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1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13 -Dec-2018
Global markets at a glance
US stocks closed up on Wednesday afternoon, though well
below their session highs as investors pulled back in the
last few minutes of trading despite optimism about US-
China trade relations and some reassuring signs in British
politics.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 157.03
points, or 0.64 percent, to 24,527.27, the S&P 500 gained
14.29 points, or 0.54 percent, to 2,651.07 and the Nasdaq
Composite added 66.48 points, or 0.95 percent, to
7,098.31.Asian shares and the pound moved higher on
Thursday as investors breathed a sigh of relief after British
Prime Minister Theresa May survived a no-confidence vote,
and as China appeared to be taking more steps to meet US
demands to open its markets.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was up 0.2 percent in early Asian trade after US stocks
finished the previous session higher, amid cautious
optimism for progress in Chinese-US trade talks.Japan's
Nikkei stock index gained 0.8 percent, while Australian
shares were up 0.2 percent.Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a
positive opening for the broader index in India, a rise of
41.5 points or 0.38 percent. Nifty futures were trading
around 10,830-level on the Singaporean Exchange.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Bulls took charge right from the word go and consistently
traded in the green. But intense buying in the last hour
helped the market end on an even stronger note. The Nifty,
not only managed to clock 10,700, but also closed above
this mark. Buying was visible across all sectors, with
maximum gains seen among automobiles, metals, banks,
infrastructure and consumption names. In the broader
market, the Nifty Midcap index ended 3 percent higher. At
the close of market hours, the Sensex closed up 629.06
points or 1.79% at 35779.07, while the Nifty rose 188.40
points or 1.79% at 10737.60. The market breadth was
positive as 1,882 shares advanced, against a decline of 645
shares, while 139 shares were unchanged.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+2.2pts],
C o n s u m p t i o n [ + 2 . 4 4 p t s ] , P S E [ + 1 . 7 p t s ] , C P S E
[+1.94pts],Energy[+1.48pts],FMCG[+1.77pts],Auto
[+3.6pts],Pharma[+0.63pts],IT[+1.09pts],Metal
[+2.54pts],Realty[+4.36pts], Fin Serv sector[+1.73pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 24866 -0.16
S&P500 2695 -0.15
NASDAQ 7188 +0.41
FTSE100 6704 -3.25
NIKKEI 21678.68 +0.82
HANG SENG 26063 -0.35
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Hero Motocorp 3,258.65 219.85 7.23
Indiabulls Hsg 734.3 41.4 5.97
UPL 790.05 42.1 5.63
Bharti Airtel 305.55 15.3 5.27
Adani Ports 374.45 18.7 5.26
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Dr Reddys Labs 2,586.35 -129.8 -4.78
Bharti Infratel 250.7 -2.45 -0.97
HPCL 219.3 -0.8 -0.36
Titan Company 929.95 -3.2 -0.34
Coal India 236.75 -3.85 -1.6
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AAVAS 785.9 18.6 2.37
CGCL 127.3 7.45 5.85
ICICILIQ 1000 0 0
NRBBEARING 189.25 22.45 11.86
LIQUIDETF 1000 0 0
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10737 188 1.79
SENSEX 35779 629 1.79
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABGSHIP 2 0.1 5
AIFL 21.3 -1.05 -4.93
ALCHEM 1.7 0.05 2.94
ANGIND 1.3 0 0
ATLASCYCLE 78.15 2.85 3.65
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13 -Dec-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
DCB BANK
On Daily chart we have seen that stock near its support
level, expectation it will broke its suppoet level. . Fresh
selling we have seen in last trading session . After analysis
of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to sell
the stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock in
the range of 334 target 330/328 Sl 338
MACRO NEWS
US stocks closed up on Wednesday afternoon, though
well below their session highs as investors pulled back
in the last few minutes of trading despite optimism
about US-China trade relations and some reassuring
signs in British politics.The Dow Jones Industrial
Average rose 157.03 points, or 0.64 percent, to
24,527.27, the S&P 500 gained 14.29 points, or 0.54
percent, to 2,651.07 and the Nasdaq Composite added
66.48 points, or 0.95 percent, to 7,098.31.Asian shares
and the pound moved higher on Thursday as investors
breathed a sigh of relief after British Prime Minister
Theresa May survived a no-confidence vote, and as
China appeared to be taking more steps to meet US
demands to open its marketsCountry's third largest
software company HCL Technologies and
NBFC major Bajaj Finance will be included in the 30-
share BSE Sensex effective December 24,
2018.Wipro and Adani Ports will be excluded from the
index on the same day.
India's retail inflation eased to 2.3 percent in
November, according to data released by the
government on December 12. It stood at 4.88 percent
in November last year and was 3.31 percent in
October.Led by deflation in food items, softening
crude oil prices and relatively stable domestic
currency, the central bank kept key policy rates
unchanged last week.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. GAIL (FUTURE )
On Daily chart we have seen that stock near its resistence
level, expectation it will broke its resistense level. . Fresh
Buying we have seen in last trading session . After analysis
of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to buy the
stock . Our recommendation is also Buy the stock in the
range of 347 target 350/352 Sl 344
2. BHARAT FORG [FUTURE]
On Daily chart we have seen that stock close above its pivot
resistense level . Fresh buying we have seen in last trading
session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that
traders view is to buy the stock . Our recommendation is
also buy the stock in the range of 520 target 530/535 Sl
510
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13 -Dec-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 136 3,38,934 4,32,940
BANKNIFTY CE 26,500 193 8,42,378 3,52,140
BANKNIFTY CE 26,800 52 8,28,373 5,28,140
RELIANCE CE 1,120 24.4 11,104 10,97,500
RELIANCE CE 1,100 34.8 9,502 11,89,500
RELIANCE CE 1,140 16.4 9,356 16,31,000
YESBANK CE 200 8.2 7,441 81,65,500
YESBANK CE 190 12.15 6,898 42,73,500
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,300 17.05 7,30,249 9,03,540
BANKNIFTY PE 26,200 12.25 7,19,862 6,18,040
BANKNIFTY PE 26,400 28.1 6,56,632 6,35,300
RELIANCE PE 1,060 7.65 5,163 8,20,000
RELIANCE PE 1,080 11.95 4,856 5,83,500
RELIANCE PE 1,100 18.5 3,819 6,91,000
YESBANK PE 180 10.35 3,585 23,11,750
YESBANK PE 170 6.5 3,381 25,86,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 48226 3290.11 40669 2673.38 356821 27184.46 616.7323
INDEX OPTIONS 869019 52056.42 873340 52284.27 766296 55893.19 -227.8523
STOCK FUTURES 232773 13346.10 225103 12491.22 1473484 83929.80 854.8724
STOCK OPTIONS 117841 7136.06 118284 7129.22 118298 6400.13 6.8438
1250.5962
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
PFC to acquire govt's stake in REC for Rs 15k crore
BHEL's Rs 1,628-cr buyback offer to open on December
13
Elecon Engineering board to consider raising Rs 150
crore via NCD on December 10
NIFTY FUTURE In last trading session we have seen the
Buying pressure in the market. It form green bullish
candle on daily chart . We expect that upcoming week
from trading prospective is very volatile due to election
result proposed. Our view on market is bearish ,our
recommendation is to sell the nifty future in the range of
10850 Target 10820/10780/10750 .Sell on rise strategy
follow for trading & positional purpose.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10874 10806 10683 10614 10492
BANKNIFTY 26968 26806 26510 26348 26052
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13 -Dec-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Crude prices were lower on Friday, as the Organization of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) struggled to
come up with an agreement on cutting oil production.West
Texas Crude oil futures for January slumped 0.50% to
$51.23 a barrel as of 4:54 AM ET (9:54 GMT), after falling
nearly 3% on Thursday. Meanwhile Brent crudefutures, the
benchmark for oil prices outside the U.S., dipped 0.45% to
$59.78.The Thursday session of the OPEC meeting in Vienna
ended without any decision on cutting oil supply, as Iran
seeks an exemption from any cuts due to U.S. sanctions
which have already weighed on its exports.
Saudi Arabia’s oil minister Khalid Al Falih said on Friday that
he is not confident a deal will be reached.Oil is down 30%
since October amid worry over increased supply as global
demand slows.Oil output from the world's biggest
producers - OPEC, Russia and the United States - has
increased by 3.3 million barrels per day (bpd) since the end
of 2017, to 56.38 million bpd, meeting almost 60 percent of
global consumption.
Pan Pacific Copper (PPC), Japan's top copper smelter,
expects the price of the industrial metal to rise toward
$7,000 a tonne in 2019, from about $6,168 now, backed by
firm global demand and tighter supply, its executive
said.PPC, which is also a miner controlled by JXTG
Holdings 5020.T , expects global consumption and supply of
refined copper to each increase by 2.2 percent in 2019 from
this year, Takeshi Suwabe, Pan Pacific's general manager for
marketing, told Reuters this week.
"With support from physical buyers, copper prices are likely
to try $6,400 level in the short term," he said.Three-month
copper CMCU3 on the London Metal Exchange has fallen 15
percent this year amid worries that the months-long U.S.-
Sino trade war may hurt the global economy including
China.But Suwabe said global copper sales have been solid
despite the trade spat and the price will likely climb toward
$7,000 - the level needed for miners to start developing
new mines - in the latter part of 2019 to reflect a tighter
market
Russian energy minister Alexander Novak returned to
Vienna on Friday after discussing OPEC with Russian
President Vladimir Putin in Moscow. said on Friday Russia
would seek an agreement with OPEC and non-OPEC
producers and a Russian Energy Ministry source said.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 31750 TGT 31800/31875 SL BELOW
31650
SELL GOLD BELOW 31500 TGT 31420/31375 SL ABOVE
31700
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 38600 TGT 38675/38750 SL BELOW
38420
SELL SILVER BELOW 38400 TGT 38320/38260 SL ABOVE
38550
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13 -Dec-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1818 -0.17
Castor Seed 5692 -2.85
Chana 4601 -0.67
Coriander 6781 -0.19
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1874.5 -0.88
Guar Seed 10 MT 4388 -1.16
Jeera 18715 -1.66
Mustardseed 3968 -0.05
Soy Bean 3315 -0.3
Turmeric 6426 -0.75
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM JAN ABOVE 8910 TARGET 8925/8940/8970
SL 8850
SELL GUARGUM ABOVE JAN 8850 TARGET
8835/8820/8790 SL 8910
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA JAN ABOVE 6650 TARGET 6665/6680/6700
SL 6490
SELL DHANIYA JAN ABOVE 6610 TARGET 6595/6580/6560
SL 6670
Jeera prices rose 1.21 percent to Rs 18,895 per quintal in
futures trade on December 7 as speculators created fresh
positions, driven by pick-up in demand from stockists and
overseas enquiries.Tight stocks position following restricted
arrivals from the growing regions fuelled the uptrend. At
the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, jeera
for delivery in January rose by Rs 225, or 1.21 per cent, to
Rs 18,895 per quintal, with an open interest of 3,114 lots.
Coriander prices fell 0.02 per cent to Rs 6,503 a quintal in
futures market on december 7 as participants cut down
positions amid muted domestic as well as exports demand
against ample stocks position.Besides, rising arrivals from
major producing belts and profit-booking at higher levels
weighed on the sentiment.At the National Commodity and
Derivatives Exchange, coriander prices for delivery in Jauary
declined by Rs 1, or 0.02 per cent, to Rs 6,503 per quintal
with an open interest of 28,460 lots.
Chana prices declined 0.24 per cent to Rs 4,622 per quintal
in futures trade on December 7 as speculators reduced
exposure amid subdued demand at the spot market against
adequate stocks position.At the National Commodity and
Derivatives Exchange, chana for delivery in December fell by
Rs 11, or 0.24 per cent, to Rs 4,622 per quintal, with an
open interest of 29,390 lots.imilarly, the commodity for
delivery in February declined by Rs 25, or 0.54 per cent, to
Rs 4,645 per quintal in 9,250 lots.
Marketmen said trimming of positions by traders on the
back of easing demand in the physical market against
adequate stocks position mainly influenced chana prices at
futures trade.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13 -Dec-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 72.3950 Yen 63.7250
Euro 81.8675 GBP 90.5558
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 72.20 TGT 70.3 70.35 SL 72
SELL USDINR NOV BELOW 72.10 TGT 72 71.9 SL 72.3
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR NOV ABOVE 90.6 TGT 90.7 90.8 SL 90.4
SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 90.4 TGT 90.3 90.2 SL 90.6
The Indian rupee is trading higher by 35 paise at 70.55 per
dollar on Friday versus previous close 70.90 per dollar.
Rupee weakened sharply against the US dollar ahead of
the important OPEC meeting that was scheduled last
evening. In the second half of the session rupee rose after
oil prices came under pressure following OPEC’s decision
to delay a final decision on output cuts, awaiting support
from non-OPEC heavyweight Russia. The declines came
after crude slumped by almost 3% ending a meeting
without announcing a decision to cut crude supply, instead
preparing to debate the matter today, said Motilal Oswal.
Indian bonds rose to over 8-month highs as rate hike fears
faded after the central bank promised to keep buying
government bonds to infuse liquidity, and also mentioned
the probability of changing its rate stance if inflation risks
do not mature. The 10-year benchmark bond yield fell to
as low as 7.38 per cent, its lowest since April 11 and
compared with its previous close of 7.44 per cent.
The Indian rupee was weaker at 70.89 to the dollar
tracking Asian peers, compared with 70.46 on Wednesday.
Most Asian currencies fell on concerns over slowing global
growth and a lack of resolution in the China-US trade war.
India's central bank kept interest rates unchanged on
Wednesday, in a decision that was widely expected as
inflation has eased significantly, while it took steps to
persuade banks to lend more in order to support an
economy that has lost some momentum.
India's central bank kept interest rates unchanged on
Wednesday, in a decision that was widely expected as
inflation has eased significantly, while it took steps to
persuade banks to lend more in order to support an
economy that has lost some momentum. The monetary
policy committee (MPC) kept the repo rate unchanged at
6.50 percent on Wednesday as predicted by 64 of 70
analysts in a Reuters poll. The central bank also retained its
"calibrated tightening" stance as expected.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13 -Dec-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
12/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA JAN BUY 6630
6645/6660/66
80
6570 TARGET
12/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA JAN Sell 6610
6595/6575/65
65
6670 NOT EXECUTED
12/12/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
JAN BUY 8700
8715/8735/87
60
8640 NOT EXECUTED
12/12/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
JAN SELL 8600
8585/8565/85
40
8660 NOT EXECUTED
12/12/18 MCX GOLD JAN BUY 32000 32050/32150 31800 NOT EXECUTED
12/12/18 MCX GOLD JAN SELL 31800 31700/31600 31950 NOT EXECUTED
12/12/18 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 38500 38600/38750 38300 NOT EXECUTED
12/12/18 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 38000 37850/37600 38200 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
12/12/18 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10550
10480/10420/
10380
10700 NOT EXECUTED
12/12/18 KOTAK BANK FUTURE SELL 1220
1200/1185/11
80
1235 NOT EXECUTED
12/12/18 LIC HSGFIN FUTURE BUY 440 450/455 430 TARGET
12/12/18 KOTAK BANK CASH SELL 1220
1200/1185/11
80
1235 NOT EXECUTED
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13 -Dec-2018
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NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST
PREVIO
US
MONDAY, DEC. 3
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI Nov. -- 55.4
10 am
10 am Construction spending Oct. 0.3% 0.0%
TUESDAY,
DEC. 4
TUESDAY, DEC. 4
TUESDAY,
DEC. 4
TUESDAY, DEC. 4
TUESDAY, DEC.
4
TUESDA
Y, DEC.
4
Varies
WEDNESD
AY, DEC. 5
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 5
WEDNESD
AY, DEC. 5
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 5
WEDNESDAY,
DEC. 5
WEDNE
SDAY,
DEC. 5
8:15 am ADP employment Nov. --- 227,000
8:30 am Productivity Q3 2.3% 2.2%
8:30 am
9:45 am Markit services PMI Nov. -- 55.4
10 am ISM nonmanufacturing index Nov. 59.8% 60.3%
10 am Quarterly services survey Q3 -- --
2 pm Beige book -- --
THURSDAY
, DEC. 6
THURSDAY, DEC. 6
THURSDA
Y, DEC. 6
THURSDAY, DEC. 6
THURSDAY,
DEC. 6
THURSD
AY,
DEC. 6
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 12/1 225,000
234,000
8:30 am
10 am Factory orders Oct. -2.0% 0.7%