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A PROJECT REPORT ON
Interpreting Financial Performance and Investment opportunities in the Banking Sector
-Wih Special Reference to ICICI Bank & SBI
PREPARED BY
AHI BHUSAN MUKHERJEE
REGISTRATION NO.: 00917 OF 2017-2018
ROLL NO.: PG/24/MBA-IIS/026
MAJOR SPECIALISATION: FINANCE
SESSION: 2017-2019
UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF
MR. JITESH AGARWAL, DIRECTOR
FIVISION CAPITAL MARKET PVT. LTD.
SUBMITTED TO
EASTERN INSTITUTE FOR INTEGRATED LEARNING IN MANAGEMENT
Affiliated to
VIDYASAGAR UNIVERSITY
COMPANY PROFILE
 Finvision Capital Markets Private Limited is an Indian Non-Government Company
incorporated on 09 October 2013 with Registrar of Companies, Kolkata.
 .
 The total paid-up capital is INR 31.0 LAC. Finvision Capital Markets Private Limited has
no reported secured loans.
 Finvision Capital Markets Private Limited has 2 directors/key management personnel
 Service Provided:
Equity Trading
Commodity Market
Currency Trading
Mutual Fund
IPO
Strategy Trading
OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY
 To explain the current ecnomic scenario of Indian
Economy.
 To study the Financial Performance of the Banking
Sector with special reference to ICICI Bank Ltd. &
State Bank of India.
 Study on interpreting Financial Performance and
Investment opportunities in those stocks.
METHODOLOGY
INDUSTRY: Banking
STOCKS ANALYSED: ICICI BANK STATE BANK OF INDIA
TYPE OF DATA: Secondary
SOFTWARES USED: Meta Stock Ace Equity
CHART TYPE: Line chart for all Tools and Indicators except Pivot Point
plotted in Candlestick chart
SCALE: Semi log scale for Trendline and Support & Resistance and
Arithmetic scale for other Tools and Indicators
PERIODICITY: Weekly charts for Tools and Daily charts for Indicators
TIME FRAME: 1st January 2012 to 23rd July 2018 for support and
Resistance and Trendline.
1st August, 2017 to 23rd July, 2018 for others Tools and
Indicator
TOOLS AND INDICATOR USED
For Both Stocks(ICICI Bank and SBI)
 Dow Theory
 Volume Principle
 Support Resistance
 Trend Line
 Moving Average
 Bollinger Bands
 Relative Strength Index(RSI)
 Moving Average Convergence Divergence(MACD)
 Average Directional Index(ADX)
 Stochastic Oscillator
 Pivot Point
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
 India is the Fastest Growing Economy at 7.4% in 2018
 Q1, 2018 GDP Growth Rate has increased to 7.7% compared to 7% in previous Quarter
 GVA has decreased to 6.1% in current year compared to 6.6% in previous year.
 In the month of Jan & Feb, 2018 growth of IIP has increased to 7.5% & 6.9%
respectively due to mostly contribution of Manufacturing sector.
 CPI rate is 5%
 FDI in India has decreased by 3% to $44.85 Billion in 2017-18.
 Current FII net Investment is Rs 1775 Crores in July, 2018. FII net Investment backed
by expectations of an economic recovery, falling interest rates and improving earnings
outlook.
 1st August, 2018 LAF decided that Repo Rate increase by 25 basis points to 6.50%.
 Reverse Repo Rate is 6.25%
 The Government achieved the Fiscal Deficit target of 3.5% of GDP in 2017-18.
BANKING INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
 As per the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), India’s banking sector is sufficiently
capitalised and well-regulated.
 Bank may be defined as a financial institution which is engaged in the business of
keeping money for savings and checking accounts or for exchange or for issuing
loans and credit etc.
 The Indian banking system consists of 27 public sector banks, 21 private sector
banks, 49 foreign banks, 56 regional rural banks, 1,562 urban cooperative banks
and 94,384 rural cooperative banks, in addition to cooperative credit institutions
 Bank credit grew at 12.64 per cent year-on-year to Rs 85.511 lakh crore (US$
1,326.78 billion) on May 11, 2018 from Rs 75.91 lakh crore (US$ 1,131.47) on May
12, 2017.
COMPANY ANALYSIS: ICICI BANK
DESCRIPTION MAR, 2018 MAR, 2017 MAR, 2016
Current Ratio(%) 0.08 007 0.07
Quick Ratio(%) 13.83 11.94 10.84
CASA(%) 44.49 44.57 42.62
Net Profit Growth(%) -39.45 5.36 -24.05
Advance Growth(%) 23.16 7.34 12.59
ROA(%) -0.21 0.41 0.45
ROE(%) -3.73 6.97 7.3
NIM(%) 2.35 2.47 2.59
ROCE(%) -1.03 4.71 5.42
EPS(Rs) -7.34 13.15 12.82
Asset Quality(%) 5.73 3.71 3.81
Fundamental Analysis
SBI: DOW THEORY
SBI: VOLUME PRINCIPLE
SBI: SUPPORT & RESISTANCE
SBI: TREND LINE
SBI: MOVING AVERAGE
SBI: BOLLINGER BAND
SBI: RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX
SBI:
MOVING AVERAGE CONVERGENCE DIVERGENCE
SBI: AVERAGE DIRECTIONAL INDEX
SBI: STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR
SBI: PIVOT POINT
Date Open High Low Close
23.07.2018 262 267.5 260.6 266.35
Pivot Point (P) 264.8167
Support 1 (S1) 262.1333
Support 2 (S2) 257.9167
Resistance 1 (R1) 269.0333
Resistance 2 (R2) 271.7167
Table: SBI share prices as on 23.07.2018
Table: SBI Pivot Table as on 24.07.2018
OBSERVATION FOR SBI
TOOLS AND
INDICATORS
OBSERVATION DECISION
DOW THEORY Since 3rd week of May, It was an Uptrend till now BUY
VOLUME Volume is spporting the price movement towards down SELL
SUPPORT &
RESISTANCE
Prices are Just touches the Resistance Line SELL/HOLD
TRENDLINE Prices are Just touches the Downtrend Line SELL/HOLD
MOVING AVERAGE Current Share Price crosses both the EMA Line. BUY
BOLLINGER BAND Share Price breaks every resistance level BUY
RSI Current value for the 14 Day RSI is above central Line and making positive
divergence
BUY
MACD The Signal Line and the MACD Line are at the same point ------------
ADX According to ADX, Strength of Downtrend is very week and +DI is trying to
go up.
BUY
STOCHASTIC Current value of Stochastic is above 80 Level but previously it has gives
Bullish signal
BUY
PIVOT POINT Trading is above the pivot point and it indicates bullish sentiment. BUY
RECOMMENDATION FOR SBI
 Majority of the evidence is inclined toward the BUYING decision.
 It is recommended for the new investors to buy the stock for long term profit
booking:
Target:
Stop Loss:
 Toward the BUYING decision for Intra-day Traders
Target: 269.03
Stop Loss: 264.82
THANK YOU

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Sbi ppt

  • 1. A PROJECT REPORT ON Interpreting Financial Performance and Investment opportunities in the Banking Sector -Wih Special Reference to ICICI Bank & SBI PREPARED BY AHI BHUSAN MUKHERJEE REGISTRATION NO.: 00917 OF 2017-2018 ROLL NO.: PG/24/MBA-IIS/026 MAJOR SPECIALISATION: FINANCE SESSION: 2017-2019 UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF MR. JITESH AGARWAL, DIRECTOR FIVISION CAPITAL MARKET PVT. LTD. SUBMITTED TO EASTERN INSTITUTE FOR INTEGRATED LEARNING IN MANAGEMENT Affiliated to VIDYASAGAR UNIVERSITY
  • 2. COMPANY PROFILE  Finvision Capital Markets Private Limited is an Indian Non-Government Company incorporated on 09 October 2013 with Registrar of Companies, Kolkata.  .  The total paid-up capital is INR 31.0 LAC. Finvision Capital Markets Private Limited has no reported secured loans.  Finvision Capital Markets Private Limited has 2 directors/key management personnel  Service Provided: Equity Trading Commodity Market Currency Trading Mutual Fund IPO Strategy Trading
  • 3. OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY  To explain the current ecnomic scenario of Indian Economy.  To study the Financial Performance of the Banking Sector with special reference to ICICI Bank Ltd. & State Bank of India.  Study on interpreting Financial Performance and Investment opportunities in those stocks.
  • 4. METHODOLOGY INDUSTRY: Banking STOCKS ANALYSED: ICICI BANK STATE BANK OF INDIA TYPE OF DATA: Secondary SOFTWARES USED: Meta Stock Ace Equity CHART TYPE: Line chart for all Tools and Indicators except Pivot Point plotted in Candlestick chart SCALE: Semi log scale for Trendline and Support & Resistance and Arithmetic scale for other Tools and Indicators PERIODICITY: Weekly charts for Tools and Daily charts for Indicators TIME FRAME: 1st January 2012 to 23rd July 2018 for support and Resistance and Trendline. 1st August, 2017 to 23rd July, 2018 for others Tools and Indicator
  • 5. TOOLS AND INDICATOR USED For Both Stocks(ICICI Bank and SBI)  Dow Theory  Volume Principle  Support Resistance  Trend Line  Moving Average  Bollinger Bands  Relative Strength Index(RSI)  Moving Average Convergence Divergence(MACD)  Average Directional Index(ADX)  Stochastic Oscillator  Pivot Point
  • 6. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW  India is the Fastest Growing Economy at 7.4% in 2018  Q1, 2018 GDP Growth Rate has increased to 7.7% compared to 7% in previous Quarter  GVA has decreased to 6.1% in current year compared to 6.6% in previous year.  In the month of Jan & Feb, 2018 growth of IIP has increased to 7.5% & 6.9% respectively due to mostly contribution of Manufacturing sector.  CPI rate is 5%  FDI in India has decreased by 3% to $44.85 Billion in 2017-18.  Current FII net Investment is Rs 1775 Crores in July, 2018. FII net Investment backed by expectations of an economic recovery, falling interest rates and improving earnings outlook.  1st August, 2018 LAF decided that Repo Rate increase by 25 basis points to 6.50%.  Reverse Repo Rate is 6.25%  The Government achieved the Fiscal Deficit target of 3.5% of GDP in 2017-18.
  • 7. BANKING INDUSTRY OVERVIEW  As per the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), India’s banking sector is sufficiently capitalised and well-regulated.  Bank may be defined as a financial institution which is engaged in the business of keeping money for savings and checking accounts or for exchange or for issuing loans and credit etc.  The Indian banking system consists of 27 public sector banks, 21 private sector banks, 49 foreign banks, 56 regional rural banks, 1,562 urban cooperative banks and 94,384 rural cooperative banks, in addition to cooperative credit institutions  Bank credit grew at 12.64 per cent year-on-year to Rs 85.511 lakh crore (US$ 1,326.78 billion) on May 11, 2018 from Rs 75.91 lakh crore (US$ 1,131.47) on May 12, 2017.
  • 8. COMPANY ANALYSIS: ICICI BANK DESCRIPTION MAR, 2018 MAR, 2017 MAR, 2016 Current Ratio(%) 0.08 007 0.07 Quick Ratio(%) 13.83 11.94 10.84 CASA(%) 44.49 44.57 42.62 Net Profit Growth(%) -39.45 5.36 -24.05 Advance Growth(%) 23.16 7.34 12.59 ROA(%) -0.21 0.41 0.45 ROE(%) -3.73 6.97 7.3 NIM(%) 2.35 2.47 2.59 ROCE(%) -1.03 4.71 5.42 EPS(Rs) -7.34 13.15 12.82 Asset Quality(%) 5.73 3.71 3.81 Fundamental Analysis
  • 11. SBI: SUPPORT & RESISTANCE
  • 19. SBI: PIVOT POINT Date Open High Low Close 23.07.2018 262 267.5 260.6 266.35 Pivot Point (P) 264.8167 Support 1 (S1) 262.1333 Support 2 (S2) 257.9167 Resistance 1 (R1) 269.0333 Resistance 2 (R2) 271.7167 Table: SBI share prices as on 23.07.2018 Table: SBI Pivot Table as on 24.07.2018
  • 20. OBSERVATION FOR SBI TOOLS AND INDICATORS OBSERVATION DECISION DOW THEORY Since 3rd week of May, It was an Uptrend till now BUY VOLUME Volume is spporting the price movement towards down SELL SUPPORT & RESISTANCE Prices are Just touches the Resistance Line SELL/HOLD TRENDLINE Prices are Just touches the Downtrend Line SELL/HOLD MOVING AVERAGE Current Share Price crosses both the EMA Line. BUY BOLLINGER BAND Share Price breaks every resistance level BUY RSI Current value for the 14 Day RSI is above central Line and making positive divergence BUY MACD The Signal Line and the MACD Line are at the same point ------------ ADX According to ADX, Strength of Downtrend is very week and +DI is trying to go up. BUY STOCHASTIC Current value of Stochastic is above 80 Level but previously it has gives Bullish signal BUY PIVOT POINT Trading is above the pivot point and it indicates bullish sentiment. BUY
  • 21. RECOMMENDATION FOR SBI  Majority of the evidence is inclined toward the BUYING decision.  It is recommended for the new investors to buy the stock for long term profit booking: Target: Stop Loss:  Toward the BUYING decision for Intra-day Traders Target: 269.03 Stop Loss: 264.82