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_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
11-Dec-2018
Global markets at a glance
Global stocks extended their slump on Monday, with US
equity futures and Asian shares sliding on worries over
slowing growth and fears that a fresh flare-up in tensions
between Washington and Beijing could quash any chances
of a trade deal. Traders returned from the weekend to face
a growing wall of worry, with the world’s largest economies
— the United States, China and Japan — all reporting
weaker-than-expected data which point to moderating
activity.
S&P futures were down 0.7 percent and the Dow futures
lost 0.8 percent early in the Asian day. MSCI’s broadest
index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.7 percent,
stooping to a two-week low.
Australian stocks fell 1.7 percent, brushing its lowest level
since December 2016, and South Korea’s KOSPI were down
1.4 percent.
Japan’s Nikkei shed 2 percent. Data early in the session
showed the economy contracted the most in over four
years in the third quarter as capital expenditure tumbled.
PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF
It’s a gap-down start to the market on Tuesday morning as
investors turned wary of a shock resignation by RBI
Governor Urjit Patel. Additionally, uncertainty around
results to state elections added to their woes.
The Sensex is down 482.68 points or 1.38% at 34477.04,
while the Nifty is lower by 116.70 points or 1.11% at
10371.80. The market breadth is negative as 90 shares
advanced, against a decline of 418 shares, while 16 shares
were unchanged.Among sectors, banks, automobiles,
energy, consumption, and metals are the top losers. The
Nifty Midcap index is down over a percent as well.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in
dices performed as follow; Commodities[-46.4pts],
Consumption[-66.45pts],PSE[ -22.9pts],CPSE[ -
17.15pts],Energy[-332.85pts],FMCG[-433.05pts],Auto[-
65.05pts],Pharma[-153.3pts],IT[-205.9pts],Metal[-
30.45pts],Realty[-6.65pts], Fin Serv sector[-264.95pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 24388.95 -2.24
S&P500 2633.08 -2.33
NASDAQ 7020 +0.74
FTSE100 6721 -0.83
NIKKEI 21149 -0.33
HANG SENG 25696.89 -1.41
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
IOC 134.35 4.60 3.55
BPCL 330.25 4.85 1.49
HPCL 226.70 1.90 0.85
Coal India 238.15 1.40 0.59
Maruti Suzuki 7,350.50 36.55 0.50
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
Kotak Mahindra 1,198.35 -81.30 -6.35
Indiabulls Hsg 686.60 -30.25 -4.22
UltraTechCement 3,776.55 -155.95 -3.97
Reliance 1,090.25 -43.55 -3.84
Adani Ports 359.15 -14.30 -3.83
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
LINDEINDIA 677.45 -4.35 -0.64
LIQUIDETF 1000 -0.01 0
MUTHOOTFIN 471.3 -4.3 -0.91
TIINDIA 333.75 -6.75 -2.02
TATASTLBSL 27.15 4.35 16.02
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 10488.45 -205.25 -1.92
SENSEX 34959.72 -713.53 -2.00
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABAN 71.25 -2.4 -3.37
ADHUNIK 2.6 -0.05 -1.92
ADVENZYMES 172.8 -6.25 -3.62
AGARIND 169.95 1.05 0.62
AIFL 23.55 -1.15 -4.88
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
11-Dec-2018
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
REPCOHOME (Cash)
Stock is showing weakness on the daily chart and trading
at the support level and we expect it should break the
support level on the daily chart ahead of the weak market.
We recommend selling below 323 for the target of 318
with the stop loss of 328
MACRO NEWS
 Opinion | Assembly Elections 2018: The moment of
electoral reckoning is here Post the December 11
results, one person who will be watched keenly and
wooed by both the BJP and the Congress, over the
next few months, will be Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)
chief Mayawati
 Urjit Patel has resigned as the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) governor, nine months before his tenure was to
end in September 2019, ending a 27-month long stint
at Mint Street rocked by a testy debate on the central
bank’s autonomy. Bank Nifty has a clearer long bias on
the chart than Nifty, so trader looking for a long
opportunity should prefer Bank Nifty, says Shabbir
Kayyumi of Narnolia Financial AdvisorsThe timing of
Patel's resignation is crucial. It comes four days ahead
of the RBI’s scheduled board meeting on December
14, slated to discuss several contentious issues. Patel
has cited “personal reasons”, but it is anybody’s guess
why he chose to pull the plug.
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. KOTAK BANK (FUTURE)
Last trading session we seen strong selling pressureand
losing aroud 200 pints and made low of 10500 and assembly
election result is a big key for makret direction so next
session will be also volatile where exit pole is also confused
so becautious and trade nifty after result day. Technically
Nifty is bearish trend so we will advise to sell it on rise
around 10850-1090 with stop loss of 11200 for the target of
10700 10500.
2. LICHSGFIN [FUTURE]
.Stock is looking bearish on the daily chart and it also formed
flag pattern on the daily chart, we expect it should give
a breakout toward the downside. We recommend selling
below 417 for the target of 410 with the stop loss of 422.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
11-Dec-2018
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 46.9 2,70,124 6,78,060
BANKNIFTY CE 26,700 102.95 2,18,795 2,01,560
BANKNIFTY CE 26,800 79.8 2,17,431 3,08,140
NIFTY CE 10,700 96.65 1,32,093 30,15,225
RELIANCE CE 1,140 15.2 6,869 9,63,500
KOTAKBANK CE 1,300 19.4 6,221 8,30,400
RELIANCE CE 1,160 10.55 6,120 10,22,000
RELIANCE CE 1,200 5.15 5,216 16,64,000
MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Optio
n
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
BANKNIFTY PE 25,500 133 2,91,687 5,14,320
BANKNIFTY PE 26,000 270.3 2,66,473 4,31,380
BANKNIFTY PE 25,000 63.15 1,51,769 5,04,480
NIFTY PE 10,500 193 1,21,487 37,88,100
KOTAKBANK PE 1,200 45.85 6,708 4,16,800
RELIANCE PE 1,080 31.95 5,760 4,20,000
RELIANCE PE 1,060 24.25 5,105 6,16,000
KOTAKBANK PE 1,100 15 4,124 4,91,200
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 48226 3290.11 40669 2673.38 356821 27184.46 616.7323
INDEX OPTIONS 869019 52056.42 873340 52284.27 766296 55893.19 -227.8523
STOCK FUTURES 232773 13346.10 225103 12491.22 1473484 83929.80 854.8724
STOCK OPTIONS 117841 7136.06 118284 7129.22 118298 6400.13 6.8438
1250.5962
SELL
STOCKS IN NEWS
GMR Infrastructure: Subsidiary raised Rs 225.6 crore
through CCDs for investment in GMR Bajoli Holi
Hydropower Pvt Ltd.
PTC India: Ramesh Narain Misra and Atmanand are
appointed as
NIFTY FUTURE Last trading session we seen strong
selling pressureand losing aroud 200 pints and made low
of 10500 and assembly election result is a big key for
makret direction so next session will be also volatile
where exit pole is also confused so becautious and trade
nifty after result day. Technically Nifty is bearish trend so
we will advise to sell it on rise around 10850-1090 with
stop loss of 11200 for the target of 10700 10500.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 10590 10539 10506 10455 10422
BANKNIFTY 26434 26268 26170 26004 25906
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
11-Dec-2018
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold traded firm near a five-month peak hit early on
Monday, supported by a disappointing US jobs data that
fuelled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop
raising interest rates sooner than expected. Spot gold was
steady at $1,247.80 per ounce, as of 0103 GMT, after hitting
its highest since July 11 at $1,250.55 earlier in the session.
US gold futures were up 0.2 per cent at $1,254.6 per ounce.
The dollar slipped against the yen and the euro, while stocks
extended their slump as worries over US-China trade
tensions battered investor sentiment.Nonfarm payrolls
increased by 155,000 jobs in November, while economists
polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls increasing by
200,000 jobs. The US central bank is flagging a turning point
in monetary policy, as a Fed policymaker on Friday backed
interest rate hikes in the "near term" but nodded to
increasingly less certainty ahead .
Gold was sold at a discount last week in India for the first
time in a month as a rebound in local prices prompted
jewellers to postpone purchases, while demand improved in
top consumer China due to seasonal buying. Production at
Randgold's Loulo gold mine in Mali has been on hold since
Wednesday due to a dispute over pay, the head of the
industry and mines union SECNAMI told Reuters.
Oil prices rose on Monday, extending gains from Friday
when producer club OPEC and some non-affiliated
producers agreed a supply cut of 1.2 million barrels per day
(bpd) from January. Despite this, the outlook for next year
remains muted on the back of an economic slowdown.
International Brent crude oil futures were at $62.21 per
barrel at 0218 GMT, up 54 cents, or 0.9 per cent, from their
last close. Prices surged on Friday after the Organisation of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non-
OPEC producers including heavyweight Russia announced
they would cut oil supply by 1.2 million bpd, with an
800,000 bpd reduction planned by OPEC-members and
400,000 bpd by countries not affiliated with the group.
Oil prices have been pulled down sharply since October by
signs of an economic slowdown, with Brent losing almost 30
per cent in value.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 32000 TGT 32050/32150 SL BELOW
31800
SELL GOLD BELOW 31800 TGT 31700/31600 SL ABOVE
31950
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 38500 TGT 38600/38750 SL BELOW
38300
SELL SILVER BELOW 38000 TGT 37850/37600 SL ABOVE
38200
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
11-Dec-2018
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Barley 1825 0.72
Castor Seed 5508 0.62
Chana 4463 -1.5
Coriander 6700 2.09
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1956 2.87
Guar Seed 10 MT 4410 1.68
Jeera 18540 0.14
Mustardseed 4095 1.89
Soy Bean 3305 0.85
Turmeric 6100 -2.43
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM5
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 8700 TARGET 8715/8735/8760
SL 8640
SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 8600 TARGET
8585/8565/8540 SL 8660
DHANIYA
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6580 TARGET 6805/6830/6845
SL 6720
SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6500 TARGET 6485/6470/6440
SL 6560
Indian Commodity Exchange (ICEX), the Mumbaibased
online commodity derivatives platform that took over the
National Multi Commodity Exchange (NMCE) in August, will
add black pepper and cardamom to its list of traded
commodities. The exchange, which has begun trading in
diamond, steel and rubber, plans to expand into plantation
commodities. We will launch black pepper contracts next
month, followed by cardamom contracts, a top official of
ICEX said in a statement. Trading in black pepper futures on
a national exchange was stopped some years ago after the
seizure of mineral oil-contaminated pepper from
warehouses. At a meeting ICEX held with the black pepper
traders, it was suggested that the trading lot and delivery
unit of pepper contracts be changed from 100 kg to 1
tonne. “ICEX will endeavour to make rubber and pepper
prices, discovered by hundreds of small Indian traders
sitting in Kottayam, Ernakulam, Pala, Kushalnagar and
Hassan, become global price benchmarks and establish
Indian prices internationally,” the official said. NMCE used
to conduct futures trading in rubber.
Russian and Chinese shipping companies were pitching to
facilitate India-Iran trade, the source said. Under U.S.
sanctions, India will be allowed to export farm
commodities, food, medicines, and medical devices to Iran.
However, items such as petroleum and petrochemical
products, automobiles, steel, precious metals and graphite
are not allowed to be exported to Tehran.
Indian traders have cancelled some export contracts of
soyabean, estimated at about 1 lakh tonnes, due to the
appreciation in the rupee.However, with Iran emerging as
an unexpected buyer of Indian soyameal, the industry has
been able to maintain a good pace of soyameal exports in
the first quarter which began in October.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
11-Dec-2018
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 71.3257 Yen 63.43
Euro 81.5738 GBP 90.9108
USD/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
USD/INR
BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 71.50 TARGET 71.62/71.75 SL
71.35
SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 71.40 TARGET 71.28/71.15 SL
71.55
GBP/INR
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GBPINR DEC ABOVE 90 .80 TGT 90.92/ 91.05 SL 90.65
SELL GBPINR DEC BELOW 90.60 TGT 90.48 90.35 SL 90.75
Indian bonds and currency markets weakened on Monday
after exit polls showed mixed results for Prime Minister
Narendra Modi's ruling party at the recently held crucial
state elections, and on higher oil prices after OPEC
members and allies agreed to reduce output on Friday.
The rupee INR=D4 fell to 71.41 to the dollar, weakest since
Nov. 20 and down from Friday's close of 70.80, while the
10-year benchmark bond yield IN071728G=CC rose to 7.50
percent from 7.46 percent.Singapore Nifty
futures SINc1 were also down 1.30 percent, indicating a
weak opening for Indian stock markets."The exit polls are
mixed, but we don't want to take any risk before actual
results are out given that oil is also up," said a trader at a
foreign bank. "Sentiment will remain cautious until state
election results are out (on Tuesday)."
The dollar slipped against the yen and the euro on Monday
after soft U.S. payrolls data fuelled speculation that the
Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates sooner
than previously expected.The British pound also was on
the defensive as Prime Minister Theresa May's deal to exit
the European Union looks set to be rejected by parliament
on Tuesday, while the Chinese yuan dipped in offshore
trade following weak trade and inflation data over the
weekend.
"We have rising tensions between the United States and
China over Huawei and the Brexit vote in the UK
parliament. The risk-off mood is likely to prevail for now,"
said director of forex at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN).The
dollar slipped 0.2 percent against the yen to 112.52 JPY= ,
edging near Thursday's 5 1/2-week low of 112.23.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 155,000 jobs last
month, below economists' median forecast of 200,000
jobs.Some Fed policymakers have struck a cautious tone
about the economic outlook, possibly flagging a turning
point in its monetary policy.Federal Reserve Governor Lael
Brainard said on Friday the economic picture was broadly
positive but that risks were growing overseas and in the
corporate debt markets at home.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
11-Dec-2018
Date
Commodity/
Currency Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
10/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC BUY 6580
6805/6830/68
45
6720 TARGET
10/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC Sell 6500
6485/6470/64
40
6560 NOT EXECUTED
10/12/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC BUY 8700
8715/8735/87
60
8640 NOT EXECUTED
10/12/18
NCDEX
GUARGUM5
DEC SELL 8600
8585/8565/85
40
8660 NOT EXECUTED
10/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC BUY 31600 31650/31800 31450 TARGET
10/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC SELL 31400 31350/31380 31525 NOT EXECUTED
10/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC BUY 38000 38070/38150 37875 TARGET
10/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC SELL 37800 37750/37700 37950 TARGET
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
10/12/18 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10750
10720/10700/
10650
10770 NOT EXECUTED
10/12/18 GAIL FUTURE SELL 334 330/328 338 TARGET
10/12/18 BHARAT FORG FUTURE SELL 500 494/490 505 STOP LOSS
10/12/18 GAIL CASH SELL 334 330/328 338 TARGET
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Special Report
11-Dec-2018
The
information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for
errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment
perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and
based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not
provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and
encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information
given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price
performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research
might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not
read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the
information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the
accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the
recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7
9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8
TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST
PREVIO
US
MONDAY, DEC. 10
10 am Job openings Oct. -- 7.0 mln
TUESDAY, DEC. 11
8:30 am Producer price index Nov. 0.0% 0.6%
WEDNESD
AY, DEC. 12
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 12
WEDNESD
AY, DEC.
12
WEDNESDAY, DEC.
12
WEDNESDAY,
DEC. 12
WEDNE
SDAY,
DEC. 12
8:30 am
8:30 am Core CPI Nov. 0.2% 0.2%
2 pm Federal budget Nov. --
-
$139bln
THURSDAY
, DEC. 13
THURSDAY, DEC. 13
THURSDA
Y, DEC. 13
THURSDAY, DEC. 13
THURSDAY,
DEC. 13
THURSD
AY,
DEC. 13
8:30 am
8:30 am Import price index Nov. -- 0.5%
FRIDAY,
DEC. 14
FRIDAY, DEC. 14
FRIDAY,
DEC. 14
FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14
FRIDAY,
DEC. 14
8:30 am Retail sales Nov. 0.1% 0.8%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos Nov. 0.2% 0.7%
9:15 am Industrial production Nov. 0.4% 0.1%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Nov. 78.6% 78.4%
10 am
10 am Factory orders Oct. -2.0% 0.7%

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Special report-11-dec-2018-epic-research

  • 1. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 11-Dec-2018 Global markets at a glance Global stocks extended their slump on Monday, with US equity futures and Asian shares sliding on worries over slowing growth and fears that a fresh flare-up in tensions between Washington and Beijing could quash any chances of a trade deal. Traders returned from the weekend to face a growing wall of worry, with the world’s largest economies — the United States, China and Japan — all reporting weaker-than-expected data which point to moderating activity. S&P futures were down 0.7 percent and the Dow futures lost 0.8 percent early in the Asian day. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 0.7 percent, stooping to a two-week low. Australian stocks fell 1.7 percent, brushing its lowest level since December 2016, and South Korea’s KOSPI were down 1.4 percent. Japan’s Nikkei shed 2 percent. Data early in the session showed the economy contracted the most in over four years in the third quarter as capital expenditure tumbled. PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF It’s a gap-down start to the market on Tuesday morning as investors turned wary of a shock resignation by RBI Governor Urjit Patel. Additionally, uncertainty around results to state elections added to their woes. The Sensex is down 482.68 points or 1.38% at 34477.04, while the Nifty is lower by 116.70 points or 1.11% at 10371.80. The market breadth is negative as 90 shares advanced, against a decline of 418 shares, while 16 shares were unchanged.Among sectors, banks, automobiles, energy, consumption, and metals are the top losers. The Nifty Midcap index is down over a percent as well. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[-46.4pts], Consumption[-66.45pts],PSE[ -22.9pts],CPSE[ - 17.15pts],Energy[-332.85pts],FMCG[-433.05pts],Auto[- 65.05pts],Pharma[-153.3pts],IT[-205.9pts],Metal[- 30.45pts],Realty[-6.65pts], Fin Serv sector[-264.95pts]. World Indices Index Value % Change DJI 24388.95 -2.24 S&P500 2633.08 -2.33 NASDAQ 7020 +0.74 FTSE100 6721 -0.83 NIKKEI 21149 -0.33 HANG SENG 25696.89 -1.41 Top Gainers Company CMP Change % Chg IOC 134.35 4.60 3.55 BPCL 330.25 4.85 1.49 HPCL 226.70 1.90 0.85 Coal India 238.15 1.40 0.59 Maruti Suzuki 7,350.50 36.55 0.50 Top Losers Company CMP Change % Chg Kotak Mahindra 1,198.35 -81.30 -6.35 Indiabulls Hsg 686.60 -30.25 -4.22 UltraTechCement 3,776.55 -155.95 -3.97 Reliance 1,090.25 -43.55 -3.84 Adani Ports 359.15 -14.30 -3.83 Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg LINDEINDIA 677.45 -4.35 -0.64 LIQUIDETF 1000 -0.01 0 MUTHOOTFIN 471.3 -4.3 -0.91 TIINDIA 333.75 -6.75 -2.02 TATASTLBSL 27.15 4.35 16.02 Indian Indices Company CMP Change % Chg NIFTY 10488.45 -205.25 -1.92 SENSEX 34959.72 -713.53 -2.00 Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg ABAN 71.25 -2.4 -3.37 ADHUNIK 2.6 -0.05 -1.92 ADVENZYMES 172.8 -6.25 -3.62 AGARIND 169.95 1.05 0.62 AIFL 23.55 -1.15 -4.88
  • 2. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 11-Dec-2018 STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] REPCOHOME (Cash) Stock is showing weakness on the daily chart and trading at the support level and we expect it should break the support level on the daily chart ahead of the weak market. We recommend selling below 323 for the target of 318 with the stop loss of 328 MACRO NEWS  Opinion | Assembly Elections 2018: The moment of electoral reckoning is here Post the December 11 results, one person who will be watched keenly and wooed by both the BJP and the Congress, over the next few months, will be Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) chief Mayawati  Urjit Patel has resigned as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor, nine months before his tenure was to end in September 2019, ending a 27-month long stint at Mint Street rocked by a testy debate on the central bank’s autonomy. Bank Nifty has a clearer long bias on the chart than Nifty, so trader looking for a long opportunity should prefer Bank Nifty, says Shabbir Kayyumi of Narnolia Financial AdvisorsThe timing of Patel's resignation is crucial. It comes four days ahead of the RBI’s scheduled board meeting on December 14, slated to discuss several contentious issues. Patel has cited “personal reasons”, but it is anybody’s guess why he chose to pull the plug. RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. KOTAK BANK (FUTURE) Last trading session we seen strong selling pressureand losing aroud 200 pints and made low of 10500 and assembly election result is a big key for makret direction so next session will be also volatile where exit pole is also confused so becautious and trade nifty after result day. Technically Nifty is bearish trend so we will advise to sell it on rise around 10850-1090 with stop loss of 11200 for the target of 10700 10500. 2. LICHSGFIN [FUTURE] .Stock is looking bearish on the daily chart and it also formed flag pattern on the daily chart, we expect it should give a breakout toward the downside. We recommend selling below 417 for the target of 410 with the stop loss of 422.
  • 3. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 11-Dec-2018 MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol Optio n Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest BANKNIFTY CE 27,000 46.9 2,70,124 6,78,060 BANKNIFTY CE 26,700 102.95 2,18,795 2,01,560 BANKNIFTY CE 26,800 79.8 2,17,431 3,08,140 NIFTY CE 10,700 96.65 1,32,093 30,15,225 RELIANCE CE 1,140 15.2 6,869 9,63,500 KOTAKBANK CE 1,300 19.4 6,221 8,30,400 RELIANCE CE 1,160 10.55 6,120 10,22,000 RELIANCE CE 1,200 5.15 5,216 16,64,000 MARUTI CE 9,000 111.5 5,823 2,83,500MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol Optio n Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest BANKNIFTY PE 25,500 133 2,91,687 5,14,320 BANKNIFTY PE 26,000 270.3 2,66,473 4,31,380 BANKNIFTY PE 25,000 63.15 1,51,769 5,04,480 NIFTY PE 10,500 193 1,21,487 37,88,100 KOTAKBANK PE 1,200 45.85 6,708 4,16,800 RELIANCE PE 1,080 31.95 5,760 4,20,000 RELIANCE PE 1,060 24.25 5,105 6,16,000 KOTAKBANK PE 1,100 15 4,124 4,91,200 FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY No. of Contracts Amount in Crores No. of Contracts Amount in Crores No. of Contracts Amount in Crores NET AMOUNT INDEX FUTURES 48226 3290.11 40669 2673.38 356821 27184.46 616.7323 INDEX OPTIONS 869019 52056.42 873340 52284.27 766296 55893.19 -227.8523 STOCK FUTURES 232773 13346.10 225103 12491.22 1473484 83929.80 854.8724 STOCK OPTIONS 117841 7136.06 118284 7129.22 118298 6400.13 6.8438 1250.5962 SELL STOCKS IN NEWS GMR Infrastructure: Subsidiary raised Rs 225.6 crore through CCDs for investment in GMR Bajoli Holi Hydropower Pvt Ltd. PTC India: Ramesh Narain Misra and Atmanand are appointed as NIFTY FUTURE Last trading session we seen strong selling pressureand losing aroud 200 pints and made low of 10500 and assembly election result is a big key for makret direction so next session will be also volatile where exit pole is also confused so becautious and trade nifty after result day. Technically Nifty is bearish trend so we will advise to sell it on rise around 10850-1090 with stop loss of 11200 for the target of 10700 10500. INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2 NIFTY 10590 10539 10506 10455 10422 BANKNIFTY 26434 26268 26170 26004 25906
  • 4. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 11-Dec-2018 COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold traded firm near a five-month peak hit early on Monday, supported by a disappointing US jobs data that fuelled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates sooner than expected. Spot gold was steady at $1,247.80 per ounce, as of 0103 GMT, after hitting its highest since July 11 at $1,250.55 earlier in the session. US gold futures were up 0.2 per cent at $1,254.6 per ounce. The dollar slipped against the yen and the euro, while stocks extended their slump as worries over US-China trade tensions battered investor sentiment.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 155,000 jobs in November, while economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls increasing by 200,000 jobs. The US central bank is flagging a turning point in monetary policy, as a Fed policymaker on Friday backed interest rate hikes in the "near term" but nodded to increasingly less certainty ahead . Gold was sold at a discount last week in India for the first time in a month as a rebound in local prices prompted jewellers to postpone purchases, while demand improved in top consumer China due to seasonal buying. Production at Randgold's Loulo gold mine in Mali has been on hold since Wednesday due to a dispute over pay, the head of the industry and mines union SECNAMI told Reuters. Oil prices rose on Monday, extending gains from Friday when producer club OPEC and some non-affiliated producers agreed a supply cut of 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) from January. Despite this, the outlook for next year remains muted on the back of an economic slowdown. International Brent crude oil futures were at $62.21 per barrel at 0218 GMT, up 54 cents, or 0.9 per cent, from their last close. Prices surged on Friday after the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non- OPEC producers including heavyweight Russia announced they would cut oil supply by 1.2 million bpd, with an 800,000 bpd reduction planned by OPEC-members and 400,000 bpd by countries not affiliated with the group. Oil prices have been pulled down sharply since October by signs of an economic slowdown, with Brent losing almost 30 per cent in value. RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 32000 TGT 32050/32150 SL BELOW 31800 SELL GOLD BELOW 31800 TGT 31700/31600 SL ABOVE 31950 SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 38500 TGT 38600/38750 SL BELOW 38300 SELL SILVER BELOW 38000 TGT 37850/37600 SL ABOVE 38200
  • 5. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 11-Dec-2018 NCDEX INDICES Index Value % Change Barley 1825 0.72 Castor Seed 5508 0.62 Chana 4463 -1.5 Coriander 6700 2.09 Cotton Seed Oilcake 1956 2.87 Guar Seed 10 MT 4410 1.68 Jeera 18540 0.14 Mustardseed 4095 1.89 Soy Bean 3305 0.85 Turmeric 6100 -2.43 RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 8700 TARGET 8715/8735/8760 SL 8640 SELL GUARGUM ABOVE DEC 8600 TARGET 8585/8565/8540 SL 8660 DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6580 TARGET 6805/6830/6845 SL 6720 SELL DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 6500 TARGET 6485/6470/6440 SL 6560 Indian Commodity Exchange (ICEX), the Mumbaibased online commodity derivatives platform that took over the National Multi Commodity Exchange (NMCE) in August, will add black pepper and cardamom to its list of traded commodities. The exchange, which has begun trading in diamond, steel and rubber, plans to expand into plantation commodities. We will launch black pepper contracts next month, followed by cardamom contracts, a top official of ICEX said in a statement. Trading in black pepper futures on a national exchange was stopped some years ago after the seizure of mineral oil-contaminated pepper from warehouses. At a meeting ICEX held with the black pepper traders, it was suggested that the trading lot and delivery unit of pepper contracts be changed from 100 kg to 1 tonne. “ICEX will endeavour to make rubber and pepper prices, discovered by hundreds of small Indian traders sitting in Kottayam, Ernakulam, Pala, Kushalnagar and Hassan, become global price benchmarks and establish Indian prices internationally,” the official said. NMCE used to conduct futures trading in rubber. Russian and Chinese shipping companies were pitching to facilitate India-Iran trade, the source said. Under U.S. sanctions, India will be allowed to export farm commodities, food, medicines, and medical devices to Iran. However, items such as petroleum and petrochemical products, automobiles, steel, precious metals and graphite are not allowed to be exported to Tehran. Indian traders have cancelled some export contracts of soyabean, estimated at about 1 lakh tonnes, due to the appreciation in the rupee.However, with Iran emerging as an unexpected buyer of Indian soyameal, the industry has been able to maintain a good pace of soyameal exports in the first quarter which began in October.
  • 6. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 11-Dec-2018 RBI Reference Rate Currency Rate Currency Rate Rupee- $ 71.3257 Yen 63.43 Euro 81.5738 GBP 90.9108 USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: USD/INR BUY USDINR FUTURE ABOVE 71.50 TARGET 71.62/71.75 SL 71.35 SELL USDINR FUTURE BELOW 71.40 TARGET 71.28/71.15 SL 71.55 GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR DEC ABOVE 90 .80 TGT 90.92/ 91.05 SL 90.65 SELL GBPINR DEC BELOW 90.60 TGT 90.48 90.35 SL 90.75 Indian bonds and currency markets weakened on Monday after exit polls showed mixed results for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's ruling party at the recently held crucial state elections, and on higher oil prices after OPEC members and allies agreed to reduce output on Friday. The rupee INR=D4 fell to 71.41 to the dollar, weakest since Nov. 20 and down from Friday's close of 70.80, while the 10-year benchmark bond yield IN071728G=CC rose to 7.50 percent from 7.46 percent.Singapore Nifty futures SINc1 were also down 1.30 percent, indicating a weak opening for Indian stock markets."The exit polls are mixed, but we don't want to take any risk before actual results are out given that oil is also up," said a trader at a foreign bank. "Sentiment will remain cautious until state election results are out (on Tuesday)." The dollar slipped against the yen and the euro on Monday after soft U.S. payrolls data fuelled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates sooner than previously expected.The British pound also was on the defensive as Prime Minister Theresa May's deal to exit the European Union looks set to be rejected by parliament on Tuesday, while the Chinese yuan dipped in offshore trade following weak trade and inflation data over the weekend. "We have rising tensions between the United States and China over Huawei and the Brexit vote in the UK parliament. The risk-off mood is likely to prevail for now," said director of forex at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN).The dollar slipped 0.2 percent against the yen to 112.52 JPY= , edging near Thursday's 5 1/2-week low of 112.23. U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 155,000 jobs last month, below economists' median forecast of 200,000 jobs.Some Fed policymakers have struck a cautious tone about the economic outlook, possibly flagging a turning point in its monetary policy.Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard said on Friday the economic picture was broadly positive but that risks were growing overseas and in the corporate debt markets at home.
  • 7. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 11-Dec-2018 Date Commodity/ Currency Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 10/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC BUY 6580 6805/6830/68 45 6720 TARGET 10/12/18 NCDEX DHANIYA DEC Sell 6500 6485/6470/64 40 6560 NOT EXECUTED 10/12/18 NCDEX GUARGUM5 DEC BUY 8700 8715/8735/87 60 8640 NOT EXECUTED 10/12/18 NCDEX GUARGUM5 DEC SELL 8600 8585/8565/85 40 8660 NOT EXECUTED 10/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC BUY 31600 31650/31800 31450 TARGET 10/12/18 MCX GOLD DEC SELL 31400 31350/31380 31525 NOT EXECUTED 10/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC BUY 38000 38070/38150 37875 TARGET 10/12/18 MCX SILVER DEC SELL 37800 37750/37700 37950 TARGET Date Scrip CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 10/12/18 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 10750 10720/10700/ 10650 10770 NOT EXECUTED 10/12/18 GAIL FUTURE SELL 334 330/328 338 TARGET 10/12/18 BHARAT FORG FUTURE SELL 500 494/490 505 STOP LOSS 10/12/18 GAIL CASH SELL 334 330/328 338 TARGET
  • 8. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Special Report 11-Dec-2018 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS 9:45 am Markit manufacturing index flash Nov. -- 55.7 9:45 am Markit services index flash Nov. -- 54.8 TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIO US MONDAY, DEC. 10 10 am Job openings Oct. -- 7.0 mln TUESDAY, DEC. 11 8:30 am Producer price index Nov. 0.0% 0.6% WEDNESD AY, DEC. 12 WEDNESDAY, DEC. 12 WEDNESD AY, DEC. 12 WEDNESDAY, DEC. 12 WEDNESDAY, DEC. 12 WEDNE SDAY, DEC. 12 8:30 am 8:30 am Core CPI Nov. 0.2% 0.2% 2 pm Federal budget Nov. -- - $139bln THURSDAY , DEC. 13 THURSDAY, DEC. 13 THURSDA Y, DEC. 13 THURSDAY, DEC. 13 THURSDAY, DEC. 13 THURSD AY, DEC. 13 8:30 am 8:30 am Import price index Nov. -- 0.5% FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 FRIDAY, DEC. 14 8:30 am Retail sales Nov. 0.1% 0.8% 8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos Nov. 0.2% 0.7% 9:15 am Industrial production Nov. 0.4% 0.1% 9:15 am Capacity utilization Nov. 78.6% 78.4% 10 am 10 am Factory orders Oct. -2.0% 0.7%