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Special Report
30–JAN-2019
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street was mixed on Tuesday, with Alphabet,
Facebook and other technology-related shares dipping,
while a rebound in 3M and other industrials elevated the
Dow Jones Industrial Average.The Dow Jones Industrial
Average climbed 0.21 percent to end at 24,579.96 points,
while the S&P 500 lost 0.15 percent to 2,640, dragged
down bytechnology and communications stocks. The
Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.81 percent to 7,028.29.
Asian equities eked out modest gains on Wednesday as
investors seized on Apple Inc’s earnings and comments
from its chief that US-China trade tensions were easing,
sending the iPhone maker’s shares soaring in after-hours
trade.S&P 500 e-mini futures tacked on 0.1 percent in early
trade while MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan edged up 0.05 percent. Japan’s Nikkei rose
0.2 percent before erasing gains.
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening for the
broader index in India, a fall of 6.5 points or 0.06 percent.
Nifty futures were trading around 10,687-level on the
Singaporean Exchange. Oil prices were stable on Tuesday,
pressured by a cloudy outlook for the global economy but
supported by worries over disruptions to supply from US
sanctions on Venezuelan exports.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Benchmark indices has made strong comeback from the
lows with Nifty finished just above 10,650 level.At the close
of market hours, the Sensex was down 64.20 points at
35592.50, while Nifty was down 9.30 points at 10652.20.
About 1144 shares have advanced, 1346 shares declined,
and 140 shares are unchanged. Adani Ports, Bharti Infratel,
Bajaj Finserv, Cipla and Sun Pharma are the top gainers on
the Nifty, while top losers include Eicher Motors, GAIL, Yes
Bank, HPCL and L&T.Among the sectors, pharma, IT and
FMCG index helped to market recovery, while some selling
pressure seen in auto, bank and energy space.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-3.75pts],
Consumption[+22.95pts],PSE[-17.85pts],CPSE[-
1.5pts],Energy[-189.55ts],FMCG[+193.35pts],Auto[-
22.55pts],Pharma[+93Pts],IT[+111.2pts],Metal
[+1.2pts],Realty[-1.10pts], Fin Serv sector[-41.7pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 24383 -0.37
S&P500 2643 -0.78
NASDAQ 7085 -1.11
FTSE100 6747 -0.91
NIKKEI 20679 -0.46
HANG SENG 27660 +0.33
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Adani Ports 349.25 23.15 7.1
Bharti Infratel 297.35 10.05 3.5
Bajaj Finserv 6,233.05 182.15 3.01
Cipla 505.05 12.9 2.62
Sun Pharma 422.4 10.65 2.59
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Eicher Motors 18,877.25 -1,110.15 -5.55
GAIL 323.6 -9.6 -2.88
Yes Bank 202.9 -4.6 -2.22
Larsen 1,278.05 -22.4 -1.72
HPCL 235.3 -3.9 -1.63
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
DALBHARAT 1,045.30 49.75 5
GOLDBEES 2,902.00 30.05 1.05
HDFCMFGETF 2,975.00 43.35 1.48
QGOLDHALF 1,444.95 14.2 1
LIQUIDETF 1,000.01 0 0
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10652 -9.35 -0.09
SENSEX 35592 -64.2 -0.18
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
3PLAND 10 0.1 0.91
AARVEEDEN 21.8 -0.35 -1.46
ABAN 65.25 -3.05 -4.37
ABCAPITAL 82.8 -3.5 -4.01
ABGSHIP 1.8 -0.05 -2.7
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30–JAN-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
REPCOHOME
Stock has given the breakout of the neckline of the double
bottom pattern but can not sustain at upper level .we
have seen the weakness on chart We recommend sell
below 405 for the target of 400/390 with the stop loss of
415
MACRO NEWS
ď‚· The initial public offer of Chalet Hotels, which owns,
develops and manages high-end hotels in key metro
cities in India, was subscribed 7 percent on the first
day of bidding on Tuesday. The IPO, to raise about Rs
1,641 crore, received bids for 27,85,574 shares against
the total issue size of 4,13,26,672 shares, as per the
data available with the NSE.
ď‚· Bank of Baroda posted a 321.6 percent year-on-year
(YoY) increase in its December quarter net profit at Rs
471.21 crore on strong growth in interest income and
improved asset quality.Net interest income (difference
between interest earned and expended) increased to
Rs 4,744 crore in Q3. Adjusting for IT refund of Rs 326
crore inDecember 2017, NII increased by 16.62
percent YoY. The domestic core fee income increased
by 16.11 percent YoY to Rs 771 crore.
ď‚· British lawmakers voted 327 to 296 on Tuesday against
a proposal which called for parliament to consider
alternative options to prevent Britain leaving the
European Union without a deal.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. Titan [FUTURE ]
TITAN -In Titan on daily chart as well as weekly we have
seen that Buying in this stock by traders as well as investors
in last week .Reason behind that quarterly result awaited in
this week & also from technical aspect stock now moving
towards to break its previous highs.Our 970
recommendation is to Buy stock target will be 1000/1030 SL
below 940 .
2. MCDOWNLL –N [FUTURE]
MCDOWELL-N – Daily chart of MCDOWELL-N looking
week .We have seen the trendline breakdown & also stock
does not sustain at upper level . Our recommendation is to
sell the stock future from 540 Target will be 530 SL 550. RSI
& MACD also showing that downtrend continue in this
stock .
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30–JAN-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 62.8 6,80,443 8,41,880
BANKNIFTY CE 26,900 98 4,35,779 3,25,240
NIFTY CE 10,700 55.55 4,04,098 28,46,175
YESBANK CE 220 0.75 19,883 64,52,250
YESBANK CE 210 2.7 16,778 72,01,250
RELIANCE CE 1,240 3.05 13,579 14,24,500
RELIANCE CE 1,220 9 11,690 10,52,000
YESBANK CE 230 0.4 11,072 43,69,750
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,500 74 5,37,013 7,69,400
BANKNIFTY PE 26,400 56.45 4,59,462 3,17,540
BANKNIFTY PE 26,300 40.9 3,82,252 1,70,400
RELIANCE PE 1,200 3.75 18,546 13,80,000
RELIANCE PE 1,220 11.1 11,519 5,57,500
YESBANK PE 200 2.4 11,369 29,40,000
RELIANCE PE 1,180 1.4 9,507 8,65,000
BAJFINANCE PE 2,400 11 7,789 3,02,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 101953 7107.90 89160 6690.58 477271 37160.13 417.318
INDEX OPTIONS 1767834 110906.34 1781295 111633.96 1007052 73940.77 -727.6212
STOCK FUTURES 538912 30689.69 543871 31149.81 1497188 88025.27 -460.1203
STOCK OPTIONS 152034 8965.00 155160 9133.03 201726 11434.70 -168.0263
-938.4498
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Godrej Consumer Q3: Profit slips 1.5 percent to Rs 424
crore versus Rs 430 crore; revenue increases 3.5 percent
to Rs 2,721.9 crore versus Rs 2,630.3 crore YoY.
Granules India Q3: Profit jumps 72.3 percent to Rs 60
crore versus Rs 35 crore; revenue surges 53.8 percent to
Rs 631.8 crore versus Rs 410.7 crore YoY.
NIFTY FUTURE NIFTY -On daily & weekly chart we have
identify that Head & Shoulder pattern is forming at the
top . Head & shoulder & for a short term forming
Raising wedge pattern in technical term bearish reversal
pattern .Nifty struggling from many weeks to breach the
resistense level of 11000.Closing of nifty in this week
below 200 EMA & 100 EMA & RSI also showing
downwards movement . Our Recommendation is to sell
10600 nifty for targets 10570/10500 Sl 10700 .Upcoming
week is so important for the market because
Govermnent is going to present Interium Budget on
FEB,1
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10748 10700 10642 10593 10535
BANKNIFTY 26888 26730 26586 26428 26284
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30–JAN-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold prices surged by Rs 350 to Rs 33,650 per 10 gram on
Monday as buying by local jewellers gathered steam to
meet wedding season demand, according to All India Sarafa
Association.Silver too shone by gaining Rs 850 to Rs 40,900
per kg on increased offtake by industrial units and coin
makers. As per bullion traders, gold firmed up on increased
buying by jewellers to meet the ongoing wedding season
demand.Besides, gold prices crossing USD 1,300 an ounce
overseas influenced the sentiment in the domestic market,
they said. Bullion market was closed on Saturday on
account of Republic Day.Globally, gold rose to USD 1,301.82
an ounce and silver traded higher at USD 15.77 an ounce in
New York.In the national capital, gold of 99.9 per cent and
99.5 per cent purities climbed Rs 350 each to Rs 33,650 and
Rs 33,500 per 10 gram, respectively. Sovereign gold
advanced by Rs 200 to Rs 25,700 per piece of eight
gram.Silver ready rose by Rs 850 to Rs 40,900 per kg and
weekly-based delivery by Rs 954 to Rs 39,990 per kg. Silver
coins, too, were in good demand and traded higher by Rs
1,000 at Rs 78,000 for buying and Rs 79,000 for selling of
100 pieces, respectively.
Oil prices fell 1 percent on Monday after U.S. companies
added rigs for the first time this year, a signal that crude
output may rise further, and as China, the world's second-
largest oil user, reported additional signs of an economic
slowdown.International Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were
at $60.74 a barrel at 0804 GMT, down 90 cents, or 1.46
percent.U.S. crude oil futures CLc1 were at $52.84 per
barrel, down 85 cents, or 1.58 percent, from their last
settlement.High U.S. crude oil production C-OUT-T-EIA ,
which rose to a record 11.9 million barrels per day (bpd)
late last year, has been weighing on oil markets, traders
said.In a sign output could rise further, U.S. energy firms last
week raised the number of rigs looking for new oil for the
first time in 2019 to 862, an addition of 10 rigs, Baker
Hughes energy services firm said in its weekly report on
Friday. oil supply, a key question for this year will be the
magnitude of demand growth.Oil consumption has been
increasing steadily, and it will likely average above 100
million bpd for the first time ever in 2019, driven largely by
a boom in China.A global economic slowdown, however,
amid a trade dispute between Washington and Beijing is
weighing on fuel demand-growth expectations.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 32600 TGT 32650/32750 SL BELOW
32500
SELL GOLD BELOW 32500 TGT 32450/32400 SL ABOVE
32650
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 40100 TGT 40150/4250 SL BELOW
39950
SELL SILVER BELOW 39950 TGT 39900/39800 SL ABOVE
40100
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30–JAN-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1941 -1.27
Castor Seed 5348 1.44
Chana 4198 -1.85
Coriander 6167 -2.74
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1930 -1.43
Guar Seed 10 MT 4348 0.24
Jeera 17490 -0.51
Mustardseed 3959 0.61
Soy Bean 3466 0.7
Turmeric 6626 0.18
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM FEB ABOVE 8650 TARGET 8665/8685/8710
SL 8490
SELL GUARGUM FEB BELOW 8600 TARGET
8585/8560/8540 SL 8660
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 6680 TARGET 6695/6720/6740
SL 6620
SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 6620 TARGET 6605/6580/6560
SL 6680
India's rabi crop sowing covered 591.64 lakh hectares till
25th January 2019, down by 30 lakh hectares from 622.12
lakh hectares planted in 2017-18, according to the
Agriculture Ministry’s latest data.The worst hit seems to be
winter rice, which reported a shortfall of more than 21% in
planting, with Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu reporting a
huge drop in rice acreage. Tamil Nadu, which accounts for
nearly half the rice cultivation in the rabi season, reported a
nearly 27% shortfall in sowing.Wheat cultivation, on the
other hand, is restricted to 296.37 lakh hectares, which is
2.5% lower than the 304.88 lakh hectares reported in the
corresponding week in the previous rabi season. The
shortfall was mainly from Maharashtra and Gujarat, which
are suffering a drought currently.The acreage under pulses
dropped to 151.6 lakh hectares, a little over 6% lower than
in the same period in 2017-18. The drop is mainly due to
less sowing of gram - the main rabi pulse crop - in
M a ha r a s ht r a , K a r na t a k a a n d G uj a r a t .
Though there was a slight increase in pulses acreage in
Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu,
it wasn’t enough to pull up the numbers. Two pulse
varieties that have reported higher sowing this year were
green peas and kulthi, which are substantially higher than in
the same period last year. Another group of crops hit by
drought conditions is coarse cereals. The subdued sowing in
Maharashtra and Karnataka has led to a 14% fall in acreage,
which is 47 lakh hectares as compared to 54.63 lakh
hectares in the corresponding period in the previous year.
A good showing by the mustard crop, mainly in Rajasthan,
has somehow helped oilseeds come up close to the levels
last year. The total area covered under oilseeds so far is
around 79 lakh hectares, as per the official data.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30–JAN-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 71.1175 Yen 65.0125
Euro 81.2450 GBP 93.69
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 71.20 TARGET 71.30 71.4 SL 71
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 69.95 TARGET 69.85 69.75 SL
71.15
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 93.75 TARGET 93.85 93.95 SL
93.55
SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 93.55 TARGET 93.45 93.35 SL
93.75
The euro fell on Thursday ahead of a European Central
Bank meeting in which policymakers may express caution
about slowing economic growth.The ECB is expected to
reaffirm its plan to raise interest rates by the end of the
year but traders will focus on how explicitly, if at all, the
central bank acknowledges the slow-downThe euro has
lost around 1.6 percent of its value over the last two weeks
as investors bet the ECB will keep monetary policy
accommodative for an extended period.If recent weaker-
than-expected economic activity in Germany and France
leads ECB President Mario Draghi to point to a potentially
longer lasting slowdown, that could hurt the euro."We see
a risk of modest dovish bias from Draghi today given the
long stream of the soft euro zone data and look for the
euro to test $1.1310," said ING FX strategist Petr Krpata.At
0830 the euro was down 0.2 percent at
$1.1355 EUR=EBS .Germany, France and Italy, the euro
zone's biggest economies, barely grew in the fourth
quarter and French business activity fell unexpectedly this
month, a survey showed on Thursday. ECB holds its first
meeting of the year at a time when concerns are also
growing about global trade tensions and Brexit.Sterling
traded marginally lower at $1.3043, hovering near highs
last seen in mid-November in a sign traders expect Britain
to avoid a chaotic exit from the European Union.Some
analysts expect limited upside for sterling. Philip Wee,
currency strategist at DBS says that most of the gains in the
pound are due to the unwinding of short positions. He sees
sterling capped in the range of $1.3170-1.3240
The U.S. dollar pushed higher against a basket of its rivals
on Thursday but gains were held in check amid concerns
over global growth, the U.S. government shutdown and
the ongoing U.S.-China trade war."Trade tensions are the
most dominant factor for investor sentiment right now and
will drive market flows," said Nick Twidale, chief operating
officer at Rakuten Securities.Twidale added that investor
risk appetite will only improve once concerns over the
partial U.S. government shutdown and trade tensions fade.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30–JAN-2019
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
29/1/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6680
6695/6720/67
40
6620 SL HIT
29/1/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6620
6605/6580/65
60
66680 TARGET
29/1/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
FEB BUY 8650
8665/8685/87
10
8610 TARGET
29/1/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
FEB SELL 8600
8585/8560/85
40
8540 NOT EXECUTED
29/1/19 MCX GOLD FEB BUY 32200 32250/32300 32100 NOT EXECUTED
29/1/19 MCX GOLD FEB SELL 32000 31950/31900 32100 NOT EXECUTED
29/1/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 39200 39250/39300 39050 NOT EXECUTED
29/1/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 39000 38900/38800 39200 TARGET HIT
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
29/1/19 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10600 10570/10500 10800 TARGET HIT
29/1/19 TITAN FUTURE BUY 970 1000/1030 940 OPEN
29/1/19 MCDOWNLL-N FUTURE SELL 540 530 550 NOT EXECUTED
29/1/19 REPOHOME CASH SELL 405 400/395 415 TARGET HIT
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
30–JAN-2019
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or
liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right
investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal
information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The
report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on
the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily
indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person
related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at
his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any
surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We,
however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss
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anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.
Disclaimer
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN COULD DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK
MONDAY, JAN. 28
8:30 am Chicago Fed national activity index Dec. -- 0.22
TUESDAY, JAN. 29
8:30 am Advance trade in goods* Dec. -- N/A
9 am Case-Shiller house prices Nov. -- 5.5%
10 am Consumer confidence index Jan. 124.0 128.1
10 am Homeownership rate -- 64.4%
WEDNESDAY, JAN. 30
8:15 am ADP employment Jan. -- 271,000
8:30 am Gross domestic product* Q4 2.6% 3.4%
10 am Pending home sales Dec. -- -0.7%
2 pm FOMC announcement 2.25-2.5% 2.25-2.5%
2:30 pm Jerome Powell press conference
THURSDAY, JAN. 31
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 1/1926 214,000 199,000
8:30 am Employment cost index Q4 0.8% 0.8%
8:30 am Personal income* Dec. 0.5% 0.2%
8:30 am Consumer spending* Dec. 0.3% 0.4%
8:30 am Core inflation* Dec. 0.2% 0.1%
9:45 am Chicago PMI Jan. -- 65.4
FRIDAY, FEB. 1
8:30 am Nonfarm payrolls Jan. 177,000 312,000
8:30 am Unemployment rate Jan. 3.9% 3.9%
8:30 am Average hourly earnings Jan. 0.2% 0.4%
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI Jan. -- 54.9
10 am ISM manufacturing index Jan. 54.3% 54.1%
10 am Construction spending* Dec. -- N/A
10 am Consumer sentiment index Jan. 90.8 90.7
Varies Motor vehicle sales Jan. 17.2 mln 17.5 mln

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Global markets and commodity roundup

  • 1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 30–JAN-2019 Global markets at a glance Wall Street was mixed on Tuesday, with Alphabet, Facebook and other technology-related shares dipping, while a rebound in 3M and other industrials elevated the Dow Jones Industrial Average.The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.21 percent to end at 24,579.96 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.15 percent to 2,640, dragged down bytechnology and communications stocks. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.81 percent to 7,028.29. Asian equities eked out modest gains on Wednesday as investors seized on Apple Inc’s earnings and comments from its chief that US-China trade tensions were easing, sending the iPhone maker’s shares soaring in after-hours trade.S&P 500 e-mini futures tacked on 0.1 percent in early trade while MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan edged up 0.05 percent. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.2 percent before erasing gains. Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening for the broader index in India, a fall of 6.5 points or 0.06 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,687-level on the Singaporean Exchange. Oil prices were stable on Tuesday, pressured by a cloudy outlook for the global economy but supported by worries over disruptions to supply from US sanctions on Venezuelan exports. PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF Benchmark indices has made strong comeback from the lows with Nifty finished just above 10,650 level.At the close of market hours, the Sensex was down 64.20 points at 35592.50, while Nifty was down 9.30 points at 10652.20. About 1144 shares have advanced, 1346 shares declined, and 140 shares are unchanged. Adani Ports, Bharti Infratel, Bajaj Finserv, Cipla and Sun Pharma are the top gainers on the Nifty, while top losers include Eicher Motors, GAIL, Yes Bank, HPCL and L&T.Among the sectors, pharma, IT and FMCG index helped to market recovery, while some selling pressure seen in auto, bank and energy space. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[-3.75pts], Consumption[+22.95pts],PSE[-17.85pts],CPSE[- 1.5pts],Energy[-189.55ts],FMCG[+193.35pts],Auto[- 22.55pts],Pharma[+93Pts],IT[+111.2pts],Metal [+1.2pts],Realty[-1.10pts], Fin Serv sector[-41.7pts]. World Indices Index Value % Change DJI 24383 -0.37 S&P500 2643 -0.78 NASDAQ 7085 -1.11 FTSE100 6747 -0.91 NIKKEI 20679 -0.46 HANG SENG 27660 +0.33 Top Gainers Company CMP Change % Chg Adani Ports 349.25 23.15 7.1 Bharti Infratel 297.35 10.05 3.5 Bajaj Finserv 6,233.05 182.15 3.01 Cipla 505.05 12.9 2.62 Sun Pharma 422.4 10.65 2.59 Top Losers Company CMP Change % Chg Eicher Motors 18,877.25 -1,110.15 -5.55 GAIL 323.6 -9.6 -2.88 Yes Bank 202.9 -4.6 -2.22 Larsen 1,278.05 -22.4 -1.72 HPCL 235.3 -3.9 -1.63 Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg DALBHARAT 1,045.30 49.75 5 GOLDBEES 2,902.00 30.05 1.05 HDFCMFGETF 2,975.00 43.35 1.48 QGOLDHALF 1,444.95 14.2 1 LIQUIDETF 1,000.01 0 0 Indian Indices Company CMP Change % Chg NIFTY 10652 -9.35 -0.09 SENSEX 35592 -64.2 -0.18 Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg 3PLAND 10 0.1 0.91 AARVEEDEN 21.8 -0.35 -1.46 ABAN 65.25 -3.05 -4.37 ABCAPITAL 82.8 -3.5 -4.01 ABGSHIP 1.8 -0.05 -2.7
  • 2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 30–JAN-2019 STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] REPCOHOME Stock has given the breakout of the neckline of the double bottom pattern but can not sustain at upper level .we have seen the weakness on chart We recommend sell below 405 for the target of 400/390 with the stop loss of 415 MACRO NEWS ď‚· The initial public offer of Chalet Hotels, which owns, develops and manages high-end hotels in key metro cities in India, was subscribed 7 percent on the first day of bidding on Tuesday. The IPO, to raise about Rs 1,641 crore, received bids for 27,85,574 shares against the total issue size of 4,13,26,672 shares, as per the data available with the NSE. ď‚· Bank of Baroda posted a 321.6 percent year-on-year (YoY) increase in its December quarter net profit at Rs 471.21 crore on strong growth in interest income and improved asset quality.Net interest income (difference between interest earned and expended) increased to Rs 4,744 crore in Q3. Adjusting for IT refund of Rs 326 crore inDecember 2017, NII increased by 16.62 percent YoY. The domestic core fee income increased by 16.11 percent YoY to Rs 771 crore. ď‚· British lawmakers voted 327 to 296 on Tuesday against a proposal which called for parliament to consider alternative options to prevent Britain leaving the European Union without a deal. RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. Titan [FUTURE ] TITAN -In Titan on daily chart as well as weekly we have seen that Buying in this stock by traders as well as investors in last week .Reason behind that quarterly result awaited in this week & also from technical aspect stock now moving towards to break its previous highs.Our 970 recommendation is to Buy stock target will be 1000/1030 SL below 940 . 2. MCDOWNLL –N [FUTURE] MCDOWELL-N – Daily chart of MCDOWELL-N looking week .We have seen the trendline breakdown & also stock does not sustain at upper level . Our recommendation is to sell the stock future from 540 Target will be 530 SL 550. RSI & MACD also showing that downtrend continue in this stock .
  • 3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 30–JAN-2019 MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol Optio n Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 62.8 6,80,443 8,41,880 BANKNIFTY CE 26,900 98 4,35,779 3,25,240 NIFTY CE 10,700 55.55 4,04,098 28,46,175 YESBANK CE 220 0.75 19,883 64,52,250 YESBANK CE 210 2.7 16,778 72,01,250 RELIANCE CE 1,240 3.05 13,579 14,24,500 RELIANCE CE 1,220 9 11,690 10,52,000 YESBANK CE 230 0.4 11,072 43,69,750 MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol Optio n Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest BANKNIFTY PE 26,500 74 5,37,013 7,69,400 BANKNIFTY PE 26,400 56.45 4,59,462 3,17,540 BANKNIFTY PE 26,300 40.9 3,82,252 1,70,400 RELIANCE PE 1,200 3.75 18,546 13,80,000 RELIANCE PE 1,220 11.1 11,519 5,57,500 YESBANK PE 200 2.4 11,369 29,40,000 RELIANCE PE 1,180 1.4 9,507 8,65,000 BAJFINANCE PE 2,400 11 7,789 3,02,500 FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY No. of Contracts Amount in Crores No. of Contracts Amount in Crores No. of Contracts Amount in Crores NET AMOUNT INDEX FUTURES 101953 7107.90 89160 6690.58 477271 37160.13 417.318 INDEX OPTIONS 1767834 110906.34 1781295 111633.96 1007052 73940.77 -727.6212 STOCK FUTURES 538912 30689.69 543871 31149.81 1497188 88025.27 -460.1203 STOCK OPTIONS 152034 8965.00 155160 9133.03 201726 11434.70 -168.0263 -938.4498 SELL STOCKS IN NEWS Godrej Consumer Q3: Profit slips 1.5 percent to Rs 424 crore versus Rs 430 crore; revenue increases 3.5 percent to Rs 2,721.9 crore versus Rs 2,630.3 crore YoY. Granules India Q3: Profit jumps 72.3 percent to Rs 60 crore versus Rs 35 crore; revenue surges 53.8 percent to Rs 631.8 crore versus Rs 410.7 crore YoY. NIFTY FUTURE NIFTY -On daily & weekly chart we have identify that Head & Shoulder pattern is forming at the top . Head & shoulder & for a short term forming Raising wedge pattern in technical term bearish reversal pattern .Nifty struggling from many weeks to breach the resistense level of 11000.Closing of nifty in this week below 200 EMA & 100 EMA & RSI also showing downwards movement . Our Recommendation is to sell 10600 nifty for targets 10570/10500 Sl 10700 .Upcoming week is so important for the market because Govermnent is going to present Interium Budget on FEB,1 INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2 NIFTY 10748 10700 10642 10593 10535 BANKNIFTY 26888 26730 26586 26428 26284
  • 4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 30–JAN-2019 COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold prices surged by Rs 350 to Rs 33,650 per 10 gram on Monday as buying by local jewellers gathered steam to meet wedding season demand, according to All India Sarafa Association.Silver too shone by gaining Rs 850 to Rs 40,900 per kg on increased offtake by industrial units and coin makers. As per bullion traders, gold firmed up on increased buying by jewellers to meet the ongoing wedding season demand.Besides, gold prices crossing USD 1,300 an ounce overseas influenced the sentiment in the domestic market, they said. Bullion market was closed on Saturday on account of Republic Day.Globally, gold rose to USD 1,301.82 an ounce and silver traded higher at USD 15.77 an ounce in New York.In the national capital, gold of 99.9 per cent and 99.5 per cent purities climbed Rs 350 each to Rs 33,650 and Rs 33,500 per 10 gram, respectively. Sovereign gold advanced by Rs 200 to Rs 25,700 per piece of eight gram.Silver ready rose by Rs 850 to Rs 40,900 per kg and weekly-based delivery by Rs 954 to Rs 39,990 per kg. Silver coins, too, were in good demand and traded higher by Rs 1,000 at Rs 78,000 for buying and Rs 79,000 for selling of 100 pieces, respectively. Oil prices fell 1 percent on Monday after U.S. companies added rigs for the first time this year, a signal that crude output may rise further, and as China, the world's second- largest oil user, reported additional signs of an economic slowdown.International Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were at $60.74 a barrel at 0804 GMT, down 90 cents, or 1.46 percent.U.S. crude oil futures CLc1 were at $52.84 per barrel, down 85 cents, or 1.58 percent, from their last settlement.High U.S. crude oil production C-OUT-T-EIA , which rose to a record 11.9 million barrels per day (bpd) late last year, has been weighing on oil markets, traders said.In a sign output could rise further, U.S. energy firms last week raised the number of rigs looking for new oil for the first time in 2019 to 862, an addition of 10 rigs, Baker Hughes energy services firm said in its weekly report on Friday. oil supply, a key question for this year will be the magnitude of demand growth.Oil consumption has been increasing steadily, and it will likely average above 100 million bpd for the first time ever in 2019, driven largely by a boom in China.A global economic slowdown, however, amid a trade dispute between Washington and Beijing is weighing on fuel demand-growth expectations. RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 32600 TGT 32650/32750 SL BELOW 32500 SELL GOLD BELOW 32500 TGT 32450/32400 SL ABOVE 32650 SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 40100 TGT 40150/4250 SL BELOW 39950 SELL SILVER BELOW 39950 TGT 39900/39800 SL ABOVE 40100
  • 5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 30–JAN-2019 NCDEX INDICES Index Value % Change Barley 1941 -1.27 Castor Seed 5348 1.44 Chana 4198 -1.85 Coriander 6167 -2.74 Cotton Seed Oilcake 1930 -1.43 Guar Seed 10 MT 4348 0.24 Jeera 17490 -0.51 Mustardseed 3959 0.61 Soy Bean 3466 0.7 Turmeric 6626 0.18 RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM FEB ABOVE 8650 TARGET 8665/8685/8710 SL 8490 SELL GUARGUM FEB BELOW 8600 TARGET 8585/8560/8540 SL 8660 DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 6680 TARGET 6695/6720/6740 SL 6620 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 6620 TARGET 6605/6580/6560 SL 6680 India's rabi crop sowing covered 591.64 lakh hectares till 25th January 2019, down by 30 lakh hectares from 622.12 lakh hectares planted in 2017-18, according to the Agriculture Ministry’s latest data.The worst hit seems to be winter rice, which reported a shortfall of more than 21% in planting, with Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu reporting a huge drop in rice acreage. Tamil Nadu, which accounts for nearly half the rice cultivation in the rabi season, reported a nearly 27% shortfall in sowing.Wheat cultivation, on the other hand, is restricted to 296.37 lakh hectares, which is 2.5% lower than the 304.88 lakh hectares reported in the corresponding week in the previous rabi season. The shortfall was mainly from Maharashtra and Gujarat, which are suffering a drought currently.The acreage under pulses dropped to 151.6 lakh hectares, a little over 6% lower than in the same period in 2017-18. The drop is mainly due to less sowing of gram - the main rabi pulse crop - in M a ha r a s ht r a , K a r na t a k a a n d G uj a r a t . Though there was a slight increase in pulses acreage in Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu, it wasn’t enough to pull up the numbers. Two pulse varieties that have reported higher sowing this year were green peas and kulthi, which are substantially higher than in the same period last year. Another group of crops hit by drought conditions is coarse cereals. The subdued sowing in Maharashtra and Karnataka has led to a 14% fall in acreage, which is 47 lakh hectares as compared to 54.63 lakh hectares in the corresponding period in the previous year. A good showing by the mustard crop, mainly in Rajasthan, has somehow helped oilseeds come up close to the levels last year. The total area covered under oilseeds so far is around 79 lakh hectares, as per the official data.
  • 6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 30–JAN-2019 RBI Reference Rate Currency Rate Currency Rate Rupee- $ 71.1175 Yen 65.0125 Euro 81.2450 GBP 93.69 USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: USD/INR BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 71.20 TARGET 71.30 71.4 SL 71 SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 69.95 TARGET 69.85 69.75 SL 71.15 GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 93.75 TARGET 93.85 93.95 SL 93.55 SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 93.55 TARGET 93.45 93.35 SL 93.75 The euro fell on Thursday ahead of a European Central Bank meeting in which policymakers may express caution about slowing economic growth.The ECB is expected to reaffirm its plan to raise interest rates by the end of the year but traders will focus on how explicitly, if at all, the central bank acknowledges the slow-downThe euro has lost around 1.6 percent of its value over the last two weeks as investors bet the ECB will keep monetary policy accommodative for an extended period.If recent weaker- than-expected economic activity in Germany and France leads ECB President Mario Draghi to point to a potentially longer lasting slowdown, that could hurt the euro."We see a risk of modest dovish bias from Draghi today given the long stream of the soft euro zone data and look for the euro to test $1.1310," said ING FX strategist Petr Krpata.At 0830 the euro was down 0.2 percent at $1.1355 EUR=EBS .Germany, France and Italy, the euro zone's biggest economies, barely grew in the fourth quarter and French business activity fell unexpectedly this month, a survey showed on Thursday. ECB holds its first meeting of the year at a time when concerns are also growing about global trade tensions and Brexit.Sterling traded marginally lower at $1.3043, hovering near highs last seen in mid-November in a sign traders expect Britain to avoid a chaotic exit from the European Union.Some analysts expect limited upside for sterling. Philip Wee, currency strategist at DBS says that most of the gains in the pound are due to the unwinding of short positions. He sees sterling capped in the range of $1.3170-1.3240 The U.S. dollar pushed higher against a basket of its rivals on Thursday but gains were held in check amid concerns over global growth, the U.S. government shutdown and the ongoing U.S.-China trade war."Trade tensions are the most dominant factor for investor sentiment right now and will drive market flows," said Nick Twidale, chief operating officer at Rakuten Securities.Twidale added that investor risk appetite will only improve once concerns over the partial U.S. government shutdown and trade tensions fade.
  • 7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 30–JAN-2019 Date Commodity/ Currency Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 29/1/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6680 6695/6720/67 40 6620 SL HIT 29/1/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6620 6605/6580/65 60 66680 TARGET 29/1/19 NCDEX GUARGUM5 FEB BUY 8650 8665/8685/87 10 8610 TARGET 29/1/19 NCDEX GUARGUM5 FEB SELL 8600 8585/8560/85 40 8540 NOT EXECUTED 29/1/19 MCX GOLD FEB BUY 32200 32250/32300 32100 NOT EXECUTED 29/1/19 MCX GOLD FEB SELL 32000 31950/31900 32100 NOT EXECUTED 29/1/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 39200 39250/39300 39050 NOT EXECUTED 29/1/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 39000 38900/38800 39200 TARGET HIT Date Scrip CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 29/1/19 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10600 10570/10500 10800 TARGET HIT 29/1/19 TITAN FUTURE BUY 970 1000/1030 940 OPEN 29/1/19 MCDOWNLL-N FUTURE SELL 540 530 550 NOT EXECUTED 29/1/19 REPOHOME CASH SELL 405 400/395 415 TARGET HIT
  • 8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 30–JAN-2019 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken. Disclaimer NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS 9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7 9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8 TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN COULD DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK MONDAY, JAN. 28 8:30 am Chicago Fed national activity index Dec. -- 0.22 TUESDAY, JAN. 29 8:30 am Advance trade in goods* Dec. -- N/A 9 am Case-Shiller house prices Nov. -- 5.5% 10 am Consumer confidence index Jan. 124.0 128.1 10 am Homeownership rate -- 64.4% WEDNESDAY, JAN. 30 8:15 am ADP employment Jan. -- 271,000 8:30 am Gross domestic product* Q4 2.6% 3.4% 10 am Pending home sales Dec. -- -0.7% 2 pm FOMC announcement 2.25-2.5% 2.25-2.5% 2:30 pm Jerome Powell press conference THURSDAY, JAN. 31 8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 1/1926 214,000 199,000 8:30 am Employment cost index Q4 0.8% 0.8% 8:30 am Personal income* Dec. 0.5% 0.2% 8:30 am Consumer spending* Dec. 0.3% 0.4% 8:30 am Core inflation* Dec. 0.2% 0.1% 9:45 am Chicago PMI Jan. -- 65.4 FRIDAY, FEB. 1 8:30 am Nonfarm payrolls Jan. 177,000 312,000 8:30 am Unemployment rate Jan. 3.9% 3.9% 8:30 am Average hourly earnings Jan. 0.2% 0.4% 9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI Jan. -- 54.9 10 am ISM manufacturing index Jan. 54.3% 54.1% 10 am Construction spending* Dec. -- N/A 10 am Consumer sentiment index Jan. 90.8 90.7 Varies Motor vehicle sales Jan. 17.2 mln 17.5 mln