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Special report-05-july-2018-epic-research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
5-July-2018
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street ended higher on Monday after a choppy
session, with gains in Apple and other technology stocks
offsetting worries about an escalating trade war between
Washington and its trading partners.Microsoft Inc ,
Facebook Inc and Apple Inc each rose 1 percent or more,
pushing the S&P 500 information technology index up 0.99
percent, bringing gains for the year-to-date to 11 percent
as investors bet on strong earnings from Silicon Valley in
the approaching quarterly reporting season."It doesn't look
like tech is going to slow down this year," said Jake
Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow Asset
Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. "The tech play is here to
say."Traders were also eyeing the July 6 deadline for US
tariffs on USD 34 billion worth of Chinese goods to kick in,
which pose the danger of a strong response from Beijing.
Asian stocks got off to a cautious start on Thursday as
investors remained nervous amid a looming deadline for
Washington’s proposed tariffs on Chinese imports, leaving
financial markets in a state of anxious uncertainty.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was up 0.03 percent after declining 0.4 percent the
previous day.
Previous day Roundup
The Nifty which started on a bullish note reclaimed its
crucial resistance level of 10,700 in the opening tick
Wednesday and built momentum to rally above 10,750 but
closed marginally below its resistance level of 10,770. The
index is now trading above most of its crucial short-term
moving averages. It formed a bullish candle on the daily
candlestick charts and is now trading above 5, 13, and 50-
EMA After closing above the 50-EMA, now the real
challenge for bulls is to cross the interim top placed around
10,850 levels, experts said, adding the further short
covering then may push Nifty towards 11,000 levels.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-6.90pts],
Consumption[38.60pts],PSE[ -22.95pts],CPSE[-
2.60pts],Energy[94.30pts],FMCG[134.55pts],Auto
[135.20pts],Pharma[74.30pts],IT[-96.40pts],Metal
[4.30pts],Realty[1.25 pts], Fin Serv sector[109.45pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 24,307.20 0.15
S&P500 2,725.25 -0.07
NASDAQ 7,113.50 -0.06
FTSE100 7,547.85 -1.18
NIKKEI 21,644.83 -0.77
HANG SENG 28,144.92 -2.88
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Bajaj Auto 2,979.05 116.65 4.08
Lupin 934.20 31.10 3.44
Maruti Suzuki 9,220.80 245.65 2.74
Bharti Infratel 299.50 8.00 2.74
Bajaj Finserv 6,032.85 147.65 2.51
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Idea Cellular 55.15 -1.65 -2.90
HPCL 252.30 -6.55 -2.53
Grasim 965.45 -20.40 -2.07
Cipla 628.90 -11.50 -1.80
BPCL 367.85 -6.05 -1.62
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
BANG 53.05 3.95 7.45
BRITANNIA 6216.55 84.45 1.36
ELECTROSL 1.9 0.05 2.63
GLAXO 2834.45 65.55 2.31
GODREJCP 1250.55 23.85 1.91
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10769.90 70.00 0.65
SENSEX 35645.40 266.80 0.75
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
8KMILES 392.2 -77.7 -19.81
ABAN 109.65 6.45 5.88
ADVANIHOTR 51.4 -1.7 -3.31
AGCNET 104.05 -2 -1.92
ALPSINDUS 1.9 0.05 2.63
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
5-July-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
PETRONET [CASH]
The particular counter consolidating around its crucial
resistance level of 221 here we can on bre4akout so we
advice to BUY PETRONET AROUND 221-222 TGT 225-230
SL BELOW 219
MACRO NEW
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat opening for the
broader index in India, a fall of 5.5 points or 0.05
percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,767-
level on the Singaporean Exchange.
China will “absolutely not” fire the first shot in a trade
war with the United States and will not be the first to
levy tariffs, its finance ministry said on Wednesday. A
person with knowledge of the plan earlier told Reuters
China’s threatened tariffs on USD 34 billion of US
goods would take effect from the beginning of the day
on Friday. Given the 12-hour time difference, that
would have put its implementation ahead of
Washington’s.
Union Minister Arun Jaitley on Wednesday said the
government's fiscal deficit target would not be
breached on account of higher MSP for 14 crops as
large provisioning for food subsidy has already been
made in the Budget for current fiscal.
Banks' unsecured loan book has grown four times the
bank credit during the past three years, helped by a
rise in discretionary spending, technology-driven
disbursements and lower interest rates, says a
report."Between fiscals 2015 and 2018, unsecured
credit - comprising personal, small and medium
enterprise (SME), and credit card loans - clocked a
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27 percent or
almost four times growth in bank credit," Crisil said in
a report on Wednesday.
US President Donald Trump again accused the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries of
driving gas prices higher on Twitter on Wednesday and
urged the oil cartel’s members to do more.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1.BHARATFINANCE [FUTURE ]
The particular script of finance sector has closed near its
crucial resistance level 1196 here we can expect huge
upside moment due to market strength so we advice to BUY
BHARATFIN AROUND 1200 –1205 TGT 1215-1225 SL BELOW
1190
2.BPCL [FUTURE]
The particular script getting resistance at the level of 370, as
per the daily chart it is consolidating at its lower level here3
we can enter on breakout so we advice to BUY BPCL FUTURE
AROUND 370-371 TGT 375-380 SL BELOW 367
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
5-July-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 26,200 248 2,79,968 1,87,320
BANKNIFTY CE 26,800 3.7 1,93,348 5,20,720
NIFTY CE 10,800 101 1,47,253 28,80,750
NIFTY CE 10,700 159.05 1,03,573 25,78,275
SRTRANSFIN CE 1,200 38.5 7,478 5,24,400
RELIANCE CE 1,000 23.95 7,079 28,04,000
MARUTI CE 9,500 73.65 5,875 63,450
SRTRANSFIN CE 1,150 59.3 5,105 2,22,600
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,400 50.95 1,64,271 6,36,560
BANKNIFTY PE 25,700 1.35 1,62,087 2,87,480
NIFTY PE 10,600 68.95 1,35,184 51,75,600
NIFTY PE 10,700 97.85 1,15,773 27,11,925
SRTRANSFIN PE 1,100 40 6,040 2,56,800
SRTRANSFIN PE 1,000 14.9 5,126 2,43,600
SRTRANSFIN PE 1,050 25.5 3,094 2,16,600
MARUTI PE 8,800 42.95 2,961 61,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 21339 1875.18 26507 2425.00 245786 20201.28 -549.8184
INDEX OPTIONS 925165 90098.59 915408 89215.30 638605 53648.74 883.2853
STOCK FUTURES 143157 9276.69 142552 9182.84 1149054 79729.12 93.8536
STOCK OPTIONS 68719 4762.33 69376 4794.35 59195 4005.05 -32.0172
395.3033
STOCKS IN NEWS
Future Lifestyle to acquire up to 29.9% of Koovs .
Yes Bank to foray into mutual fund biz, gets Sebi nod
Tech Mahindra to set up Blockchain centre within
R&D arm .
NIFTY FUTURE
The Nifty which started on a bullish note reclaimed its
crucial resistance level of 10,700 in the opening tick
Wednesday and built momentum to rally above 10,750
but closed marginally below its resistance level of
10,770.
The index is now trading above most of its crucial short-
term moving averages. It formed a bullish candle on the
daily candlestick charts and is now trading above 5, 13,
and 50-EMA.We recommend to BUY NIFTY FUTURE
AROUND 10700-10710 TGT 10750-10800 SL ABOVE
10650.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10841.00 10805.00 10741.00 10705.00 10641.00
BANKNIFTY 26696.00 26564.00 26348.00 26216.00 26000.00
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
5-July-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold prices edged down in early Asian trade on Monday as
the dollar firmed, changing direction from Friday when the
metal rose for the first time in five sessions.U.S. consumer
prices accelerated in the year to May, with a measure of
underlying inflation hitting the Federal Reserve's 2 percent
target for the first time in six years. White House national
security adviser John Bolton said on Sunday he believed the
bulk of North Korea's weapons programmes could be
dismantled within a year, although some experts say the
complete process could take far longer.
German Interior Minister Horst Seehofer offered his
resignation to party colleagues late on Sunday, party
officials said, escalating a row over migration with
Chancellor Angela Merkel that threatens her fragile
government.
COMEX Silver futures fell to seven month lows yesterday,
breaking under $16 per once on continued selling pressure.
MCX Silver also dropped 1.27% to close at Rs 39415 per kg.
Large metals speculators cut their bullish net positions in
the Silver futures markets last week, according to the latest
Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.
The non-commercial futures contracts of Silver futures,
traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net
position of 34,221 contracts in the data reported through
Tuesday June 26th. This was a weekly slide of -6,681
contracts. Speculative net positions declined for a second
straight week following six weeks of increases. Meanwhile,
the commercial traders position, hedgers or traders
engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled
a net position of -49,031 contracts - recording a weekly gain
of 9,510 contracts.
Copper continues to stay under pressure after testing its
lowest level in nearly nine months, as manufacturing
activity in both China and the eurozone has slowed in June.
A modest rally in the commodity earlier in the day has failed
to extend further and the metal currently trades at $2.94
per pound, down marginally on the day. MCX Copper is
down 0.30% at Rs 449.35 per kg.
A private gauge showed growth in China's manufacturing
sector dropped in June, raising concerns over the effect of
an intensifying trade conflict with the US China is the
world's largest consumer of copper and many other raw
materials. Manufacturing activity in the eurozone also
slowed last month, data firm IHS Markit said Monday.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD AUG FUT ABOVE 30530 TGT 30580 30630 SL BELOW
30480
SELL GOLD AUG FUT BELOW 30420 TGT 30370 30320 SL ABOVE
30470
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER SEP FUT ABOVE 39800 TGT 39850 39900 SL BELOW
39750
SELL SILVER SEP FUT BELOW 38560 TGT 38500 38450 SL ABOVE
38600
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
5-July-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1470.5 -0.57
Castor Seed 4278 2.1
Chana 3612 0.89
Coriander 4773 0.82
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1542 0.72
Guar Seed 10 MT 3875.5 -0.23
Jeera 18575 1.12
Mustardseed 4001 -0.67
Soy Bean 3526 -1.48
Turmeric 7150 0.3
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 8400 TARGET 8430 8460 SL
8370
SELL GUARGUM JULY BELOW 8140 TARGET 8100 8070 SL
8170
CORINDER
BUY CORIANDER JULY ABOVE 4800 TARGET 4830 4860 SL
4770
SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 4700 TARGET 4670 4640 SL
4730
USDA forecasts that China's soybean imports will increase
to 100.5 MMT in MY18/19 from the estimated 97 MMT in
MY17/18. This forecast, is 2.5 MMT lower than USDA's June
forecast. Due to the combination of the moderate increase
in domestic soybean production, together with the
slowdown in growth of soybean meal use, a net growth of
3.5 MMT of soybean imports in MY18/19 is expected to
meet the Chinese demand growth for protein meals.
U.S. soybean exports to China continue to face strong
competition from soybean exports from South America.
Excessive soybean stocks and a fall in the soybean price in
Brazil attributed to the 14.2 MMT of Brazilian soybean
exports to China in the first half of MY17/18. This is
significantly higher than the 5.2 MMT during the same
period in MY16/17.
Despite China's net growth of over 2 MMT of soybean
imports in the first half of MY17/18, total soybean imports
from the United States fell to 24.4 MMT in this period,
down from the 31.6 MMT in the previous year. Chinese
importers note that Brazilian soybeans have a one percent
higher protein content than U.S. soybeans. Importers were
previously willing to pay a slightly higher price for soybeans
with a higher protein content, but with the drop in the price
of Brazilian soybeans, exports are now surging
As per official data, Ukraine supplied some 1 MMT of wheat
to foreign markets in May 2017/18. This was down 10%
from April (1.1 MMT) but up 2% from May 2016/17 (986.8
KMT). In July-May 2017/18, wheat exports totaled 16.3
MMT, or 3% less than in the same period in MY 2016/17.
Ukrainian wheat shipments to the European Union and
Indonesia grew substantially in the current season. In the
period under review, exports to Indonesia increased to 2.1
MMT that was 31% more than in the whole of MY 2016/17.
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
5-July-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 68.5312 Yen 62.0900
Euro 80.0239 GBP 90.5229
USD/INR
BUY USDINR ABOVE 69.00 TGT 69.30/69.60 SL BELOW 68.70
SELL USDINR BELOW 68 TGT 67.80/67.55 SL ABOVE 68.20
GBP/INR
BUY GBPINR ABOVE 91.50 TGT 91.70/91.90 SL BELOW 91.30
SELL GBPINR BELOW 89.80 TGT 89.60/89.40 SL ABOVE 90.00
The battered rupee today suffered yet another blow by
plunging 34 paise to end at a near five-year low of 68.80
against the buoyant US dollar in the midst of weak global
trends and concerns on macro-economic front. This is the
level last seen on 28 August, 2013.
With very little chance of RBI intervention, panic dollar
demand from importers and speculative traders sent the
home currency sinking to a low of 68.81 in late afternoon
deals.
Although the initial gains had been short-lived. It touched a
high of 68.33 in morning deals. The rupee tumbled below
69-mark for the first time ever on Thursday and hit a life-
time low of 69.10.
The Asia's third-largest economy, India is facing severe
macro challenges and goldilocks economic conditions are
now changing fast against the grim backdrop of bubbling
global crude prices and most likely to disrupt government's
fiscal maths and poses additional upside risks to inflation
forecast
Crude prices were down little on prospects of increased
Saudi supply after US President Donald Trump called on
OPEC to produce more oil.
Saudi Arabia has increased its oil production by 700,000
bpd to 10.70 million bpd, very close to its highest ever
production of 10.72 million bpd from November 2016.
Brent crude futures, an international benchmark, is trading
sharply down at USD 78.56 a barrel, in early Asian trade.
It had gained more than 5 per cent last week. The US is set
to impose fresh tariffs on USD 34 billion worth of Chinese
goods on Friday and the world's second-largest economy is
on course to retaliate.
Meanwhile, overseas investors and funds pulled out nearly
Rs 48,000 crore from Indian capital markets in the first six
months of 2018, making it the steepest outflow in a
decade due to deteriorating domestic macro environment.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) in India seems to be
petering out with the inflows growth rate recording a five-
year low of 3 per cent to USD 44.85 billion in 2017-18, the
latest data of the Department of Industrial Policy and
Promotion (DIPP) showed. In the meantime, country's
foreign exchange reserves fell for a second week to USD
407.82 billion, the RBI said.
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Please refer to disclaimer Epic Research Ltd w w w . e p i c r e s e a r c h . c o
Special Report
5-July-2018
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Disclaimer
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JULY 2
9;45 am Markit manufacturing PMI (final) June -- 54.6
10 am
10 am Construction spending May 0.0% 1.8%
TUESDAY,
JULY 3
TUESDAY, JULY 3
TUESDAY
, JULY 3
TUESDAY, JULY 3
TUESDAY, JULY
3
TUESDAY,
JULY 3
Varies
10 am Factory orders May -0.1% -0.8%
WEDNESD
AY, JULY 4
WEDNESDAY, JULY 4
WEDNES
DAY,
JULY 4
WEDNESDAY, JULY
4
WEDNESDAY,
JULY 4
WEDNESD
AY, JULY 4
THURSDA
Y, JULY 5
THURSDAY, JULY 5
THURSD
AY, JULY
5
THURSDAY, JULY 5
THURSDAY,
JULY 5
THURSDA
Y, JULY 5
8:15 am ADP employment June -- 178,000
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 6/23 224,000 227,000
9:45 am Markit services PMI (final) June 56.5
10 am
2 pm FOMC minutes
FRIDAY,
JULY 6
FRIDAY, JULY 6
FRIDAY,
JULY 6
FRIDAY, JULY 6 FRIDAY, JULY 6
FRIDAY,
JULY 6