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1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street see-sawed on Monday, rarely straying far from
opening levels as investors eyed ongoing US-China trade
talks, potential congressional gridlock and a diminished
2019 earnings outlook. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq eked
out nominal gains while the blue chip Dow edged
lower.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 53.22 points,
or 0.21 percent, to 25,053.11, the S&P 500 gained 1.92
points, or 0.07 percent, to 2,709.8 and the Nasdaq
Composite added 9.71 points, or 0.13 percent, to 7,307.91.
Asian shares barely budged on Tuesday with investors
looking to a new round of Sino-US trade talks as the worldâs
two largest economies try to resolve a tariff dispute that
has put a dent on global growth and corporate
earnings.MSCIâs broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan was unchanged in early trade. Japanâs Nikkei
was up 1.1 percent after a market holiday on Monday.
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening for the
broader index in India, a fall of 23.5 points or 0.21 percent.
Nifty futures were trading around 10,907-level on the
Singaporean Exchange. According to Pivot charts, the key
support level is placed at 10,853.63, followed by 10,818.47.
If the index starts moving upward, key resistance levels to
watch out are 10,927.43 and then 10,966.07.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Indian equity markets ended in the red for the second
consecutive session with selling pressure witnessed across
the board.Nifty ended the session 54 points lower at
10,888, while Bank Nifty settled 66 points lower at 27,227,
with both indices recovering marginally from their
respective low points of the day.The selling pressure was
more severe in the broader markets with Nifty Midcap 100
and Nifty Smallcap 100 indices closing 1.67% and 1.8%
lower, respectively. Nifty PSU Bank was the worst-
performing sectoral index of the day and fell 1.74% led by a
sharp correction in stocks of SBI and Canara Bank.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-41.45pts],
Consumption[-38pts],PSE[-29.7pts],CPSE[-21.75pts],Energy
[-250.75pts],FMCG[-40.55pts],Auto[-100.05pts],Pharma[-
146.85ts],IT[+79.25pts],Metal[-15.30pts],Realty[-
2.30pts], Fin Serv sector[-51.5pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25162 +0.58
S&P500 2709 +0.07
NASDAQ 7307 +0.13
FTSE100 7129 +0.82
NIKKEI 20333 -2.01
HANG SENG 27968 +0.08
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Tata Steel 480.7 11.95 2.55
Cipla 543.3 9.05 1.69
IOC 135.85 2.05 1.53
Tata Motors 152.65 1.95 1.29
HCL Tech 1,079.35 10.9 1.02
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Dr Reddys Labs 2,615.35 -154.35 -5.57
M&M 647.55 -34.55 -5.07
ONGC 138.2 -5.95 -4.13
Hindalco 199.45 -6.45 -3.13
UltraTechCement 3,449.40 -108.4 -3.05
Stocks at 52 Weekâs HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AAVAS 869.9 6.2 0.72
LIQUIDETF 1,000.01 0.01 0
MAHASTEEL 136.8 8.6 6.73
WIPRO 377.4 1.3 0.35
NAUKRI 1,793.00 -76.15 -4.31
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10888 -54.8 -0.50
SENSEX 36395 -151 -0.41
Stocks at 52 Weekâs LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
20MICRONS 32.3 -3.2 -8.91
21STCENMGM 19.5 -0.35 -1.76
3PLAND 9.9 0.5 4.55
ABAN 48.5 -2.5 -4.84
ABCAPITAL 79 -2.45 -3
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
REPCOHOME
Stock has given the breakout of the neckline of the double
bottom pattern but can not sustain at upper level .we
have seen the weakness on chart We recommend sell
below 375 for the target of 370/365 with the stop loss of
385
MACRO NEWS
ďˇ Oil prices rose on Tuesday amid OPEC-led supply cuts
and US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, although
surging US production and concerns over economic
growth kept markets in check.US West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at $52.50
per barrel at 0102 GMT, up 9 cents, or 0.2 percent,
from their last close. International Brent crude futures
were up 18 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $61.69 per barrel.
ďˇ To check excessive price movements, capital markets
regulator Sebi Monday proposed a slew of measures
including capping the maximum daily movement of up
to 20 per cent for all stocks including that are part of
the future and options (F&O) segment. There have
been concerns that investors' wealth is getting
wiped out in a single day by recent falls in stocks on
which derivative products are available, as no price
band are applicable on them.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. Titan [FUTURE ]
TITAN -In Titan on daily chart as well as weekly we have
seen that Buying in this stock by traders as well as investors
in last week .Reason behind that quarterly result awaited in
this week & also from technical aspect stock now moving
towards to break its previous highs.Our recommendation is
to Buy 1070 stock target will be 1075/1085 SL below 1060
2. KSCL [FUTURE]
KSCLâ In KSCL we have seen sharp selling in this week , we
may expect that it will be continue in upcoming week also.
On Technical point of view seen trend line breakdown & also
stock not able to sustain at upper level. RSI & MACD also
indicate downtrend in this stock with strong volume.Our
recommendation is sell stock future in the range of 525
Target 518 /500/490 Sl 535
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 27,500 59.4 4,15,067 7,36,200
BANKNIFTY CE 27,400 88.05 3,94,808 4,55,980
BANKNIFTY CE 27,300 130.55 3,37,495 3,87,460
TATASTEEL CE 500 6.15 10,328 16,96,539
TATASTEEL CE 480 14.05 8,371 12,15,906
RELIANCE CE 1,300 15.25 7,117 15,88,500
TATASTEEL CE 490 9.6 6,436 11,68,161
TATAMOTORS CE 170 1.4 6,061 43,98,000
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 27,000 48 4,68,202 7,23,980
BANKNIFTY PE 27,100 70 3,10,072 3,85,540
BANKNIFTY PE 27,200 104 3,10,052 3,24,340
TATASTEEL PE 460 6.45 7,344 11,36,331
RELIANCE PE 1,260 29.1 6,134 7,51,000
TATASTEEL PE 450 4.45 6,083 9,85,669
MARUTI PE 7,000 77.4 5,844 1,00,875
TATASTEEL PE 470 9.1 5,736 7,74,530
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 34760 2564.07 30704 2289.54 367245 29192.17 274.5322
INDEX OPTIONS 1181619 70662.57 1160830 69318.25 806614 61136.45 1344.3119
STOCK FUTURES 201029 11014.68 209951 11566.60 1499223 88279.69 -551.9263
STOCK OPTIONS 145246 8360.15 144781 8309.23 143917 8409.73 50.9214
1117.8392
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Bharti Airtel: Airtel Kenya Signs an agreement with
Telkom Kenya to combine operations.
Tata Steel Q3: Profit surges 53 percent YoY to Rs 1,751
crore; India biz revenue up 10 percent
Reliance Industries: RRVL acquired a further stake of
9.44 percent in Genesis Colors for Rs 45 crore
NIFTY FUTURE NIFTY -On daily weekly chart we have
identify that Head & Shoulder pattern is forming at the
top . Head & shoulder & for a short term forming
Raising wedge pattern in technical term bearish reversal
pattern .Nifty breach the important level of 11000 in this
week ,but closing below 11000 .On technical point of
view still our recommendation is to sell nifty future in
the range of 10950-10900 Target 10850/10800 SL 11000
Our strategy is to sell on rise .
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10966 10927 10892 10853 10818
BANKNIFTY 27382 27305 27228 27150 27074
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold held steady on Friday en route to its first weekly loss in
three, pressured by gains in the dollar, but kept above the
$1,300 level by concerns over economic growth in Europe
and elsewhere.Spot gold XAU= was steady at $1,310.46 per
ounce, as of 1029 GMT, after hitting its lowest since Jan. 29
at $1,302.11 on Thursday.U.S. gold futures GCv1 were up
about 0.1 percent at $1,314.70."The major headwind is the
pretty resilient dollar at the moment," said Philip Newman,
director at Metals Focus."There are quite a few concerns -
economically, financially and politically - and yesterday,
there was a downgrade in European growth
(forecast)."The dollar index .DXY , which tracks the
greenback against major currencies, was on course for its
first weekly gain in three and was trading close to a two-
week high, taking some shine off gold. USD/While bullion
has risen about 13 percent since touching over 1-1/2-year
lows in August, mostly due to volatile stock markets and a
dovish U.S. Federal Reserve, a strong dollar has driven gold
down about 0.6 percent so far this week.
Gold denominated in euros XAUEUR=R climbed to its
highest since early May 2017, at 1,157.37 euros per ounce,
in the previous session after the European Commission cut
its forecasts for euro zone economic growth this year and
next.The Commission cited global trade tensions and
China's slowdown as the main drags on the European
Union's economy. about a global slowdown and the lack of
any sign of a resolution to the U.S.-China trade row dragged
global shares down for a third day. MKTS/GLOB
Oil markets inched down on Friday and were heading for a
weekly loss, pulled down by worries about a global
economic slowdown, although OPEC-led supply cuts and
U.S. sanctions against Venezuela provided crude with some
support.Weighing on financial markets were concerns that a
trade dispute between the United States and China would
remain unresolved, denting global economic prospects.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were down 14 cents at $61.49
per barrel at 0855 GMT. On the week, they are set for a loss
of around 2 percent, the steepest weekly fall this year.U.S.
West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 stood at
$52.46 per barrel, down 18 cents, and looking at a 5 percent
weekly slump.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 33100 TGT 33150/33200 SL BELOW
32900
SELL GOLD BELOW 32900 TGT 32800/32800 SL ABOVE
33200
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 40700 TGT 40750/40800 SL BELOW
40550
SELL SILVER BELOW 40400 TGT 40300/40200 SL ABOVE
40600
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1580 0.39
Castor Seed 5096 0.39
Chana 4229 -1.18
Coriander 6609 -0.05
Cotton Seed Oilcake 2049 0.59
Guar Seed 10 MT 4336 -0.09
Jeera 15910 -0.38
Mustardseed 3952 1.24
Soy Bean 3826 0.86
Turmeric 6398 0.13
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM MAR ABOVE 8350 TARGET
8365/8390/8410 SL 8290
SELL GUARGUM MAR BELOW 8260 TARGET
8245/8220/8200 SL 8320
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 6220 TARGET 6235/6260/6280
SL 6160
SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 6200 TARGET 6185/6160/6140
SL 6260
India's Cotton imports are likely to jump 80 percent from a
year ago as production could fall to the lowest level in nine
years due to low rainfall in key growing region.Rains in
Gujarat and Maharashtra, which account for more than half
of India's Cotton production, were nearly a quarter below
normal during the June-September monsoon season in
2018.India could import 2.7 million bales in 2018/19
marketing year ending on Sept. 30, up from 1.5 million
bales a year ago. India imports Cotton mainly from the
United States, Brazil and Egypt.Spinning mills have imported
548,000 bales by the end of January out of total contracts
of 1 million bales signed so far in the current marketing
year.India is likely to produce 33 million bales in the current
season, down from earlier estimate of 33.5 million bales
and last year's output of 36.5 million bales, CAI estimates.
Higher imports by the world's biggest Cotton producer
could support global prices, trading near their lowest in
more than a year. The drop in Indian supplies could help
rivals such as the United States, Brazil and Australia
increase cargoes to key Asian buyers such as China,
B a n g l a d e s h a n d P a k i s t a n .
India's oilmeal exports during April 2018 to January 2019
rose 7% to 2,692,452 tonnes from 2,516,657 tonnes
reported in the corresponding period last year, according to
latest data compiled by the Solvent Extractorsâ Association
of India (SEA).Soybean meal exports advanced sharply
during the period under review from 23,000 tonnes to 2.8
lakh tonnes with the Iran market opening up. In the wake of
economic sanctions by the US, Iran turned to India to meet
its soybean meal requirements. To support this, Iran started
accepting payments in Indian currency, used it to pay India
for imports.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 71.30 Yen 64.8325
Euro 80.10 GBP 92.2175
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 71.5 TARGET 71.6 71.7 SL 71.3
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 71.25 TARGET 71.15 71 SL
71.45
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 92.50 TARGET 92.6 92.7 SL
92.30
SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 92.30 TARGET 92.2 92.1 SL
92.50
The Pound Euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate is steady today
and is currently trading around âŹ1.1418 on the inter-bank
market.Sterling (GBP) remained unmoved against the Euro
(EUR) today after the publication of the German trade
balance figures for December, which exceeded expectation
and increased to âŹ19.4bn.These were also followed by a
rise in German exports figures for December, which
increased above expectation by 1.5%.This has seen a
return of some confidence in the Euro as markets have
been becoming increasingly concerned about signs of a
slowing Eurozone economy.Some of the gains, however,
were clipped by the publication of the Italian industrial
output figures for January, which decreased by a worse-
than-expected -0.8%.Italyâs economy is an ongoing concern
for EUR traders, with the country recently falling into a
recession.The UK, meanwhile, will see no significant
economic data release today, with Sterling traders instead
focusing on Brexit developments.Prime Minister Theresa
May has headed for Dublin to meet with her Irish
counterpart, Leo Varadkar, and discuss aspects of the Irish
backstop.GBP traders, however, are remaining cautious as
both Varadkar and the EU have consistently rejected
renegotiations on the Northern Irish border issue.
The euro held at a two-week low on Friday as traders
nursed losses in a week of bad data that indicated an
economic slowdown in Europe was spreading as trade
tensions between United States and China remain high.The
single currency is on course for its biggest weekly loss in
more than four months after data that has also pushed
down euro zone government bond yields, with benchmark
German debt trading at its lowest level in more than two
years.But some traders said large buy orders from central
banks at around $1.13 levels were nevertheless keeping
the euro supported. One analyst pointed to the presence
of large currency options amounting to nearly $1 billion
around $1.1280 expiring later in the day as another
possible prop."We are all scratching our heads on who the
mystery buyer is on euro/dollar," said Kenneth Broux, a
currency strategist at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN) in
London.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
11/2/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6340
6355/6370/64
00
6280 NOT EXECUTED
11/2/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6250
6235/6220/61
90
6310 TARGET
11/2/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR BUY 8200
8215/8240/82
60
8260 TARGET
11/2/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR SELL 8150
8135/8120/80
80
8210 TARGET
11/2/19 MCX GOLD FEB BUY 33500 33550/33600 33400 NOT EXECUTED
11/2/19 MCX GOLD FEB SELL 33300 33250/33200 33500 TARGET
11/2/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 40700 40750/40800 40500 NOT EXECUTED
11/2/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 40400 40300/40200 40600 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
11/2/19 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10950-10900 10850/10800 11000 OPEN
11/2/19 TITAN FUTURE BUY 1070 1075/1080 1060 NOT EXECUTED
11/2/19 KSCL FUTURE SELL 545-540 520 575 NOT EXECUTED
11/2/19 REPOHOME CASH SELL 375 370/365 385 TARGET HIT
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12 -FEB-2019
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NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT
PERIO
D
ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN COULD DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK.
MONDAY, FEB. 11
None scheduled
TUESDAY, FEB. 12
6 am NFIB small business index Jan. -- 104.4
10 am Job openings Dec. -- 6.9 mln
11 am Household credit Q4 -- 4.3%
WEDNESDAY, FEB. 13
8:30 am Consumer price index Jan. 0.1% -0.1%
8:30 am Core CPI Jan. 0.2% 0.2%
2 pm Federal budget Dec. -- -$23 bln
THURSDAY, FEB. 14
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 2./9 227.000 234,000
8:30 am Retail sales (new date) Dec. 0.0% 0.2%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos (new date) Dec. -0.1% 0.2%
8:30 am Producer price index Jan. 0.2% -0.2%
10 am Business inventories (new date) Nov. -- 0.6%
FRIDAY, FEB. 15
8:30 am Retail sales* Jan. DELAYED -- N/A
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos* Jan DELAYED -- N/A
8:30 am Import price index Jan. -- -1.0%
8:30 am Empire state index Feb. -- 3.9
9:15 am Industrial production Jan. 0.2% 0.3%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Jan. 78.8% 78.7%
10 am Business inventories* Dec. DELAYED -- N/A
10 am Consumer sentiment index Feb. 92.8 91.2