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Special report -29-nov 2018
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
29-Nov-2018
Global markets at a glance
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell boosted US stock
markets on Wednesday when he said the policy rate is now
“just below” estimates of a level that neither brakes nor
boosts a healthy economy, comments that many took as
signalling the Fed’s three-year tightening cycle is drawing
to a close.The S&P 500 and Dow posted their biggest
percentage gains in eight months, while the Nasdaq saw its
largest advance in just over a month following Powell’s
speech to the Economic Club of New York.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 617.7 points, or 2.5
percent, to 25,366.43, the S&P 500 gained 61.61 points, or
2.30 percent, to 2,743.78 and the Nasdaq Composite added
208.89 points, or 2.95 percent, to 7,291.59.
Asian stocks rose on Thursday tracking a Wall Street rally as
dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome
Powell boosted investor sentiment towards riskier assets.
The Fed chair said on Wednesday that US policy rates were
“just below” neutral, less than two months after saying
rates were probably “a long way” from that point.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
It’s another positive close for the market, making it third
consecutive session of gains. The Nifty ended above 10,700
-mark. A surge in IT names along with rally in select index
heavyweights boosted the market. Among sectors, IT and
energy were the top gainers, while auto, consumption,
infra, and metals ended in the red. The Nifty Midcap index,
too, closed with cuts of a percent.
At the close of market hours, the Sensex closed up 203.81
points or 0.57% at 35716.95, while the Nifty shut down
lower by 36.20 points or 0.34% at 10721.80. The market
breadth was negative as 996 shares have, against a decline
of 1,576 shares, while 157 shares were unchanged.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-0.98pts],
Consumption[-0.48pts],PSE[-2.21pts],CPSE[-3.19pts],Energy
[+0.56pts],FMCG[-0.77pts],Auto[-0.75pts],Pharma[-
0.48pts],IT[+2.86pts],Metal[-1.0pts],Realty[-1.43 pts], Fin
Serv sector[+0.95pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 25316 -0.07
S&P500 2749 +2.30
NASDAQ 7291 +2.86
FTSE100 7004 -0.18
NIKKEI 22177.02 +1.01
HANG SENG 26682.56 +1.31
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
TCS 1,983.90 93.65 4.95
Infosys 666.4 27.5 4.3
Zee Entertain 477.45 18.15 3.95
Reliance 1,152.65 24.45 2.17
HCL Tech 1,043.10 19.95 1.95
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Yes Bank 162.1 -20.55 -11.25
BPCL 320.15 -15.35 -4.58
Bharti Airtel 314.1 -14.05 -4.28
IOC 134.05 -4.4 -3.18
Tata Motors 174.45 -5.6 -3.11
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ELECTROSL 33.1 1.65 4.98
FILATEX 57 1.05 1.84
ICICILIQ 999.99 0 0
VINDHYATEL 1869.4 50.6 2.71
LIQUIDETF 1000.01 0 0
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10728.85 43.25 +0.40
SENSEX 35716.95 203.81 +0.57
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABGSHIP 2.5 0.05 2
ADHUNIK 2.6 0.1 3.85
AIFL 39.05 -1.95 -4.99
ALCHEM 2.5 0 0
AMTEKAUTO 4 -0.2 -5
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
29-Nov-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
MIND TREE [CASH]
On daily chart we have seen that stock close above its
pivot support level . Fresh Buying we have seen in last
trading session . After analysis of derivative data its
indicate that traders view is to Buy the stock . Our
recommendation is also Buy the stock in the range of
855-857 target 862/867 Sl 849
MACRO NEWS
Revised and simpler tax return forms as well as lower
refunds will likely boost revenue collection from Goods
and Services Tax (GST), which the government expects
to touch to Rs 1.5 lakh crore every month from the
next financial year (2019-20).“GST collections should
be around Rs 1.5 lakh crore per month from next year.
New return form will also help in tax evasion,” a senior
government official told .
US stocks closed lower in a shortened post-holiday
trading session on Friday as the energy sector tumbled
on continued weakness in oil prices, and the
benchmark S&P 500 confirmed its second correction of
2018.The three major US indexes all fell well over 3
percent for the week, with the Dow industrials and the
Nasdaq posting their biggest weekly percentage
declines since March.
Country's third largest software company HCL
Technologies and NBFC major Bajaj Finance will be
included in the 30-share BSE Sensex effective
December 24, 2018.Wipro and Adani Ports will be
excluded from the index on the same day.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. MINDTREE (FUTURE )
On daily chart we have seen that stock close above its pivot
support level . Fresh Buying we have seen in last trading
session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that
traders view is to Buy the stock . Our recommendation is
also Buy the stock in the range of 855-857 target 862/867
Sl 849
2. BHARAT FIN [FUTURE]
On daily chart we have seen that stock is forming Bullish
candle. In last trading session a large bullish candle form
with strong volume . After analysis of derivative data its
indicate that traders view is to Buy the stock . Our
recommendation is to Buy stock future from 1003 Target
1010/1015 Sl 993 .
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
29-Nov-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 26,500 48 9,31,626 10,29,600
BANKNIFTY CE 26,600 22.95 8,98,103 8,65,180
BANKNIFTY CE 26,700 10.3 6,77,803 6,62,640
RELIANCE CE 1,140 12.35 26,837 13,28,000
RELIANCE CE 1,160 3.7 21,319 16,00,000
YESBANK CE 180 0.45 20,319 31,92,000
YESBANK CE 190 0.35 12,615 29,85,500
MARUTI CE 7,700 7.2 12,597 1,11,825
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,400 78.8 7,99,595 5,86,760
BANKNIFTY PE 26,300 42 7,76,134 8,00,120
BANKNIFTY PE 26,200 23 6,32,528 8,36,140
RELIANCE PE 1,120 0.8 16,570 14,08,500
YESBANK PE 160 3.65 15,661 35,08,750
YESBANK PE 170 9.6 15,450 18,56,750
RELIANCE PE 1,140 3.65 13,602 9,13,500
RELIANCE PE 1,100 0.4 8,678 10,50,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 64832 4680.02 70832 4847.81 459747 35146.17 -167.7884
INDEX OPTIONS 1448606 88832.54 1422548 87010.61 1053228 76767.14 1821.932
STOCK FUTURES 439701 24575.05 433045 24099.84 1473795 85741.19 475.2068
STOCK OPTIONS 154804 8739.18 156774 8865.47 176312 10446.71 -126.2875
2003.0629
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Jet Airways - clarified that on news of Jet Airways shares
surge on report of Naresh Goyal's exit is speculative in
nature
Bharat Financial Inclusion: Company assigned a pool of
receivables of an aggregate value of Rs 827.76 crore to
one of the largest private sector banks on a direct
assignment basis. This is the third direct assignment
transaction in FY19.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty 50 on Tuesday Strong Buying pressure in market
from lower level . Nifty broke the resistance level 10750
but can not sustain . Fresh buying seen fron lower
level .Our recommendation is to Buy the nifty future in
range of 10750 Target 10820 /10850 SL 10700 ..Buy on
dips strategy use by traders.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10786.8 10757 10728 10699 10670
BANKNIFTY 26657 26555 26487 26390 26322
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
29-Nov-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold prices were tepid on Wednesday pressured by a robust
dollar after a senior U.S. Federal Reserve official reaffirmed
the need for a further increase in interest rates, making
bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida said on Tuesday the central
bank should continue to gradually raise interest rates, but it
was "especially important" to monitor economic data as
monetary policy was getting close to a neutral stance.
strength of the U.S. dollar has been bad for gold, while the
Fed is little more bullish about interest rates," said John
Sharma, an economist with National Australia Bank
(NAB).Prospects of higher U.S. interest rates are negative
for dollar-priced gold as they raise the opportunity cost of
holding the bullion.
Oil rose further above $60 a barrel on Wednesday,
supported by expectations that OPEC and its partners will
next week decide to curb supply and helped by a drop in
North Sea output.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus
Russia and other allies meet on Dec. 6-7. Producers are
discussing a supply curb of 1 to 1.4 million barrels per day
and possibly more, OPEC delegates have told Reuters.
crude LCOc1 , the global benchmark, was up 53 cents at
$60.74 a barrel at 0919 GMT and traded as high as
$61.27.U.S. crude CLc1 added 41 cents to $51.97.
Palm oil futures in Malaysia recovered from a more than
three-year low on Wednesday, helped by a weaker ringgit
but soft demand and high inventory levels kept a lid on
prices.Palm touched its lowest since August 2015 on
Tuesday, falling 4.4 percent over three consecutive sessions.
The benchmark palm oil contract for February delivery on
the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rebounded by 2.4
percent to 2,014 ringgit ($479.75) per tonne by closing time
on Wednesday.Palm futures are traded in ringgit and any
weakness in the currency makes them cheaper for holders
of other currencies.The ringgit edged lower for a second day
on Wednesday, hitting its lowest in more than a year
against the dollar.But the trader said palm was likely to
struggle .
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 30580 TGT 30630 30680 SL BELOW
30450
SELL GOLD BELOW 30450 TGT 30420 30360 SL ABOVE
30580
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 36250 TGT 36320 36380 SL BELOW
36100
SELL SILVER BELOW 36000 TGT 35950/35870 SL ABOVE
36150
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
29-Nov-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1886 -0.32
Castor Seed 5566 -1.47
Chana 4696 -0.62
Coriander 6148 2.96
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1941 -0.33
Guar Seed 10 MT 4312 0.9
Jeera 19375 -0.13
Mustardseed 4063 -0.32
Soy Bean 3366 0.92
Turmeric 6412 -0.12
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 8860 TARGET 8875/8890/8910
SL 8800
SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 8800 TARGET
8780/8760/8740 SL 8860
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6380 TARGET 6400/6420/6460
SL 6320
SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6260 TARGET 6245/6230/6215
SL 6200
The Agriwatch Agri Commodities Index fell 1.07 per cent to
109.53 during the week ended Nov 24, 2018 from 110.71
the previous week due to a sharp fall in prices of potato and
onion. Sugar, pulses and edible oils also declined while
cereals and cotton gained. The base for the Index and all
sub-Indices is 2014 (= 100). Six of the nine commodity
group sub-Indices and 17 of the 29 individual commodity
sub-Indices ended lower during the week.
Oil prices on Monday clawed back some losses from a
nearly 8 per cent plunge the previous session, with Brent
jumping back above $60 per barrel, but sentiment
remained weak amid a broad sell-off in financial markets in
past weeks. Front-month Brent crude oil futures rose $1.31,
or 2.2 per cent, to $60.11 per barrel by 0643 GMT. The
gains partly made up for Friday's selloff, which traders have
already dubbed 'Black Friday'. Reacting to Friday's falls in
Brent and WTI, China's Shanghai crude futures on Monday
fell by 5 per cent, hitting their daily downside-limit. The
downward pressure comes from surging supply and a
slowdown in demand growth which is expected to result in
an oil supply overhang by next year.
Australia-based MoooFarm Monday said it will train two
lakh Indian dairy farmers by 2020 to develop their skills in
areas like cattle nutrition with a view to increase farmers'
income by at least 20 per cent. MoooFarm will train the
farmers through UDAY, a skill development firm, which is its
partner in India. The firm said it will also launch a hashtag
called #TheColorofMilk on the occasion of National Milk
Day, asking people to find the purity of milk.
"Our master trainers are providing content to farmers for
scaling up, which is being delivered through village-level
entrepreneurs. Our target states include Uttar Pradesh,
Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh, Haryana .
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
29-Nov-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 70.66 Yen 62.09
Euro 79.69 GBP 90.3647
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 70.75 TGT 70.85 70.95 SL 70.50
SELL USDINR NOV BELOW 70.6 TGT 70.5 70.45 SL 70.85
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR NOV ABOVE 90.5 TGT 90.6 90.8 SL 90.20
SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 90.20 TGT 90.10 90 SL 90.45
The dollar was trading at two-week highs against a
currency basket on Wednesday as markets awaited fresh
signals from the Federal Reserve on interest rates and
developments in the U.S.-China trade war remained in
focus.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the
greenback’s strength against a basket of six major
currencies, edged up 0.1% to 97.35 by 04:25 AM GMT
(09:25 AM GMT), the most since Nov. 13.Investors were
looking ahead to a speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
later in the day and the minutes of the U.S. central bank’s
November meeting, due to be released on Thursday.
Markets are hoping for fresh indications on the future path
of interest rate increases.
The Fed is widely expected to raise rates for a fourth time
this year at its upcoming meeting in December and has
indicated that it may raise rates three more time in
2019.But dovish sounding comments by some
policymakers in recent weeks have raised the prospect that
the Fed may slow the pace of future rate hikes amid
concerns over the outlook for the global economy and
ongoing global trade tensions.On Tuesday, U.S. President
Donald Trump once again criticized Powell, whom he
picked last year to lead the bank, and the Fed’s rate hikes,
which he said were harming the economy.Also Tuesday,
Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida backed further rate hikes,
but said the tightening path would be data
dependent.Market watchers were also looking ahead to
the upcoming G20 summit in Buenos Aires later this week,
where Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, are
scheduled to discuss trade. Investors are hoping that talks
could lead to a ceasefire in the trade war.Trump said
earlier this week that it was "highly unlikely" he would
accept China's request to hold off a planned increase in
tariffs due to take effect in January.
The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate dipped today,
and is currently trading at $1.1274, after the release of
Germany’s Gfk consumer confidence survey showed a
decrease for December.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
29-Nov-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
28/11/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC BUY 6200
6215/6235/62
60
6140 TARGET HIT
28/11/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC Sell 6130
6115/6100/60
70
6190 NOT EXECUTED
28/11/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC BUY 8780
8795/8810/88
30
8760 SL HIT
28/11/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC SELL 8680
8645/8620/86
00
8720 NOT EXECUTED
28/11/18 MCX GOLD DEC BUY 30580 30630/30680 30450 NOT EXECUTED
28/11/18 MCX GOLD DEC SELL 30370 30300/30270 30450 TARGET HIT
28/11/18 MCX SILVER DEC BUY 36000 36050/36120 35900 NOT EXECUTED
28/11/18 MCX SILVER DEC SELL 35800 35750/35700 35900 TARGET HIT
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
28/11/18 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 10670 10700/10720 10620 TARGET HIT
28/11/18 HERO MOTO FUTURE BUY 3030 3070/3100 3000 NOT EXECUTED
28/11/18 GODREJ CP FUTURE BUY 760 770/780 740 Open
28/11/18 GODREJ CP CASH BUY 760 770/780 750 SL HIT
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
29-Nov-2018
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NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST
PREVIO
US
MONDAY, NOV. 26
8:30 am Chicago Fed national activity index Oct. 0.17
TUESDAY, NOV. 27
9 am Case-Shiller house prices Sept.
10 am Consumer confidence index Nov. 137.9
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 28
8:30 am GDP Q3 3.5%
8:30 am Advance trade in goods Oct.
-
$76.0bl
n
10 am New home sales Oct. 553,000
THURSDAY, NOV. 29
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/24
8:30 am Personal income Oct. 0.2%
8:30 am Consumer spending Oct. 0.4%
8:30 am Core inflation Oct. 0.1%
10 am Pending home sales Oct. 0.5%
2 pm FOMC minutes
FRIDAY, NOV. 30
9:45 am Chicago PMI Nov. 58.4