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Thoughts on Marketing ROI
                       From A Financial Perspective




    Eric Jacobson, Chief
    Financial Officer

1
The Calculation of Marketing ROI
Marketing ROI =             (Net Present Value of Customer)
                          (Marketing Cost to Acquire Customer)

For One-Time Sales, NPV = Net Profit (inc. subtracted marketing cost)

For recurring revenue businesses…
NPV=[Sum of Residual Cash Flows/ (1+r)^n] – Mktg Cost – Setup Cost

         n= f(churn)
         r = firm’s cost of capital

Calculate your ROI based on profit, not revenue




2
Problem: Overvaluing NPV
• Marketers tend to overvalue new customers
  because they overestimate the lifetime value
  of customers’ cash flow
    – Recurring Revenue disappears as customers churn
      out
    – Include a churn assumption in your ROI
      calculation



3
Problem: Chasing Bad Customers
• Companies want to acquire customers faster
    – Therefore, spend more to acquire each customer
      and offer price discounts
    – People who respond to price discounts also churn
      out the fastest
    – Conclusion: Know and accept the natural limit of
      demand for your product at its price
    – Profit max: marginal revenue = marginal cost



4
5




               Customer Retention
• This is a good place to spend money
• Much easier to get more revenue out of existing
  customers than to attract new ones.
• But incremental benefit is difficult to measure
• Participation in loyalty efforts is self-selecting
• Need a control cell of people not offered the program
• Best loyalty comes from great customer service
Opinion: Good ROI
• WORD OF MOUTH MARKETING (Amplifinity)
    – Use your customers to recruit others
    – Turn them into advocates
    – Motivate them with rewards
    – Customers acquired by customers
       • Spend more
       • Churn less
       • Become advocates themselves



6
Opinion: Good ROI
•   WORD OF MOUTH MARKETING (Amplifinity)
•   Public Relations
•   Outside / Inside Salespeople
•   Tradeshows
•   Website
•   Google Advertising
•   Social Media: Blogging, Facebook and
    Twitter... can be almost zero cost

7
Opinion: Bad ROI
• Printed Collateral
• Trinkets
• Print Advertising (Help company’s ego, but massive
  investment needed to build brand.)
• 3rd Party Direct Mail
• Expensive creative
• Analyst relationships (everybody knows their
  credibility is for sale)



8

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May 2012 - Marketing Roundtable - Eric Jacobson

  • 1. Thoughts on Marketing ROI From A Financial Perspective Eric Jacobson, Chief Financial Officer 1
  • 2. The Calculation of Marketing ROI Marketing ROI = (Net Present Value of Customer) (Marketing Cost to Acquire Customer) For One-Time Sales, NPV = Net Profit (inc. subtracted marketing cost) For recurring revenue businesses… NPV=[Sum of Residual Cash Flows/ (1+r)^n] – Mktg Cost – Setup Cost n= f(churn) r = firm’s cost of capital Calculate your ROI based on profit, not revenue 2
  • 3. Problem: Overvaluing NPV • Marketers tend to overvalue new customers because they overestimate the lifetime value of customers’ cash flow – Recurring Revenue disappears as customers churn out – Include a churn assumption in your ROI calculation 3
  • 4. Problem: Chasing Bad Customers • Companies want to acquire customers faster – Therefore, spend more to acquire each customer and offer price discounts – People who respond to price discounts also churn out the fastest – Conclusion: Know and accept the natural limit of demand for your product at its price – Profit max: marginal revenue = marginal cost 4
  • 5. 5 Customer Retention • This is a good place to spend money • Much easier to get more revenue out of existing customers than to attract new ones. • But incremental benefit is difficult to measure • Participation in loyalty efforts is self-selecting • Need a control cell of people not offered the program • Best loyalty comes from great customer service
  • 6. Opinion: Good ROI • WORD OF MOUTH MARKETING (Amplifinity) – Use your customers to recruit others – Turn them into advocates – Motivate them with rewards – Customers acquired by customers • Spend more • Churn less • Become advocates themselves 6
  • 7. Opinion: Good ROI • WORD OF MOUTH MARKETING (Amplifinity) • Public Relations • Outside / Inside Salespeople • Tradeshows • Website • Google Advertising • Social Media: Blogging, Facebook and Twitter... can be almost zero cost 7
  • 8. Opinion: Bad ROI • Printed Collateral • Trinkets • Print Advertising (Help company’s ego, but massive investment needed to build brand.) • 3rd Party Direct Mail • Expensive creative • Analyst relationships (everybody knows their credibility is for sale) 8