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Special report by epic research of 30 january 2018
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30 Jan-2018
Global markets at a glance
European stocks posted modest gains on the last trading
day of the week, ahead of a speech by President Donald
Trump in Davos, Switzerland.
The pan-European STOXX 600 traded up 0.3 percent on
Friday, with sectors moving into the black during morning
deals. European bourses were mostly higher, with France's
CAC 40 posting solid gains on the back of strong earnings.
In the previous session, European markets reversed gains
during trade, after the European Central Bank's latest
monetary policy meeting. On Thursday, the ECB left its its
benchmark interest rate unchanged. Markets came under
pressure as traders remain convinced that easy monetary
policy in the euro zone would come to an end.
Asian stocks retreated from record peaks on Tuesday after
a selloff in Apple shares knocked Wall Street, while the
dollar found support as US bond yields climbed to near four
-year highs.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was down 0.3 percent after rising to a record high the
previous day.
Australian stocks shed 0.65 percent, South Korea's KOSPI
lost 0.3 percent and Japan's Nikkei dropped 0.5 percent.
The bearish sentiment in Asia followed a softer lead from
Wall Street, which has led a global equities rally over the
past year thanks to strong world growth fuelling higher
corporate earnings and stock valuations.
On Monday, US stocks pulled back from record highs, with
the Dow and the S&P 500 indexes marking their biggest
one-day percentage declines in about five months, weighed
down by a slide in Apple shares.
The dollar, however, enjoyed a reprieve from some
persistent selling in the past few weeks. Buoyed by higher
US yields, the dollar index against a basket of six major
currencies was at 89.336, having bounced away overnight
from a three-year low of 88.438 plumbed on Friday when
peers like the euro outshone the greenback.
Previous day Roundup
The Index opened at 11,079 slipped marginally to hit its
intraday low of 11,075.95. It rose to a record high of
11,171.55 before closing 60 points higher to close at
11,130.40.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [136.75 ],Ca
pitalGoods[ 35.39 pts],PSU[ -112.49 pts],FMCG[ -
52.82 pts],Realty[ -17.80 pts],Power[ -17.41 pts],Auto
[ 410.95pts],Healthcare[-137.63 pts],IT[ 146.72 pts],Metal
[ 38.09 pts],TECK[ 63.53 pts], Oil& Gas [ -137.87pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 26,439.48 -0.67
S&P500 2,845.75 -0.28
NASDAQ 7,466.50 -0.53
FTSE100 7,671.54 0.08
NIKKEI 23,477.26 -0.65
HANG SENG 30,725.24 -0.74
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Maruti Suzuki 9,630.70 352.50 3.80
Eicher Motors 27,453.65 934.25 3.52
HDFC 1,967.60 59.30 3.11
Bharti Infratel 353.40 9.95 2.90
UPL 788.50 19.55 2.54
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
UPL 768.95 -55.30 -6.71
SBI 313.15 -16.75 -5.08
Aurobindo Pharm 639.70 -18.75 -2.85
Adani Ports 436.50 -12.25 -2.73
Hero Motocorp 3,571.20 -74.30 -2.04
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ADANIENT 38.75 -0.45 -1.16
AUTOAXLES 1667.65 -12.8 -0.77
AXISNIFTY 172.45 13.6 7.89
BILENERGY 205.5 8.8 4.28
ESCORTS 2425.8 97.7 4.03
FACT 1112.5 -4.6 -0.41
GENUSPAPER 2776.15 -0.15 -0.01
ARVSMART
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 11130.40 60.70 0.55
SENSEX 36283.25 232.81 0.65
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
APOLLO 419.7 -20.95 -4.99
BRFL 81.7 4.05 4.96
CLEDUCATE 276.55 -1.05 -0.38
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30 Jan-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
RADICO [CASH]
With the three candles towards downside RADICO has
confirmed its bearish trend ,although the market is moving
upward but still this particular stock is in bearish
continuation trend. On the upside it has reistance level of
376 the stock may show some corrections but the
wholeout trend is negative so we recommend to SELL
RADICO below 361 tgt 355-350 sl above 365.
MACRO NEW
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a positive opening for the
broader index in India, a rise of 26 points or 0.24
percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,940-
level on the Singaporean Exchange.
Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian on
Monday indicated that the scope for RBI to lower
interest rate may be limited with growth picking up
and inflation hardening."By definition if growth is
picking up and inflation is rising, there is less scope of
monetary easing. By definition that's true," he said.
"For about 18 months we could have had lower
interest rate. Now, I think they are probably more
consistent with inflation outlook".
India will need about USD 4.5 trillion in the next 25
years for infrastructure development, of which it will
be able to garner about USD 3.9 trillion, the Economic
Survey said."Around USD 4.5 trillion worth of
investments are required by India till 2040 to develop
infrastructure to improve economic growth and
community well being," the Survey tabled by Finance
Minister Arun Jaitley in Parliament on Monday said.
With a market valuation of over Rs 6.11 trillion, the
software major Tata Consultancy Services on Monday
surpassed Reliance Industries (RIL) to become the
country's most valued firm in terms of market
capitalisation. In the ranking of top-five firms on the m
-cap chart, TCS took the number one position followed
by RIL, HDFC Bank at Rs 5.18 trillion, ITC with Rs 3.36
trillion m-cap and HDFC at Rs 3.12 trillion.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. TVSMOTORS [FUTURE ]
This particular counter is getting support at its crucial level
of 706,just at its lower levels the candles have indecisions
and slight consolidation can be seen, in the yesterday
trading session it closed justabove its 100 day SMA so we
advice to BUY TVS MOTORS future around 725-726 tgt 734-
744 sl below 718
2.HINDPETRO [FUTURE]
With the four candles towards downside hindpetro has
confirmed its bearish trend ,although the market is moving
upward but still this particular stock is in bearish
continuation trend. On the upside it has reistance level of
400 the stock may show some corrections but the wholeout
trend is negative so we recommend to SELL HINDPETRO
around 380-379.80 tgt 374-368 sl above 385.
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30 Jan-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 11,500 57.45 83,761 24,68,325
BANKNIFTY CE 28,000 115 76,470 3,67,760
NIFTY CE 11,200 164.9 69,196 21,36,225
MARUTI CE 10,000 137 16,172 2,11,500
HDFC CE 2,000 38 8,048 4,69,000
MARUTI CE 9,700 238 5,441 60,000
MARUTI CE 9,800 198.05 4,857 50,400
MARUTI CE 9,600 281.55 4,204 45,750
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 11,000 143.4 1,09,159 33,57,600
NIFTY PE 10,800 88.1 81,657 33,81,375
NIFTY PE 10,900 113.75 62,650 22,83,900
ICICIBANK PE 330 7 2,982 63,91,000
MARUTI PE 9,000 58.7 2,775 36,750
HDFC PE 1,900 19.55 2,425 2,38,500
MARUTI PE 9,500 201 1,943 31,050
MARUTI PE 9,400 160 1,795 20,925
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 122936 11019.48 82873 7074.52 180775 15343.74 3944.958
INDEX OPTIONS 1414783 132147.26 1393825 130114.43 633231 53605.53 2032.8323
STOCK FUTURES 515458 39244.64 502225 38128.21 982044 74988.00 1116.4305
STOCK OPTIONS 59043 4760.85 54664 4394.39 1302 108.57 366.4649
7460.6857
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Reliance Industries Jio to raise up to USD 2.2bn to
fund Rcom deal
Tata Power’s CEO Sardana may quit as group looks
to rejig businesses
NIFTY FUTURE
The Index opened at 11,079 slipped marginally to hit its
intraday low of 11,075.95. It rose to a record high of
11,171.55 before closing 60 points higher to close at
11,130.40.According to Pivot charts, the key support
level is placed at 11,080.43, followed by 11,030.47. If the
index starts to move higher, key resistance levels to
watch out are 11,175.93 and 11,221.47..Buy nifty future
around 11070-11080 tgt 12010-12070 sl below 11010.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 11221.00 11175.00 11125.00 11079.00 11029.00
BANKNIFTY 27764.00 27631.00 27519.00 27386.00 27274.00
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30 Jan-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold held steady near a four-month high on Wednesday, as
the US dollar sank to a fresh three-year low, while worries
of potential trade wars led to some risk-aversion trade as
well.
Spot gold was nearly flat at $1,340.90 per ounce at 0439
GMT, while US gold futures for February delivery rose 0.28
per cent to $1,340.40 per ounce.
"Gold could move higher as we are still in the early stages of
a broader USD sell-off, with all eyes focused on 110 USD-
JPY," said Stephen Innes, APAC head of trading at OANDA.
The dollar touched a four-month low against the yen on
simmering concerns that the US currency's yield advantage
will start to erode as major central banks head toward
unwinding their massive stimulus.
It slipped to as low as 110.06 yen , the lowest since Sept. 15,
and was last down 0.1 per cent at 110.16 yen.
The dollar index fell to its lowest since Dec. 31, 2014, on a
fresh burst of speculative selling.
A weaker dollar makes bullion more attractive for holders
of other currencies.
On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump imposed import
tariffs on washing machines and solar panels, putting a
cloud over global trade at a time when its revival has fuelled
hopes for a stronger world economy.
Markets also expect an US interest rate hike in March. Gold
is highly sensitive to rising US interest rates, as these
increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding
bullion while boosting the greenback.
Meanwhile, recent strong gains in equities weighed on the
precious metal. Most Asian stock indexes are up anywhere
from 5 to 10 per cent since the start of the year with many
at all-time highs.
In other precious metals, silver was nearly flat at $17.04 per
ounce after touching a 3-1/2-week low of $16.73 in the
previous session.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD FEB ABOVE 30150 TGT 30250 30400 SL BELOW
30000
SELL GOLD FEB BELOW 29900 TGT 29800 29650 SL ABOVE
30000
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER MAR ABOVE 39700 TGT 39900 40200 SL BELOW
39500
SELL SILVER MAR BELOW 39100 TGT 38900 38600 SL
ABOVE 39400
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30 Jan-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 4293 4
Chana 3808 2.45
Coriander 5912 -0.24
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1683 0.63
Guar Seed 10 MT 4664 0.94
Jeera 16475 0.27
Mustardseed 4198 1.87
Soy Bean 3811 3.98
Turmeric 7294 -0.84
Wheat 1672 -0.06
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY GUARGUM5 FEB ABOVE 10080 TGT
10130 10230 SL BELOW 10030
SELL GUARGUM5 FEB BELOW 9950 TGT 9900 9800 SL
ABOVE 10000
GUARGUM
BUY CORIANDER APR ABOVE 5960 TGT
6010 6110 SL BELOW 5910
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 5840 TGT 5790 5690 SL
ABOVE 5890
Mentha oil prices rebounded 1.03 per cent to Rs 1,645.10
per kg in futures market today as speculators built up fresh
positions amid pick-up in demand in domestic spot market.
Besides, tight stocks position on restricted arrivals from
major producing belts of Chandausi, too fuelled the
uptrend.
At the Multi Commodity Exchange, mentha oil for delivery
in February went up Rs 16.80, or 1.03 per cent, to Rs
1,645.10 per kg in a business turnover of 20 lots.
ikewise, the oil for delivery in January contracts was trading
Rs 13.30, or 0.83 per cent, higher at Rs 1,623 per kg in 67
lots.
Marketmen said fresh positions created by traders due to
uptick in demand from consuming industries in the physical
market against restricted supplies from Chandausi, led to
rise in prices.
Cardamom prices drifted 0.89 per cent lower to Rs 1,096
per kg in futures trade today as traders trimmed holdings
amid easing demand in the spot market.
At the Multi Commodity Exchange, cardamom for delivery
in February declined Rs 9.90, or 0.89 per cent, to Rs 1,096
per kg in a business turnover of 444 lots.
Analysts said offloading of positions by participants owing
to tepid demand in the physical market against adequate
stocks position weighed on prices.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30 Jan-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 63.5470 Yen 58.3800
Euro 78.8682 GBP 89.8237
JPY/INR
BUY JPY/INR AROUND 79.20 TGT 79.30-79.40 SL 79.10
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 78.00 TGT 77.90-77.80 SL 78.10
USD/INR
BUY USD/INR ABOVE 64.00 TGT 64.10-64.20 SL 63.90
SELL USD/INR BELOW 63.30 TGT 63.20-63.10 SL 63.40
The euro fell below the 87 pence mark against the sterling
for the first time in seven months as the British pound's
rally against the dollar this week spread to other
currencies. Against the euro, which itself is basking in the
afterglow of a booming economy, sterling strengthened to
86.96 pence, its highest since June 2017, taking its gains to
more than 2 per cent against the single currency so far this
month. Its gains against the dollar have been more
pronounced, with sterling rising more than 5.6 per cent so
far this month, on track for its best monthly performance
since June 2009. The dollar's worst start to a year since
1987 may get a lot worse. Regardless of whether the
Trump administration wants a strong U.S. currency or not,
this week's plunge is breaching technical barriers that had
stood as proverbial last lines of defense against a
significant gap lower. Amid a rout that stands at more than
3.1 percent year-to-date, there's no shortage of
ammunition for traders looking to wager against the
greenback.
For the past year, the Dollar has been driven lower by the
strength of its most liquid counterparts. Perhaps the most
prominent example of the Greenback's performance is the
EUR/USD's remarkable turn from a more-than-decade low
to a charge of more than 20 percent that now finds the it
at three-year highs. Though the Dollar's own fundamental
backdrop plays a part in this performance, its role has been
more that of a static anchor around which more active
counterparts have gained strength. From the themes that
have been most prominent over this period, we have seen
a strong but static view on interest rate expectations,
growth forecast, appeal for return and fiscal policy.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30 Jan-2018
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JAN. 29
8:30 AM Personal income Dec. - 0.30% 0.30%
8:30 AM Consumer spending Dec. - 0.50% 0.60%
8:30 AM Core inflation Dec. - 0.20% 0.10%
TUESDAY, JAN. 30
9 am
Case-Shiller home
prices
Nov. - -- 6.20%
10 am
Consumer
confidence index
Jan. - 125 122.1
10 am
Home ownership
rate
Q4 - -- 63.90%
WEDNESDAY, JAN. 31
8:15 AM ADP employment Jan. - -- 250,000
8:30 AM
Employment cost
index
Q4 - 0.50% 0.70%
9:45 AM Chicago PMI Jan. - -- 67.6
10 am Pending home sales Dec. - -- 0.20%
2 pm
FOMC
announcement
- - 1.25-1.5% 1.25-1.5%
THURSDAY, FEB. 1
8:30 AM
Weekly jobless
claims
27-Jan 238,000 233,000
8:30 AM Productivity Q4 0.10% 3.00%
8:30 AM Unit labor costs Q4 - 1.00% -0.20%
9:45 AM
Markit
manufacturing PMI
Jan. - - --
10 am
ISM manufacturing
index
Jan. - 58.50% 59.70%
10 am
Construction
spending
Dec. - 0.50% 0.80%
Varies Motor vehicle sales Jan. - 16.5 mln 17.9 mln
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS