin Yadav
c=IN o=Personal
Reason: I am the author
of this document
Location:
Date: 2019-03-15
09:15+05:30