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Special report-18-jan-2019-epic-research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18–JAN-2019
Global markets at a glance
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 155.75 points, or
0.65 percent, to 24,065.59, the S&P 500 gained 27.69
points, or 1.07 percent, to 2,610.3 and the Nasdaq
Composite added 117.92 points, or 1.71 percent, to
7,023.83.Wall Street’s major indexes hit one-month highs
on Wednesday as strong earnings from Bank of America
Corp and Goldman Sachs Group Inc boosted investor
sentiment.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 141.57
points, or 0.59 percent, to 24,207.16, the S&P 500 gained
5.8 points, or 0.22 percent, to 2,616.1 and the Nasdaq
Composite added 10.86 points, or 0.15 percent, to
7,034.69.Asian shares crept higher on Thursday as upbeat
bank earnings bolstered Wall Street, while an anti-climactic
end to the latest chapter in the Brexit saga gave sterling a
moment’s peace.MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan edged up 0.1 percent, with Australia
and South Korea's KOSPI ahead by 0.2 percent each.
Japan's Nikkei climbed 0.3 percent. However, E-Mini
futures for the S&P 500 dipped 0.1 percent during early
Asian hours.Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a positive opening
for the broader index in India, a rise of 16 points or 0.15
percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,941-level on
the Singaporean Exchange.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Benchmark indices remained volatile during the day but
ended on the positive side with Nifty finished above 10,900
mark.The Sensex was up 52.79 points at 36374.08, while
Nifty was up 14.90 points at 10,905.20. About 1046 shares
have advanced, 1496 shares declined, and 173 shares are
unchanged. HCL Tech, Axis Bank, HDFC, TCS and M&M
were the top gainers on the Sensex, while top losers were
Sun Pharma, Yes Bank, SBI, Bajaj Finance and HUL.
Among the sector pharma and PSU bank stocks were under
pressure as indices lost 1.3 percent, while some buying was
seen in the IT stocks.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+18pts],
Consumption[+25pts],PSE[+18.05pts],CPSE[+8.1pts],Energy
[+900ts],FMCG[+92pts],Auto[+10.5pts],Pharma[+60Pts],IT
[+145.35pts],Metal[-4.6pts],Realty[+3.15pts], Fin Serv
sector[+73.2pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 24417 +0.39
S&P500 2635 +0.76
NASDAQ 7084 +0.71
FTSE100 6834 -0.40
NIKKEI 20654 +1.24
HANG SENG 27033 +0.37
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
BPCL 355.2 7.95 2.29
GAIL 332.4 6.9 2.12
Axis Bank 676.65 12.65 1.91
HCL Tech 954.7 16.45 1.75
Bharti Infratel 280.45 4.6 1.67
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Sun Pharma 426.55 -27.25 -6
Yes Bank 201.5 -6.85 -3.29
Zee Entertain 440.9 -11.2 -2.48
SBI 297.4 -5.75 -1.9
Eicher Motors 20,369.95 -365.75 -1.76
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AARTIIND 1,560.00 2.45 0.16
LINDEINDIA 796 45.8 6.15
LIQUIDETF 1,000.01 -0.02 0
MUTHOOTFIN 545.35 12.45 2.37
MAHSCOOTER 3,499.00 145.65 4.4
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10905.2 +14.9 +0.14
SENSEX 36374 +52.79 +0.15
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABGSHIP 1.85 0.05 2.63
APLAPOLLO 1,045.00 31.95 2.91
ASIANTILES 140.25 -4.15 -2.86
BASF 1,500.00 -12.65 -0.83
CURATECH 0.95 -0.05 -5
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18–JAN-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
REPCOHOME
Stock has given the breakout of the neckline of the double
bottom pattern on the daily chart with the good volumes
and closed near to days high. We recommend buying
above 450 for the target of 455/462 with the stop loss of
440
MACRO NEWS
The World Bank has committed to provide India funds
worth $300 million to aid its energy efficiency
programme, sources told Moneycontrol. The move will
help the government set up the requisite
infrastructure to push forward its ambition of
expanding electric mobility in the country. In a
meeting held in December 2018, the Ministry of New
and Renewable Energy (MNRE) informed the
Committee of Secretaries that the World Bank would
route the aid to India through Energy Efficiency
Services Ltd (EESL), a government-owned public sector
unit, people aware of the development said.EESL did
not respond to Moneycontrol’s request for comment
at the time of publishing. received.
SBI plans to sell over Rs 15,000 crore worth bad loans
belonging to Essar Steel to recover its dues from the
debt-laden steel maker."State Bank of India (SBI)
invites expression of interest (EoI) from banks/ARCs/
NBFCs/FIs for the proposed sale of its non performing
financial asset with total dues of Rs 15,431.44 crore,"
the bank said in an advertisement.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. BIOCON [FUTURE ]
In Biocon we have seen that stock closing near its pivot
resistense level . Strong buying seen in last 3 days .Traders
view that company shows strong fundamnetal ,so bullish on
this stock . All though pharma sector is not performing as
good .Our recommendation is to buy stock above 660
Target 665/670 Sl 650
2. SIEMENS [FUTURE]
Stock siemens near to its resistense level 1075. If resistense
level breakout we get then we expect move of 100-150
points in up side . In last week we have seen that stock is
traded in a particular range . Derivative data also suggest
that traders are bullish on this stock .Our recommendation is
to buy the stock in the range of 1066 Target 1070/1078 Sl
1050 .
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18–JAN-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 27,500 7.65 18,715.08 2,70,400
BANKNIFTY CE 27,600 0.05 4,529.00 22,66,300
BANKNIFTY CE 27,700 0.05 969.77 18,51,480
RELIANCE CE 1,160 15.5 1,160.19 21,67,500
RELIANCE CE 1,140 23.6 1,452.23 21,03,500
RELIANCE CE 1,180 9.55 557.03 15,54,000
RELIANCE CE 1,200 5.8 321.88 22,97,000
TCS CE 1,900 28.9 575.24 8,43,500
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 27,400 0.05 11,912.47 14,34,840
BANKNIFTY PE 27,500 0.05 20,130.00 18,84,700
BANKNIFTY PE 27,300 0.05 1,896.67 13,99,500
RELIANCE PE 1,100 11.5 506.25 13,15,000
RELIANCE PE 1,120 18 732.44 8,41,500
RELIANCE PE 1,140 27.4 1,004.91 8,25,500
YESBANK PE 200 8.95 691.66 22,13,750
RELIANCE PE 1,080 7 158.97 13,85,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 38463 2990.25 50569 3808.33 478464 37656.73 -818.0797
INDEX OPTIONS 1358150 82558.87 1353102 82193.30 827203 62031.92 365.5662
STOCK FUTURES 188787 11383.20 184977 11212.03 1390806 85380.87 171.1741
STOCK OPTIONS 113896 6811.92 114874 6856.21 164006 9648.46 -44.2911
-325.6305
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Hindustan Unilever Q3: Profit rises 8.9 percent to Rs
1,444 crore versus Rs 1,326 crore; revenue increases
11.3 percent to Rs 9,558 crore versus Rs 8,590 crore
YoY. Volume growth unchanged at 10 percent (QoQ) &
versus 11 percent YoY.
AU Small Finance Bank Q3: Profit rises 20.8 percent toRs
95.3 crore versus Rs 79 crore; net interest income
jumps 38.9 percent to Rs 348 crore versus Rs 250.4
crore YoY.
NIFTY FUTURE Nifty followed global market and started
with gap up but today Pharam and Media share made
pressure in market due to that whole day Nifty traded in
sideways and in last one hour it loosed almost fifty per
cent gains in intraday. On daily chart it created bearish
candle since Nifty forming Open Broadening pattern so
we it will be buy in decline around 10850 with stop loss o
10770 for the target of 10920/10970.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10979 10942 10893 10856 10807
BANKNIFTY 27768 27648 27491 27372 27215
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18–JAN-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold regained some positive traction on Wednesday, albeit
remained well within a broader trading range held over the
past one week or so.Spot prices edged through the Asian
session and remained support by the UK political/Brexit
uncertainty, which underpinned the precious metal's
perceived safe-haven demand. This coupled with
dovish Fed expectations, reinforced by comments by
various FOMC members, and provided an additional boost
to the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, a weaker tone
surrounding the US Dollar extended some additional
support to the dollar-denominated commodity, though bulls
lacked any strong conviction amid the prevalent risk-on
mood.
The precious metal struggled to build on the overnight
positive momentum and was again seen retreating from the
top end of a near one-week-old trading range. The recent
price-action constituted towards the formation of a
rectangle, usually seen as continuation pattern but
sometimes mark significant trend tops/bottoms. The fact
that bulls have repeatedly failed ahead of the $1300
psychological mark points to increased selling pressure/long
-unwinding pressure at higher levels. However, bullish
technical indicators on hourly/daily charts remain
supportive of persistent dip-buying interest at the lower
end of the recent trading band.Hence, traders are likely to
wait for a convincing breakthrough the mentioned range
before positioning aggressively for the commodity's next leg
of a directional move.Gold prices on Thursday rose by Rs
110 per grams to advance the gaining streak for the fourth
straight day at the bullion market here on increased
demand from local jewellers, according to the All India
Sarafa Association.Silver, however, declined by Rs 300 to Rs
40,200 per kg on subdued demand from industrial units and
coin makers.Gold of 99.9 per cent and 99.5 per cent purities
advanced by Rs 110 each to Rs 33,300 per 10 grams and Rs
33,150 per 10 grams, respectively. Sovereign gold too rose
by Rs 100 to Rs 25,500 per piece of eight grams.Traders said
gold prices firmed up in line with positive global cues.Gold
traded higher at USD 1,292.55 an ounce while silver stood
at USD 15.57 an ounce in New York.The precious metal
firmed up by 0.44 per cent to SGD 1,754 per ounce. In the
previous three days, gold prices went up by Rs 315.Silver
ready declined by Rs 300 to Rs 40,200 per kg, while weekly-
based delivery dropped Rs 143 to Rs 39,690 per kg. Silver
coins, however, held flat at Rs 77,000 for buying and Rs
78,000 for selling of 100 pieces.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 32100 TGT 32150/32190 SL BELOW
32000
SELL GOLD BELOW 31900 TGT 31850/31800 SL ABOVE
32020
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 39500 TGT 39550/39600 SL BELOW
39350
SELL SILVER BELOW 39200 TGT 39100 39050 SL ABOVE
39350
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18–JAN-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1941 -1.27
Castor Seed 5348 1.44
Chana 4198 -1.85
Coriander 6167 -2.74
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1930 -1.43
Guar Seed 10 MT 4348 0.24
Jeera 17490 -0.51
Mustardseed 3959 0.61
Soy Bean 3466 0.7
Turmeric 6626 0.18
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM JAN ABOVE 8600 TARGET 8615/8640/8660
SL 8540
SELL GUARGUM JAN BELOW 8550 TARGET
8535/8520/8490 SL 8610
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA JAN ABOVE 6680 TARGET 6695/6720/6740 SL
6620
SELL DHANIYA JAN BELOW 6650 TARGET 6635/6620/6590
SL 6710
Tamil Nadu Agricultural University (TNAU) has released 14
new diverse crop varieties for the benefit of the farming
community.The varieties include Rice ADT 53 (short
duration, 105 days), Rice VGD1 (semi dwarf, 130 days),
Little millet ATL1 (samai), Greengram VBN 4, Groundnut
BSR 2, Castor YTP 1, Kadam MTP 1 (for pulp and plywood),
Bottlegourd PLR 2, Garlic Ooty 2, Star Jasmine CO 1, Kufri
Sahyadri (potato), and banana varieties Kaveri Saba, Kaveri
Kalki, Kaveri Sugantham.The State Variety Release
Committee has given its approval for the release of
crops.Kufri Sahyadri, a high yielding medium maturing
potato variety has been released by CPRI, Ooty. Suited for
cultivation in summer, autumn and spring, the average yield
of tuber ranged between 28 and 35 tonnes/ha.
India’s domestic crude oil production fell 3.47% in
November to 2,780.60 Thousand Tonne (TMT), as
compared to the corresponding month a year ago, primarily
due to fall in production from fields operated by Oil and
Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC).India’s domestic crude oil
production in November 2017 stood at 2,880.67 TMT.
Cumulatively, India’s crude oil production during the April-
November period of financial year 2018-2019 fell 3.63 per
cent to 23,075 TMT, as compared to 23,943.75 TMT
produced in the corresponding period a year ago. The fall
was primarily due to lower crude oil production from fields
operated by government-owned ONGC and Oil India. ONGC,
India’s largest producer of crude oil and natural gas
witnessed its crude oil production fall 5 per cent to 1705.36
TMT in the month of November primarily due to fall in
production from its Western Offshore fields.
Cumulatively, ONGC’s crude oil production during the April-
November period of financial year 2018-2019 decreased
5.60 per cent to 14,146.89 TMT as compared to 14,986.62
TMT produced in the corresponding period a year ago.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18–JAN-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 71.24 Yen 65.2825
Euro 81.44 GBP 90.34
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 71.15 TARGET 71.25 71.355 SL
71
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 71 TARGET 70.9 70.8 SL 71.2
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 91.75 TARGET 91.85 91.95 SL
91.55
SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 91.4 TARGET 91.3 91.2 SL 91.7
The dollar fell versus other major currencies for a fourth
straight session on Tuesday, as investors grew increasingly
convinced the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates
this year amid uncertainties over the US economy.The
rupee weakened further by 19 paise on Wednesday to
close at 71.24 against the US dollar amid a strengthening
greenback and fresh capital outflows.Higher bond yields,
which spiked on concerns that the government may over-
shoot the fiscal deficit target in an election year, too
weighed on the domestic unit, forex traders said.The rupee
has now lost a hefty 83 paise in four straight
sessions.Meanwhile, the pound rallied after British Prime
Minister Theresa May's divorce deal to leave the EU was
overwhelmingly rejected by MPs, leading to speculation
that UK lawmakers may be forced to have a re-look at the
entire Brexit process.The rupee opened on a weak note at
71.10 at the interbank forex market and lost further
ground to reach an intra-day low of 71.27.However, it
pared some losses to finally finish at 71.24 per US dollar,
down 19 paise over its previous close of 71.05."Indian
rupee depreciated for the fourth day in row amid higher
bond yield and expectation of expansionary fiscal policy in
coming budget. The rupee was Asia's worst performing
major currency in 2018 when it lost 9 per cent versus the
dollar, and it's still in the cellar for 2019 so far," said V K
Sharma, Head PCG and Capital Markets Strategy, HDFC
Securities.
The US dollar gained against key currencies overseas, while
rise in demand for the greenback from exporters also
pressured the domestic unit, traders said.The dollar index,
which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of
six currencies, rose 0.03 per cent to 96.06 in late afternoon
trade.Easing crude oil prices supported the domestic
currency to some extent.Brent crude, the global
benchmark, was trading at USD 60.48 per barrel, lower by
0.26 per cent.
Meanwhile, after swinging nearly 200 points, the 30-share
BSE Sensex index settled just 2.96 points, or 0.01 per cent,
higher at 36,321.29. The broader NSE Nifty inched up 3.50
points, or 0.03 per cent, to 10,890.30.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18–JAN-2019
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
17/1/19 NCDEX DHANIYA JAN BUY 6680
6695/6720/67
40
6620 NOT EXECUTED
17/1/19 NCDEX DHANIYA JAN Sell 6650
6635/6620/65
90
6710 TARGET
17/1/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
JAN BUY 8600
8615/8640/86
60
8540 TARGET
17/1/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
JAN SELL 8550
8535/8520/84
90
8610 TARGET
17/1/19 MCX GOLD JAN BUY 32100 32150/32190 32000
NOT EXECUTED
17/1/19 MCX GOLD JAN SELL 31900 31850/31800 32020
NOT EXECUTED
17/1/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 39500 39550 39600 39350 TARGET HIT
17/1/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 39200 39100 39050 39350 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
17/1/19 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 10850 10920/10970 10750 NOT EXECUTED
17/1/19 TITAN FUTURE BUY 975 980/985 965 NOT EXECUTED
17/1/19 SIEMENS FUTURE BUY 1076 1082/1087 1063
NOT
EXECUTEED
17/1/19 REPOHOME CASH BUY 430 435 420 NOT EXECUTED
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
18–JAN-2019
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Disclaimer
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN COULD DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK
MONDAY, JAN. 14
None scheduled
TUESDAY, JAN. 15
8:30 am Producer price index Dec. -0.1% 0.1%
8:30 am Empire state index Jan. -- 10.9
WEDNESDAY, JAN. 16
8:30 am Retail sales* Dec. 0.1% 0.2%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos* Dec. 0.0% 0.2%
8:30 am Import price index Dec. -- -1.6%
10 am Business inventories* Nov. -- 0.6%
10 am Home builders' index Jan. -- 56
THURSDAY, JAN. 17
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 1/12 220,000 216,000
8:30 am Housing starts* Dec. 1.256mln 1.256mln
8:30 am Building permits* Dec. -- 1.328mln
8:30 am Philly Fed index Jan. -- 9.1
FRIDAY, JAN. 18
9:15 am Industrial production Dec. 0.3% 0.6%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Dec. 78.5% 78.5%
10 am Consumer sentiment index Jan. 98.0 98.3