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1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
19-MAR-2019
Global markets at a glance
Banks and tech helped lead Wall Street higher on Monday,
while Boeing and Facebook were a drag and investors eyed
this week’s US Federal Reservemeeting for affirmation of
its commitment to “patient” monetary policy.The Dow
Jones Industrial Average rose 65.23 points, or 0.25 percent,
to 25,914.1, the S&P 500 gained 10.46 points, or 0.37
percent, to 2,832.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added
25.95 points, or 0.34 percent, to 7,714.48
Asian shares treaded water on Tuesday ahead of a US
Federal Reserve policy meeting, hovering near six-month
highs, while sterling was choppy as thespeaker of Britain’s
parliament banned another vote on same Brexit
deal.MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside
Japan was virtually flat, just a hair away from the highest
level since September 21. Japan’s Nikkei average dropped
0.5 percent, while Australian stocks eased 0.1
percent.Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a positive opening for
the broader index in India, a rise of 21 points or 0.18
percent. Nifty futures were trading around 11,532-level on
the Singaporean Exchange.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Indian equity markets closed the trade on a volatile note
as pendulum swings weighed in. Nifty continued its positive
momentum, closing higher for the sixth trading day in a
row. Reliance Industries contributed majority of the gains
in Nifty and added fresh long positions as open positions
continued to soar higher along with a rise in the stock
price.Bajaj Finance added fresh long positions and is just
~2% away from breaching its life time high level. Midcap
stocks continued their underperformance for the fourth
day in a row as sharp selling was seen in major midcap
names. Nifty Bank index gained ~0.75% led by strong gains
in Axis & Kotak Bank. Market breadth ended in the favor of
declines with the advance/decline ratio closing at 1:1.5x.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+33.55pts],
Consumption[-10.95pts],PSE[+31.75pts],CPSE
[+16.05pts],Energy[+286.95pts],FMCG[+218.90pts],Auto[-
121pts],Pharma[-16.8pts],IT[-187.15pts],Metal
[+20.15pts],Realty[+7.10pts], Fin Serv sector[+63.55pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25914 +0.25
S&P500 2832 +0.37
NASDAQ 7714 +0.34
FTSE100 7299 +0.98
NIKKEI 21543 -0.19
HANG SENG 29398 -0.04
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
HPCL 286.8 9.85 3.56
IOC 162.8 5.45 3.46
Bajaj Finance 2,929.55 68.8 2.4
BPCL 405.55 9.25 2.33
JSW Steel 294.95 6.5 2.25
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Maruti Suzuki 6,909.10 -174.9 -2.47
Hero Motocorp 2,669.50 -66.35 -2.43
Wipro 257.6 -5.85 -2.22
Bharti Airtel 330.6 -7.1 -2.1
HCL Tech 1,012.00 -17.3 -1.68
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ALOKTEXT 5.8 0.25 4.5
ARVINDFASN 831.35 39.55 4.99
AXISBANK 756 19.3 2.63
BILENERGY 2.4 0.1 4.35
BANKBEES 3,051.30 22.34 0.75
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 11462 +35.30 +0.31
SENSEX 38095 +70.75 +0.19
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABMINTLTD 14.85 0 0
BILPOWER 0.4 0.05 12.5
CYBERMEDIA 4.85 -0.1 -1.96
DNAMEDIA 1.65 -0.05 -2.94
FEDDERELEC 8.55 -0.45 -5
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
19-MAR-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
ICICI BANK [CASH]
ICICI BANK looking good & traded at all time high .In
bankinkg space icici bank perfoming outstanding .Our
view is bullish & suggest to buy stock in range 395 target
400-405 sl below 390 .Stock is treaded above all its
important moving averages.
MACRO NEWS
Oil prices hovered just below 2019 highs early on
Tuesday, supported by ongoing supply cuts led by
producer club OPEC. US sanctions against oil
producers Iran and Venezuela are also boosting crude
prices, although traders say the market looks capped
by rising American output.US West Texas Intermediate
(WTI) futures were down four cents at $59.05 per
barrel at 0026 GMT, close to the 2019 high of $59.23
reached the previous day. Brent crude oil futures were
down six cents at $67.48 per barrel, within a dollar of
this year’s high of $68.14 reached late last week.
Oil producer group OPEC on Monday scrapped its
planned meeting in April and will decide instead
whether to extend output cuts in June, once the
market has assessed the impact of US sanctions on
Iran and the crisis in Venezuelda. A ministerial panel of
OPEC and its allies recommended that they cancel the
extraordinary meeting scheduled for April 17-18 and
hold the next regular talks on June 25-26. The energy
minister of OPEC's de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, said
the market was looking oversupplied until the end of
the year but that April would be too early for any
decision on output policy.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. HPCL [FUTURE ]
HPCL– In last week seen that buying in Oil & gas companies
share like HPCL ,BPCL , IGL . On weekly chart green large
candle formed & closing of stock above 200 DEMA. Stock
also give breakout of resistense near 260-264 . From now
we expect that buying in HPCL continue in upcoming week
also. Our view is bullish & recommendation is to Buy for the
target of 292. Buy on decline in between 283-285 Sl below
280 . HPCL is going to replace from britannia in Nifty 50 from
March 29, 2019. So , it may possible that Mutual fund
housees may reduce some part of exposeer from this stock .
2. MCX [FUTURE]
MCX— On weekly chart stock give trendline breakout &
seen that hammer pattern followed by three white
soldiers ,both this are bullish pattern .Our view on the
technical basis is to buy stock future in range 770 Target
780/800/840 Sl below 750 . Strong base was formed in
stock near 660-670 .
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
19-MAR-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 30,000 106 7,57,738 6,94,860
BANKNIFTY CE 29,800 172 5,60,085 3,25,680
BANKNIFTY CE 29,900 134.95 5,13,450 3,57,140
RELIANCE CE 1,360 26 9,815 9,21,000
RELIANCE CE 1,400 10.8 9,575 10,06,500
HDFCBANK CE 2,300 21.75 8,366 5,61,000
TCS CE 2,100 15.4 8,366 8,44,500
AXISBANK CE 760 14.2 8,350 18,73,200
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 29,000 37.3 5,75,884 7,55,280
BANKNIFTY PE 29,500 118.8 5,07,039 5,62,720
BANKNIFTY PE 29,300 75 4,67,473 3,32,040
RELIANCE PE 1,300 7.55 8,219 14,27,000
MARUTI PE 6,800 93 6,802 80,400
RELIANCE PE 1,320 10.95 6,649 7,59,500
RELIANCE PE 1,340 15.6 6,153 7,50,000
MARUTI PE 6,500 35.45 4,987 59,625
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 61752 4625.54 52201 3797.56 333651 26741.09 827.9822
INDEX OPTIONS 3431770 225369.27 3425525 224818.05 1030800 79742.71 551.2238
STOCK FUTURES 189178 11931.33 202116 12733.15 1449156 91856.92 -801.8185
STOCK OPTIONS 156784 10119.09 155849 10059.90 138378 8721.81 59.1966
636.5841
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
HCL Technologies entered into a shared services
arrangement with Xerox Corporation
Reliance Communications: The agreements dated
December 28, 2017 and August 11, 2018 entered into
between company, RTL, RITL (RCOM Group) and Reliance
Jio respectively for sale of certain specified telecom
assets have been terminated today by mutual agreement
NIFTY FUTURE
NIFTY - On Thursday market is in narrow range due to
weekly expiry of Nifty 50 option . Nifty opened at high
but not sustain & last two days Pre –Election rally has
stoped for a time being ,but it may expected to be
contiune upto 11500 . Buying in Banking, NBFC , &
Reality sector .On teachnical point of view nifty broke a
channel line & our recommendation is to Buy nifty future
on decline in range 11400 Target 11500/11570 Sl 11350.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 11586 11524 11468 11406 11350
BANKNIFTY 30040 29818 29589 29367 29139
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
19-MAR-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
A weak global trend and easing demand from local jewellers
pulled down gold prices by Rs 280 to Rs 32,830 per 10 gram
at the bullion market on Monday, according to All India
Sarafa Association.Besides, silver prices drifted down by Rs
345 to Rs 38,725 per kg due to reduced offtake by industrial
units and coin makers.Traders said apart from a weak trend
overseas, as equity markets gained and the dollar steadied
ahead of a US Federal Reserve policy meeting later this
week, fading demand from local jewellers and retailers
mainly weighed on gold prices here.Globally, gold price was
quoted at USD 1,299.30 an ounce, down 0.31 per cent and
silver stood at USD 15.34 an ounce, lower by 0.13 per cent
in New York.In the national capital, gold of 99.9 and 99.5
per cent purity declined by Rs 280 to Rs 32,830 and Rs
32,660 per 10 gram, respectively. The precious metal had
lost Rs 260 on Friday. Sovereign gold, however, remained
flat at Rs 26,400 per eight gram.Tracking overall trend, silver
ready too moved down by Rs 345 to Rs 38,725 per kg and
weekly-based delivery by Rs 477 to Rs 37,865 per kg.Silver
coins dropped by Rs 1,000 to Rs 79,000 for buying and Rs
80,000 for selling of 100 pieces. Russia said it will take a
wait and see approach on whether to extend OPEC+ output
cuts because the market has achieved a fragile balance,
contrasting with Saudi Arabia’s view there’s still more to be
done to restore oil market fundamentals.“Currently, the
price is acceptable to all the parties, both to consumers and
producers, and you can see that the level of volatility is
extremely low,”
Russia’s Energy Minister Alexander Novak said in an
interview with Bloomberg TV late Sunday in Baku,
Azerbaijan. “We may be balanced today but we don’t know
what’s going to happen.”Uncertainties, including
fluctuations in Venezuelan production, make it difficult to
say what steps the Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries and its allies should take in the second half of the
year when the current deal expires, Novak said after a day
of bilateral discussions with his OPEC+ counterparts.Russia
thinks a decision on whether to extend cuts should be made
by May or June, Novak said at a briefing Sunday. That’s a
more relaxed stance than that of Saudi Arabia, the de-facto
OPEC leader. The Kingdom’s Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih
said at the briefing the job of stabilizing the oil market is
“nowhere near complete” and OPEC+ needs to “stay the
course” until June.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
Gold BUY ABOVE 31780 TARGET 31800/31850 SL 31740
Gold Sell BELOW 31680 TARGET 31650/31600 SL 31750
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
Silver BUY ABOVE 38300 TARGET 38350/38400 SL 38200
Silver Sell BELOW 38120 TARGET 38050/38000 SL 38240
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
19-MAR-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1680 0.89
Castor Seed 5272 0.38
Chana 4204 -0.1
Coriander 6589 0.09
Cotton Seed Oilcake 2045 2.18
Guar Seed 10 MT 4249 0.38
Jeera 16140 -0.87
Mustardseed 3826 0.1
Soy Bean 3631 0.8
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM APR ABOVE 8830 TARGET 8845/8860/8890
SL 8770
SELL GUARGUM APR BELOW 8800 TARGET 8785/8760/8740
SL 8860
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY CORIANDER APR 6570 TARGET 6585/6600/6615 SL
6510
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6530 TARGET
6515/6495/6470 SL 6590
El Nino may make a comeback this year to upset the
expectations of a good monsoon, according to the latest
report by the US-based National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA).El Nino is a climate cycle formed in
the Pacific Ocean with an impact on weather patterns
across the globe. The cycle begins when warm water in the
western tropical Pacific Ocean shifts eastward along the
equator towards the coast of South America.
NOAA forecasters have said that there is a 60% chance of El
Niño conditions continuing through June to August in India.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD), however,
maintained that neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
conditions are prevailing at present, indicating weak El Niño
formation."El Nino was supposed to start at the end of last
year but it was wrongly predicted. Currently there is a very
weak prevalence of El Niño. Some models suggest that it
would retain for the next two to three months, and only
thereafter it will weaken. Even at this stage it is weak," a
scientist at IMD, Pune, told IANS.Earlier this year, the
Ministry of Earth Sciences had said that there was no
indication of El Nino developing and it wont have any
impact on the upcoming monsoon."It is too early to talk
about its impact on monsoon. May be around mid-April and
May-end we will have a clear picture of El Nino's
prevalence," IMD said.El Nino forecasts, issued in December
2018 by the IMD for the January-February-March period
this year, maintained that the Sea Surface Temperatures
(SSTs), which is the main indicator of the development of
the phenomenon, would remain slightly warm over the
central Pacific region.Except for Kerala, all other sub-
divisions in the southern peninsular regions -- Tamil Nadu
and Puducherry, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana,
Rayalaseema and South Interior Karnataka -- received poor
rainfall from October to December last year. The northeast
monsoon ended up 44% deficient.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
19-MAR-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 68.6075 Yen 61.6375
Euro 78.0250 GBP 91.1275
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 68.70 TARGET 68.8/68.8 SL
68.5
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 68.5 TARGET 68.4/68.3 SL 68.7
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 91 TARGET 91.10/91.20 SL 90.8
SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 90.9 TARGET 90.8/90.7 SL 91.2
The Australian dollar fell on Thursday after reports that a
meeting between China and the United States to end their
trade war had been delayed.The meeting between
President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping won't
occur this month and is more likely to happen in April at
the earliest, Bloomberg reported. Australian dollar reacted
the most to the report, falling to its lowest in three days at
$0.7049, down 0.6 percent on the day.Concern remains
that any escalation in the trade conflict will hit hard export
-oriented economies such as Australia, whose biggest
trading partner is China.The yuan was relatively stable in
the offshore market. At 1030 GMT it was down half a
percent at 6.7353, not far from a one-month low of 6.7372
CNH=D3The dollar gained for the first time in a week as the
pound fell after a vote on Brexit that failed to deliver much
clarity on where Britain's relationship with the European
Union was headed.The pound had soared nearly 2 percent
late on Wednesday after British lawmakers voted against a
potentially disorderly "no-deal" departure from the
European Union.The pound was down 0.9 percent at
$1.3208 at 1040 GMT. Traders are bracing for a
parliamentary vote later today that's expected to call for a
short delay to Brexit.
The British pound edged lower in early European hours on
Thursday, easing off Wednesday's nine-month high posted
after U.K.lawmakers voted emphatically against leaving the
EU without a transitional deal.The pound was down 0.2%
at $1.3317 by 4:45AM ET (08:45 GMT), after rallying 2.1% a
day earlier.The currency went as high as $1.3380, a level
not seen since June 2018, after parliament's vote, which
paves the way for a vote later Thursday that could delay
Brexit until at least the end of June."Yesterday’s vote to
reject a no-deal Brexit does not remove the risk of a
disorderly Brexit on March 29," Singapore's DBS said in a
note. "Hence, the pound's appreciation yesterday is still set
on shaky and not on firm foundation."Analysts said the real
test for sterling was yet to come as lawmakers still need to
agree a way forward before an extension on Britain's exit
could be obtained from the EU."If they manage to achieve
cross-party support for a deal, likely a 'softer Brexit' sort of
a deal – this could potentially be very good news for UK
assets," said Russel Silberston, Co-Head of Multi Asset at
Investec Asset Management.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
19-MAR-2019
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
18/03/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6570 6585/6600/6615 6510 NOT EXECUTED
18/03/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6530 6515/6495/6470 6590 TARGET
18/03/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR BUY 8830 8845/8860/8890 8770 TARGET
18/03/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR SELL 8800 8785/8760/8740 8860 NOT EXECUTED
18/03/19 MCX GOLD APR BUY 31780 31800/31850 31740 NOT EXECUTED
18/03/19 MCX GOLD APR SELL 31850 31800/31770 31920 TARGET
18/03/19 MCX SILVER MAY BUY 38300 38350/38400 38200 NOT EXECUTED
18/03/19 MCX SILVER MAY SELL 38120 38050/38000 38240 TARGET
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
18/03/19 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 11150-11160 11250-11300 11000 NOT EXECUTED
18/03/19 HPCL FUTURE BUY 268-270 273 265 TARGET
18/03/19 MCX FUTURE BUY 750-760 780/800/840 730 TARGET
18/03/19 ICICI CASH BUY 393-395 400-405 387 TARGET
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
19-MAR-2019
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD
ACTUA
L
FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN WILL DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK.
MONDAY, MARCH 18
10 am Home builders' index March -- 62
TUESDAY, MARCH 19
8:30 am Housings starts* Feb.
DELAYE
D
--
10 am Factory orders* (new date) Jan. 0.4% 0.1%
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 20
2 pm Federal Reserve announcement 2.25-2.5% 2.25-2.5%
2:30 pm Jerome Powell press conference
THURSDAY, MARCH 21
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 3/16 225,000 229,000
8:30 am Philly Fed index March 5.0 -4.1
8:30 am Current account deficit* (new date) Q4 -- -2.4%/GDP
10 am
Quarterly services survey*
(new date)
Q4 -- --
10 am Leading economic indicators Feb. -- -0.1%
FRIDAY, MARCH 22
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI (flash) March -- 53.0
9:45 am Markit services PMI (flash) March -- 56.0
10 am Existing home sales Feb. 5.10mln 4.94 mln
10 am Wholesale inventories* (new date) Jan. -- 1.1%
2 pm Federal budget* (new date) Feb. -- -$215bln
9. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
19-MAR-2019
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Sachin
Yadav
Digitally signed by
Sachin Yadav
DN: cn=Sachin Yadav
c=IN o=Personal
Reason: I am the
author of this document
Location:
Date: 2019-03-19
09:24+05:30