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_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
10 -Dec-2018
Global markets at a glance
Global stocks extended their slump on Monday, with US
equity futures and Asian shares sliding on worries over
slowing growth and fears that a fresh flare-up in tensions
between Washington and Beijing could quash any chances
of a trade deal. Traders returned from the weekend to face
a growing wall of worry, with the world’s largest economies
— the United States, China and Japan — all reporting
weaker-than-expected data which point to moderating
activity.
S&P futures were down 0.7 percent and the Dow futures
lost 0.8 percent early in the Asian day. MSCI’s broadest
index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.7 percent,
stooping to a two-week low.
Australian stocks fell 1.7 percent, brushing its lowest level
since December 2016, and South Korea’s KOSPI were down
1.4 percent.
Japan’s Nikkei shed 2 percent. Data early in the session
showed the economy contracted the most in over four
years in the third quarter as capital expenditure tumbled.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Equities ended the week on a strong note even as investors
awaited exit polls from five state elections. The exit polls
will be declared later in the day. The 50-share index closed
the session above 10,650-mark.Financials led the surge,
backed by a huge jump in Kotak Mahindra Bank.
Meanwhile, automobiles and consumption names were the
big gainers, while the Nifty Midcap ended flat.. It was a
close battle between two big index heavyweights, Kotak
Mahindra Bank and HCL Technologies Kotak Mahindra
Bank’s shares rose amid reports that Warren Buffett-
owned Berkshire Hathaway is likely to buy 10 percent stake
in the bank. However, the lender later issued a clarification
that it is unaware of any such talks from Berkshire
Hathaway.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[+0.19pts],
C o nsum pt io n[+ 1 .10pt s ],P SE [ - 1.01 pts ], CP SE [ -
1.04pts],Energy[+0.17pts],FMCG[+0.63pts],Auto
[+0.89pts],Pharma[-0.04pts],IT[-0.21pts],Metal[-
0.46pts],Realty[+0.50pts], Fin Serv sector[+0.92pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 24388.95 -2.24
S&P500 2633.08 -2.33
NASDAQ 6969.25 -3.05
FTSE100 6778.11 +1.10
NIKKEI 21190.45 -2.28
HANG SENG 25696.89 -1.41
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Kotak Mahindra 1,279.65 99.4 8.42
Bajaj Finserv 5,849.90 182.4 3.22
Adani Ports 373.45 9.5 2.61
Bajaj Auto 2,786.20 68.1 2.51
Bajaj Finance 2,486.35 53.95 2.22
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
HCL Tech 961.95 -50.55 -4.99
GAIL 334.7 -14.3 -4.1
Indiabulls Hsg 716.85 -16.5 -2.25
Sun Pharma 411.25 -8.9 -2.12
Coal India 236.75 -3.85 -1.6
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ELECTROSL 33.1 1.65 4.98
FILATEX 57 1.05 1.84
ICICILIQ 999.99 0 0
LIQUIDETF 1000.01 0 0
VINDHYATEL 1869.4 50.6 2.71
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10693.70 92.5 0.87
SENSEX 35673 361.12 1.02
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABGSHIP 2.5 0.05 2
ADHUNIK 2.6 0.1 3.85
AIFL 39.05 -1.95 -4.99
ALCHEM 2.5 0 0
AMTEKAUTO 4 -0.2 -5
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
10 -Dec-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
GAIL (Cash)
On Daily chart we have seen that stock near its support
level, expectation it will broke its suppoet level. . Fresh
selling we have seen in last trading session . After analysis
of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to sell
the stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock in
the range of 334 target 330/328 Sl 338
MACRO NEWS
 Opinion | Assembly Elections 2018: The moment of
electoral reckoning is here Post the December 11
results, one person who will be watched keenly and
wooed by both the BJP and the Congress, over the
next few months, will be Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)
chief Mayawati
 IL&FS crisis: ICAI accuses 3 top audit firms of
professional misconductThe ICAI's decision to hold
IL&FS' statutory auditors 'prima facie guilty' has
cleared the way for full-fledged investigations against
the partners of these audit firms.
 Top IMF economist predicts 'sharper' US slowdown in
2020 The slowdown "is going to be sharper probably in
2020 than in 2019, according to the data we are
seeing," Obstfeld said.
 Bank Nifty has a clearer long bias on the chart than
Nifty, so trader looking for a long opportunity should
prefer Bank Nifty, says Shabbir Kayyumi of Narnolia
Financial Advisors
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. GAIL (FUTURE )
On Daily chart we have seen that stock near its support
level, expectation it will broke its suppoet level. . Fresh
selling we have seen in last trading session . After analysis of
derivative data its indicate that traders view is to sell the
stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock in the
range of 334 target 330/328 Sl 338
2. BHARAT FORG [FUTURE]
On Daily chart we have seen that stock close below its pivot
support level . Fresh selling we have seen in last trading
session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that
traders view is to sell the stock . Our recommendation is
also sell the stock in the range of 500 target 494/490 Sl
505
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
10 -Dec-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 136 3,38,934 4,32,940
BANKNIFTY CE 26,800 224.95 2,14,708 1,58,640
BANKNIFTY CE 26,500 390 1,64,643 2,91,740
KOTAKBANK CE 1,300 46.95 13,090 5,24,000
KOTAKBANK CE 1,400 16 12,262 6,75,200
RELIANCE CE 1,160 23.3 6,455 7,39,000
KOTAKBANK CE 1,500 5.4 6,014 4,84,000
RELIANCE CE 1,140 32 6,001 6,56,500
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,000 106 2,35,817 6,59,140
BANKNIFTY PE 25,500 41 1,22,590 3,74,980
BANKNIFTY PE 25,800 74.5 1,18,582 1,75,600
KOTAKBANK PE 1,200 17.1 10,631 7,51,200
RELIANCE PE 1,100 17.15 5,647 6,11,500
KOTAKBANK PE 1,240 28.8 4,754 2,94,400
KOTAKBANK PE 1,100 4.7 4,348 3,78,400
KOTAKBANK PE 1,180 13.15 3,984 3,89,600
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 48226 3290.11 40669 2673.38 356821 27184.46 616.7323
INDEX OPTIONS 869019 52056.42 873340 52284.27 766296 55893.19 -227.8523
STOCK FUTURES 232773 13346.10 225103 12491.22 1473484 83929.80 854.8724
STOCK OPTIONS 117841 7136.06 118284 7129.22 118298 6400.13 6.8438
1250.5962
STOCKS IN NEWS
 IOC board meet on December 13 to consider
buyback of equity shares and interim dividend for
the Financial Year 2018-19
 United Breweries: Steven Bosch, Director and Chief
Financial Officer of the company tendered
resignation.
NIFTY FUTURE
In last trading session we have seen the Buying pressure
in the market. It form green bullish candle on daily
chart . We expect that upcoming week from trading
prospective is very volatile due to election result
proposed. Our view on market is bearish ,our
recommendation is to sell the nifty future in the range of
10750 Target 10720/10700/10650 .Sell on rise strategy
follow for trading & positional purpose.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10771 10732 10665 10627 10560
BANKNIFTY 26909 26751 26502 26344 26094
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
10 -Dec-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold traded firm near a five-month peak hit early on
Monday, supported by a disappointing US jobs data that
fuelled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop
raising interest rates sooner than expected. Spot gold was
steady at $1,247.80 per ounce, as of 0103 GMT, after hitting
its highest since July 11 at $1,250.55 earlier in the session.
US gold futures were up 0.2 per cent at $1,254.6 per ounce.
The dollar slipped against the yen and the euro, while stocks
extended their slump as worries over US-China trade
tensions battered investor sentiment.Nonfarm payrolls
increased by 155,000 jobs in November, while economists
polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls increasing by
200,000 jobs. The US central bank is flagging a turning point
in monetary policy, as a Fed policymaker on Friday backed
interest rate hikes in the "near term" but nodded to
increasingly less certainty ahead .
Gold was sold at a discount last week in India for the first
time in a month as a rebound in local prices prompted
jewellers to postpone purchases, while demand improved in
top consumer China due to seasonal buying. Production at
Randgold's Loulo gold mine in Mali has been on hold since
Wednesday due to a dispute over pay, the head of the
industry and mines union SECNAMI told Reuters.
Oil prices rose on Monday, extending gains from Friday
when producer club OPEC and some non-affiliated
producers agreed a supply cut of 1.2 million barrels per day
(bpd) from January. Despite this, the outlook for next year
remains muted on the back of an economic slowdown.
International Brent crude oil futures were at $62.21 per
barrel at 0218 GMT, up 54 cents, or 0.9 per cent, from their
last close. Prices surged on Friday after the Organisation of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non-
OPEC producers including heavyweight Russia announced
they would cut oil supply by 1.2 million bpd, with an
800,000 bpd reduction planned by OPEC-members and
400,000 bpd by countries not affiliated with the group.
Oil prices have been pulled down sharply since October by
signs of an economic slowdown, with Brent losing almost 30
per cent in value.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 31600 TGT 31650/31800 SL BELOW
31450
SELL GOLD BELOW 31400 TGT 31350/31380 SL ABOVE
31525
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 38000 TGT 38070/38150 SL BELOW
37875
SELL SILVER BELOW 37800 TGT 37750/37700/37640 SL
ABOVE 37950
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
10 -Dec-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1818 -0.17
Castor Seed 5692 -2.85
Chana 4601 -0.67
Coriander 6781 -0.19
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1874.5 -0.88
Guar Seed 10 MT 4388 -1.16
Jeera 18715 -1.66
Mustardseed 3968 -0.05
Soy Bean 3315 -0.3
Turmeric 6426 -0.75
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 8700 TARGET 8715/8735/8760
SL 8640
SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 8600 TARGET
8585/8565/8540 SL 8660
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6580 TARGET 6805/6830/6845
SL 6720
SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6500 TARGET 6485/6470/6440
SL 6560
Indian Commodity Exchange (ICEX), the Mumbaibased
online commodity derivatives platform that took over the
National Multi Commodity Exchange (NMCE) in August, will
add black pepper and cardamom to its list of traded
commodities. The exchange, which has begun trading in
diamond, steel and rubber, plans to expand into plantation
commodities. We will launch black pepper contracts next
month, followed by cardamom contracts, a top official of
ICEX said in a statement. Trading in black pepper futures on
a national exchange was stopped some years ago after the
seizure of mineral oil-contaminated pepper from
warehouses. At a meeting ICEX held with the black pepper
traders, it was suggested that the trading lot and delivery
unit of pepper contracts be changed from 100 kg to 1
tonne. “ICEX will endeavour to make rubber and pepper
prices, discovered by hundreds of small Indian traders
sitting in Kottayam, Ernakulam, Pala, Kushalnagar and
Hassan, become global price benchmarks and establish
Indian prices internationally,” the official said. NMCE used
to conduct futures trading in rubber.
Russian and Chinese shipping companies were pitching to
facilitate India-Iran trade, the source said. Under U.S.
sanctions, India will be allowed to export farm
commodities, food, medicines, and medical devices to Iran.
However, items such as petroleum and petrochemical
products, automobiles, steel, precious metals and graphite
are not allowed to be exported to Tehran.
Indian traders have cancelled some export contracts of
soyabean, estimated at about 1 lakh tonnes, due to the
appreciation in the rupee.However, with Iran emerging as
an unexpected buyer of Indian soyameal, the industry has
been able to maintain a good pace of soyameal exports in
the first quarter which began in October.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
10 -Dec-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 70.9275 Yen 63.0150
Euro 80.8250 GBP 90.6375
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 70.5 TGT 70.6 70.7 SL 70.25
SELL USDINR NOV BELOW 70.10 TGT 70 69.8 SL 70.30
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR NOV ABOVE 90 .7 TGT 90.8 90.9 SL 90.5
SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 90.4 TGT 90.3 90.2 SL 90.6
Indian bonds and currency markets weakened on Monday
after exit polls showed mixed results for Prime Minister
Narendra Modi's ruling party at the recently held crucial
state elections, and on higher oil prices after OPEC
members and allies agreed to reduce output on Friday.
The rupee INR=D4 fell to 71.41 to the dollar, weakest since
Nov. 20 and down from Friday's close of 70.80, while the
10-year benchmark bond yield IN071728G=CC rose to 7.50
percent from 7.46 percent.Singapore Nifty
futures SINc1 were also down 1.30 percent, indicating a
weak opening for Indian stock markets."The exit polls are
mixed, but we don't want to take any risk before actual
results are out given that oil is also up," said a trader at a
foreign bank. "Sentiment will remain cautious until state
election results are out (on Tuesday)."
The dollar slipped against the yen and the euro on Monday
after soft U.S. payrolls data fuelled speculation that the
Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates sooner
than previously expected.The British pound also was on
the defensive as Prime Minister Theresa May's deal to exit
the European Union looks set to be rejected by parliament
on Tuesday, while the Chinese yuan dipped in offshore
trade following weak trade and inflation data over the
weekend.
"We have rising tensions between the United States and
China over Huawei and the Brexit vote in the UK
parliament. The risk-off mood is likely to prevail for now,"
said director of forex at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN).The
dollar slipped 0.2 percent against the yen to 112.52 JPY= ,
edging near Thursday's 5 1/2-week low of 112.23.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 155,000 jobs last
month, below economists' median forecast of 200,000
jobs.Some Fed policymakers have struck a cautious tone
about the economic outlook, possibly flagging a turning
point in its monetary policy.Federal Reserve Governor Lael
Brainard said on Friday the economic picture was broadly
positive but that risks were growing overseas and in the
corporate debt markets at home.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
10 -Dec-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
07/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC BUY 6790
6805/6830/68
45
6720 NOT EXECUTED
07/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC Sell 6700
6680/6660/66
40
6780 TARGET HIT
07/12/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC BUY 8890
8905/8915/89
30
8840 NOT EXECUTED
07/12/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC SELL 8660
8645/8630/86
00
8700 TARGET HIT
07/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC BUY 30925 30975/31000 30820 NOT EXECUTED
07/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC SELL 30600 30500/30450 30700 NOT EXECUTED
07/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC BUY 37500 37570/37650 37450 NOT EXECUTED
07/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC SELL 36000 35950/35870 36150 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
07/12/18 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 10940 10900/10850 11000 NOT EXECUTED
07/12/18 DCB BANK FUTURE SELL 150-151 147/148 153
NOT EXECUTED
07/12/18 DIVIS LAB FUTURE BUY 1492 1498/1510 1480 NOT EXECUTED
07/11/18 DCB BANK CASH SELL 150-151 148/147 153 NOT EXECUTED
O
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
10 -Dec-2018
The
information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for
errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment
perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and
based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not
provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and
encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information
given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price
performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research
might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not
read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the
information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the
accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the
recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST
PREVIO
US
MONDAY, DEC. 10
10 am Job openings Oct. -- 7.0 mln
TUESDAY, DEC. 11
8:30 am Producer price index Nov. 0.0% 0.6%
WEDNESD
AY, DEC. 12
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 12
WEDNESD
AY, DEC.
12
WEDNESDAY, DEC.
12
WEDNESDAY,
DEC. 12
WEDNE
SDAY,
DEC. 12
8:30 am
8:30 am Core CPI Nov. 0.2% 0.2%
2 pm Federal budget Nov. --
-
$139bln
THURSDAY
, DEC. 13
THURSDAY, DEC. 13
THURSDA
Y, DEC. 13
THURSDAY, DEC. 13
THURSDAY,
DEC. 13
THURSD
AY,
DEC. 13
8:30 am
8:30 am Import price index Nov. -- 0.5%
FRIDAY,
DEC. 14
FRIDAY, DEC. 14
FRIDAY,
DEC. 14
FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14
FRIDAY,
DEC. 14
8:30 am Retail sales Nov. 0.1% 0.8%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos Nov. 0.2% 0.7%
9:15 am Industrial production Nov. 0.4% 0.1%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Nov. 78.6% 78.4%
10 am
10 am Factory orders Oct. -2.0% 0.7%

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Special report-10-dec-2018-epic-research

  • 1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o Special Report 10 -Dec-2018 Global markets at a glance Global stocks extended their slump on Monday, with US equity futures and Asian shares sliding on worries over slowing growth and fears that a fresh flare-up in tensions between Washington and Beijing could quash any chances of a trade deal. Traders returned from the weekend to face a growing wall of worry, with the world’s largest economies — the United States, China and Japan — all reporting weaker-than-expected data which point to moderating activity. S&P futures were down 0.7 percent and the Dow futures lost 0.8 percent early in the Asian day. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.7 percent, stooping to a two-week low. Australian stocks fell 1.7 percent, brushing its lowest level since December 2016, and South Korea’s KOSPI were down 1.4 percent. Japan’s Nikkei shed 2 percent. Data early in the session showed the economy contracted the most in over four years in the third quarter as capital expenditure tumbled. PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF Equities ended the week on a strong note even as investors awaited exit polls from five state elections. The exit polls will be declared later in the day. The 50-share index closed the session above 10,650-mark.Financials led the surge, backed by a huge jump in Kotak Mahindra Bank. Meanwhile, automobiles and consumption names were the big gainers, while the Nifty Midcap ended flat.. It was a close battle between two big index heavyweights, Kotak Mahindra Bank and HCL Technologies Kotak Mahindra Bank’s shares rose amid reports that Warren Buffett- owned Berkshire Hathaway is likely to buy 10 percent stake in the bank. However, the lender later issued a clarification that it is unaware of any such talks from Berkshire Hathaway. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[+0.19pts], C o nsum pt io n[+ 1 .10pt s ],P SE [ - 1.01 pts ], CP SE [ - 1.04pts],Energy[+0.17pts],FMCG[+0.63pts],Auto [+0.89pts],Pharma[-0.04pts],IT[-0.21pts],Metal[- 0.46pts],Realty[+0.50pts], Fin Serv sector[+0.92pts]. World Indices Index Value % Change DJI 24388.95 -2.24 S&P500 2633.08 -2.33 NASDAQ 6969.25 -3.05 FTSE100 6778.11 +1.10 NIKKEI 21190.45 -2.28 HANG SENG 25696.89 -1.41 Top Gainers Company CMP Change % Chg Kotak Mahindra 1,279.65 99.4 8.42 Bajaj Finserv 5,849.90 182.4 3.22 Adani Ports 373.45 9.5 2.61 Bajaj Auto 2,786.20 68.1 2.51 Bajaj Finance 2,486.35 53.95 2.22 Top Losers Company CMP Change % Chg HCL Tech 961.95 -50.55 -4.99 GAIL 334.7 -14.3 -4.1 Indiabulls Hsg 716.85 -16.5 -2.25 Sun Pharma 411.25 -8.9 -2.12 Coal India 236.75 -3.85 -1.6 Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg ELECTROSL 33.1 1.65 4.98 FILATEX 57 1.05 1.84 ICICILIQ 999.99 0 0 LIQUIDETF 1000.01 0 0 VINDHYATEL 1869.4 50.6 2.71 Indian Indices Company CMP Change % Chg NIFTY 10693.70 92.5 0.87 SENSEX 35673 361.12 1.02 Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg ABGSHIP 2.5 0.05 2 ADHUNIK 2.6 0.1 3.85 AIFL 39.05 -1.95 -4.99 ALCHEM 2.5 0 0 AMTEKAUTO 4 -0.2 -5
  • 2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o Special Report 10 -Dec-2018 STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] GAIL (Cash) On Daily chart we have seen that stock near its support level, expectation it will broke its suppoet level. . Fresh selling we have seen in last trading session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to sell the stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock in the range of 334 target 330/328 Sl 338 MACRO NEWS  Opinion | Assembly Elections 2018: The moment of electoral reckoning is here Post the December 11 results, one person who will be watched keenly and wooed by both the BJP and the Congress, over the next few months, will be Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) chief Mayawati  IL&FS crisis: ICAI accuses 3 top audit firms of professional misconductThe ICAI's decision to hold IL&FS' statutory auditors 'prima facie guilty' has cleared the way for full-fledged investigations against the partners of these audit firms.  Top IMF economist predicts 'sharper' US slowdown in 2020 The slowdown "is going to be sharper probably in 2020 than in 2019, according to the data we are seeing," Obstfeld said.  Bank Nifty has a clearer long bias on the chart than Nifty, so trader looking for a long opportunity should prefer Bank Nifty, says Shabbir Kayyumi of Narnolia Financial Advisors RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. GAIL (FUTURE ) On Daily chart we have seen that stock near its support level, expectation it will broke its suppoet level. . Fresh selling we have seen in last trading session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to sell the stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock in the range of 334 target 330/328 Sl 338 2. BHARAT FORG [FUTURE] On Daily chart we have seen that stock close below its pivot support level . Fresh selling we have seen in last trading session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that traders view is to sell the stock . Our recommendation is also sell the stock in the range of 500 target 494/490 Sl 505
  • 3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o Special Report 10 -Dec-2018 MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol Optio n Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 136 3,38,934 4,32,940 BANKNIFTY CE 26,800 224.95 2,14,708 1,58,640 BANKNIFTY CE 26,500 390 1,64,643 2,91,740 KOTAKBANK CE 1,300 46.95 13,090 5,24,000 KOTAKBANK CE 1,400 16 12,262 6,75,200 RELIANCE CE 1,160 23.3 6,455 7,39,000 KOTAKBANK CE 1,500 5.4 6,014 4,84,000 RELIANCE CE 1,140 32 6,001 6,56,500 MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol Optio n Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest BANKNIFTY PE 26,000 106 2,35,817 6,59,140 BANKNIFTY PE 25,500 41 1,22,590 3,74,980 BANKNIFTY PE 25,800 74.5 1,18,582 1,75,600 KOTAKBANK PE 1,200 17.1 10,631 7,51,200 RELIANCE PE 1,100 17.15 5,647 6,11,500 KOTAKBANK PE 1,240 28.8 4,754 2,94,400 KOTAKBANK PE 1,100 4.7 4,348 3,78,400 KOTAKBANK PE 1,180 13.15 3,984 3,89,600 FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL No. of Contracts Amount in Crores No. of Contracts Amount in Crores No. of Contracts Amount in Crores NET AMOUNT INDEX FUTURES 48226 3290.11 40669 2673.38 356821 27184.46 616.7323 INDEX OPTIONS 869019 52056.42 873340 52284.27 766296 55893.19 -227.8523 STOCK FUTURES 232773 13346.10 225103 12491.22 1473484 83929.80 854.8724 STOCK OPTIONS 117841 7136.06 118284 7129.22 118298 6400.13 6.8438 1250.5962 STOCKS IN NEWS  IOC board meet on December 13 to consider buyback of equity shares and interim dividend for the Financial Year 2018-19  United Breweries: Steven Bosch, Director and Chief Financial Officer of the company tendered resignation. NIFTY FUTURE In last trading session we have seen the Buying pressure in the market. It form green bullish candle on daily chart . We expect that upcoming week from trading prospective is very volatile due to election result proposed. Our view on market is bearish ,our recommendation is to sell the nifty future in the range of 10750 Target 10720/10700/10650 .Sell on rise strategy follow for trading & positional purpose. INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2 NIFTY 10771 10732 10665 10627 10560 BANKNIFTY 26909 26751 26502 26344 26094
  • 4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o Special Report 10 -Dec-2018 COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold traded firm near a five-month peak hit early on Monday, supported by a disappointing US jobs data that fuelled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates sooner than expected. Spot gold was steady at $1,247.80 per ounce, as of 0103 GMT, after hitting its highest since July 11 at $1,250.55 earlier in the session. US gold futures were up 0.2 per cent at $1,254.6 per ounce. The dollar slipped against the yen and the euro, while stocks extended their slump as worries over US-China trade tensions battered investor sentiment.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 155,000 jobs in November, while economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls increasing by 200,000 jobs. The US central bank is flagging a turning point in monetary policy, as a Fed policymaker on Friday backed interest rate hikes in the "near term" but nodded to increasingly less certainty ahead . Gold was sold at a discount last week in India for the first time in a month as a rebound in local prices prompted jewellers to postpone purchases, while demand improved in top consumer China due to seasonal buying. Production at Randgold's Loulo gold mine in Mali has been on hold since Wednesday due to a dispute over pay, the head of the industry and mines union SECNAMI told Reuters. Oil prices rose on Monday, extending gains from Friday when producer club OPEC and some non-affiliated producers agreed a supply cut of 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) from January. Despite this, the outlook for next year remains muted on the back of an economic slowdown. International Brent crude oil futures were at $62.21 per barrel at 0218 GMT, up 54 cents, or 0.9 per cent, from their last close. Prices surged on Friday after the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non- OPEC producers including heavyweight Russia announced they would cut oil supply by 1.2 million bpd, with an 800,000 bpd reduction planned by OPEC-members and 400,000 bpd by countries not affiliated with the group. Oil prices have been pulled down sharply since October by signs of an economic slowdown, with Brent losing almost 30 per cent in value. RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 31600 TGT 31650/31800 SL BELOW 31450 SELL GOLD BELOW 31400 TGT 31350/31380 SL ABOVE 31525 SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 38000 TGT 38070/38150 SL BELOW 37875 SELL SILVER BELOW 37800 TGT 37750/37700/37640 SL ABOVE 37950
  • 5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o Special Report 10 -Dec-2018 NCDEX INDICES Index Value % Change Barley 1818 -0.17 Castor Seed 5692 -2.85 Chana 4601 -0.67 Coriander 6781 -0.19 Cotton Seed Oilcake 1874.5 -0.88 Guar Seed 10 MT 4388 -1.16 Jeera 18715 -1.66 Mustardseed 3968 -0.05 Soy Bean 3315 -0.3 Turmeric 6426 -0.75 RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 8700 TARGET 8715/8735/8760 SL 8640 SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 8600 TARGET 8585/8565/8540 SL 8660 DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6580 TARGET 6805/6830/6845 SL 6720 SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6500 TARGET 6485/6470/6440 SL 6560 Indian Commodity Exchange (ICEX), the Mumbaibased online commodity derivatives platform that took over the National Multi Commodity Exchange (NMCE) in August, will add black pepper and cardamom to its list of traded commodities. The exchange, which has begun trading in diamond, steel and rubber, plans to expand into plantation commodities. We will launch black pepper contracts next month, followed by cardamom contracts, a top official of ICEX said in a statement. Trading in black pepper futures on a national exchange was stopped some years ago after the seizure of mineral oil-contaminated pepper from warehouses. At a meeting ICEX held with the black pepper traders, it was suggested that the trading lot and delivery unit of pepper contracts be changed from 100 kg to 1 tonne. “ICEX will endeavour to make rubber and pepper prices, discovered by hundreds of small Indian traders sitting in Kottayam, Ernakulam, Pala, Kushalnagar and Hassan, become global price benchmarks and establish Indian prices internationally,” the official said. NMCE used to conduct futures trading in rubber. Russian and Chinese shipping companies were pitching to facilitate India-Iran trade, the source said. Under U.S. sanctions, India will be allowed to export farm commodities, food, medicines, and medical devices to Iran. However, items such as petroleum and petrochemical products, automobiles, steel, precious metals and graphite are not allowed to be exported to Tehran. Indian traders have cancelled some export contracts of soyabean, estimated at about 1 lakh tonnes, due to the appreciation in the rupee.However, with Iran emerging as an unexpected buyer of Indian soyameal, the industry has been able to maintain a good pace of soyameal exports in the first quarter which began in October.
  • 6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o Special Report 10 -Dec-2018 RBI Reference Rate Currency Rate Currency Rate Rupee- $ 70.9275 Yen 63.0150 Euro 80.8250 GBP 90.6375 USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: USD/INR BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 70.5 TGT 70.6 70.7 SL 70.25 SELL USDINR NOV BELOW 70.10 TGT 70 69.8 SL 70.30 GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR NOV ABOVE 90 .7 TGT 90.8 90.9 SL 90.5 SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 90.4 TGT 90.3 90.2 SL 90.6 Indian bonds and currency markets weakened on Monday after exit polls showed mixed results for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's ruling party at the recently held crucial state elections, and on higher oil prices after OPEC members and allies agreed to reduce output on Friday. The rupee INR=D4 fell to 71.41 to the dollar, weakest since Nov. 20 and down from Friday's close of 70.80, while the 10-year benchmark bond yield IN071728G=CC rose to 7.50 percent from 7.46 percent.Singapore Nifty futures SINc1 were also down 1.30 percent, indicating a weak opening for Indian stock markets."The exit polls are mixed, but we don't want to take any risk before actual results are out given that oil is also up," said a trader at a foreign bank. "Sentiment will remain cautious until state election results are out (on Tuesday)." The dollar slipped against the yen and the euro on Monday after soft U.S. payrolls data fuelled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates sooner than previously expected.The British pound also was on the defensive as Prime Minister Theresa May's deal to exit the European Union looks set to be rejected by parliament on Tuesday, while the Chinese yuan dipped in offshore trade following weak trade and inflation data over the weekend. "We have rising tensions between the United States and China over Huawei and the Brexit vote in the UK parliament. The risk-off mood is likely to prevail for now," said director of forex at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN).The dollar slipped 0.2 percent against the yen to 112.52 JPY= , edging near Thursday's 5 1/2-week low of 112.23. U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 155,000 jobs last month, below economists' median forecast of 200,000 jobs.Some Fed policymakers have struck a cautious tone about the economic outlook, possibly flagging a turning point in its monetary policy.Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard said on Friday the economic picture was broadly positive but that risks were growing overseas and in the corporate debt markets at home.
  • 7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o Special Report 10 -Dec-2018 Date Commodity/ Currency Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 07/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC BUY 6790 6805/6830/68 45 6720 NOT EXECUTED 07/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC Sell 6700 6680/6660/66 40 6780 TARGET HIT 07/12/18 NCDEX GUARGUM5 DEC BUY 8890 8905/8915/89 30 8840 NOT EXECUTED 07/12/18 NCDEX GUARGUM5 DEC SELL 8660 8645/8630/86 00 8700 TARGET HIT 07/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC BUY 30925 30975/31000 30820 NOT EXECUTED 07/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC SELL 30600 30500/30450 30700 NOT EXECUTED 07/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC BUY 37500 37570/37650 37450 NOT EXECUTED 07/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC SELL 36000 35950/35870 36150 NOT EXECUTED Date Scrip CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 07/12/18 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 10940 10900/10850 11000 NOT EXECUTED 07/12/18 DCB BANK FUTURE SELL 150-151 147/148 153 NOT EXECUTED 07/12/18 DIVIS LAB FUTURE BUY 1492 1498/1510 1480 NOT EXECUTED 07/11/18 DCB BANK CASH SELL 150-151 148/147 153 NOT EXECUTED O
  • 8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o Special Report 10 -Dec-2018 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS 9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7 9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8 TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIO US MONDAY, DEC. 10 10 am Job openings Oct. -- 7.0 mln TUESDAY, DEC. 11 8:30 am Producer price index Nov. 0.0% 0.6% WEDNESD AY, DEC. 12 WEDNESDAY, DEC. 12 WEDNESD AY, DEC. 12 WEDNESDAY, DEC. 12 WEDNESDAY, DEC. 12 WEDNE SDAY, DEC. 12 8:30 am 8:30 am Core CPI Nov. 0.2% 0.2% 2 pm Federal budget Nov. -- - $139bln THURSDAY , DEC. 13 THURSDAY, DEC. 13 THURSDA Y, DEC. 13 THURSDAY, DEC. 13 THURSDAY, DEC. 13 THURSD AY, DEC. 13 8:30 am 8:30 am Import price index Nov. -- 0.5% FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 8:30 am Retail sales Nov. 0.1% 0.8% 8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos Nov. 0.2% 0.7% 9:15 am Industrial production Nov. 0.4% 0.1% 9:15 am Capacity utilization Nov. 78.6% 78.4% 10 am 10 am Factory orders Oct. -2.0% 0.7%