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Special report-12-mar-2019-epic-research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12–MAR-2019
Global markets at a glance
US President Donald Trump proposed USD 1 billion funding
towards advancing a free and open Indo-Pacific as he sent
his USD 4.7 trillion budgetary proposals to the Congress.In
its annual budget for the fiscal year 2020, beginning
October 1 this year, the White House said the nation's
future security, prosperity and leadership depend on
maintaining a free and open Indo-Pacific region.As such
“the budget provides over USD 1 billion for the Indo-Pacific,
reflecting the Administration's commitment to the region,”
it said.This funding supports democracy and good
economic governance, private sector mobilisation and
competitiveness, critical infrastructure standards and
financing and security cooperation.
The pound jumped on Tuesday and Asian shares rose after
the European Commission agreed to changes in
a Brexit deal ahead of a vote in the British parliament on a
divorce agreement. US stocks jumped on Monday as the
technology sector led a broad-based rebound following five
straight sessions of losses, but a fall in Boeing's shares
limited the Dow's advance after a deadly airline crash in
Ethiopia. Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a positive opening
for the broader index in India, a gain of 49.50 points or 0.44
percent. Nifty futures were trading around 11,262-level on
the Singaporean Exchange.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Indices ended on strong note on Monday as bulls took
charge of the Dalal Street with Sensex closed above 37,000,
while Nifty finished above 11,150 mark.The Sensex was up
382.67 points at 37054.10, while Nifty was up 132.60
points at 11168. About 1735 shares have advanced, 911
shares declined, and 163 shares are unchanged.Bharti
Airtel, HPCL, BPCL, Eicher Motors and Bharti Infratel were
the top gainers on the Nifty, while losers include NTPC, Zee
Entertainment, TCS, Tech Mahindra and HCL Tech.Except IT
index, all other sectoral indices ended in green led by auto,
energy, infra, metal, PSU bank, pharma and FMCG.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+83.35pts],
Consumption[+96.55pts],PSE[+86.90pts],CPSE
[+45.85pts],Energy[+418.4pts],FMCG[+310.65pts],Auto
[+200.1pts],Pharma[+133.2pts],IT[-20.2pts],Metal
[+80.90pts],Realty[+2.15pts], Fin Serv sector[+110.15pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25650 +0.79
S&P500 2783 +1.47
NASDAQ 7558 +2.02
FTSE100 7130 +0.37
NIKKEI 21554 +2.03
HANG SENG 28920 +1.46
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Bharti Airtel 333.80 25.10 8.13
HPCL 263.40 13.55 5.42
BPCL 387.05 19.70 5.36
Eicher Motors 22,972.45 1,101.40 5.04
Bharti Infratel 319.70 14.20 4.65
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
NTPC 151.40 -0.80 -0.53
Tech Mahindra 807.15 -4.20 -0.52
Zee Entertain 453.00 -2.10 -0.46
HCL Tech 1,004.40 -4.65 -0.46
TCS 2,014.80 -7.90 -0.39
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AARTIDRUGS 673.2 -10.7 -1.59
AAVAS 1239.8 5.2 0.42
ADANIGAS 114.75 2.75 2.4
ANUP 548.8 27.4 4.99
ALBK 57.6 0.1 0.17
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 11168.05 132.65 1.20
SENSEX 37054.10 382.67 1.04
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ATNINTER 0.05 0.05 100
BILPOWER 0.4 0 0
DNAMEDIA 2 -0.1 -5
EUROMULTI 0.65 0.05 7.69
FEDDERELEC 9 -0.45 -5
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12–MAR-2019
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
IIFL[CASH]
IIFL has double bottom chart pattern on daily chart, in this
recovery Mindcap and Smallcap Index given strong pull
back but this stock is still in pressure. Here we can see the
fresh buying is coming with strong volume as compare to
red candle and last seven trading session it never berak
previous days low we wil advise to buy it decline around
370-372 with stop loss of 365 for target of 380 395 410.
MACRO NEWS
The Enforcement Directorate (ED) had submitted a
supplementary charge sheet in the Nirav Modi case on
February 28 and added the absconding fugitive's wife's
name to it. The ED will now seek a red corner notice
against her.The ED named Ami Modi for illegally
routing $30 million to the US. A source close to the
development told Moneycontrol, "The Enforcement
Directorate is following a trail of $30 million which was
routed to the US via illegal means. The money was
used to purchase a property in New York. The
transaction has numerous layers, the ED has learnt
that it was first handed over to Mumbai-based firm
Solar Stellar and then provided to Purvi Mehta [Nirav
Modi's sister] after which the property was bought in
the US.
"Court documents show Google paid former search
executive Amit Singhal USD 35 million in an exit
package when the exec was reportedly forced to
resign after a sexual assault investigation.Details of the
exit package were revealed as part of a shareholder
lawsuit against the company.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. CANFINHOME [FUTURE ]
CANFINHOME Future closed at last five month high with
opening Marubozu candle stick pattern which is bullish
pattern and it successfully cross long term resistance of 296
as well as Stochastic also has positive crossover so this rely
may continue up to 317 to 331 it can be buy with stop loss of
291 for the same target.
2. M&M FIN [FUTURE]
M&MFIN future looking bullish on daily chart it has given
breakout of Flag pattern due to that we can see target up to
480 but in intraday 455 may act as resistance so it will be
good to buy above 456 since in last session it closed above
200DMA which is at 444 this will be stop loss since risk
reward ratio is not good so buy it in decline around 442-444
with stop loss of 438 for the target of 450 455 465.
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12–MAR-2019
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 28,000 142 5,06,012 4,89,460
NIFTY CE 11,200 37.6 3,19,329 12,55,050
NIFTY CE 11,100 97.35 2,13,790 6,41,925
BANKNIFTY CE 27,900 200.25 1,73,854 1,89,720
RELIANCE CE 1,300 36.35 10,865 14,15,500
SBIN CE 290 5.4 4,565 47,34,000
AXISBANK CE 760 8.45 4,479 13,76,400
MARUTI CE 7,200 107 4,477 1,33,725
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 27,700 49 2,98,438 5,61,700
BANKNIFTY PE 28,000 137.85 2,94,792 3,68,620
NIFTY PE 11,100 23.75 2,32,016 19,61,250
NIFTY PE 11,000 10.8 2,03,651 23,52,150
AXISBANK PE 720 10.25 2646 9,28,800
MARUTI PE 7,000 100.4 2459 57675
TATASTEEL PE 510 8.65 2381 5,82,489
AXISBANK PE 700 5.5 2308 13,42,800
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 30815 2405.80 32595 2418.53 231098 18032.55 -12.7246
INDEX OPTIONS 1623504 104752.37 1618133 104271.94 781890 59613.46 480.4295
STOCK FUTURES 189402 11263.54 175216 10512.84 1403164 87834.46 750.7072
STOCK OPTIONS 98038 6038.46 98006 6027.41 112363 6842.27 11.057
1229.4691
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Jet Airways: Parborrowing availed by the company, for
working capital purposes, falling due on March 11,
hasbeen delayed owing to temporary liquidity
constraints and the company has engaged with the
lender in relation to the same.
NIFTY FUTURE
Last trading session Nifty Future close on positive note
and gaining around 1.20% with bulish candlestick in daily
chart,after announce central election news,And if we go
technically on cahrt we can seen clearly cross major
resistance level and close above this level , and also
trendline breakout in daily chart, and close daily chart in
bullish signal It’s clearly indicate nifty go upside ahead,
and also 2019 is election year so we can expect Govt
announce new policy some related sectors so keep that
in mind and watch all PSUBanks,infra pharma sector
movements. And from a data perspective create broader
range in option traders, So we can follow buy on decline
strateg, So we advise you to buy around 1150-11160 for
the targets of 11250-11300 With SL of below 11000.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 11,311 11,261 11,163 11,113 11,015
BANKNIFTY 28,294 28,187 28,039 27,932 27,932
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12–MAR-2019
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold inched down on Monday, after rising about 1 per cent
in the previous session, as a firm dollar offset support from
fading appetite for riskier assets due to mounting global
growth concerns. Fundamentals As of 0115 GMT, spot gold
was down 0.1 per cent at $1,296.73 per ounce, after briefly
breaching the $1,300 ceiling in the previous session.
US gold futures were also down 0.1 per cent at $1,298.10 an
ounce. Asian shares were on a back foot on Monday after
US payrolls data raised doubts on the strength of the global
economy. The dollar rose 0.1 per cent against major
currencies in the early Asian trade and hovered close to its
near two-month peak. US employment growth almost
stalled in February, with the economy creating only 20,000
jobs, adding to signs of a sharp slowdown in economic
activity in the first quarter.
Metal traders will continue to monitor gyrations in the U.S.
dollar this week after gold prices rose almost 1% on Friday
as a weak U.S. employment report sent the greenback
lower and clouded the outlook for the global
economy.Markets will get the latest reading on U.S. retail
sales on Monday, which are expected to show another
decline in January after an unexpected drop at the end of
2018.
Inflation figures will also be closely watched after the
Federal Reserve vowed to be “patient” and await incoming
data before raising interest rates again. Data on U.S.
consumer and producer prices are set to be released on
Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.Other key economic
reports in focus this week include U.S. new home sales and
durable goods. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump
will introduce his 2020 budget proposal on Monday after a
delay caused by the government shutdown in January.
The U.S. dollar was broadly lower on Friday after data
showing that the U.S. economy added far fewer workers
than forecast in February.The Labor Department reported a
20,000-job increase in nonfarm payrolls last month, far
fewer than the consensus forecast of 180,000. But traders
were encouraged by the unemployment rate falling back
below 4% and average hourly earnings accelerating by 0.4%.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
Gold BUY ABOVE 38690 TARGET 38720/38750 SL 38640
Gold Sell BELOW 38640 TARGET 38600/38575 SL 38675
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
Silver BUY ABOVE 38690 TARGET 38720/38750 SL 38640
Silver Sell BELOW 38640 TARGET 38600/38575 SL 38675
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12–MAR-2019
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1670 0.54
Castor Seed 5260 -0.04
Chana 4171 1.29
Coriander 6612 3.04
Cotton Seed Oilcake 2038 3.98
Guar Seed 10 MT 4246 -0.4
Jeera 16025 1.97
Mustardseed 3843 -0.08
Soy Bean 3619 -0.98
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM APR ABOVE 8750 TARGET 8765/8785/8815
SL 8690
SELL GUARGUM APR BELOW 8700 TARGET 8685/8665/8635
SL 8760
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY CORIANDER APR 6650 TARGET 6665/6685/6710 SL
6590
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6630 TARGET
6615/6595/6570 SL 6690
Soyabean and cottonseed oil today declined in Vidarbha
region of Western Maharashtra on stockists selling, driven
by higher imports amid weak global cues. Fall in demand
from millers and retailers also put pressure on these oils.
Besides, sufficient stocks, fresh fall on NCDEX and easy
condition in Madhya Pradesh edible oil also affected
sentiment in thin trading activity, sources said Monday.
Gram and tuar prices firmed up again in Nagpur Agriculture
Produce Marketing Committee (APMC) here good Holi
festival season demand from local millers amid weak supply
from producing belts. Good rise on NCDEX in gram, upward
trend in Madhya Pradesh pulses and reported demand from
South-based millers also helped to push up prices here.
About 1,400 bags of tuar and 3,600 bags of gram reported
for auctions in Nagpur APMC, according to sources.
West Bengal government is making special arrangements to
enable farmers to sell surplus potato harvested this year to
the government and cold storage owners to store it.
Government officials and officials of the State Level
Bankers’ Committee (SLBC) recently held a meeting in this
regard. The government would help cold storage owners to
open accounts in cooperative banks through which the
latter would be able to take loans at easy rates to finance
the cost of storing the potato. Those farmers wanting to sell
their produce to the government would have to get
themselves enlisted at the local BDO office, from where the
details would be sent to the cold storages.
The Centre has released Rs 2000 each to about five lakh
farmers in Telangana so far under Pradhan Mantri Kisan
Samman Nidhi scheme, said Union Minister of State for
Agriculture Gajendra Singh Shekhawat here Saturday.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12–MAR-2019
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 69.9308 Yen 62.93
Euro 78.5710 GBP 90.7916
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 70.10 TARGET 70.2200/70.3500
SL 69.9500
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 70.90 TARGET 70.78/70.65 SL
71.05
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR FUTURE ABOVE 91.10 TARGET 91.2200/91.3500
SL 90.9500
SELL GBPINR FUTURE BELOW 90.90 TARGET 90.78/90.65 SL
91.05
The rupee managed to break below seven-week range and
in the process, it breached below the low of the bullish bar
seen in the third week of January.The Indian rupee
managed to break below seven-week range and in the
process, it breached below the low of the bullish bar seen
in the third week of January.However, in Friday’s trade, it
marked a low of 69.81 before staging a sharp rally.
Despite Friday’s fag-end recovery, it continues to face
hurdle around its downward sloping trendline, suggesting
short-lived moves. We expect, USD/INR to inch towards
January 2019 low near 69.20 mark.The broader charts of
Nifty IT index suggest weakness. It has reversed from PRZ
of a bearish BAT pattern, indicating weakness after its
recent underperformance.In this week’s decline of 3
percent, it also fell below the peak of the month of January
2019, signaling further declines.
The U.S. dollar was little changed in early European hours
on Monday, as investors looked ahead to the latest U.S.
retail sales report for further hints on the strength of the
economy.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the
greenback’s strength against a basket of six major
currencies, held steady at 97.29 by 4:30AM ET (08:30
GMT). The index rose to 97.66 last Thursday, its best level
since Dec. 14 last year.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar was a tad higher at
111.25, bouncing off the prior session's one-week low of
110.77.Economic reports will remain in focus in the week
ahead, after data on Friday showed that U.S. job growth
almost stalled in February, with the world's top economy
creating a measly 20,000 jobs, far fewer than expected by
analysts.But traders found some hope in figures showing
the U.S. employment rate slipped back below 4% and
average hourly earnings accelerated by 0.4%.
The Commerce Department will release data on retail
sales for January at 8:30AM ET (12:30 GMT).Elsewhere,
the British pound was down 0.1% to $1.2998 after briefly
dipping to a near three-week low of $1.2960 on
nervousness over Brexit.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12–MAR-2019
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
11/03/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR BUY 6220 6260-6310 6170 NOT EXECUTED
11/03/19 NCDEX DHANIYA APR Sell 6130 6080-6030 6200 NOT EXECUTED
11/03/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR BUY 8400 8500-8600 8270 TARGET
11/03/19
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
MAR SELL 8250 8150-8050 8370 NOT ECECUTED
11/03/19 MCX GOLD MAR BUY 32250 32270-32300 32200 TARGET
11/03/19 MCX GOLD MAR SELL 32200 32170-32150 32250 TARGET
11/03/19 MCX SILVER MAR BUY 38500 38540-38570 38420 TARGET
11/03/19 MCX SILVER MAR SELL 38200 38170-38150 38250 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
11/03/19 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10800 10750-10700 10900 NOT EXECUTED
11/03/19 VEDANTA FUTURE BUY 175-178 185-190 165 TARGET
11/03/19 KSCL FUTURE BUY 427 430-433 422 TARGET
11/03/19 REPOHOME CASH BUY 458 461-465 452 TARGET
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12–MAR-2019
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT
PERIO
D
ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
THE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN WILL DELAY THE RELEASE OF SOME DATA THIS WEEK.
MONDAY, MARCH 11
8:30 am Retail sales* (new date) Jan. -1.2%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos* (new date) Jan. -1.8%
10 am Business inventories* (new date) Dec. -0.1%
11 am Survey of consumer expectations Feb.
TUESDAY, MARCH 12
6 am NFIB small-business index Feb. 101.2
8:30 am Consumer price index Feb. 0.0%
8:30 am Core CPI Feb. 0.2%
2 pm Federal budget Feb. DELAYED
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 13
8:30 am Durable goods orders* (new date) Jan. 1.2%
8:30 am
Core capital goods orders*
(new date)
Jan. -1.0%
8:30 am Producer price index Feb. -0.1%
10 am Construction spending* (new date)
THURSDAY, MARCH 14
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 3/9 --
8:30 am Import prices Feb. 0.5%
8:30 am Retail sales* Feb. DELAYED
10 am New home sales* (new date) Jan. --
10 am Business inventories Jan. DELAYED
FRIDAY, MARCH 15
8:30 am Empire state manufacturing index March 8.8
9:15 am Industrial production Feb. -0.6%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Feb. 78.2%
10 am Job openings Jan. 7.4 mln
10 am Consumer sentiment March 95.5
9. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
12–MAR-2019
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Sachin
Yadav
Digitally signed by
Sachin Yadav
DN: cn=Sachin Yadav
c=IN o=Personal
Reason: I am the
author of this document
Location:
Date: 2019-03-12
10:00+05:30