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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
02 June 2015
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1
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Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
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Our Presence
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
CORIANDER
JUNE 12875 13444 12875 13100 +0.82 26810
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
12835
SUPP. 2
12571
PIVOT
13140
Coriander short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
13404
RES. 2
13709
CASTORSEED
JUNE 4000 4086 4000 4046 +1.23 66740
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4002
SUPP. 2
3958
PIVOT
4044
Castorseed short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days..RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4088
RES. 2
4130
TURMERIC
JUNE 7640 7842 7462 7636 -0.91 18030
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7451
SUPP. 2
7267
PIVOT
7647
Turmeric short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7831
RES. 2
8027
GUARGUM
JUNE 11100 11290 11050 11110 +0.82 5859
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
11010
SUPP. 2
10910
PIVOT
11150
Guargum short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11250
RES. 2
11390
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4046 3997 +1.23
CHANA 4769 4770 -0.02
CORIANDER 13100 12993 +0.82
GUARGUM 11110 11020 +0.82
JEERA 17950 17525 +2.43
MUSTARD
SEED
4282 4249 +0.78
SOYABEAN 3986 3981 +0.13
TURMERIC 7636 7706 -0.69
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
BARLEY 19-06-2015 1253.50 -7.50 -0.59%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
JEERA 19-06-2015 17945.00 535.00 3.07%
REFINED SOY OIL 19-06-2015 615.20 18.00 3.01%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
19-06-2015 1821.00 37.00 2.07%
CHANA 19-06-2015 4776.00 90.00 1.92%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
19-06-2015 4283.00 58.00 1.37%
CASTOR SEED NEW 19-06-2015 4043.00 28.00 0.70%
SOYABEAN 19-06-2015 3995.00 26.00 0.66%
TURMERIC 19-06-2015 7646.00 38.00 0.50%
CORIANDER 19-06-2015 13002.00 2.00 0.02%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
 Punjab government today sought wheat MSP of Rs 1,950 per quintal
for the Rabi season 2015-16 in accordance with prevalent input
cost.Badal gave his nod to the recommendations of the State Agricultural
department with regard to fixation of Minimum Support Price (MSP) for
the crops of Rabi season 2015-16 by the Centre.An official spokesman
said Badal asked the Director Agriculture to shot a letter to the Member
Secretary of Commission for Agriculture Costs and Prices (CACP) for
streamlining the policy regarding the marketing of Rabi crops in year
2015-16. The spokesperson pointed out that in order to fix the estimated
cost of wheat crop for the year 2015-16, the market price of various inputs
like seeds, fertilisers, insecticides, pesticides, irrigation and labour have
been kept in mind along with various other factors including the
marketing expenditure and weather risks.Emphasising the need for an
increase in MSP of wheat crop for the next year, all these factors the MSP
of the wheat must be fixed at Rs 1,950 per quintal.In the same manner,
the Government of India (GoI) must fix the MSP of other crops like
barley, gram and mustard at Rs 1,640, Rs 3,800 and Rs 3,600 per quintal
respectively.
 Agri counters stayed supported on NCDEX today on expectations that
the monsoon would beslightly delayed than expected. A setback was seen
at the start of last week in major agricommodities as traders expected the
monsoon to hit Kerala around the start of June 2015but the latest updates.
The onset of the southwest monsoon over the south Indian state ofKerala
has been delayed amid the “sluggish” pace of rain clouds. The normal
datefor onset of monsoon over Kerala is June 1. It also marks the official
onset on rainsacross the country. The Indian Meteorological Department
(IMD) had predicted that themonsoon would hit Kerala on May 30.the
monsoon arrived over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands on May16, three
days prior to the date forecast, Since then, however, itsadvance has been
slow. By May 21, the southwest monsoon advanced over the Bay of
Bengaltouching southern parts of Sri Lanka but has stagnated since.
 Turmeric witnessed some buying today due to active participation by
exporters and stockiest at lower levels. Traders mentioned that the sowing
of new crop is still a major concern in states like Andhra Pradesh and
Tamilandu due to delayed monsoon rainfall and poor price realization by
cultivators. Turmeric traders are expecting new production this season to
be around 45 lakh bags, down 25 lakh bags from the last year. On the
other side, stocks have depleted in local mandies with strong pace due to
steady export demand.
 Chana prices recovered from previous week's losses due to poor
production estimates for the current year. The supplies are easing in
Rajashtan ahead of the rabi sowing. The prices have added some gains in
previous trading amid fresh millers buying. The arrivals in Delhi reported
at 30 trucks today as compared to 30 trucks average in the previous week.
The prices are trading at Rs 4800 per quintal, up Rs 25 from the last
day.As per the latest release from Ministry of Agriculture, the fresh
sowing of chana crop reported at 107.85 lakh hectares against 121.95 lakh
hectares as on 5th November, 2014.
 Massive gains have emerged in Jeera as the recent momentum
continued and spot pricessteadied around Rs 18100 per quintal in Unjha
amid poor arrivals. The NCDEX Jeera futuresfor July are trading at Rs
18305 per quintal, up 2.52% on the day. A recent correction inthe counter
which took it to a two week low of Rs 17580 per quintal last week seems
to bebringing in good buying support now.
 NCDEX Castor seed futures for July also soared to their fresh contract
highs amidexcellent buying. Castor is primarily a kharif oilseed and the
futures have been risingover last month or so given the concerns over
monsoon. The NCDEX July futures trade at Rs4211 per quintal, up 1.71%
on the day.
5
Fundamental Watch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
 India exported 71.9 thousand ton of sugar in the week ending on 24th May, 2015
relative to 50.5 thousand tons of sugar import during the same interval.
 The Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) revisited India’ sugar production
estimate to around 28 million tons this marketing year i.e. 2014 -15.
 Sugar production rose 12.8% in Uttarakhand this season, with the state producing
3.25 lakh tons of sugar in 2014 -15(1st Oct, 2014 – 30th Apr, 2015) relative to 2.88
lakh tons in 2013 -14 (1st Oct, 2013 – 30th Apr, 2014). With these figures, the state
marked an end to the crushing operation for this season. With a production decline of
0.68 lakh tons, Bihar ended up the crushing operation for marketing year 2014- 15.
Notably, the state produced 5.23 lakh tons of sugar in 2014 -15 (1st Oct, 2014 – 30th
Apr, 2015) as against 5.91 lakh tons sugar in 2013 -14 (1st Oct, 2013 – 30th Apr,
2014).
 Indian sugar association has demanded from government to clear the huge cane
arrears of 21,000 Cr or to purchase 3 MMT of surplus sugar directly from the miller.
Huge carry over stock of around 7.4 MMT and record sugar production of 28 MMT
has resulted in the oversupply condition for the sugar in spot market. Export has been
dull so far due to price competitiveness as India has exported only 4.6 lakh tonnes of
sugar till first week of May, 2015 where as India exported around 27.90 lakh ton
during the last season.
As per the UNICA report, Brazilian Centre South region is expected to produce 590
MT of sugarcane in 2015-16, which is 3.27% higher than the sugarcane produced
during 2014-15. Also the country is expected to divert more of their sugarcane
towards ethanol production (58.1 per cent) this marketing year compared to 56.98 per
cent last year.
 The U.S. Department of Agriculture, forecasted Brazilian sugarcane production to
648 million tons in 2015-16 amid surge in production area and yield per hectare.
CENTER 02-June-15 30-May-15 Change
DELHI 2560 2580 -20
DHAMPUR 2520 2540 -20
MUMBAI 2702 2726 -24
KOLHAPUR 2350 2350 UNCH
VIJAYWADA 2800 2800 UNCH
NAGPUR NA NA -
KOLKATA NA 2720 -
Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER JUNE ABOVE 13250 TARGET 13275 13315 SL
BELOW 13225
SELL GUARGUM JUNE BELOW 11020 TARGET 10970 10910 SL
ABOVE 11080
SELL TURMERIC JUNE BELOW 7556 TARGET 7516 7456 SL
ABOVE 7616
BUY CASTORSEED JUNE ABOVE 4070 TARGET 4095 4125 SL
BELOW 4045
Disclaimer
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responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
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Epic research daily agri report 02nd june 2015

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 02 June 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL CORIANDER JUNE 12875 13444 12875 13100 +0.82 26810 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 12835 SUPP. 2 12571 PIVOT 13140 Coriander short term trend is up and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 13404 RES. 2 13709 CASTORSEED JUNE 4000 4086 4000 4046 +1.23 66740 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 4002 SUPP. 2 3958 PIVOT 4044 Castorseed short term trend is up and May continue in coming days..RESISTAN CE RES. 1 4088 RES. 2 4130 TURMERIC JUNE 7640 7842 7462 7636 -0.91 18030 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 7451 SUPP. 2 7267 PIVOT 7647 Turmeric short term trend is down and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7831 RES. 2 8027 GUARGUM JUNE 11100 11290 11050 11110 +0.82 5859 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 11010 SUPP. 2 10910 PIVOT 11150 Guargum short term trend is down and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 11250 RES. 2 11390
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 4046 3997 +1.23 CHANA 4769 4770 -0.02 CORIANDER 13100 12993 +0.82 GUARGUM 11110 11020 +0.82 JEERA 17950 17525 +2.43 MUSTARD SEED 4282 4249 +0.78 SOYABEAN 3986 3981 +0.13 TURMERIC 7636 7706 -0.69 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % BARLEY 19-06-2015 1253.50 -7.50 -0.59% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % JEERA 19-06-2015 17945.00 535.00 3.07% REFINED SOY OIL 19-06-2015 615.20 18.00 3.01% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 19-06-2015 1821.00 37.00 2.07% CHANA 19-06-2015 4776.00 90.00 1.92% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 19-06-2015 4283.00 58.00 1.37% CASTOR SEED NEW 19-06-2015 4043.00 28.00 0.70% SOYABEAN 19-06-2015 3995.00 26.00 0.66% TURMERIC 19-06-2015 7646.00 38.00 0.50% CORIANDER 19-06-2015 13002.00 2.00 0.02%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS  Punjab government today sought wheat MSP of Rs 1,950 per quintal for the Rabi season 2015-16 in accordance with prevalent input cost.Badal gave his nod to the recommendations of the State Agricultural department with regard to fixation of Minimum Support Price (MSP) for the crops of Rabi season 2015-16 by the Centre.An official spokesman said Badal asked the Director Agriculture to shot a letter to the Member Secretary of Commission for Agriculture Costs and Prices (CACP) for streamlining the policy regarding the marketing of Rabi crops in year 2015-16. The spokesperson pointed out that in order to fix the estimated cost of wheat crop for the year 2015-16, the market price of various inputs like seeds, fertilisers, insecticides, pesticides, irrigation and labour have been kept in mind along with various other factors including the marketing expenditure and weather risks.Emphasising the need for an increase in MSP of wheat crop for the next year, all these factors the MSP of the wheat must be fixed at Rs 1,950 per quintal.In the same manner, the Government of India (GoI) must fix the MSP of other crops like barley, gram and mustard at Rs 1,640, Rs 3,800 and Rs 3,600 per quintal respectively.  Agri counters stayed supported on NCDEX today on expectations that the monsoon would beslightly delayed than expected. A setback was seen at the start of last week in major agricommodities as traders expected the monsoon to hit Kerala around the start of June 2015but the latest updates. The onset of the southwest monsoon over the south Indian state ofKerala has been delayed amid the “sluggish” pace of rain clouds. The normal datefor onset of monsoon over Kerala is June 1. It also marks the official onset on rainsacross the country. The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) had predicted that themonsoon would hit Kerala on May 30.the monsoon arrived over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands on May16, three days prior to the date forecast, Since then, however, itsadvance has been slow. By May 21, the southwest monsoon advanced over the Bay of Bengaltouching southern parts of Sri Lanka but has stagnated since.  Turmeric witnessed some buying today due to active participation by exporters and stockiest at lower levels. Traders mentioned that the sowing of new crop is still a major concern in states like Andhra Pradesh and Tamilandu due to delayed monsoon rainfall and poor price realization by cultivators. Turmeric traders are expecting new production this season to be around 45 lakh bags, down 25 lakh bags from the last year. On the other side, stocks have depleted in local mandies with strong pace due to steady export demand.  Chana prices recovered from previous week's losses due to poor production estimates for the current year. The supplies are easing in Rajashtan ahead of the rabi sowing. The prices have added some gains in previous trading amid fresh millers buying. The arrivals in Delhi reported at 30 trucks today as compared to 30 trucks average in the previous week. The prices are trading at Rs 4800 per quintal, up Rs 25 from the last day.As per the latest release from Ministry of Agriculture, the fresh sowing of chana crop reported at 107.85 lakh hectares against 121.95 lakh hectares as on 5th November, 2014.  Massive gains have emerged in Jeera as the recent momentum continued and spot pricessteadied around Rs 18100 per quintal in Unjha amid poor arrivals. The NCDEX Jeera futuresfor July are trading at Rs 18305 per quintal, up 2.52% on the day. A recent correction inthe counter which took it to a two week low of Rs 17580 per quintal last week seems to bebringing in good buying support now.  NCDEX Castor seed futures for July also soared to their fresh contract highs amidexcellent buying. Castor is primarily a kharif oilseed and the futures have been risingover last month or so given the concerns over monsoon. The NCDEX July futures trade at Rs4211 per quintal, up 1.71% on the day.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Sugar SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update  India exported 71.9 thousand ton of sugar in the week ending on 24th May, 2015 relative to 50.5 thousand tons of sugar import during the same interval.  The Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) revisited India’ sugar production estimate to around 28 million tons this marketing year i.e. 2014 -15.  Sugar production rose 12.8% in Uttarakhand this season, with the state producing 3.25 lakh tons of sugar in 2014 -15(1st Oct, 2014 – 30th Apr, 2015) relative to 2.88 lakh tons in 2013 -14 (1st Oct, 2013 – 30th Apr, 2014). With these figures, the state marked an end to the crushing operation for this season. With a production decline of 0.68 lakh tons, Bihar ended up the crushing operation for marketing year 2014- 15. Notably, the state produced 5.23 lakh tons of sugar in 2014 -15 (1st Oct, 2014 – 30th Apr, 2015) as against 5.91 lakh tons sugar in 2013 -14 (1st Oct, 2013 – 30th Apr, 2014).  Indian sugar association has demanded from government to clear the huge cane arrears of 21,000 Cr or to purchase 3 MMT of surplus sugar directly from the miller. Huge carry over stock of around 7.4 MMT and record sugar production of 28 MMT has resulted in the oversupply condition for the sugar in spot market. Export has been dull so far due to price competitiveness as India has exported only 4.6 lakh tonnes of sugar till first week of May, 2015 where as India exported around 27.90 lakh ton during the last season. As per the UNICA report, Brazilian Centre South region is expected to produce 590 MT of sugarcane in 2015-16, which is 3.27% higher than the sugarcane produced during 2014-15. Also the country is expected to divert more of their sugarcane towards ethanol production (58.1 per cent) this marketing year compared to 56.98 per cent last year.  The U.S. Department of Agriculture, forecasted Brazilian sugarcane production to 648 million tons in 2015-16 amid surge in production area and yield per hectare. CENTER 02-June-15 30-May-15 Change DELHI 2560 2580 -20 DHAMPUR 2520 2540 -20 MUMBAI 2702 2726 -24 KOLHAPUR 2350 2350 UNCH VIJAYWADA 2800 2800 UNCH NAGPUR NA NA - KOLKATA NA 2720 -
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 BUY CORIANDER JUNE ABOVE 13250 TARGET 13275 13315 SL BELOW 13225 SELL GUARGUM JUNE BELOW 11020 TARGET 10970 10910 SL ABOVE 11080 SELL TURMERIC JUNE BELOW 7556 TARGET 7516 7456 SL ABOVE 7616 BUY CASTORSEED JUNE ABOVE 4070 TARGET 4095 4125 SL BELOW 4045
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.