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Special Report
16-Nov-2018
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street stocks fell on Thursday , with the S&P 500
notching a fifth straight day of losses as financial stocks
were hit by fears that regulations on the banking industry
would tighten once the Democratic Party takes control of
the US House of Representatives. Financial stocks fell after
Democrat Maxine Waters, who is expected to become
chair of the House Financial Services Committee, made
clear that she intends to push for stricter rules on the
sector. Waters said she was concerned by the Federal
Reserve's efforts to reduce capital and liquidity
requirements for banks and wants the central bank to
vigorously supervise large banks.The financial sector
dropped 1.4 percent and was the biggest percentage
decliner on the S&P 500. The S&P 500 Banks index fell 1.7
percent.US stocks pared losses somewhat after British
Prime Minister Theresa May won the backing of her senior
ministers on a draft agreement for exiting the European
Union, though they resumed their descent in the last half-
hour of trading.
Asian stocks edged up on Thursday as a steep slide in crude
oil prices which had chilled investor sentiment slowed,
while the pound and euro were supported after British
Prime Minister Theresa May gained cabinet support for a
Brexit deal.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Markets continued the positive momentum with Nifty and
Bank Nifty gaining traction in the second half of the
session. Nifty ended the day 40 points higher at 10,576 led
by gains in financial and metal stocks.
Bank Nifty ended the weekly expiry 224 points higher on
account of short covering in at-the-money strikes.
However, the real outperformer of the day's session was
Jet Airways, which ended the day ~24% higher after reports
emerged that Tata Group was considering the acquisition
of the cash-strapped carrier.Tracking the derivative data
points, Nifty Futures and Bank Nifty Futures witnessed a
surge in open interest to the tune of1.7% and 16%,
respectively.On the options front, short covering was
witnessed in Bank Nifty for major at-the-money strikes with
26000CE and 26100CE shedding ~8 lakh shares and ~5.4
lakh shares, respectively, which propelled the index
higher.India Vix ended the day 1.94% lower at 18.45.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-0.04pts],
Consumption[+0.25s],PSE[-0.10pts],CPSE[-0.52pts],Energy
[-0.21pts],FMCG[-0.09pts],Auto[+0.63pts],Pharma
[+0.03pts],IT[+0.11pts],Metal[+0.76pts],Realty[+1.70
pts], Fin Serv sector[1.10pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25289.49 +0.83
S&P500 2730 +1.06
NASDAQ 7259.03 +1.69
FTSE100 7038.01 0.06
NIKKEI 21784.17 -0.12
HANG SENG 25784.48 -0.033
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Adani Ports 346.2 14.2 4.28
Titan Company 920.8 28.6 3.21
Eicher Motors 23,945.35 705.25 3.03
Kotak Mahindra 1,162.25 32.35 2.86
Hero Motocorp 2,922.15 74.6 2.62
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Grasim 808.7 -67.65 -7.72
Yes Bank 205.85 -16.55 -7.44
Indiabulls Hsg 804.85 -34.45 -4.1
NTPC 153.8 -3.55 -2.26
Bharti Infratel 255.4 -4.65 -1.79
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AARTIIND 1438.25 -13.25 -0.92
APOLLOHOSP 1168.05 82.6 7.07
ATUL 3457.6 68.9 1.99
BIRLACABLE 200.55 -2.05 -1.02
ELECTROSL 24.8 1.2 4.84
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10616.70 +40.40 0.38
SENSEX 35260.54 +118.55 +0.34
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ADHUNIKIND 42.7 0.3 0.7
AIFL 52.95 -2.6 -4.91
ALCHEM 2.95 0 0
ANGIND 1.45 0.05 3.45
ASAHIINDIA 282.15 -5.95 -2.11
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Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
16-Nov-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
Yes Bank [CASH]
Stock is consolidating from past a few trading sessions
and today performed well good volumes in downside It
also formed the Bearish pattern on the daily
chart. We recommend SELL above the 199 level for the
target of 194 /190 with the stop loss of 204
MACRO NEWS
Oil rebounds from steep sell-off as OPEC, partners
discuss supply cutOil rose about 1 percent on
Wednesday, recouping some of the previous session's
heavy sell-off, on growing prospects that the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and
allied producers would cut output at a meeting next
month to prop up prices.
JSW Steel sets sights on troubled steel companiesJSW
Steel is training its eyes on downstream assets as it
looks at the next round of companies that have been
referred to the insolvency courts.
Vodafone Idea reports loss of Rs 4,973 cr for Sept
quarter, mulls raising Rs 25k cr
Auto manufacturers may recoup lost pricing power in
2019 pre-buying burstOnline fashion retailer Jabong,
which was acquired by Myntra in a discount deal in
2016, is expected to lay off around 200-250 people,
which is 40-50 percent of its total workforce, two
sources told Moneycontrol.The development comes
just two days after the exit of Flipkart Group Chief
Executive Officer Binny Bansal.
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals receives ANDA approval for
Teriflunomide Tablets, 7 mg and 14 mg
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. JustDIAL [FUTURE ]
Stock has given the breakout of ascending triangle on the
closing basis on the daily chart and closed near to days high.
It also maintained itself above the 200 EMA on the hourly
chart. We recommend buying around the 500 level for the
target of 505 with the stop loss of 495
2. YES Bank [FUTURE]
Stock is consolidating from past a few trading sessions
and today performed well good volumes in downside It also
formed the Bearish pattern on the daily
chart. We recommend SELL above the 199 level for the
target of 194 /190 with the stop loss of 204
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
16-Nov-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 26,200 0.05 32,20,211 20,16,920
BANKNIFTY CE 26,100 43.2 25,36,356 1,94,900
BANKNIFTY CE 26,300 0.05 16,80,046 16,61,100
RELIANCE CE 1,100 22.5 7,773 28,63,000
MARUTI CE 7,500 135 7,571 1,27,275
YESBANK CE 220 6.4 5,910 36,54,000
TATASTEEL CE 600 9.5 5,886 19,66,033
RELIANCE CE 1,120 14.35 5,584 14,70,000
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,000 0.05 19,19,965 13,35,760
BANKNIFTY PE 25,900 0.05 17,95,767 13,91,200
BANKNIFTY PE 25,800 0.05 17,00,407 14,88,480
YESBANK PE 200 9.1 9,295 49,71,750
RELIANCE PE 1,080 16.85 4,532 6,92,000
YESBANK PE 210 13.6 4,204 14,29,750
YESBANK PE 180 3.65 4,005 24,20,250
YESBANK PE 190 5.7 3,785 17,25,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 66781 4364.32 66489 4272.53 412314 31350.74 91.7901
INDEX OPTIONS 2284494 128135.38 2273286 127533.33 1015050 73617.14 602.0536
STOCK FUTURES 264769 15212.25 286715 16427.35 1396881 82368.79 -1215.0953
STOCK OPTIONS 172022 10099.96 171422 10033.10 156839 9449.02 66.857
-454.3946
STOCKS IN NEWS
Yes Bank - O. P. Bhatt has tendered his resignation from
his duties as an External Expert of the Search & Selection
Committee
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals receives ANDA approval for
Teriflunomide Tablets, 7 mg and 14 mg
NIFTY FUTURE Last trading session NIFTY Future close on
flatish note with mildly Bullish candle in daily chart,and if
we go technically on chart we can clearly see that nifty
future respect major resistsance level 10700 then after
nifty retrace and made a low around 10550, It’s support
level.During the week highest OI add at 10500 PUT and
maximum OI at 10700 CALL option in the week. And
volatile moves may continue in the market.So we can
follow buy on decline strategy it will be good, buy around
10570-10580 for the target of 10620/10650 with SL of
10540
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10695.9 10656..3 10606.9 10567.3 10517.9
BANKNIFTY 26496.4 26325.61 26026.8 25856.01 25557.2
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
16-Nov-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold held steady on Thursday as
the dollar regained momentum after Britain's Brexit
agreement was thrown into turmoil, offsetting limited
interest in the metal from investors seeking cover from the
political fallout.Spot gold XAU= was unchanged at $1,211.21
per ounce at 1057 GMT. Prices rose 1 percent in the
previous session.U.S. gold futures GCcv1 were up 0.1
percent at $1,211.60 per ounce.The dollar
index .DXY jumped, making bullion less attractive for
holders of other currencies, after Britain's Brexit deal with
the European Union was plunged into chaos. FRX/
However, some safe haven demand flowed into gold, a
traditional store of value during times of political and
economic uncertainty, as stock markets declined. MKTS/
GLOB"We have seen some resignations from the British
cabinet so that uncertainty is offering some support to gold
prices in the immediate term," ING analyst Warren
Patterson said."We will find very good support at $1,200
but will struggle to break up above $1,250 in the near
term."Just over 12 hours after May announced that her
team of top ministers had agreed to the terms of the draft
agreement, Brexit Minister Dominic Raab and Work and
Pensions Minister Esther McVey quit, saying they could not
support it.
Dollar has emerged as a dominant safe haven asset this
year, denting appeal for gold, which has fallen 11 percent
from an April peak as investors opted for the greenback
instead, especially as the U.S.- China trade tussle played out
against a backdrop of rising U.S. interest rates.
As a result, oil inventories are rising. The American
Petroleum Institute said late on Wednesday that crude
inventories rose by 8.8 million barrels in the week to Nov. 9
to 440.7 million, compared with analyst expectations for an
increase of 3.2 million barrels.Fearing a renewed glut like in
2014, when prices crashed under the weight of oversupply,
the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
(OPEC) is discussing supply cuts.To do so successfully, OPEC
- under the de-facto leadership of Saudi Arabia - will need
Russia on its side, which is not an OPEC member.
A joint effort between OPEC and Russia to withhold supply
from 2017 was a major contributor to crude price rises last
year and in the first half of 2018.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 30725 TGT 30775 30875 SL BELOW
30650
SELL GOLD BELOW 30600 TGT 30550 3450 SL ABOVE 30680
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 36300 TGT 36450 36650 SL BELOW
36100
SELL SILVER BELOW 36000 TGT 35850 35650 SL ABOVE
36200
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
16-Nov-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1906.5 1.91
Castor Seed 6176 -1.33
Chana 4580 -0.22
Coriander 6232 1.89
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1957 2.76
Guar Seed 10 MT 4669 0.92
Jeera 19690 -0.33
Mustardseed 4100 -0.24
Soy Bean 3352 0.84
Turmeric 6590 -0.61
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 9980 TARGET 10010/10040 SL
9930
SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 9840 TARGET 9810/9790/9750
SL 9950
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6650 TARGET 6680/6710/6730
SL 6560
SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6640 TARGET 6400/6380 SL
6700
Nagpur Soybean, Soyoil, Soymeal Open-November 15, 2018
Nagpur, Nov 15 (Reuters) – Prices of Castor oil in non-edible
oil prices today touched ro a record high in Vidarbha region
of Western Maharashtra on increased offtake by oil paint
industries amid a firming trend in producing regions. Buying
activity in this oil picked up because of poor crop position
reports in this season. Trading activity other major edible
oils reported weak as traders adopted wait and watch
move, sources said Thursday.
Asian refining margins for 10ppm gasoil rose to a fresh four-
year peak on Thursday, boosted by the current weakness in
crude prices, while middle distillate inventories in Singapore
declined for the first time in three weeks.Refining margins
for gasoil with 10ppm sulphur content GO10SGCKMc1 rose
to $18.90 a barrel over Dubai crude during Asian trading
hours, their strongest since November 2014. The margins
were at $18.66 a barrel on Tuesday.
The current weakness in crude oil prices is helping gasoil
margins at the moment, when overall demand also seems
to be quite steady, a Singapore-based trader said.
India, which is one of the key players in the region, posted
diesel sales of 6.99 million tonnes in October, a rise of 6.7
percent compared to the same period last year, and about
16 percent higher than in September, government data
showed on Tuesday. consumption patterns in India typically
impact its monthly export volumes, which in turn affects
the overall supply in the region.
Cash premiums for 10ppm gasoil GO10-SIN-DIF , however,
fell to 10 cents a barrel to Singapore quotes, hurt by weaker
buying interests in the physical market on Thursday. The
premiums were at 19 cents a barrel on Wednesday.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
16-Nov-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 72.0775 Yen 63.52
Euro 81.7239 GBP 93.6429
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 72.25 TGT 72.41 72.58 SL 72
SELL USDINR NOV BELOW 72.10 TGT 71.95 71.87 SL 72.30
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR NOV ABOVE 92.60 TGT 92.75 92.9 SL 92.45
SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 92.25 TGT 92.15 91.98 SL 92.40
Indian rupee appreciated further as it is trading below 72
mark. It is trading higher by 42 paise at 71.89 per dollar.It
opened 26 paise higher at 72.05 per dollar versus previous
close 72.31.On Wednesday the rupee closed 36 paise
higher at 72.31 against Tuesday's close 72.67 per dollar.
Rupee consolidated in a narrow range but marginal
appreciation was seen in the first half of the sessions
following drop in global crude oil prices. In the past few
sessions crude was weighed down after citing softening
demand and after remarks from Saudi Arabia’s energy
minister saying OPEC was considering cutting supply next
year. But yesterday losses for the commodity were eroded
on growing prospects that the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries and allied producers would
cut output at a meeting next month to prop up prices, said
Motilal Oswal.
EURUSD appreciated by 0.170 percent yesterday while
EURINR depreciated by 0.1 percent during the same time
frame. EU commission had asked Italy to revise their
budget plans. However, Economy Minister Giovanni Tria
said that the growth forecast contained in the budget is
the result of technical evaluations and ‘non - negotiable,’
suggesting that the country is ready to f ace the EU
Commission's sanctions creating more rifts between the
two parties. GDP data from Germany came in at - 0.2
percent against market expectations of - 0.1 percent.
Direct tax collection has already crossed Rs 5 lakh crore
and will exceed the budgeted target of Rs 11.5 crore set for
the current fiscal, CBDT Chairman Sushil Chandra said
Wednesday. He further said that so far the I-T department
has issued refunds to 2.15 crore assessees amounting to Rs
1.15 lakh crore and from now onwards the net collections
will increase .We have already crossed the Rs 5 lakh crore
figure that is 44 per cent of the net direct tax collection
target. This is despite the fact there is a surge in refund,"
Chandra said. Speaking to reporters after inaugurating the
pavillion of the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) at the
India International Trade Fair (IITF), Chandra said the
number of people voluntarily filing tax returns has gone up
substantially, and 6.85 crore income tax returns were filed
last year.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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Special Report
16-Nov-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
15/11/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC BUY 6500
6530/6560/66
00
6400 SL HIT
15/11/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC Sell 6430
6400/6370/63
40
6530 TARGET
15/11/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC BUY 10010
10040/10070/
10100
9900 TARGET HIT
15/11/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC SELL 9900
9870/9840/98
10
10000 NOT EXECUTED
15/11/18 MCX GOLD DEC BUY 30725 30775-20875 30650 NOT EXECUTED
15/11/18 MCX GOLD DEC SELL 30600 30550-30450 30880 FINAL TARGET
15/11/18 MCX SILVER DEC BUY 36300 36450-36650 36100 NOT EXECUTED
15/11/18 MCX SILVER DEC SELL 36000 35850-35650 36200 FINAL TARGET
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
15/11/18 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 10550-10560 10650-10700 10500 NOT EXECUTED
15/11/18 CADILAHC FUTURE BUY 370 375 365 SL HIT
15/11/18
BANK OF
BARODA
FUTURE BUY 114 116 112 SL HIT
15/11/18 FCONSUMER CASH BUY 53 54 52 NOT EXECUTED
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
16-Nov-2018
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Disclaimer
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
MONDAY, NOV. 12
Veterans Day
TUESDAY, NOV. 13
6 am NFIB small-business index Oct. 107.9
2 pm Federal budget Oct.
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 14
8:30 am Consumer price index Oct. 0.1%
8:30 am Core CPI Oct. 0.1%
THURSDAY, NOV. 15
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/10
8:30 am Retail sales Oct. 0.1%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos Oct. -0.1%
8:30 am Philly Fed Nov. 22.2
8:30 am Empire state index Nov. 21.1
8:30 am Import price index Oct. 0.5%
10 am Business inventories Sept. 0.5%
FRIDAY, NOV. 16
9:15 am Industrial production Oct. 0.3%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Oct. 78.1%
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS