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_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13–MAR-2019
Global markets at a glance
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose on Tuesday after
tame inflation data underscored the Federal Reserve’s
dovish stance on interest rate hikes, but the Dow
ended lower as Boeing’s shares sank for a second day
after one of its planes crashed in Ethiopia.The Dow
Jones Industrial Average fell 94.32 points, or 0.37
percent, to 25,556.56, the S&P 500 gained 8.41 points,
or 0.30 percent, to 2,791.71 and the Nasdaq
Composite added 32.97 points, or 0.44 percent, to
7,591.03.
Asian share markets got off to a subdued start on
Wednesday after a mixed finish on Wall Street, while a
frazzled pound awaited its fate ahead of yet another
make-or-break parliamentary vote on Brexit.MSCI’s
broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
eased 0.1 percent in slow trade. Japan’s Nikkei dipped
0.3 percent and Australia’s main index slipped 0.4
percent. E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 were off 0.08
percent.Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat to negative
opening for the broader index in India.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Indian equity markets continued its upward momentum
with Bank Nifty index closing at a lifetime high level. Bank
Nifty index continued its winning streak for the 6th
day in a
row, closing ~1.5% higher, led by a strong rally in HDFC
Bank, ICICI & Kotak Bank.Nifty IT index remained under the
selling pressure for the 4th
day in a row backed by a strong
appreciating INR against the US Dollar. IndusInd Bank &
Bharti Airtel added fresh long positions with a fresh spike in
open interest, while Apollo Hospital added fresh short
positions. Escorts 860CE added massive open positions to
tune of ~2925% along with a 2x surge in the option
premium, clearly indicating a continuation of the current
impulse move. Market breadth ended in the favour of
advances with the advance/decline ratio closed at 2:1x.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+15.8pts],
Consumption[+49.80pts],PSE[+6.35pts],CPSE[ -
3.15pts],Energy[+220.20pts],FMCG[+224.40pts],Auto
[+20.20pts],Pharma[+119.75pts],IT[-3.95pts],Metal
[+14.20pts],Realty[+6.25pts], Fin Serv sector[+174.40pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25554 -0.38
S&P500 2791 +0.30
NASDAQ 7591 +0.44
FTSE100 7151 +0.29
NIKKEI 21188 -1.47
HANG SENG 28786 -0.46
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Bharti Airtel 351.8 18 5.39
IndusInd Bank 1,569.05 54.45 3.6
ICICI Bank 388.2 12.35 3.29
Larsen 1,388.90 42.35 3.15
Adani Ports 361.05 9.75 2.78
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Eicher Motors 22,461.95 -510.5 -2.22
Bajaj Finance 2,753.05 -38 -1.36
Bharti Infratel 316.35 -3.35 -1.05
ONGC 151.85 -1.15 -0.75
Infosys 706.95 -4.3 -0.6
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AAVAS 1,260.00 12.3 0.99
ABFRL 236.9 1.1 0.49
ADANIGAS 122.2 2.5 2.13
ARVINDFASN 684 32.55 5
ANUP 605 28.8 5
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 11301.20 +133.15 +1.19
SENSEX 37535.66 +481.56 +1.30
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABMINTLTD 14.85 0 0
BAJAJCON 329.25 -18.55 -5.32
DNAMEDIA 1.85 -0.05 -2.63
HOTELRUGBY 1.55 0 0
JAIHINDPRO 1.8 -0.05 -2.7
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13–MAR-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
IIFL[CASH]
IIFL has double bottom chart pattern on daily chart, in this
recovery Mindcap and Smallcap Index given strong pull
back but this stock is still in pressure. Here we can see the
fresh buying is coming with strong volume as compare to
red candle and last seven trading session .Buy Above 404-
405 with stop loss of 400 for target of 410/425 .
MACRO NEWS
 India's factory output grew 1.7 percent in January,
lower than previous month's 2.4 percent, and 7.5
percent in January last year. Factory output measured
by the index of industrial production (IIP) is the closest
approximation to gauge business activity in the
economy.Manufacturing sector output, which
accounts for more than three-fourths of the entire
index, grew at 1.3 percent in January, a sharp fall from
an 8.7 percent growth a year ago for the same period,
symptomatic of a slowdown in investment activities.
 India's retail inflation stood at 2.57 percent in
February, marginally higher than the previous month’s
2.05 percent, and sharply lower than 4.4 percent in
the same month last year, primarily aided by low food
prices. The latest price data released by CSO on March
12 showed that consumer price index (CPI)-based
inflation, which measures changes in shop-end prices,
remained comfortably within RBI's target level of 4
percent.Food prices continued to fall with consumer
food price inflation, which is a gauge to measure
changes in kitchen budgets, contracted 0.66 percent in
February.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. CANFINHOME [FUTURE ]
CANFINHOME Future closed at last five month high . Closing
of stock above its 200 DEMA & stock also give neck line
breakout of double bottom bullish pattern . Our
recommendation is to Buy stock future in the range 313-310
for the target of 317/325 Sl below 305 .Strong volume seen
in NBFC segment .
2. TATAGLOBAL [FUTURE]
TATAGLOBAL future looking bullish on daily chart it has
given breakout of trendline . Stock is traded below 100 &
200 DEMA but for a intra day & as well as positional view we
may expect a bull rally in the stock.Our recommendation is
to Buy 205-206 Target 209/220 Sl below 200 .After analysis
of derivate data long position made by traders .
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13–MAR-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 28,500 99 9,66,991 4,79,380
BANKNIFTY CE 28,400 147 7,35,000 2,24,220
BANKNIFTY CE 28,300 212 6,32,419 1,96,860
RELIANCE CE 1,340 25.9 11,449 10,10,500
RELIANCE CE 1,360 18 9,974 7,43,500
INDUSINDBK CE 1,600 22.75 8,707 3,53,400
RELIANCE CE 1,320 36.2 7,839 6,40,000
INDUSINDBK CE 1,550 43.3 7,432 3,49,800
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 28,200 52 5,57,917 5,70,100
BANKNIFTY PE 28,000 27.2 5,10,845 7,24,860
BANKNIFTY PE 28,100 36.7 4,66,858 3,77,140
RELIANCE PE 1,300 15.35 7,960 7,56,000
RELIANCE PE 1,280 10.5 5,876 7,03,000
RELIANCE PE 1,320 22.15 4,537 3,50,500
RELIANCE PE 1,260 7.1 3,779 7,18,500
ICICIBANK PE 380 5.25 3,485 23,89,750
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 30815 2405.80 32595 2418.53 231098 18032.55 -12.7246
INDEX OPTIONS 1623504 104752.37 1618133 104271.94 781890 59613.46 480.4295
STOCK FUTURES 189402 11263.54 175216 10512.84 1403164 87834.46 750.7072
STOCK OPTIONS 98038 6038.46 98006 6027.41 112363 6842.27 11.057
1229.4691
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Jet Airways: Parborrowing availed by the company, for
working capital purposes, falling due on March 11,
hasbeen delayed owing to temporary liquidity
constraints and the company has engaged with the
lender in relation to the same.
NIFTY FUTURE
Last trading session Nifty Future close on positive note
and gaining around 1.20% with bulish candlestick in daily
chart,after announce central election news,And if we go
technically on cahrt we can seen clearly cross major
resistance level and close above this level , and also
trendline breakout in daily chart, and close daily chart in
bullish signal It’s clearly indicate nifty go upside ahead,
and also 2019 is election year so we can expect Govt
announce new policy some related sectors so keep that
in mind and watch all PSUBanks,infra pharma sector
movements. And from a data perspective create broader
range in option traders, So we can follow buy on decline
strateg, So we advise you to buy around 1150-11160 for
the targets of 11250-11300 With SL of below 11000.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 11,376 11338 11282 11245 11189
BANKNIFTY 28703 28573 28358 28227 28012
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13–MAR-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Oil rose to around $67 a barrel on Tuesday, supported by
Saudi Arabia's plan for further voluntary supply curbs in
April and by a cut in oil exports from Venezuela due to a
power outage.Saudi Arabia, seeking to drain a supply glut
and support prices, plans in April to keep its oil output well
below the level required of it as part of an OPEC-led supply
cutting deal, a Saudi official said on Monday. crude LCOc1 ,
the global benchmark, rose by 70 cents to $67.28 a barrel at
0958 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1added
57 cents to $57.36."This shows Saudi Arabia's resolve to
keep the oil market balanced by keeping oil supply tight,"
said Carsten Fritsch, analyst at Commerzbank
(DE:CBKG)."Additional buoyancy has come from news that
the massive power outage in Venezuela is also hampering
the country's oil exports."Crude has rallied this year after
the Organizaton of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and
its allies including Russia, a group known as OPEC+,
returned to supply cuts as of Jan. 1.Saudi Arabia has
voluntarily cut its supply by more than the deal requires and
in April will keep output "well below" 10 million bpd, the
Saudi official said - below the 10.311 million bpd that the
kingdom had agreed to pump."We see a tightening
underlying physical crude balance as a key pillar of support
for outright prices at this point in the year," said analysts at
JBC Energy in a report.A host of involuntary supply curbs in
OPEC members caused by unrest in Libya, and U.S.
sanctions on Iran and Venezuela, have also helped to boost
prices.
Gold edged higher on Tuesday, supported by a retreat in
the dollar after an apparent breakthrough in Brexit
negotiations between the European Union and Britain,
although rallying equities capped bullion's gains.Spot
gold XAU= rose 0.2 percent to $1,295.89 per ounce as of
1055 GMT, while U.S. gold futures GCv1 were up 0.4
percent at $1,296.20.Some dollar weakness emerged due to
the Brexit talks, in turn providing short-term support to gold
prices, Capital Economics analyst Ross Strachan said.The
dollar .DXY fell from near three-month highs hit in the
previous session, making bullion cheaper for holders of
other currencies, while sterling soared. USD/Capping gold's
rise, last-minute tweaks to Britain's arrangement for leaving
the EU triggered gains in global stocks, having soothed
investor worries about a possible no-deal exit. MKTS/GLOB
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
Gold BUY ABOVE 32170 TARGET 32230/32270 SL 32100
Gold Sell BELOW 32100 TARGET 32050/32000 SL 32200
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
Silver BUY ABOVE 38840 TARGET 38900/38930 SL 38740
Silver Sell BELOW 38790 TARGET 38740/38680 SL 38850
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13–MAR-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1670 0.54
Castor Seed 5272 -0.04
Chana 4174 0.74
Coriander 6600 -0.26
Cotton Seed Oilcake 2038 0.79
Guar Seed 10 MT 4262.5 -0.36
Jeera 16025 0.69
Mustardseed 3844 -0.47
Soy Bean 3619 +0.36
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM APR ABOVE 8750 TARGET 8765/8785/8815
SL 8690
SELL GUARGUM APR BELOW 8700 TARGET 8685/8665/8635
SL 8760
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY CORIANDER APR 6650 TARGET 6665/6685/6710 SL
6590
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6630 TARGET
6615/6595/6570 SL 6690
Global wheat production is expected to rise 4% year-on-
year to 757.4 million tonnes in 2019, with the EU and Russia
contributing to most of the growth, the Agricultural Market
Information System (AMIS) -- an inter-agency platform that
assesses global food supplies and tracks price volatility, said
in its latest report.In 2017, total world wheat production
reached an all-time high of 759.4 million tonnes, data from
AMIS' Market Monitor report showed. The estimates are a
joint effort of the Food and Agriculture Organization and
AMIS.The EU is expected to produce 149 million tonnes of
wheat in 2019, up 8.36% from a six-year low of 137.4
million mt recorded in 2018. Favorable weather conditions
combined with a larger planted area is expected to boost
2019 output, AMIS said.Russia, the top exporter of the
grain, is expected to see its 2019 production rise by almost
10% from the previous year, according to the report.
Increased overall plantings and beneficial weather
conditions are expected to push up production in the
country, AMIS said.
State-run Food Corporation of India (FCI) has disposed of
2.97 lakh tonne of pulses, nearly the entire stock it
procured in last two years, to various states and to bulk
consumers, according to an official data.FCI had a stock of
2.98 lakh tonne of pulses procured at the minimum support
price (MSP) during 2015-16 and 2016-17 marketing years
(July-June).As per the latest data, the agency has cleared
2.97 lakh tonne of pulses comprising 'tur', 'masoor',
'moong' and 'urad' till February 2019.Of this, 2.36 lakh
tonne was sold through electronic auction mode to bulk
users, while the rest through states.Less than 800 tonne is
left with FCI, which will also be disposed of, the data
added.FCI is the central nodal agency that undertakes
mainly the procurement and distribution of wheat and rice
at the MSP.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13–MAR-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 69.8050 Yen 62.8750
Euro 78.50 GBP 90.9925
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 69.95 TARGET 70.05/70.15 SL
69.75
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 69.75 TARGET 69.65/69.55 SL
69.95
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 91.10 TARGET 91.2200/91.3500
SL 90.9500
SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 90.90 TARGET 90.78/90.65 SL
91.05
The rupee managed to break below seven-week range and
in the process, it breached below the low of the bullish bar
seen in the third week of January.The Indian rupee
managed to break below seven-week range and in the
process, it breached below the low of the bullish bar seen
in the third week of January.However, in Friday’s trade, it
marked a low of 69.81 before staging a sharp rally.
Despite Friday’s fag-end recovery, it continues to face
hurdle around its downward sloping trendline, suggesting
short-lived moves. We expect, USD/INR to inch towards
January 2019 low near 69.20 mark.The broader charts of
Nifty IT index suggest weakness. It has reversed from PRZ
of a bearish BAT pattern, indicating weakness after its
recent underperformance.In this week’s decline of 3
percent, it also fell below the peak of the month of January
2019, signaling further declines.
The U.S. dollar was little changed in early European hours
on Monday, as investors looked ahead to the latest U.S.
retail sales report for further hints on the strength of the
economy.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the
greenback’s strength against a basket of six major
currencies, held steady at 97.29 by 4:30AM ET (08:30
GMT). The index rose to 97.66 last Thursday, its best level
since Dec. 14 last year.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar was a tad higher at
111.25, bouncing off the prior session's one-week low of
110.77.Economic reports will remain in focus in the week
ahead, after data on Friday showed that U.S. job growth
almost stalled in February, with the world's top economy
creating a measly 20,000 jobs, far fewer than expected by
analysts.But traders found some hope in figures showing
the U.S. employment rate slipped back below 4% and
average hourly earnings accelerated by 0.4%.
The Commerce Department will release data on retail
sales for January at 8:30AM ET (12:30 GMT).Elsewhere,
the British pound was down 0.1% to $1.2998 after briefly
dipping to a near three-week low of $1.2960 on
nervousness over Brexit.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13–MAR-2019
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
12/03/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6220 6260-6310 6170 NOT EXECUTED
12/03/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6130 6080-6030 6200 NOT EXECUTED
12/03/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR BUY 8400 8500-8600 8270 TARGET
12/03/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR SELL 8250 8150-8050 8370 NOT ECECUTED
12/03/19 MCX GOLD MAR BUY 32250 32270-32300 32200 TARGET
12/03/19 MCX GOLD MAR SELL 32200 32170-32150 32250 TARGET
12/03/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 38690 38720/38750 38640 SL HIT
12/03/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 38640 38600/38575 38675 TARGET
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
12/03/19 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 11150-11160 11250-11300 11000 NOT EXECUTED
12/03/19 CANFINHOME FUTURE BUY 296 317-331 291 NOT EXECUTED
12/03/19 M&M FIN FUTURE BUY 442-444 450/455/465 438 SL HIT
12/03/19 IIFL CASH BUY 370-372 380/395/410 365 NOT EXECUTED
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13–MAR-2019
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT
PERIO
D
ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN WILL DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK.
MONDAY, MARCH 11
8:30 am Retail sales* (new date) Jan. -1.2%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos* (new date) Jan. -1.8%
10 am Business inventories* (new date) Dec. -0.1%
11 am Survey of consumer expectations Feb.
TUESDAY, MARCH 12
6 am NFIB small-business index Feb. 101.2
8:30 am Consumer price index Feb. 0.0%
8:30 am Core CPI Feb. 0.2%
2 pm Federal budget Feb. DELAYED
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 13
8:30 am Durable goods orders* (new date) Jan. 1.2%
8:30 am
Core capital goods orders*
(new date)
Jan. -1.0%
8:30 am Producer price index Feb. -0.1%
10 am Construction spending* (new date)
THURSDAY, MARCH 14
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 3/9 --
8:30 am Import prices Feb. 0.5%
8:30 am Retail sales* Feb. DELAYED
10 am New home sales* (new date) Jan. --
10 am Business inventories Jan. DELAYED
FRIDAY, MARCH 15
8:30 am Empire state manufacturing index March 8.8
9:15 am Industrial production Feb. -0.6%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Feb. 78.2%
10 am Job openings Jan. 7.4 mln
10 am Consumer sentiment March 95.5
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13–MAR-2019
Disclaimer
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but
we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the
product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective.
The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material
is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be
treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made
investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and
strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be
responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of
rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future
price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice.
Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is
understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any
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Sachin
Yadav
Digitally signed by
Sachin Yadav
DN: cn=Sachin Yadav
c=IN o=Personal
Reason: I am the
author of this document
Location:
Date: 2019-03-13
09:07+05:30

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Special report-13-mar-2019-epic-research

  • 1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 13–MAR-2019 Global markets at a glance The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose on Tuesday after tame inflation data underscored the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance on interest rate hikes, but the Dow ended lower as Boeing’s shares sank for a second day after one of its planes crashed in Ethiopia.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.32 points, or 0.37 percent, to 25,556.56, the S&P 500 gained 8.41 points, or 0.30 percent, to 2,791.71 and the Nasdaq Composite added 32.97 points, or 0.44 percent, to 7,591.03. Asian share markets got off to a subdued start on Wednesday after a mixed finish on Wall Street, while a frazzled pound awaited its fate ahead of yet another make-or-break parliamentary vote on Brexit.MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.1 percent in slow trade. Japan’s Nikkei dipped 0.3 percent and Australia’s main index slipped 0.4 percent. E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 were off 0.08 percent.Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat to negative opening for the broader index in India. PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF Indian equity markets continued its upward momentum with Bank Nifty index closing at a lifetime high level. Bank Nifty index continued its winning streak for the 6th day in a row, closing ~1.5% higher, led by a strong rally in HDFC Bank, ICICI & Kotak Bank.Nifty IT index remained under the selling pressure for the 4th day in a row backed by a strong appreciating INR against the US Dollar. IndusInd Bank & Bharti Airtel added fresh long positions with a fresh spike in open interest, while Apollo Hospital added fresh short positions. Escorts 860CE added massive open positions to tune of ~2925% along with a 2x surge in the option premium, clearly indicating a continuation of the current impulse move. Market breadth ended in the favour of advances with the advance/decline ratio closed at 2:1x. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[+15.8pts], Consumption[+49.80pts],PSE[+6.35pts],CPSE[ - 3.15pts],Energy[+220.20pts],FMCG[+224.40pts],Auto [+20.20pts],Pharma[+119.75pts],IT[-3.95pts],Metal [+14.20pts],Realty[+6.25pts], Fin Serv sector[+174.40pts]. World Indices Index Value % Change DJI 25554 -0.38 S&P500 2791 +0.30 NASDAQ 7591 +0.44 FTSE100 7151 +0.29 NIKKEI 21188 -1.47 HANG SENG 28786 -0.46 Top Gainers Company CMP Change % Chg Bharti Airtel 351.8 18 5.39 IndusInd Bank 1,569.05 54.45 3.6 ICICI Bank 388.2 12.35 3.29 Larsen 1,388.90 42.35 3.15 Adani Ports 361.05 9.75 2.78 Top Losers Company CMP Change % Chg Eicher Motors 22,461.95 -510.5 -2.22 Bajaj Finance 2,753.05 -38 -1.36 Bharti Infratel 316.35 -3.35 -1.05 ONGC 151.85 -1.15 -0.75 Infosys 706.95 -4.3 -0.6 Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg AAVAS 1,260.00 12.3 0.99 ABFRL 236.9 1.1 0.49 ADANIGAS 122.2 2.5 2.13 ARVINDFASN 684 32.55 5 ANUP 605 28.8 5 Indian Indices Company CMP Change % Chg NIFTY 11301.20 +133.15 +1.19 SENSEX 37535.66 +481.56 +1.30 Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg ABMINTLTD 14.85 0 0 BAJAJCON 329.25 -18.55 -5.32 DNAMEDIA 1.85 -0.05 -2.63 HOTELRUGBY 1.55 0 0 JAIHINDPRO 1.8 -0.05 -2.7
  • 2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 13–MAR-2019 STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] IIFL[CASH] IIFL has double bottom chart pattern on daily chart, in this recovery Mindcap and Smallcap Index given strong pull back but this stock is still in pressure. Here we can see the fresh buying is coming with strong volume as compare to red candle and last seven trading session .Buy Above 404- 405 with stop loss of 400 for target of 410/425 . MACRO NEWS  India's factory output grew 1.7 percent in January, lower than previous month's 2.4 percent, and 7.5 percent in January last year. Factory output measured by the index of industrial production (IIP) is the closest approximation to gauge business activity in the economy.Manufacturing sector output, which accounts for more than three-fourths of the entire index, grew at 1.3 percent in January, a sharp fall from an 8.7 percent growth a year ago for the same period, symptomatic of a slowdown in investment activities.  India's retail inflation stood at 2.57 percent in February, marginally higher than the previous month’s 2.05 percent, and sharply lower than 4.4 percent in the same month last year, primarily aided by low food prices. The latest price data released by CSO on March 12 showed that consumer price index (CPI)-based inflation, which measures changes in shop-end prices, remained comfortably within RBI's target level of 4 percent.Food prices continued to fall with consumer food price inflation, which is a gauge to measure changes in kitchen budgets, contracted 0.66 percent in February. RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. CANFINHOME [FUTURE ] CANFINHOME Future closed at last five month high . Closing of stock above its 200 DEMA & stock also give neck line breakout of double bottom bullish pattern . Our recommendation is to Buy stock future in the range 313-310 for the target of 317/325 Sl below 305 .Strong volume seen in NBFC segment . 2. TATAGLOBAL [FUTURE] TATAGLOBAL future looking bullish on daily chart it has given breakout of trendline . Stock is traded below 100 & 200 DEMA but for a intra day & as well as positional view we may expect a bull rally in the stock.Our recommendation is to Buy 205-206 Target 209/220 Sl below 200 .After analysis of derivate data long position made by traders .
  • 3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 13–MAR-2019 MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol Optio n Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest BANKNIFTY CE 28,500 99 9,66,991 4,79,380 BANKNIFTY CE 28,400 147 7,35,000 2,24,220 BANKNIFTY CE 28,300 212 6,32,419 1,96,860 RELIANCE CE 1,340 25.9 11,449 10,10,500 RELIANCE CE 1,360 18 9,974 7,43,500 INDUSINDBK CE 1,600 22.75 8,707 3,53,400 RELIANCE CE 1,320 36.2 7,839 6,40,000 INDUSINDBK CE 1,550 43.3 7,432 3,49,800 MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol Optio n Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest BANKNIFTY PE 28,200 52 5,57,917 5,70,100 BANKNIFTY PE 28,000 27.2 5,10,845 7,24,860 BANKNIFTY PE 28,100 36.7 4,66,858 3,77,140 RELIANCE PE 1,300 15.35 7,960 7,56,000 RELIANCE PE 1,280 10.5 5,876 7,03,000 RELIANCE PE 1,320 22.15 4,537 3,50,500 RELIANCE PE 1,260 7.1 3,779 7,18,500 ICICIBANK PE 380 5.25 3,485 23,89,750 FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY No. of Contracts Amount in Crores No. of Contracts Amount in Crores No. of Contracts Amount in Crores NET AMOUNT INDEX FUTURES 30815 2405.80 32595 2418.53 231098 18032.55 -12.7246 INDEX OPTIONS 1623504 104752.37 1618133 104271.94 781890 59613.46 480.4295 STOCK FUTURES 189402 11263.54 175216 10512.84 1403164 87834.46 750.7072 STOCK OPTIONS 98038 6038.46 98006 6027.41 112363 6842.27 11.057 1229.4691 SELL STOCKS IN NEWS Jet Airways: Parborrowing availed by the company, for working capital purposes, falling due on March 11, hasbeen delayed owing to temporary liquidity constraints and the company has engaged with the lender in relation to the same. NIFTY FUTURE Last trading session Nifty Future close on positive note and gaining around 1.20% with bulish candlestick in daily chart,after announce central election news,And if we go technically on cahrt we can seen clearly cross major resistance level and close above this level , and also trendline breakout in daily chart, and close daily chart in bullish signal It’s clearly indicate nifty go upside ahead, and also 2019 is election year so we can expect Govt announce new policy some related sectors so keep that in mind and watch all PSUBanks,infra pharma sector movements. And from a data perspective create broader range in option traders, So we can follow buy on decline strateg, So we advise you to buy around 1150-11160 for the targets of 11250-11300 With SL of below 11000. INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2 NIFTY 11,376 11338 11282 11245 11189 BANKNIFTY 28703 28573 28358 28227 28012
  • 4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 13–MAR-2019 COMMODITY ROUNDUP Oil rose to around $67 a barrel on Tuesday, supported by Saudi Arabia's plan for further voluntary supply curbs in April and by a cut in oil exports from Venezuela due to a power outage.Saudi Arabia, seeking to drain a supply glut and support prices, plans in April to keep its oil output well below the level required of it as part of an OPEC-led supply cutting deal, a Saudi official said on Monday. crude LCOc1 , the global benchmark, rose by 70 cents to $67.28 a barrel at 0958 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1added 57 cents to $57.36."This shows Saudi Arabia's resolve to keep the oil market balanced by keeping oil supply tight," said Carsten Fritsch, analyst at Commerzbank (DE:CBKG)."Additional buoyancy has come from news that the massive power outage in Venezuela is also hampering the country's oil exports."Crude has rallied this year after the Organizaton of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, returned to supply cuts as of Jan. 1.Saudi Arabia has voluntarily cut its supply by more than the deal requires and in April will keep output "well below" 10 million bpd, the Saudi official said - below the 10.311 million bpd that the kingdom had agreed to pump."We see a tightening underlying physical crude balance as a key pillar of support for outright prices at this point in the year," said analysts at JBC Energy in a report.A host of involuntary supply curbs in OPEC members caused by unrest in Libya, and U.S. sanctions on Iran and Venezuela, have also helped to boost prices. Gold edged higher on Tuesday, supported by a retreat in the dollar after an apparent breakthrough in Brexit negotiations between the European Union and Britain, although rallying equities capped bullion's gains.Spot gold XAU= rose 0.2 percent to $1,295.89 per ounce as of 1055 GMT, while U.S. gold futures GCv1 were up 0.4 percent at $1,296.20.Some dollar weakness emerged due to the Brexit talks, in turn providing short-term support to gold prices, Capital Economics analyst Ross Strachan said.The dollar .DXY fell from near three-month highs hit in the previous session, making bullion cheaper for holders of other currencies, while sterling soared. USD/Capping gold's rise, last-minute tweaks to Britain's arrangement for leaving the EU triggered gains in global stocks, having soothed investor worries about a possible no-deal exit. MKTS/GLOB RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: Gold BUY ABOVE 32170 TARGET 32230/32270 SL 32100 Gold Sell BELOW 32100 TARGET 32050/32000 SL 32200 SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: Silver BUY ABOVE 38840 TARGET 38900/38930 SL 38740 Silver Sell BELOW 38790 TARGET 38740/38680 SL 38850
  • 5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 13–MAR-2019 NCDEX INDICES Index Value % Change Barley 1670 0.54 Castor Seed 5272 -0.04 Chana 4174 0.74 Coriander 6600 -0.26 Cotton Seed Oilcake 2038 0.79 Guar Seed 10 MT 4262.5 -0.36 Jeera 16025 0.69 Mustardseed 3844 -0.47 Soy Bean 3619 +0.36 RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM APR ABOVE 8750 TARGET 8765/8785/8815 SL 8690 SELL GUARGUM APR BELOW 8700 TARGET 8685/8665/8635 SL 8760 DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY CORIANDER APR 6650 TARGET 6665/6685/6710 SL 6590 SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6630 TARGET 6615/6595/6570 SL 6690 Global wheat production is expected to rise 4% year-on- year to 757.4 million tonnes in 2019, with the EU and Russia contributing to most of the growth, the Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) -- an inter-agency platform that assesses global food supplies and tracks price volatility, said in its latest report.In 2017, total world wheat production reached an all-time high of 759.4 million tonnes, data from AMIS' Market Monitor report showed. The estimates are a joint effort of the Food and Agriculture Organization and AMIS.The EU is expected to produce 149 million tonnes of wheat in 2019, up 8.36% from a six-year low of 137.4 million mt recorded in 2018. Favorable weather conditions combined with a larger planted area is expected to boost 2019 output, AMIS said.Russia, the top exporter of the grain, is expected to see its 2019 production rise by almost 10% from the previous year, according to the report. Increased overall plantings and beneficial weather conditions are expected to push up production in the country, AMIS said. State-run Food Corporation of India (FCI) has disposed of 2.97 lakh tonne of pulses, nearly the entire stock it procured in last two years, to various states and to bulk consumers, according to an official data.FCI had a stock of 2.98 lakh tonne of pulses procured at the minimum support price (MSP) during 2015-16 and 2016-17 marketing years (July-June).As per the latest data, the agency has cleared 2.97 lakh tonne of pulses comprising 'tur', 'masoor', 'moong' and 'urad' till February 2019.Of this, 2.36 lakh tonne was sold through electronic auction mode to bulk users, while the rest through states.Less than 800 tonne is left with FCI, which will also be disposed of, the data added.FCI is the central nodal agency that undertakes mainly the procurement and distribution of wheat and rice at the MSP.
  • 6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 13–MAR-2019 RBI Reference Rate Currency Rate Currency Rate Rupee- $ 69.8050 Yen 62.8750 Euro 78.50 GBP 90.9925 USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 69.95 TARGET 70.05/70.15 SL 69.75 SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 69.75 TARGET 69.65/69.55 SL 69.95 GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 91.10 TARGET 91.2200/91.3500 SL 90.9500 SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 90.90 TARGET 90.78/90.65 SL 91.05 The rupee managed to break below seven-week range and in the process, it breached below the low of the bullish bar seen in the third week of January.The Indian rupee managed to break below seven-week range and in the process, it breached below the low of the bullish bar seen in the third week of January.However, in Friday’s trade, it marked a low of 69.81 before staging a sharp rally. Despite Friday’s fag-end recovery, it continues to face hurdle around its downward sloping trendline, suggesting short-lived moves. We expect, USD/INR to inch towards January 2019 low near 69.20 mark.The broader charts of Nifty IT index suggest weakness. It has reversed from PRZ of a bearish BAT pattern, indicating weakness after its recent underperformance.In this week’s decline of 3 percent, it also fell below the peak of the month of January 2019, signaling further declines. The U.S. dollar was little changed in early European hours on Monday, as investors looked ahead to the latest U.S. retail sales report for further hints on the strength of the economy.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, held steady at 97.29 by 4:30AM ET (08:30 GMT). The index rose to 97.66 last Thursday, its best level since Dec. 14 last year. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar was a tad higher at 111.25, bouncing off the prior session's one-week low of 110.77.Economic reports will remain in focus in the week ahead, after data on Friday showed that U.S. job growth almost stalled in February, with the world's top economy creating a measly 20,000 jobs, far fewer than expected by analysts.But traders found some hope in figures showing the U.S. employment rate slipped back below 4% and average hourly earnings accelerated by 0.4%. The Commerce Department will release data on retail sales for January at 8:30AM ET (12:30 GMT).Elsewhere, the British pound was down 0.1% to $1.2998 after briefly dipping to a near three-week low of $1.2960 on nervousness over Brexit.
  • 7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 13–MAR-2019 Date Commodity/ Currency Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 12/03/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6220 6260-6310 6170 NOT EXECUTED 12/03/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6130 6080-6030 6200 NOT EXECUTED 12/03/19 NCDEX GUARGUM5 MAR BUY 8400 8500-8600 8270 TARGET 12/03/19 NCDEX GUARGUM5 MAR SELL 8250 8150-8050 8370 NOT ECECUTED 12/03/19 MCX GOLD MAR BUY 32250 32270-32300 32200 TARGET 12/03/19 MCX GOLD MAR SELL 32200 32170-32150 32250 TARGET 12/03/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 38690 38720/38750 38640 SL HIT 12/03/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 38640 38600/38575 38675 TARGET Date Scrip CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 12/03/19 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 11150-11160 11250-11300 11000 NOT EXECUTED 12/03/19 CANFINHOME FUTURE BUY 296 317-331 291 NOT EXECUTED 12/03/19 M&M FIN FUTURE BUY 442-444 450/455/465 438 SL HIT 12/03/19 IIFL CASH BUY 370-372 380/395/410 365 NOT EXECUTED
  • 8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 13–MAR-2019 NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS 9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7 9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8 TIME (ET) REPORT PERIO D ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN WILL DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK. MONDAY, MARCH 11 8:30 am Retail sales* (new date) Jan. -1.2% 8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos* (new date) Jan. -1.8% 10 am Business inventories* (new date) Dec. -0.1% 11 am Survey of consumer expectations Feb. TUESDAY, MARCH 12 6 am NFIB small-business index Feb. 101.2 8:30 am Consumer price index Feb. 0.0% 8:30 am Core CPI Feb. 0.2% 2 pm Federal budget Feb. DELAYED WEDNESDAY, MARCH 13 8:30 am Durable goods orders* (new date) Jan. 1.2% 8:30 am Core capital goods orders* (new date) Jan. -1.0% 8:30 am Producer price index Feb. -0.1% 10 am Construction spending* (new date) THURSDAY, MARCH 14 8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 3/9 -- 8:30 am Import prices Feb. 0.5% 8:30 am Retail sales* Feb. DELAYED 10 am New home sales* (new date) Jan. -- 10 am Business inventories Jan. DELAYED FRIDAY, MARCH 15 8:30 am Empire state manufacturing index March 8.8 9:15 am Industrial production Feb. -0.6% 9:15 am Capacity utilization Feb. 78.2% 10 am Job openings Jan. 7.4 mln 10 am Consumer sentiment March 95.5
  • 9. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 13–MAR-2019 Disclaimer The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken. Sachin Yadav Digitally signed by Sachin Yadav DN: cn=Sachin Yadav c=IN o=Personal Reason: I am the author of this document Location: Date: 2019-03-13 09:07+05:30