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Special report-05-dec-2018-epicx research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
05-Dec-2018
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street tumbled more than 3 percent on Tuesday, led
lower by bank and industrial shares, as the US bond market
sent unsettling signs about economic growth and investors
worried anew about global trade.The Dow Jones Industrial
Average fell 799.36 points, or 3.1 percent, to 25,027.07, the
S&P 500 lost 90.31 points, or 3.24 percent, to 2,700.06 and
the Nasdaq Composite dropped 283.09 points, or 3.8
percent, to 7,158.43.Asian stocks fell on Wednesday,
dragged by Wall Street’s tumble as sharp declines in long-
term US Treasury yields and resurgent trade concerns
stoked investor worries about global economic growth.
Global equities have been shaken as a flattening US
Treasury yield curve - a result of a steep fall in longer-dated
yields - fanned recession jitters and as US-China trade
conflict woes resurfaced after a temporary lull.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was down 0.6 percent. Australian stocks lost 1.3 percent
after Australia's third quarter growth data fell short of
expectations. Japan's Nikkei fell 1.15 percent and South
Korea's KOSPI shed 1 percent.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
The market ended rangebound session lower on
Tuesday,snapping six-day winning streak as traders
remained cautious ahead of interest rate decision by
Monetary Policy Committee on Wednesday.The Nifty50
traded lower in a range of 57 points for major part of the
session and formed small bearish candle which resembles a
'Doji' kind of pattern on the daily charts.The Nifty50 traded
lower in a range of 57 points for major part of the session
and formed small bearish candle which resembles a 'Doji'
kind of pattern on the daily charts.A 'Doji' is formed when
the index opens and then closes approximately around the
same level but remain volatile throughout the day which is
indicated by its long shadow on either side. It appears like a
cross or a plus sign.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+0.94pts],
C o n s u m p t i o n [ + 0 . 2 0 p t s ] , P S E [ + 0 . 8 1 p t s ] , C P S E
[+0.99pts],Energy[+0.18pts],FMCG[-0.65pts],Auto[-
0.52pts],Pharma[+0.12pts],IT[+1.76pts],Metal
[+0.27pts],Realty[-0.36 pts], Fin Serv sector[-0.05pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25113 +0.27
S&P500 2700 -3.24
NASDAQ 7158 -3.95
FTSE100 7022 -0.56
NIKKEI 22036 -2.44
HANG SENG 27260 +0.29
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
BPCL 333.25 9.3 2.87
Indiabulls Hsg 803 19.95 2.55
ONGC 146.25 3.75 2.63
UPL 749.85 17.25 2.35
Infosys 684.8 14.45 2.16
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Sun Pharma 442.4 -13 -2.85
M&M 740.6 -20.45 -2.69
Grasim 845.4 -19.15 -2.22
HDFC 1,940.40 -40.35 -2.04
SBI 282.6 -4.2 -1.46
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ELECTROSL 33.1 1.65 4.98
FILATEX 57 1.05 1.84
ICICILIQ 999.99 0 0
VINDHYATEL 1869.4 50.6 2.71
LIQUIDETF 1000.01 0 0
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10869.5 -14.25 -0.13
SENSEX 36134.31 -106..69 -0.29
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABGSHIP 2.5 0.05 2
ADHUNIK 2.6 0.1 3.85
AIFL 39.05 -1.95 -4.99
ALCHEM 2.5 0 0
AMTEKAUTO 4 -0.2 -5
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
05-Dec-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
JUBILANT FOOD
On Daily chart we have seen that stock close above its
pivot support level . Fresh Buying we have seen in last
trading session . After analysis of derivative data its
indicate that traders view is to Buy the stock . Our
recommendation is also Buy the stock in the range of
1320-25 target 1335/1345 Sl 1310
MACRO NEWS
Revised and simpler tax return forms as well as lower
refunds will likely boost revenue collection from Goods
and Services Tax (GST), which the government expects
to touch to Rs 1.5 lakh crore every month from the
next financial year (2019-20).“GST collections should
be around Rs 1.5 lakh crore per month from next year.
New return form will also help in tax evasion,” a senior
government official told .
US stocks closed lower in a shortened post-holiday
trading session on Friday as the energy sector tumbled
on continued weakness in oil prices, and the
benchmark S&P 500 confirmed its second correction of
2018.The three major US indexes all fell well over 3
percent for the week, with the Dow industrials and the
Nasdaq posting their biggest weekly percentage
declines since March.
Country's third largest software company HCL
Technologies and NBFC major Bajaj Finance will be
included in the 30-share BSE Sensex effective
December 24, 2018.Wipro and Adani Ports will be
excluded from the index on the same day.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. JUBILANT FOOD (FUTURE )
On Daily chart we have seen that stock close above its pivot
support level . Fresh Buying we have seen in last trading
session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that
traders view is to Buy the stock . Our recommendation is
also Buy the stock in the range of 1320-1325 target
1335/1345 Sl 1310
2. DIVI’S LAB [FUTURE]
On Daily chart we have seen that stock close above its pivot
support level . Fresh Buying we have seen in last trading
session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that
traders view is to Buy the stock . Our recommendation is
also Buy the stock in the range of 1510 target 1520/1525
Sl 1500
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
05-Dec-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 62.85 6,10,226 12,70,120
BANKNIFTY CE 27,100 40 3,58,722 5,77,720
BANKNIFTY CE 27,200 25.5 3,38,183 7,75,380
SUNPHARMA CE 500 5.9 5,006 35,05,700
YESBANK CE 200 6.85 4,704 71,71,500
RELIANCE CE 1,180 22.7 4,428 7,03,000
RELIANCE CE 1,200 16 4,365 11,34,000
TCS CE 2,000 66 4,171 2,47,250
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,500 58.6 5,01,277 11,15,840
BANKNIFTY PE 26,600 88.05 3,74,669 4,98,360
BANKNIFTY PE 26,700 128.1 3,26,309 4,33,440
RELIANCE PE 1,140 25.1 4,542 4,07,500
RELIANCE PE 1,120 18.2 4,355 2,76,500
RELIANCE PE 1,100 12.85 3,398 5,24,000
SUNPHARMA PE 440 21.35 2,519 6,88,600
SUNPHARMA PE 450 26.3 2,280 7,51,300
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 64832 4680.02 70832 4847.81 459747 35146.17 -167.7884
INDEX OPTIONS 1448606 88832.54 1422548 87010.61 1053228 76767.14 1821.932
STOCK FUTURES 439701 24575.05 433045 24099.84 1473795 85741.19 475.2068
STOCK OPTIONS 154804 8739.18 156774 8865.47 176312 10446.71 -126.2875
2003.0629
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Lupin: Company launched generic Silodosin capsules
4mg and 8mg in the US. It is indicated for the treatment
of the signs and symptoms of benign prostatic
hyperplasia (BPH).
Kesoram Industries: Company decided to spin off its tyre
business by demerging this undertaking into a resulting
company, Birla Tyres Limited (BTL). BTL will also become
a listed company with its shareholding pattern mirroring
Kesoram
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty 50 on Tuesday the flat line for a greater part of the
session, equity benchmarks have ended in the Red. The
Nifty failed to close above 10,900, thought. Our
recommendation is to sell the nifty future in range of
10940 Target 10900 /10850 SL 11000 . Sell o n rise
strategy follow.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10922 10895 10864 10838 10806
BANKNIFTY 26926 26810 26727 26611 26258
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
05-Dec-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold prices were tepid on Wednesday pressured by a robust
dollar after a senior U.S. Federal Reserve official reaffirmed
the need for a further increase in interest rates, making
bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida said on Tuesday the central
bank should continue to gradually raise interest rates, but it
was "especially important" to monitor economic data as
monetary policy was getting close to a neutral stance.
strength of the U.S. dollar has been bad for gold, while the
Fed is little more bullish about interest rates," said John
Sharma, an economist with National Australia Bank
(NAB).Prospects of higher U.S. interest rates are negative
for dollar-priced gold as they raise the opportunity cost of
holding the bullion.
Oil rose further above $60 a barrel on Wednesday,
supported by expectations that OPEC and its partners will
next week decide to curb supply and helped by a drop in
North Sea output.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus
Russia and other allies meet on Dec. 6-7. Producers are
discussing a supply curb of 1 to 1.4 million barrels per day
and possibly more, OPEC delegates have told Reuters.
crude LCOc1 , the global benchmark, was up 53 cents at
$60.74 a barrel at 0919 GMT and traded as high as
$61.27.U.S. crude CLc1 added 41 cents to $51.97.
Palm oil futures in Malaysia recovered from a more than
three-year low on Wednesday, helped by a weaker ringgit
but soft demand and high inventory levels kept a lid on
prices.Palm touched its lowest since August 2015 on
Tuesday, falling 4.4 percent over three consecutive sessions.
The benchmark palm oil contract for February delivery on
the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rebounded by 2.4
percent to 2,014 ringgit ($479.75) per tonne by closing time
on Wednesday.Palm futures are traded in ringgit and any
weakness in the currency makes them cheaper for holders
of other currencies.The ringgit edged lower for a second day
on Wednesday, hitting its lowest in more than a year
against the dollar.But the trader said palm was likely to
struggle .
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 30925 TGT 30975 31000 SL BELOW
30820
SELL GOLD BELOW 30600 TGT 30500 30450 SL ABOVE
30700
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 36150 TGT 36220 36380 SL BELOW
36000
SELL SILVER BELOW 36000 TGT 35950/35870 SL ABOVE
36150
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
05-Dec-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1823 -0.38
Castor Seed 5348 3.96
Chana 4706 -1.32
Coriander 6468 2.18
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1907 -0.37
Guar Seed 10 MT 4301 1.21
Jeera 18640 0.4
Mustardseed 3977 -0.45
Soy Bean 3354 -0.48
Turmeric 6502 -0.37
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 8890 TARGET 8905/8915/8930
SL 8840
SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 8660 TARGET
8645/8630/8600 SL 8600
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6790 TARGET 6805/6830/6845
SL 6720
SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6700 TARGET 6680/6660/6640
SL 6780
The Agriwatch Agri Commodities Index fell 1.07 per cent to
109.53 during the week ended Nov 24, 2018 from 110.71
the previous week due to a sharp fall in prices of potato and
onion. Sugar, pulses and edible oils also declined while
cereals and cotton gained. The base for the Index and all
sub-Indices is 2014 (= 100). Six of the nine commodity
group sub-Indices and 17 of the 29 individual commodity
sub-Indices ended lower during the week.
Oil prices on Monday clawed back some losses from a
nearly 8 per cent plunge the previous session, with Brent
jumping back above $60 per barrel, but sentiment
remained weak amid a broad sell-off in financial markets in
past weeks. Front-month Brent crude oil futures rose $1.31,
or 2.2 per cent, to $60.11 per barrel by 0643 GMT. The
gains partly made up for Friday's selloff, which traders have
already dubbed 'Black Friday'. Reacting to Friday's falls in
Brent and WTI, China's Shanghai crude futures on Monday
fell by 5 per cent, hitting their daily downside-limit. The
downward pressure comes from surging supply and a
slowdown in demand growth which is expected to result in
an oil supply overhang by next year.
Australia-based MoooFarm Monday said it will train two
lakh Indian dairy farmers by 2020 to develop their skills in
areas like cattle nutrition with a view to increase farmers'
income by at least 20 per cent. MoooFarm will train the
farmers through UDAY, a skill development firm, which is its
partner in India. The firm said it will also launch a hashtag
called #TheColorofMilk on the occasion of National Milk
Day, asking people to find the purity of milk.
"Our master trainers are providing content to farmers for
scaling up, which is being delivered through village-level
entrepreneurs. Our target states include Uttar Pradesh,
Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh, Haryana .
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
05-Dec-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 70.45 Yen 62.04
Euro 79.83 GBP 89.6539
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 70.5 TGT 70.6 70.7 SL 70.25
SELL USDINR NOV BELOW 70.10 TGT 70 69.8 SL 70.30
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR NOV ABOVE 90 TGT 90.2 90.4 SL 89.8
SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 88.95 TGT 88.85 88.75 SL 89.20
The dollar was trading at two-week highs against a
currency basket on Wednesday as markets awaited fresh
signals from the Federal Reserve on interest rates and
developments in the U.S.-China trade war remained in
focus.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the
greenback’s strength against a basket of six major
currencies, edged up 0.1% to 97.35 by 04:25 AM GMT
(09:25 AM GMT), the most since Nov. 13.Investors were
looking ahead to a speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
later in the day and the minutes of the U.S. central bank’s
November meeting, due to be released on Thursday.
Markets are hoping for fresh indications on the future path
of interest rate increases.
The Fed is widely expected to raise rates for a fourth time
this year at its upcoming meeting in December and has
indicated that it may raise rates three more time in
2019.But dovish sounding comments by some
policymakers in recent weeks have raised the prospect that
the Fed may slow the pace of future rate hikes amid
concerns over the outlook for the global economy and
ongoing global trade tensions.On Tuesday, U.S. President
Donald Trump once again criticized Powell, whom he
picked last year to lead the bank, and the Fed’s rate hikes,
which he said were harming the economy.Also Tuesday,
Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida backed further rate hikes,
but said the tightening path would be data
dependent.Market watchers were also looking ahead to
the upcoming G20 summit in Buenos Aires later this week,
where Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, are
scheduled to discuss trade. Investors are hoping that talks
could lead to a ceasefire in the trade war.Trump said
earlier this week that it was "highly unlikely" he would
accept China's request to hold off a planned increase in
tariffs due to take effect in January.
The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate dipped today,
and is currently trading at $1.1274, after the release of
Germany’s Gfk consumer confidence survey showed a
decrease for December.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
05-Dec-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
04/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC BUY 6660
6615/6630/66
60
6520 TARGET HIT
04/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC Sell 6550
6535/6520/65
00
6600 SL HIT
04/12/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC BUY 8780
8800/8815/88
30
8720 TARGET HIT
04/12/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC SELL 8630
8615/8600/85
80
8700 NOT EXECUTED
04/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC BUY 30925 30975/31000 30820 NOT EXECUTED
04/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC SELL 30600 30500/30450 30700 NOT EXECUTED
04/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC BUY 36150 36220/36380 36000 NOT EXECUTED
04/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC SELL 36000 35950/35870 36150 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
04/12/18 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 10970 10950/10900 11000 NOT EXECUTED
04/12/18 JUBILANT FOOD FUTURE BUY 1340 1350/1355 1335 SL HIT
04/12/18 YES BANK FUTURE BUY 182 186/190 177 SL HIT
04/11/18 JUBILANT FOOD CASH BUY 1340 1350/1355 1335 SL HIT
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
05-Dec-2018
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NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST
PREVIO
US
MONDAY, DEC. 3
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI Nov. -- 55.4
10 am
10 am Construction spending Oct. 0.3% 0.0%
TUESDAY,
DEC. 4
TUESDAY, DEC. 4
TUESDAY,
DEC. 4
TUESDAY, DEC. 4
TUESDAY, DEC.
4
TUESDA
Y, DEC.
4
Varies
WEDNESD
AY, DEC. 5
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 5
WEDNESD
AY, DEC. 5
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 5
WEDNESDAY,
DEC. 5
WEDNE
SDAY,
DEC. 5
8:15 am ADP employment Nov. --- 227,000
8:30 am Productivity Q3 2.3% 2.2%
8:30 am
9:45 am Markit services PMI Nov. -- 55.4
10 am ISM nonmanufacturing index Nov. 59.8% 60.3%
10 am Quarterly services survey Q3 -- --
2 pm Beige book -- --
THURSDAY
, DEC. 6
THURSDAY, DEC. 6
THURSDA
Y, DEC. 6
THURSDAY, DEC. 6
THURSDAY,
DEC. 6
THURSD
AY,
DEC. 6
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 12/1 225,000
234,000
8:30 am
10 am Factory orders Oct. -2.0% 0.7%