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Special report-01-mar-2019-epic-research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
01–MAR-2019
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street’s main indexes fell slightly on Thursday as
support from better-than-feared US GDP data was
countered by concerns about earnings and US-China trade
relations.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 69.16
points, or 0.27 percent, to 25,916, the S&P 500 lost 7.89
points, or 0.28 percent, to 2,784.49 and the Nasdaq
Composite dropped 21.98 points, or 0.29 percent, to
7,532.53.
Asian shares inched higher on Friday with broader gains
capped by investor caution as concerns about China’s
economy and global trade weighed onsentiment while
stronger-than-expected US GDP data pushed the dollar
up.MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside
Japan was up less than 0.1 percent in early trade. Japan’s
Nikkei 225 gained 0.8 percent, helped by the weaker yen,
while Australian shares added 0.6. percent.Trends on SGX
Nifty indicate a flat positive opening for the broader index
in India, a rise of 4 points or 0.04 percent. Nifty futures
were trading around 10,874-level on the Singaporean
Exchange. Experts said VIX has to cool down below 16-15
zones to get the smooth ride in the market else restricted
upside could continue to keep pressure on themarket.Stay
tuned to Moneycontrol to find out what happens in
currency and equity markets today. We have collated a list
of important headlines from across news agencies.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Indian equity markets ended the day on a flat note with
Nifty ending the day 14 points lower at 10,792, while Bank
Nifty settled 9 points lower at 26,789.Markets continue to
trade range bound with Nifty Futures ending the Feb expiry
marginally lower by 0.39% lower.The broader markets
relatively outperformed on Thursday with Nifty Midcap 100
and Nifty Smallcap 100 Index ending the session 0.45% and
0 . 7 7 % h i g h e r , r e s p e c t i v e l y .
Among the sectoral indices, Nifty Realty was the top
performer, up 0.99%.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+19.35pts],
C o ns um pt i o n [ - 7 .9 5 pt s ] , P SE [+ 4 4 .5 5 pt s ] , C P SE
[+33.90pts],Energy[+129.45pts],FMCG[+90.9pts],Auto[-
64.9pts],Pharma[+18.65pts],IT[-170.10pts],Metal
[+24.75pts],Realty[+2.25pts], Fin Serv sector[-6.70pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25985 -0.09
S&P500 2792 -0.05
NASDAQ 7554 +0.07
FTSE100 7107 -0.61
NIKKEI 21463 -0.43
HANG SENG 28773 +0.05
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Coal India 228.3 6.85 3.09
Vedanta 169.4 4.75 2.88
IOC 144.6 3.7 2.63
BPCL 337.55 6.85 2.07
GAIL 342 6.3 1.88
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
TCS 1,983.45 -74.65 -3.63
Eicher Motors 19,869.10 -538.65 -2.64
Maruti Suzuki 6,829.70 -138.8 -1.99
Hero Motocorp 2,628.10 -50.45 -1.88
UltraTechCement 3,826.50 -62.6 -1.61
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ASTRAZEN 2,039.90 84.55 4.33
BILENERGY 1.65 0.05 3.13
DALMIASUG 125.45 11.4 10.22
PFC 113.75 0.3 0.27
LIQUIDETF 1,000.01 0.01 0
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10792 -14.2 -0.13
SENSEX 35867 -37.99 -0.11
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
21STCENMGM 17.3 0.3 1.7
ANTGRAPHIC 0.4 0.05 11.11
ARROWGREEN 73 -0.65 -0.88
ASIANHOTNR 136.05 -0.15 -0.1
BIL 200 -2.5 -1.23
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
01–MAR-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
REPCOHOME
Stock showing strength in last day & it is going to be
continued beacuse after analysis of derivate date we have
seen the increase in open interest along with the price of
stock rise . Our recommendation is to buy the stock
above 325 target 330/335 Sl 315 .
MACRO NEWS
India's eight core industries -- coal, steel, natural gas,
cement, crude oil, fertilisers, refinery products and
electricity -- grew at 1.8 percent in January versus 2.6
percent month-on-month (MoM).The growth for April
to January period was at 4.5 percent as opposed to 4.1
percent year-on-year (YoY). The steel output for
January stood at 8.2 percent, as compared to 12.9
percent last month. Output of fertilisers in January
stood at 10.5 percent as compared to -2.4 percent
MoM, and the output of refinery products stood at -
2.6 percent, as compared to -4.8 percent MoM.
A rise in productivity last year gives more room for
wages to grow without the risk of higher inflation,
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on
Thursday, offering another reason why the US central
bank can hold off on further rate increases. “Signs of
upward pressure on inflation appear muted despite
the strong labor market,” with unemployment at 4
percent and wage increases picking up of late, Powell
said in remarks prepared for delivery at the Citizens
Budget Commission in New York
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. Titan [FUTURE ]
TITAN -Titan is trading above its 100 DEMA .Our view is that
stock may bounce back from lower level , recommendation
is to Buy 1050 stock target will be 1055/1060 SL below
1040
2. KSCL [FUTURE]
KSCL— In KSCL we have seen sharp selling in this week , we
may expect that it will be continue in upcoming week also.
On Technical point of view seen trend line breakdown & also
stock not able to sustain at upper level. RSI & MACD also
indicate downtrend in this stock with strong volume.Our
recommendation is sell stock future in the range of 410
Target 405/400 Sl 420
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
01–MAR-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 26,900 0.05 18,75,751 9,10,760
BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 0.1 18,69,232 11,09,600
BANKNIFTY CE 27,300 0.1 12,42,100 3,09,700
RELIANCE CE 1,240 0.05 21,718 10,14,500
YESBANK CE 235 0.05 19,518 26,88,000
YESBANK CE 230 1.05 18,354 23,34,500
MARUTI CE 7,000 0.15 10,638 75,375
YESBANK CE 240 0.05 9,893 47,51,250
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,800 1.8 22,45,079 4,56,600
BANKNIFTY PE 26,700 0.05 15,68,479 10,34,720
NIFTY PE 10,800 1.9 13,10,634 19,68,450
TCS PE 2,000 16.05 13,830 1,41,500
TCS PE 1,980 0.05 11,018 5,49,000
RELIANCE PE 1,220 0.05 10,265 6,40,500
TATASTEEL PE 500 0.05 8,359 8,70,020
YESBANK PE 230 0.05 6,876 15,97,750
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 94492 6985.51 81615 5770.86 200577 15567.23 1214.653
INDEX OPTIONS 3171625 196411.69 3140012 194402.63 589455 43712.17 2009.0569
STOCK FUTURES 349188 21172.97 337867 20564.41 1370864 82873.30 608.5649
STOCK OPTIONS 89952 5168.56 78714 4529.71 25318 1420.66 638.8554
4471.1302
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Vascon Engineers: Company received work order
amounting to Rs 83.52 crore from Airport Authority of
India.
GE T&D has voluntarily delisted the equity shares of the
company from The Calcutta Stock Exchange Limited
w.e.f. February 21, 2019
NIFTY FUTURE NIFTY -On daily weekly chart we have
identify that Head & Shoulder pattern is forming at the
top . Head & shoulder & for a short term forming
Raising wedge pattern in technical term bearish reversal
pattern .Nifty breach the important level of 11000 in this
week ,but closing below 11000 .On technical point of
view still our recommendation is to sell nifty future in
the range of 10800 Target 10750/10700 SL 10900 Our
strategy is to sell on rise .
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10895 10843 10814 10762 10733
BANKNIFTY 26982 26886 26824 26728 26666
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
01–MAR-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold prices edged up on Monday as the dollar fell against
the yuan after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would
delay an increase in tariffs on Chinese goods, while
palladium surged to a record high.A strong yuan makes
bullion cheaper for world's leading consumer- China.The
offshore yuan strengthened 0.2 percent to 6.689 yuan CNH=
against the dollar, after hitting its highest level since mid-
July. USD/Trump said on Sunday that he would delay an
increase in tariffs on Chinese goods that had been
scheduled for later this week, citing "substantial progress"
in Sino-U.S. trade talks over the weekend, and that he and
his Chinese counterpart would meet to seal a deal if
progress continued. gold XAU= rose 0.2 percent to
$1,330.26 per ounce at 0655 GMT. U.S. gold futures GCv1
were steady at $1,332.70.Trump's extension of tariff
deadline has weakened the dollar, driving gold up, said
Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst, OANDA."Gold, as it
moves into the European and New York trading session,
might come under pressure from the stock market," Halley
said, adding that there won't be any sustained downward
pressure until there is more information on the trade deal.
Indonesia's palm oil output likely eased in January from a
month earlier, in line with the vegetable oil's production
cycle, while exports were expected to have picked up
slightly, according to a Reuters survey.Palm oil output in top
producer Indonesia declined 7.7 percent to 3.60 million
tonnes from 3.90 million tonnes a month earlier, according
to the median results of a survey of two palm oil groups and
a state palm research firm.Production of the tropical oil
typically falls during the first quarter of the year.Exports
were estimated at 3.04 million tonnes in January, compared
with 2.90 million tonnes in December.India, Indonesia's top
palm buyer, cut import taxes on crude and refined palm oil
from January, easing pressure on shipments. However,
Indonesian palm oil is still taxed at a higher rate compared
to Malaysian oil.Indonesia on Saturday offered to open up
its market for India's sugar in exchange for a lower palm oil
tax. the domestic use of palm oil was estimated at 1.18
million tonnes in January, compared with 1.38 million
tonnes a month earlier. By the end of January, palm oil
stocks were estimated to have eased to 2.85 million tonnes
from 3.43 million tonnes a month ago, according to the
survey.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
GOLD BUY ABOVE 33300 Target 33350 /33370 Sl 33250
GOLD SELL BELOW 33250 Target 33210 /33180 Sl 33320
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
Silver Buy Above 40300 Target 40340 /40380 Sl 40260
Silver Sell Below 40200 Target 40150 /40100 Sl 40300
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
01–MAR-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 4100 -0.46
Chana 6268 -1.72
Coriander 1936 -1.14
Cotton Seed Oilcake 4146.5 0.33
Guar Seed 10 MT 15440 0.03
Jeera 3840 -0.42
Mustardseed 3637 -0.55
Soy Bean 6238 0.64
Turmeric 6148 0.29
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM MARCH ABOVE 8400 TGT 8500/8600 SL
BELOW 8270
SELL GUARGUM MARCH BELOW 8250 TGT 8150/8050 SL
ABOVE 8370
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA APRIL ABOVE 6220 TGT 6260/6310 SL
BELOW 6170
SELL DHANIYA APRIL BELOW 6130 TGT 6080/6030 SL
ABOVE 6200
The Centre has drafted a national Rubber policy proposing
occupational security for marginal growers through
insurance and price support, introduction of auctions for
Rubber trading and provision of special allocation for new
plantations and replanting of Rubber.The policy also
suggests setting up an independent Rubber products export
promotion council for tyres and general Rubber goods,
exploring the possibility of treating Rubber as an
agricultural product and focussing on research and skilling
in the sector.The draft recognised the need to balance the
interests of Rubber growers who suffer due to falling prices
in the domestic market because of indiscriminate imports
and that of the user industry which wants adequate supply
of Rubber at reasonable prices but could not arrive at a
definite solution.The policy will also explore the possibility
of treating income from Rubber production as agricultural
income, in consultation with the Ministry of Agriculture and
Farmers’ Welfare.
Even as there is lower sugar production due to deficient
rainfall in sugar season (SS) 2018-19, surplus situation
continued following high carry-over stock from the last
season, ratings agency India Ratings said in its latest report.
Sugar production is likely to decline to around 30 million
tonne in SS 2018-19 from the record high of 32.3 million
tonne in SS 2017-18 due to deficient rainfall, white grub and
red rot infestations in the key cane producing states of
Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra, the agency said.
Despite being lower than the last season, production in SS
2018-19 is likely to exceed sugar demand of around 26
million tonne, it added.Adjusting for this buffer stock, the
stock-to -consumption ratio could exceed 30 percent
compared to the normal carry forward requirement of 16-
18 percent, the report said.Meanwhile, Ind-Ra expects that
the minimum support price (MSP) hike will push up the
domestic wholesale prices to around Rs 33-34 per 2018.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
01–MAR-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 70.9350 Yen 64.2450
Euro 81.1975 GBP 94.6575
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR ABOVE 71 TGT 71.10/71.20 SL BELOW 70.80
SELL USDINR BELOW 70.9 TGT 70.8/70.7 SL ABOVE 71.10
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR ABOVE 94.7 TGT 94.8/94.9 SL BELOW 94.5
SELL GBPINR BELOW 94.6 TGT 94.5/94.4 SL ABOVE 94.8
The British pound was on the front foot in early European
hours on Tuesday, after both of the major parties moved
closer to ensuring that a disruptive "no-deal" Brexit is
avoided.The pound rose 0.4% to $1.3150 (GBP/USD) by
3:55AM ET (08:55 GMT), after climbing to a session peak of
$1.3161, a level last seen on Jan. 31. It also hit a nine-
month high of 1.1590 against the euro earlier.U.K. Prime
Minister Theresa May will propose formally ruling out a no-
deal Brexit at a crunch cabinet meeting later in the day,
opening the door to a delay of weeks or months to the
scheduled March 29 exit date, The Sun newspaper
reported.That news follows a move by the opposition
Labour Party last night to back a second referendum on
Brexit if no parliamentary majority can be found for a
withdrawal agreement that would ensure a smooth
transition to life outside the European Union.The news was
a relief to investors who had feared Britain would crash out
of the EU without a deal.Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar was
lower against most other major currencies, as market
participants looked ahead to testimony from Federal
Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to a U.S. Senate
committee later in the session.It comes after the U.S.
central bank adopted a more cautious stance on future
interest rate hikes last month."The market will be looking
for signs the Fed remains comfortable with the current
state of policy," said Steven Dooley, currency strategist at
Western Union Business Solutions. "The markets will also
want to hear details about the eventual end of the Fed's
balance sheet reduction program.
"Sterling rallied against the dollar and the euro while stock
futures dipped on Tuesday on media reports that Prime
Minister Theresa May will propose formally ruling out a no-
deal Brexit.As the United Kingdom's Brexit crisis goes down
to the wire, May is making a last-ditch effort to get
changes to the divorce package but lawmakers will try on
Wednesday to grab control of Brexit in a series of
parliamentary votes. the euro, the pound EURGBP=D3
rallied nearly half a percent to a one-month high at 86.31
pence. It GBP=D3 also gained 0.4 percent against the dollar
at $1.3160.Futures for Britain's FTSE
100 .FTSE index FFIc1 fell to a two-week low as the pound
rallied. The exporter-heavy index tends to suffer when
sterling gains.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
01–MAR-2019
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
28/2/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6340
6355/6370/64
00
6280 NOT EXECUTED
28/2/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6250
6235/6220/61
90
6310 TARGET
28/2/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR BUY 8200
8215/8240/82
60
8260 TARGET
28/2/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR SELL 8150
8135/8120/80
80
8210 TARGET
28/2/19 MCX GOLD MAR BUY 33350 33400/33475 33250 NOT EXECUTED
28/2/19 MCX GOLD MAR SELL 32900 32800/32800 33 TARGET
28/2/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 40700 40750/40800 40500 NOT EXECUTED
28/2/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 40400 40300/40200 40600 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
28/2/19 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10800 10750/10700 10900 TARGET
28/2/19 TITAN FUTURE BUY 1040 1045/1050 1030 TARGET
28/2/19 KSCL FUTURE SELL 410 405/400 420 TARGET
28/2/19 REPOHOME CASH BUY 325 330/335 315 TARGET
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
01–MAR-2019
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT
PERIO
D
ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN WILL DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK.
MONDAY, FEB. 25
8:30 am Chicago Fed national activity index Jan. -- 0.27
10 am Wholesale inventories* (new date) Dec. -- 0.3%
TUESDAY, FEB. 26
8:30 am Housing starts* (new date) Dec. 1.255mln 1.256mln
8:30 am Building permits* (new date) Dec. -- 1.322mln
9 am Case-Shiller home price index Dec. -- 5.2%
10 am Consumer confidence index Feb. 124.0 120.2
10 am New home sales* Jan. DELAYED
WEDNESDAY, FEB. 27
8:30 am Advance trade in goods* (new date) Dec. -$74.0 bln -$71.6bln
8:30 am Durable goods orders* Jan. DELAYED
10 am Pending home sales index Jan. -- -2.2%
10 am Factory orders* (new date) Dec. 0.6% -0.6%
THURSDAY, FEB. 28
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 2/23 223,000 216,000
8:30 am GDP* (first & second estimates) Q4 2.0% 3.4% (Q3)
9:45 am Chicago PMI Feb. -- 56.7
10 am Housing vacancies* (new date) Q4
10 am Jerome Powell testimony
FRIDAY, MARCH 1
8:30 am Personal income* (new date) Dec. 0.4% 0.2%
8:30 am Personal income Jan. 0.3% N/A
8:30 am Consumer spending* (new date) Dec. -0.3% 0.4%
8:30 am Consumer spending* Jan. DELAYED
8:30 am Core inflation* (new date) Dec. 0.2% 0.1%
8:30 am Core inflation* Jan. DELAYED
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI Feb. 53.7
10 am ISM manufacturing index Feb. 55.3% 56.6%
10 am Construction spending* Jan. DELAYED
10 am Consumer sentiment index Feb. 95.5 95.5
10 am Jerome Powell testimony
Varies Motor vehicle sales Feb. 16.8 mln 16.6 mln
*DELAYED BY GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN
9. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
01–MAR-2019
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Sachi
n
Yadav
Digitally signed by
Sachin Yadav
DN: cn=Sachin
Yadav c=IN
o=Personal
Reason: I am the
author of this
document
Location:
Date: 2019-03-01
09:28+05:30