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Special report-for- 27-nov-2018-epic research
1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
27-Nov-2018
Global markets at a glance
Wall Street bounced back on Monday as bargain hunters
returned in force after last week’s sell-off and expectations
of a flurry of holiday cyber-spending drove up shares of
retailers. All three indexes posted their biggest percentage
gains in nearly three weeks.The Dow Jones Industrial
Average rose 354.29 points, or 1.46 percent, to 24,640.24,
the S&P 500 gained 40.89 points, or 1.55 percent, to
2,673.45 and the Nasdaq Composite added 142.87 points,
or 2.06 percent, to 7,081.85.
Asian shares battled to extend a global rebound on
Tuesday after US President Donald Trump seemed to quash
hopes of a trade truce with China, dampening risk appetite
across the region.Japan's Nikkei managed to edge up 0.4
percent, but MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan was all but flat. E-Mini futures for S&P 500
eased back 0.35 percent, after rising sharply overnight.
Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening for the
broader index in India, a fall of 59.5 points or 0.56 percent.
Nifty futures were trading around 10,587-level on the
Singaporean Exchange
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
Markets witnessed a volatile trading session, with the Nifty
posting a smart recovery in the second half of the session
and managing to close near the high point of the day. The
Nifty ended the day 101 points higher at 10,628 led by
broad-based buying, especially in FMCG stocks which was
the best performing sectoral index ending the day 2.36%
higher.However, the star performer in today's trade was
Bank Nifty, which ended the session 366 points higher at
26,365 driven by strong gains in HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, and
Indusind Bank. Yes Bank, too, witnessed a strong recovery
closing at 191.5 levels after hitting an intraday low of
182.2. Tracking the derivative data points, Nifty and Bank
Nifty Futures witnessed a surge in open interest to the tune
of 4.78% and 21.48%, respectively, mainly fresh long .
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-0.59pts],
C o nsum pt io n[+ 1 .90pt s ],P SE [ - 0.52 pts ], CP SE [ -
1.28pts],Energy[+0.18pts],FMCG[2.36pts],Auto
[+1.06pts],Pharma[—1.31pts],IT[+1.37pts],Metal[—
1.32pts],Realty[-+0.35 pts], Fin Serv sector[+1.18pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 24568 +0.27
S&P500 2673.45 +1.55
NASDAQ 7081.85 +2.02
FTSE100 7036 +1.18
NIKKEI 21812 +0.76
HANG SENG 26376.18 +1.7
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Hero Motocorp 3,076.00 158.25 5.42
HUL 1,744.00 68.9 4.11
Wipro 318.45 11.35 3.7
Axis Bank 631.05 16.5 2.68
Asian Paints 1,349.50 35.1 2.67
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Yes Bank 187.9 -7.65 -3.91
ONGC 146.6 -5.65 -3.71
Sun Pharma 510.75 -15.2 -2.89
Coal India 250.75 -5.9 -2.3
Dr Reddys Labs 2,558.60 -50.1 -1.92
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ELECTROSL 33.1 1.65 4.98
FILATEX 57 1.05 1.84
ICICILIQ 999.99 0 0
VINDHYATEL 1869.4 50.6 2.71
LIQUIDETF 1000.01 0 0
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10628.60 101.85 +0.97
SENSEX 35354.08 373.06 +1.07
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABGSHIP 2.5 0.05 2
ADHUNIK 2.6 0.1 3.85
AIFL 39.05 -1.95 -4.99
ALCHEM 2.5 0 0
AMTEKAUTO 4 -0.2 -5
2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
27-Nov-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
GODREJ CP [CASH]
On daily chart we have seen that stock is forming Bullish
candle. In last trading session a large bullish candle form
with strong volume . After analysis of derivative data its
indicate that traders view is to Buy the stock . Our
recommendation is to Buy stock future from 733-735
Target 742/747/755 Sl 725 .
MACRO NEWS
Revised and simpler tax return forms as well as lower
refunds will likely boost revenue collection from Goods
and Services Tax (GST), which the government expects
to touch to Rs 1.5 lakh crore every month from the
next financial year (2019-20).“GST collections should
be around Rs 1.5 lakh crore per month from next year.
New return form will also help in tax evasion,” a senior
government official told .
US stocks closed lower in a shortened post-holiday
trading session on Friday as the energy sector tumbled
on continued weakness in oil prices, and the
benchmark S&P 500 confirmed its second correction of
2018.The three major US indexes all fell well over 3
percent for the week, with the Dow industrials and the
Nasdaq posting their biggest weekly percentage
declines since March.
Country's third largest software company HCL
Technologies and NBFC major Bajaj Finance will be
included in the 30-share BSE Sensex effective
December 24, 2018.Wipro and Adani Ports will be
excluded from the index on the same day.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. HEROMOTO FUTURE ]
On daily chart we have seen that stock close above its pivot
support level . Fresh Buying we have seen in last trading
session . After analysis of derivative data its indicate that
traders view is to Buy the stock . Our recommendation is
also Buy the stock in the range of 3120 target 3150/3170
Sl 3075
2. Godrej CP [FUTURE]
On daily chart we have seen that stock is forming Bullish
candle. In last trading session a large bullish candle form
with strong volume . After analysis of derivative data its
indicate that traders view is to Buy the stock . Our
recommendation is to Buy stock future from 733-735
Target 742/747/755 Sl 725 .
3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
27-Nov-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 26,500 94.5 5,92,029 8,34,700
BANKNIFTY CE 26,300 192 4,85,256 3,91,300
BANKNIFTY CE 26,400 139 4,31,242 3,25,280
RELIANCE CE 1,120 7.2 16,073 16,42,500
MARUTI CE 7,500 104 11,758 1,32,975
MARUTI CE 7,600 55.9 10,158 1,16,550
RELIANCE CE 1,140 2.65 9,845 21,74,000
YESBANK CE 200 2.85 9,011 61,02,250
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 26,000 41.3 5,59,142 11,47,300
NIFTY PE 10,500 18.8 3,94,224 43,04,175
BANKNIFTY PE 25,800 22.9 3,89,967 4,75,600
YESBANK PE 180 1.9 11,932 63,94,500
RELIANCE PE 1,100 6.1 10,994 10,00,000
RELIANCE PE 1,080 2.3 8,781 8,02,500
TCS PE 1,800 5.75 5,659 3,06,500
MARUTI PE 7,400 28.15 5,508 90,525
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 64832 4680.02 70832 4847.81 459747 35146.17 -167.7884
INDEX OPTIONS 1448606 88832.54 1422548 87010.61 1053228 76767.14 1821.932
STOCK FUTURES 439701 24575.05 433045 24099.84 1473795 85741.19 475.2068
STOCK OPTIONS 154804 8739.18 156774 8865.47 176312 10446.71 -126.2875
2003.0629
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries: Company to acquire Pola
Pharma in Japan by way of cash consideration of 100
million Japanese Yen (approximately $1 million). .
Yes Bank: Promoter companies prepaid Rs 200 crore to
Reliance MF and Rs 200 crore to Franklin Templeton -
CNBC-TV18 Sources. Outstanding loans of bank
promoters reduced to Rs 1,400 crore.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty 50 on Tuesday Strong Buying pressure in market
from lower level . Nifty broke the support level 10500
but can not sustain . Fresh buying seen fron lower
level .Our recommendation is to Buy the nifty future in
range of 10600-10620 Target 10670/10700 SL
10550..Buy on dips strategy use by traders.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10733.4 10681 10585.4 10533 10437.4
BANKNIFTY 26633.93 26499.76 26262.43 26128.26 25890.93
4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
27-Nov-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold rose on Monday as fears of a slowdown in global
economic growth and uncertainty surrounding the U.S.
interest rate trajectory bolstered the metal's appeal ahead
of a G20 meeting, with the focus on U.S.-China trade
tensions. "People are moving some capital into gold at this
time, given the uncertainties around the pace of rate hikes
by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the U.S.-China trade war," said
Brian Lan, managing director at Singapore dealer GoldSilver
Central.U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President
Xi Jinping are expected to meet on the sidelines of a G20
summit in Argentina at the end of this week.
Officials from some G20 countries, anxious to see a swift
end to the Sino-U.S. trade war, are hopeful but not
confident that the meeting may yield at least a partial
ceasefire. growing unease regarding the G20 summit and
the possibility of a deal has seen gold prices hold up
relatively well," analysts at ANZ said in a note.
However, analaysts said gold's direction in the near term
will largely be dictated by the dollar's movement, which has
significanly dented bullion's appeal as a safe haven during
political and economic uncertainty.Gold declined over 10
percent from a peak in April while the dollar gained as the
trade tussle unfolded against a backdrop of higher U.S.
interest rates.
Nagpur Soybean, Soyoil, Soymeal Open-November 26, 2018
Nagpur, Nov 26 (Reuters) – Soyabean oil & Coconut KP oil in
edible section and castor oil in non-edible section, declined
in Vidarbha region of Western Maharashtra today on
persistent selling by stockists amid good supply from
producing regions and weak trends in Madhya Pradesh oils.
Sentiment turned bearish because of downward trend on
NCDEX in soyabean oil. Trading activity in other edible
reported weak as no trader was in mood for any
commitment because of fresh fall in Maraysian palm oil
prices, according to sources.
China sent 102,100 tonnes of alumina to Iceland in October,
according to data released by the General Administration of
Customs on Monday.Other major alumina export
destinations last month included Malaysia on 88,784 tonnes
and the United Arab Emirates on 86,951 tonnes.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 30580 TGT 30630 30680 SL BELOW
30450
SELL GOLD BELOW 30450 TGT 30420 30360 SL ABOVE
30580
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 36250 TGT 36320 36380 SL BELOW
36100
SELL SILVER BELOW 36000 TGT 35950/35870 SL ABOVE
36150
5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
27-Nov-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1862.5 1.13
Castor Seed 5642 -2.73
Chana 4619 0.95
Coriander 6239 -0.63
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1954.5 -2.74
Guar Seed 10 MT 4461 -3.99
Jeera 19405 -0.18
Mustardseed 4095 -1.25
Soy Bean 3423 -1.78
Turmeric 6482 -1.11
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 8780 TARGET 8795/8815/8830
SL 8710
SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 8680 TARGET
8675/8650/8630 SL 8740
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6240 TARGET 6260/6280/6300
SL 6170
SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6150 TARGET 6130/6100/6090
SL 6230
The Agriwatch Agri Commodities Index fell 1.07 per cent to
109.53 during the week ended Nov 24, 2018 from 110.71
the previous week due to a sharp fall in prices of potato and
onion. Sugar, pulses and edible oils also declined while
cereals and cotton gained. The base for the Index and all
sub-Indices is 2014 (= 100). Six of the nine commodity
group sub-Indices and 17 of the 29 individual commodity
sub-Indices ended lower during the week.
Oil prices on Monday clawed back some losses from a
nearly 8 per cent plunge the previous session, with Brent
jumping back above $60 per barrel, but sentiment
remained weak amid a broad sell-off in financial markets in
past weeks. Front-month Brent crude oil futures rose $1.31,
or 2.2 per cent, to $60.11 per barrel by 0643 GMT. The
gains partly made up for Friday's selloff, which traders have
already dubbed 'Black Friday'. Reacting to Friday's falls in
Brent and WTI, China's Shanghai crude futures on Monday
fell by 5 per cent, hitting their daily downside-limit. The
downward pressure comes from surging supply and a
slowdown in demand growth which is expected to result in
an oil supply overhang by next year.
Australia-based MoooFarm Monday said it will train two
lakh Indian dairy farmers by 2020 to develop their skills in
areas like cattle nutrition with a view to increase farmers'
income by at least 20 per cent. MoooFarm will train the
farmers through UDAY, a skill development firm, which is its
partner in India. The firm said it will also launch a hashtag
called #TheColorofMilk on the occasion of National Milk
Day, asking people to find the purity of milk.
"Our master trainers are providing content to farmers for
scaling up, which is being delivered through village-level
entrepreneurs. Our target states include Uttar Pradesh,
Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh, Haryana .
6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
27-Nov-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 71.2775 Yen 62.2950
Euro 80.59 GBP 91.09
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 71.35 TGT 71.45 71.55 SL 71.15
SELL USDINR NOV BELOW 71.15 TGT 71.05 70.9 SL 71.35
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR NOV ABOVE 9 1.20 TGT 91.30 91.40 SL 91
SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 91 TGT 90.9 90.75 SL 91.25
The Indian rupee opened 32 paise higher to trade at 71.14
per US dollar. The Indian currency had ended the previous
session at 71.46 per US dollar.Increased selling of the
greenback by exporters amid softening crude oil prices,
and persistent foreign fund inflows pushed the Indian
currency higher on Tuesday.
However, Economy Minister Giovanni Tria said that the
growth forecast contained in the budget is the result of
technical evaluations and ‘non - negotiable,’ suggesting
that the country is ready to f ace the EU Commission's
sanctions creating more rifts between the two parties. GDP
data from Germany came in at - 0.2 percent against market
expectations of - 0.1 percent. Direct tax collection has
already crossed Rs 5 lakh crore and will exceed the
budgeted target of Rs 11.5 crore set for the current fiscal,
CBDT Chairman Sushil Chandra said Wednesday.
He further said that so far the I-T department has issued
refunds to 2.15 crore assessees amounting to Rs 1.15 lakh
crore and from now onwards the net collections will
increase .We have already crossed the Rs 5 lakh crore
figure that is 44 per cent of the net direct tax collection
target. This is despite the fact there is a surge in refund,"
Chandra said.
Speaking to reporters after inaugurating the pavillion of
the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) at the India
International Trade Fair (IITF), Chandra said the number of
people voluntarily filing tax returns has gone up
substantially, and 6.85 crore income tax returns . EURUSD
appreciated by 1.1 percent last week while EURINR
appreciated by 0.36 percent during the same time frame.
GDP data from Germany came in at - 0.2 percent against
market expectations of - 0.1 percent. Meanwhile, EU
commission had asked Italy to revise their budget plans.
However, Economy Minister Giovanni Tria said that the
growth forecast contained in the budget is the result of
technical evaluations and ‘non - negotiable,’ suggesting
that the country is ready to face the EU Commission's
s a n c t i o n s c r e a t i n g m o r e r i f t s . .
7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
27-Nov-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
26/11/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC BUY 6280
6310/6350/63
80
6200 TARGET HIT
26/11/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC Sell 6190
6175/6150/61
30
6270 TARGET HIT
26/11/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC BUY 9200
9215/9235/92
50
9140 NOT EXECUTED
26/11/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC SELL 9130
9115/9100/90
70
9200 NOT EXECUTED
26/11/18 MCX GOLD DEC BUY 30580 30630/30680 30450 TARGET HIT
26/11/18 MCX GOLD DEC SELL 30450 30420/30360 30580 SL HIT
26/11/18 MCX SILVER DEC BUY 36250 36320/36380 36100 TARGET HIT
26/11/18 MCX SILVER DEC SELL 36000 35950/35870 36150 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
26/11/18 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 10600/10620
10650/10680/
10700
10540 SL HIT
26/11/18 Amarraja Battery FUTURE SELL 710 700/690 720 TARGET HIT
26/11/18 KPIT FUTURE SELL 200 195/190 205
Sl HIT
26/11/18 Amarraja Battery CASH SELL 710 700/690 720 TARGET HIT
8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
27-Nov-2018
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NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST
PREVIO
US
MONDAY, NOV. 26
8:30 am Chicago Fed national activity index Oct. 0.17
TUESDAY, NOV. 27
9 am Case-Shiller house prices Sept.
10 am Consumer confidence index Nov. 137.9
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 28
8:30 am GDP Q3 3.5%
8:30 am Advance trade in goods Oct.
-
$76.0bl
n
10 am New home sales Oct. 553,000
THURSDAY, NOV. 29
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/24
8:30 am Personal income Oct. 0.2%
8:30 am Consumer spending Oct. 0.4%
8:30 am Core inflation Oct. 0.1%
10 am Pending home sales Oct. 0.5%
2 pm FOMC minutes
FRIDAY, NOV. 30
9:45 am Chicago PMI Nov. 58.4