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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
31 July 2015
HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia
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1
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Hotline: +91 731 664 2300
Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
026 5309 0639
Our Presence
YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
AUG 6920 7180 6920 7162 +3.68 15050
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6995
SUPP. 2
6827
PIVOT
7087
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7255
RES. 2
7347
CORIANDER
AUG 11340 11455 11270 11340 -0.20 20710
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
11255
SUPP. 2
11170
PIVOT
11355
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11440
RES. 2
11540
GUARGUM
OCT 8150 8550 8040 8510 +5.32 15583
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8183
SUPP. 2
7157
PIVOT
8367
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8693
RES. 2
8877
CASTORSEED
AUG 3954 3999 3917 3988 +1.50 57510
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3937
SUPP. 2
3886
PIVOT
3968
Castorseed short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4019
RES. 2
4050
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3988 3929 +1.50
CHANA 4592 4608 -0.35
CORIANDER 11340 11363 -0.20
GUARGUM 8510 8080 +5.32
JEERA 15300 14950 +2.34
MUSTARD
SEED
4173 4152 +0.51
SOYABEAN 3388 3277 +0.34
TURMERIC 7162 6908 +3.68
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CHANA 20-08-2015 4602.00 -3.00 -0.07%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
TURMERIC 20-08-2015 7148.00 204.00 2.94%
JEERA 20-08-2015 15340.00 340.00 2.27%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-08-2015 3998.00 66.00 1.68%
BARLEY 20-08-2015 1158.50 13.50 1.18%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-08-2015 4175.00 29.00 0.70%
SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3295.00 17.00 0.52%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 573.55 2.45 0.43%
CORIANDER 20-08-2015 11348.00 17.00 0.15%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-08-2015 1966.00 1.00 0.05%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
The government said it has released Rs 11,281 crore between April and
July to NABARD to pay interest subvention claims to banks for short-term
crop loans of up to Rs 3 lakh to farmers.The Budget 2015-16 had allocated
Rs 13,000 crore for implementation of the Interest Subvention Scheme for
short term crop loans up to Rs 3 lakh, said a statement by the Finance
Ministry."The government has already released Rs 11,281.16 crore during
the first four months of the current financial year, to RBI/NABARD, for
payment of interest subvention claims to banks towards implementation of
Interest Subvention Scheme of the government for short term crop loans to
farmers," it added.The Cabinet had last week extended the scheme to banks
to ensure availability of crop loans of up to Rs 3 lakh to farmers at 7 per
cent per annum.It gave approval to continuation of interest subvention to
public as well as private banks, regional rural banks, cooperative banks and
NABARD to enable them to provide short-term crop loans of up to Rs 3
lakh to farmers at 7 per cent per annum during 2015-16.For 2015-16, the
target of agriculture credit has been raised to Rs 8.50 lakh crore, from Rs 8
lakh crore in 2014-15.
While West Bengal may be able to meet its rice output target this year, it
may soon be faced with inflationary prices in the vegetable market if the
monsoon downpour continues in excess, experts say."As of now, in July
the rainfall is more than sufficient. If there is a delay of rains in early
August it can still be managed and paddy production won't be hit.
However, excessive rains are bad for vegetables," Pradip Mazumdar, the
advisor to the chief minister on the agricultural and allied sectors, told a
news service.In July, the Gangetic region of West Bengal - which produces
the bulk of paddy and a substantial amount of vegetables - has received an
average rainfall of 74 cm while the seasonal average for the period is 53 cm
on an average."There is an excess rainfall of 39 percent in the Gangetic
region while the sub-Himalayan region in the state has recorded a deficit of
15 percent," Devendra Pradhan, the deputy director general at IMD
Kolkata, told a news service.
Chana settled up driven by pickup in demand against declining
supplies at major trading stations. Besides, restricted arrivals from
producing regions also supported chana prices. Agriculture Ministry in
its Kharif sowing update has increased Kharif Pulses acreage jumped
by 50% to 7.26 million hectare from 4.82 million hectare, due to higher
prices in the market, the official said.According to the latest govt data,
country has imported about 4.19 lakh tonnes of chana in 2014-15,
which is more than 51.8 per cent higher than the quantity imported in
the entire previous year. Total import of chana in 2013-14 stood at 2.76
lakh tonnes. As per 3rd Advance Estimates for 2014-15, Chana
production is estimated at 7.59 million tonnes (mt) against 8.28 mt in
2nd estimate. Earlier Government has extended duty free imports of
pulses including chana till September 2015. As per latest Govt reports,
the area under Kharif Pulses has risen to 55.99 lakh ha as on 17th July
vs 23.92 lakh ha same period last year. Above normal rains in Central
and South India have improved sowing, keeping prices down for Chana
in June.As per latest estimate of Finance Ministry pulses import has
risen more than 20% in May. In Delhi spot market, chana gained by
33.6 rupee to end at 4650 rupee per 100 kgs.
Bargain buying was seen in sugar prices due to anticipation of weak
production in Maharashtra coupled with waning supply situation in
Thailand. The NCDEX futures increased by 1.27 percent yesterday.The
market sources suggested that spot prices of sugar have witnessed some
recovery due to possible decline in Maharashtra's sugar cane
production. The latest update from Indian Sugar Mills Association
(ISMA ) stated that the total sugar cane production in Maharashtra is
likely to decline by 7- 8 percent on the account of poor rainfall.Traders
stated that prices have also garnered bullish nodes from international
market. The overall sugar cane production in Thailand is likely to be
lower against previous year on the back of draught conditions in major
sugar cane growing regions.
5
Fundamental Watch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
India exported 54.6 thousand tons of sugar for the week ending 19th Jul,
2015 which was 9% lower than the sugar exported the previous week; while
the sugar import rose by 3.26% from 34.9 thousand tons to 36.1 thousand tons
during the same period.
Late monsoon arrival in Maharashtra had adversely affected sugarcane
sowing area in the region where only 644 lakh hectares of area has been sowed
so far out of 8861 lakh hectares of total area under cultivation.
The south Asian country is likely to produce 28 million tonnes in the
2015/16 year starting Oct. 1, compared with local demand of about 25 million
tonnes, the Indian Sugar Mills Association said in a statement.In the current
season, the country is likely to produce 28.3 million tonnes sugar, it said.The
surplus production could depress local prices and increase losses of debt-
ridden sugar mills, prompting the country to maintain exports to trim rising
inventory.
The International Sugar Organization (ISO) forecasted a global sugar deficit
of 2.50 MT in 2015-16 (OctSep) which could increase to 6.20 MT in
marketing year 2016-17 (Oct – Sep).
Indonesia had issued 596 thousand tons of raw sugar import license for
3Q15 which was much below than the market expectation of 630 thousand
tons of import license.
As per the latest UNICA report, Brazil’s Centre South region had churned
around 1.44 MT of sugar (from 29.3 MT of cane) in the first half of July, 2015
which was 43% lower than the sugar crushed in second half of June, 2015.
CENTER 30-July-15 29-July-15 Change
DELHI 2315 2325 -10
MUMBAI NA 2470 -
VIJAYWADA 2480 2480 UNCH
NAGPUR 2400 2400 UNCH
CHENNAI 2100 2100 UNCH
AMBIKAPUR 2835 2835 UNCH
DHAMPUR 2270 2270 UNCH
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER AUG BELOW 11270 TARGET 11245 11205 SL
ABOVE 11300
SELL GUARGUM OCT BELOW 8360 TARGET 8310 8240 SL
ABOVE 8420
BUY TURMERIC AUG ABOVE 7180 TARGET 7220 7280 SL
BELOW 7120
BUY CASTORSEED AUG ABOVE 4000 TARGET 4025 4055 SL
BELOW 3970
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
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Epic research daily agri report 31 july 2015

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 31 July 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC AUG 6920 7180 6920 7162 +3.68 15050 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 6995 SUPP. 2 6827 PIVOT 7087 Turmeric short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7255 RES. 2 7347 CORIANDER AUG 11340 11455 11270 11340 -0.20 20710 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 11255 SUPP. 2 11170 PIVOT 11355 Coriander short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 11440 RES. 2 11540 GUARGUM OCT 8150 8550 8040 8510 +5.32 15583 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8183 SUPP. 2 7157 PIVOT 8367 Guargum short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8693 RES. 2 8877 CASTORSEED AUG 3954 3999 3917 3988 +1.50 57510 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3937 SUPP. 2 3886 PIVOT 3968 Castorseed short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming day.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 4019 RES. 2 4050
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3988 3929 +1.50 CHANA 4592 4608 -0.35 CORIANDER 11340 11363 -0.20 GUARGUM 8510 8080 +5.32 JEERA 15300 14950 +2.34 MUSTARD SEED 4173 4152 +0.51 SOYABEAN 3388 3277 +0.34 TURMERIC 7162 6908 +3.68 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CHANA 20-08-2015 4602.00 -3.00 -0.07% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % TURMERIC 20-08-2015 7148.00 204.00 2.94% JEERA 20-08-2015 15340.00 340.00 2.27% CASTOR SEED NEW 20-08-2015 3998.00 66.00 1.68% BARLEY 20-08-2015 1158.50 13.50 1.18% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-08-2015 4175.00 29.00 0.70% SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3295.00 17.00 0.52% REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 573.55 2.45 0.43% CORIANDER 20-08-2015 11348.00 17.00 0.15% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-08-2015 1966.00 1.00 0.05%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS The government said it has released Rs 11,281 crore between April and July to NABARD to pay interest subvention claims to banks for short-term crop loans of up to Rs 3 lakh to farmers.The Budget 2015-16 had allocated Rs 13,000 crore for implementation of the Interest Subvention Scheme for short term crop loans up to Rs 3 lakh, said a statement by the Finance Ministry."The government has already released Rs 11,281.16 crore during the first four months of the current financial year, to RBI/NABARD, for payment of interest subvention claims to banks towards implementation of Interest Subvention Scheme of the government for short term crop loans to farmers," it added.The Cabinet had last week extended the scheme to banks to ensure availability of crop loans of up to Rs 3 lakh to farmers at 7 per cent per annum.It gave approval to continuation of interest subvention to public as well as private banks, regional rural banks, cooperative banks and NABARD to enable them to provide short-term crop loans of up to Rs 3 lakh to farmers at 7 per cent per annum during 2015-16.For 2015-16, the target of agriculture credit has been raised to Rs 8.50 lakh crore, from Rs 8 lakh crore in 2014-15. While West Bengal may be able to meet its rice output target this year, it may soon be faced with inflationary prices in the vegetable market if the monsoon downpour continues in excess, experts say."As of now, in July the rainfall is more than sufficient. If there is a delay of rains in early August it can still be managed and paddy production won't be hit. However, excessive rains are bad for vegetables," Pradip Mazumdar, the advisor to the chief minister on the agricultural and allied sectors, told a news service.In July, the Gangetic region of West Bengal - which produces the bulk of paddy and a substantial amount of vegetables - has received an average rainfall of 74 cm while the seasonal average for the period is 53 cm on an average."There is an excess rainfall of 39 percent in the Gangetic region while the sub-Himalayan region in the state has recorded a deficit of 15 percent," Devendra Pradhan, the deputy director general at IMD Kolkata, told a news service. Chana settled up driven by pickup in demand against declining supplies at major trading stations. Besides, restricted arrivals from producing regions also supported chana prices. Agriculture Ministry in its Kharif sowing update has increased Kharif Pulses acreage jumped by 50% to 7.26 million hectare from 4.82 million hectare, due to higher prices in the market, the official said.According to the latest govt data, country has imported about 4.19 lakh tonnes of chana in 2014-15, which is more than 51.8 per cent higher than the quantity imported in the entire previous year. Total import of chana in 2013-14 stood at 2.76 lakh tonnes. As per 3rd Advance Estimates for 2014-15, Chana production is estimated at 7.59 million tonnes (mt) against 8.28 mt in 2nd estimate. Earlier Government has extended duty free imports of pulses including chana till September 2015. As per latest Govt reports, the area under Kharif Pulses has risen to 55.99 lakh ha as on 17th July vs 23.92 lakh ha same period last year. Above normal rains in Central and South India have improved sowing, keeping prices down for Chana in June.As per latest estimate of Finance Ministry pulses import has risen more than 20% in May. In Delhi spot market, chana gained by 33.6 rupee to end at 4650 rupee per 100 kgs. Bargain buying was seen in sugar prices due to anticipation of weak production in Maharashtra coupled with waning supply situation in Thailand. The NCDEX futures increased by 1.27 percent yesterday.The market sources suggested that spot prices of sugar have witnessed some recovery due to possible decline in Maharashtra's sugar cane production. The latest update from Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA ) stated that the total sugar cane production in Maharashtra is likely to decline by 7- 8 percent on the account of poor rainfall.Traders stated that prices have also garnered bullish nodes from international market. The overall sugar cane production in Thailand is likely to be lower against previous year on the back of draught conditions in major sugar cane growing regions.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Sugar SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update India exported 54.6 thousand tons of sugar for the week ending 19th Jul, 2015 which was 9% lower than the sugar exported the previous week; while the sugar import rose by 3.26% from 34.9 thousand tons to 36.1 thousand tons during the same period. Late monsoon arrival in Maharashtra had adversely affected sugarcane sowing area in the region where only 644 lakh hectares of area has been sowed so far out of 8861 lakh hectares of total area under cultivation. The south Asian country is likely to produce 28 million tonnes in the 2015/16 year starting Oct. 1, compared with local demand of about 25 million tonnes, the Indian Sugar Mills Association said in a statement.In the current season, the country is likely to produce 28.3 million tonnes sugar, it said.The surplus production could depress local prices and increase losses of debt- ridden sugar mills, prompting the country to maintain exports to trim rising inventory. The International Sugar Organization (ISO) forecasted a global sugar deficit of 2.50 MT in 2015-16 (OctSep) which could increase to 6.20 MT in marketing year 2016-17 (Oct – Sep). Indonesia had issued 596 thousand tons of raw sugar import license for 3Q15 which was much below than the market expectation of 630 thousand tons of import license. As per the latest UNICA report, Brazil’s Centre South region had churned around 1.44 MT of sugar (from 29.3 MT of cane) in the first half of July, 2015 which was 43% lower than the sugar crushed in second half of June, 2015. CENTER 30-July-15 29-July-15 Change DELHI 2315 2325 -10 MUMBAI NA 2470 - VIJAYWADA 2480 2480 UNCH NAGPUR 2400 2400 UNCH CHENNAI 2100 2100 UNCH AMBIKAPUR 2835 2835 UNCH DHAMPUR 2270 2270 UNCH
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER AUG BELOW 11270 TARGET 11245 11205 SL ABOVE 11300 SELL GUARGUM OCT BELOW 8360 TARGET 8310 8240 SL ABOVE 8420 BUY TURMERIC AUG ABOVE 7180 TARGET 7220 7280 SL BELOW 7120 BUY CASTORSEED AUG ABOVE 4000 TARGET 4025 4055 SL BELOW 3970
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.