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Special report-13-feb-2019-epic-research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13-FEB-2019
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street rallied on Tuesday as investors were heartened
by a tentative congressional spending deal to avoid another
partial federal government shutdown and by optimism
surrounding US-China trade negotiations.All three major US
stock indexes posted their biggest one-day percentage
gains for the month so far, each advancing more than 1
percent. The S&P 500 ended the session above its 200-day
moving average for the first time since early December.The
Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 372.65 points, or 1.49
percent, to 25,425.76, the S&P 500 gained 34.93 points, or
1.29 percent, to 2,744.73 and the Nasdaq Composite added
106.71 points, or 1.46 percent, to 7,414.62.
Asian stocks pulled ahead and safe-haven government
bonds came under further pressure on Wednesday on
optimism the United States and China might be able to
hammer out a deal to resolve their nearly year-long trade
dispute.MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan rose 0.2 percent. South Korea’s KOSPI gained
0.5 percent and Japan’s Nikkei climbed 1 percent.
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a positive opening for the
broader index in India, a rise of 21.5 points or 0.2 percent.
Nifty futures were trading around 10,883-level on the
Singaporean Exchange.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
The Indian equity markets extended their losing streak for
the third consecutive session on Tuesday with Nifty ending
57 points lower at 10,831 and Bank Nifty settling 217
points lower at 27,010.The broader markets relatively
outperformed with the Nifty 50 and Nifty 100 indices
ending 0.26% and 0.05% higher, respectively. Nifty PSU
Bank was the worst-performing sectoral index and was
down 1.61%.Meanwhile, Nifty and Bank Nifty futures
added fresh short positions with open interest soaring
higher.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+21.15pts],
C o ns um pt i o n [ - 1 9 .9 pt s ] , P SE [+ 1 2 .6 5 pt s ] , C P SE
[+15.05pts],Energy[+39.25pts],FMCG[-204.5pts],Auto[-
42.20pts],Pharma[+66.75ts],IT[-160.4pts],Metal
[+42.75pts],Realty[-3.15pts], Fin Serv sector[-119.95pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25505 +0.39
S&P500 2744 +1.29
NASDAQ 7414 +1.46
FTSE100 7133 +0.06
NIKKEI 21192 +1.57
HANG SENG 28403 +0.82
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
JSW Steel 271.75 10.15 3.88
Zee Entertain 414.7 13 3.24
NTPC 133.25 2.9 2.22
Coal India 223.05 4.25 1.94
Sun Pharma 436.6 8.05 1.88
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Bharti Infratel 312.85 -10.65 -3.29
Hero Motocorp 2,799.55 -89.5 -3.1
HDFC 1,905.05 -43.15 -2.21
HCL Tech 1,058.80 -20.55 -1.9
SBI 275.4 -5.1 -1.82
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AAVAS 869.9 6.2 0.72
LIQUIDETF 1,000.01 0.01 0
MAHASTEEL 136.8 8.6 6.73
WIPRO 377.4 1.3 0.35
NAUKRI 1,793.00 -76.15 -4.31
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10831 -57.4 0.53
SENSEX 36153 -241 -0.66
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
20MICRONS 32.3 -3.2 -8.91
21STCENMGM 19.5 -0.35 -1.76
3PLAND 9.9 0.5 4.55
ABAN 48.5 -2.5 -4.84
ABCAPITAL 79 -2.45 -3
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13-FEB-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
REPCOHOME
Stock has given the breakout of the neckline of the double
bottom pattern but can not sustain at upper level .we
have seen the weakness on chart We recommend sell
below 370 for the target of 365/360 with the stop loss of
380
MACRO NEWS
Oil prices rose on Tuesday amid OPEC-led supply cuts
and US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, although
surging US production and concerns over economic
growth kept markets in check.US West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at $52.50
per barrel at 0102 GMT, up 9 cents, or 0.2 percent,
from their last close. International Brent crude futures
were up 18 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $61.69 per barrel.
To check excessive price movements, capital markets
regulator Sebi Monday proposed a slew of measures
including capping the maximum daily movement of up
to 20 per cent for all stocks including that are part of
the future and options (F&O) segment. There have
been concerns that investors' wealth is getting
wiped out in a single day by recent falls in stocks on
which derivative products are available, as no price
band are applicable on them.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. Titan [FUTURE ]
TITAN -In Titan on daily chart as well as weekly we have
seen that Buying in this stock by traders as well as investors
in last week .Reason behind that quarterly result awaited in
this week & also from technical aspect stock now moving
towards to break its previous highs.Our recommendation is
to Buy 1070 stock target will be 1075/1085 SL below 1060
2. KSCL [FUTURE]
KSCL— In KSCL we have seen sharp selling in this week , we
may expect that it will be continue in upcoming week also.
On Technical point of view seen trend line breakdown & also
stock not able to sustain at upper level. RSI & MACD also
indicate downtrend in this stock with strong volume.Our
recommendation is sell stock future in the range of 500
Target 497/490 Sl 505
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13-FEB-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 27,500 15 5,65,636 10,14,340
BANKNIFTY CE 27,400 24.8 5,49,122 8,19,580
BANKNIFTY CE 27,300 42.5 5,06,829 8,97,800
TATASTEEL CE 500 7.85 10,091 17,78,236
RELIANCE CE 1,300 14.8 8,862 19,25,500
MARUTI CE 7,300 85 8,304 85,200
MARUTI CE 7,400 57.25 6,539 69,525
RELIANCE CE 1,280 21.3 6,359 9,16,500
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 27,000 99 6,28,782 5,66,720
BANKNIFTY PE 27,200 204.3 4,70,974 2,24,420
BANKNIFTY PE 27,100 143.1 4,68,072 2,71,540
MARUTI PE 7,100 130 6,669 31,650
MARUTI PE 7,000 94.95 6,469 95,175
RELIANCE PE 1,260 28.5 6,154 7,73,500
TATASTEEL PE 480 9.1 6,011 8,35,007
TATASTEEL PE 470 6.2 4,941 10,22,804
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 34105 2360.83 26983 1959.37 373093 29407.30 401.456
INDEX OPTIONS 1532540 91208.44 1522952 90601.22 841154 62979.17 607.2236
STOCK FUTURES 196646 10981.73 205326 11527.86 1507139 88373.67 -546.1307
STOCK OPTIONS 142325 8569.31 139176 8336.54 151810 8832.86 232.7756
695.3245
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Bharti Airtel: Airtel Kenya Signs an agreement with
Telkom Kenya to combine operations.
Tata Steel Q3: Profit surges 53 percent YoY to Rs 1,751
crore; India biz revenue up 10 percent
Reliance Industries: RRVL acquired a further stake of
9.44 percent in Genesis Colors for Rs 45 crore
NIFTY FUTURE NIFTY -On daily weekly chart we have
identify that Head & Shoulder pattern is forming at the
top . Head & shoulder & for a short term forming
Raising wedge pattern in technical term bearish reversal
pattern .Nifty breach the important level of 11000 in this
week ,but closing below 11000 .On technical point of
view still our recommendation is to sell nifty future in
the range of 10950-10900 Target 10850/10800 SL 11000
Our strategy is to sell on rise .
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10942 10886 10855 10799 10768
BANKNIFTY 27393 27202 27095 26904 26797
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13-FEB-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Malaysian palm oil futures slipped on Tuesday, posting a
third day of declines amid slowing export demand.The
benchmark palm oil contract for April delivery 1FCPOc3 on
the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 0.5 percent to
2,254 ringgit ($552.86) a tonne at the close of trade. It had
fallen to a three-week low of 2,247 ringgit earlier in the day
after hitting a seven-month high last week.Trading volumes
stood at 31,884 lots of 25 tonnes each at the end of the
trading day. 1FCPO-TOT"The market had earlier gone up as
India had been buying, but since buyers have bought
already, they will stop for a bit in February. They also want
to see the price projection of the market at a March
industry conference, so the market is coming off a bit," said
a Kuala Lumpur-based futures trader."U.S. soybean oil also
fell, so palm needs to adjust a bit to that," the trader added,
referring to overnight declines in soyoil on the Chicago
Board of Trade.Exports of Malaysian palm oil products
during Feb. 1-10 fell 11.2-15.8 percent from Jan. 1-10,
according to cargo surveyors AmSpec Agri Malaysia,
Intertek Testing Services and Societe Generale (PA:SOGN)
de Surveillance. PALM/AAM PALM/ITS PALM/SGSIn other
related oils, the Chicago March soybean oil contract BOH9
fell 2 percent on Monday, as concerns over improving crop
weather in South America and worries about a looming
March 1 deadline for a U.S.-China trade agreement brewed.
GRA/Soyoil was last down 0.1 percent on Tuesday.The May
contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange DBYK9 fell 0.8
percent, while the Dalian January palm oil contract DCPK9
declined 0.4 percent.Palm oil prices are affected by
movements in soyoil rates, as they compete for a share in
the global vegetable oil market.
Oil prices gained about 1 percent on Tuesday, supported by
OPEC-led production cuts and U.S. sanctions against Iran
and Venezuela, though remain wary of surging U.S. output
and the outcome of U.S.-China trade talks.Brent crude
futures LCOc1 were up 61 cents at $62.12 a barrel and U.S.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures CLc1 rose
54 cents to $52.95 a barrel by 0950 GMT.The continuing
closure of parts of the Keystone pipeline that brings
Canadian oil into the United States also helped to prop up
WTI, traders said, March, about half a million bpd more
than it originally pledged. at the radar are hopes expressed
by U.S. and Chinese officials that a new round of talks,
which began in Beijing on Monday, would bring them closer
to easing their months-long trade war.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 33100 TGT 33150/33200 SL BELOW
32900
SELL GOLD BELOW 32900 TGT 32800/32800 SL ABOVE
33200
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 40700 TGT 40750/40800 SL BELOW
40550
SELL SILVER BELOW 40400 TGT 40300/40200 SL ABOVE
40600
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13-FEB-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1580 0.39
Castor Seed 5096 0.39
Chana 4229 -1.18
Coriander 6609 -0.05
Cotton Seed Oilcake 2049 0.59
Guar Seed 10 MT 4336 -0.09
Jeera 15910 -0.38
Mustardseed 3952 1.24
Soy Bean 3826 0.86
Turmeric 6398 0.13
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM MAR ABOVE 8400 TARGET
8415/8440/4460 SL 8360
SELL GUARGUM MAR BELOW 8350 TARGET
8335/8330/8290 SL 8410
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 6090 TARGET 6105/6125/6140
SL 6030
SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 6050 TARGET 6035/6020/5990
SL 6110
The issue of illegal sowing of HT (herbicide-tolerant) Cotton
has surfaced again with the Andhra Pradesh (AP)
government cancelling the licence of one seed company,
while suspending licence of 13 other companies for one
year.Reports from Telangana and Andhra Pradesh had
indicated that 20-30 per cent of the total Cotton acreage
last year was under the illegal HT Cotton.The Andhra
Pradesh government, which was among the first States to
act against the illegal spread of the HT Cottonseeds last
year, has noticed a similar activity this year, triggering
action on the errant firms.The herbicide-tolerant
Cottonseed technology has not yet received permission
from the GEAC (Genetic Engineering Approval Committee)
— the apex Central government agency that receives and
considers applications from agri-biotech companies on new
technologies and traits.
India's exports of agricultural commodities declined by 46
per cent in volume terms due to supply glut in the
international market which prompted stockists to defer
their purchase plans amid expectations of further price fall.
Data compiled by the Agricultural & Processed Food
Products Export Development Authority (Apeda) showed
India’s Wheat exports slumped to 135,284 tonnes ($35
million) for the period between April and December 2018
from 249,702 tonnes ($72 million) for the corresponding
period last year.Non-basmati Rice exports also fell by 14 per
cent by volume and 16.4 per cent in value due to a global
supply glut. Basmati Rice, Groundnut exports also posted a
decline during the first nine months of the current fiscal.
Experts, however, believe that global sentiment has started
reviving towards the end of December 2018 and early
January 2019 which may lift India’s overall agri commodity
exports in the coming quarters.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13-FEB-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 71.30 Yen 64.8325
Euro 80.10 GBP 92.2175
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 71.5 TARGET 71.6 71.7 SL 71.3
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 71.25 TARGET 71.15 71 SL
71.45
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 92.50 TARGET 92.6 92.7 SL
92.30
SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 92.30 TARGET 92.2 92.1 SL
92.50
The U.S. dollar rose to a new eight-week high in early trade
in Europe Tuesday, as news of the deal to avert a fresh
government shutdown was overshadowed by continued
concerns about the U.S.-China trade war and more bearish
talk out of Europe.The US Dollar Index, which tracks the
greenback against a basket of major currencies, rose for a
ninth straight day after German central bank chief Jens
Weidmann warned in a speech that the euro zone was still
not "crisis-proof".With one of the most obvious political
risks to the U.S. economy lifted, the dollar remains the
major currency best supported by short-term growth and
interest-rate dynamics. The euro, British pound and yen by
contrast are all struggling to develop any kind of
momentum, given the problems in their home
economies.“We assess the risks of a ‘technical’ recession
(in the euro zone) at about one in three,” said IHS Markit’s
chief European economist Ken Wattret in a research
note.However, he said that “a severe recession remains
unlikely, absent the usual triggers, including policy
tightening and financial stress.”The pound slid to a new
three-week low overnight, extending the losses it made
after a raft of data showing the U.K. economy close to
stalling as the deadline to leave the European Union
approaches.
USD/CAD down 31 pips On Friday, USD/CAD dropped after
another strong Canadian jobs report but the pair
rebounded yesterday as oil prices fell. Today, crude is
higher by more than 1% and USD/CAD is on the defensive.
There is also pressure on the pair with global stock markets
climbing and some broad malaise in the US .EUR/USD is
unchanged in the Tuesday session, after sustaining losses
on Monday. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.1278, up
0.02% on the day. It’s another slow day on the data
calendar, with no eurozone or German data releases. In
the U.S., JOLTS Jobs Openings is expected to slow to 6.84
million. On Wednesday, the eurozone releases industrial
production and the U.S. releases CPI reports.European
Union finance ministers are meeting in Brussels on
Tuesday.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13-FEB-2019
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
12/2/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6340
6355/6370/64
00
6280 NOT EXECUTED
12/2/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6250
6235/6220/61
90
6310 TARGET
12/2/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR BUY 8200
8215/8240/82
60
8260 TARGET
12/2/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR SELL 8150
8135/8120/80
80
8210 TARGET
12/2/19 MCX GOLD FEB BUY 33500 33550/33600 33400 NOT EXECUTED
12/2/19 MCX GOLD FEB SELL 33300 33250/33200 33500 TARGET
12/2/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 40700 40750/40800 40500 NOT EXECUTED
12/2/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 40400 40300/40200 40600 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
12/2/19 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10950-10900 10850/10800 11000 TARGET
12/2/19 TITAN FUTURE BUY 1070 1075/1080 1060 TARGET
12/2/19 KSCL FUTURE SELL 525 518/500/490 535 TARGET
12/2/19 REPOHOME CASH SELL 375 370/365 385 TARGET
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
13-FEB-2019
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NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT
PERIO
D
ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN COULD DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK.
MONDAY, FEB. 11
None scheduled
TUESDAY, FEB. 12
6 am NFIB small business index Jan. -- 104.4
10 am Job openings Dec. -- 6.9 mln
11 am Household credit Q4 -- 4.3%
WEDNESDAY, FEB. 13
8:30 am Consumer price index Jan. 0.1% -0.1%
8:30 am Core CPI Jan. 0.2% 0.2%
2 pm Federal budget Dec. -- -$23 bln
THURSDAY, FEB. 14
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 2./9 227.000 234,000
8:30 am Retail sales (new date) Dec. 0.0% 0.2%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos (new date) Dec. -0.1% 0.2%
8:30 am Producer price index Jan. 0.2% -0.2%
10 am Business inventories (new date) Nov. -- 0.6%
FRIDAY, FEB. 15
8:30 am Retail sales* Jan. DELAYED -- N/A
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos* Jan DELAYED -- N/A
8:30 am Import price index Jan. -- -1.0%
8:30 am Empire state index Feb. -- 3.9
9:15 am Industrial production Jan. 0.2% 0.3%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Jan. 78.8% 78.7%
10 am Business inventories* Dec. DELAYED -- N/A
10 am Consumer sentiment index Feb. 92.8 91.2