3. Mobile data traffic growth—industry preparing for 1000x
preparing for
1000x
data traffic growth**
global data traffic growth
~2x
from 2010- 2011*
*Global growth per ’Cisco, May ’12 ’, some regions grew more/less. **1000x would be e.g. reached if mobile data traffic doubled ten times, but Qualcomm does not make predictions when 1000x will happen, we work on the
solutions to enable 1000x
3
4. Richer content and more devices
Richer content
—more video
Average bestseller (Gigabytes)
0.00091 Book
0.0014
Homepage
0.14
Soundtrack
1.8 GB
More
devices
More screens
per user
Cumulative smartphone
forecast between 2013–
20171
Game for Android
~7 Billion
2.49 GB Movie (Standard-Definition)
5.93 GB Movie (High-Definition)
Revenue will not scale with demand,
so we need new, low cost solutions to address the 1000x challenge
1Source:
Gartner, March . ’13 .
4
6. Rising to meet the 1000x mobile data challenge
Driving higher
efficiency end-to-end
Evolving 3G/4G
and Wi-Fi
Standardization
leadership
Enabling technologies
and chipset solutions
New deployments models:
Inside-out, more ad-hoc,
neighborhood small cells
1000x
Spectrum Innovation,
such as ASA
Prototyping
and demos
6
8. Bringing the network closer to the user is key to 1000x
USER
DEPLOYED
OPERATOR
DEPLOYED
Typically indoor small cells
Indoor/outdoor small cells1
4G Relays
& Wireless
Backhaul
ENTERPRISE
RESIDENTIAL
METRO
Wi-Fi integrated with 3G/4G for opportunistic offload
Extreme Densification—3G/4G+Wi-Fi Small Cells Everywhere
1 Such
as relay and Pico/Metro/RRH small cells for hotspots. RRH= Remote Radio Heads, in addition Distributed Antenna Systems are used in HetNets
8
9. Enabling technologies for small cells everywhere
Highly compact,
low-cost Small Cells
To enable
densification & ease
of deployment
Self-organizing
networks
(UltraSON)
To enable low cost
hyper-dense
deployments
Components of the type(s) mentioned in this slide are products of Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. and/or its subsidiaries and Qualcomm
UltraSON Inc.
Atheros, is Qualcomm’s suite of Self Organizing features for small cells.
Interference
Management
So that capacity scales
with small cells added
Backhaul Solutions
Fixed, wireless,
relays
User provided
9
10. 2
More spectrum
A new way to access underutilized spectrum:
Authorized Shared Access (ASA)—suited for small cells
10
11. Multiple parallel approaches to gaining more spectrum
Licensed Approach
Complementary
License Model—ASA
Unlicensed Approach
Auctions of cleared Spectrum
Authorized Shared Access
Dedicated to Wi-Fi & others
EXCLUSIVE
USE
SHARED
EXCLUSIVE USE
SHARED
USE
ASA required when spectrum cannot be cleared within
a reasonable timeframe, or at all locations
11
12. Authorized shared access (ASA)
Exclusive use at agreed
locations, times
Small Cells can be
closer to incumbent
Does not interfere
with incumbent
Macro
Incumbent
user
Macro
3G/4G Small Cells
Regular
Multi-band
Device1
Incentive-Based Cooperation Model
Satellite
Military
Radar
1
Public
Safety
No device impact due to ASA, just a regular 3G/4G device supporting global harmonized bands targeted for ASA. Carrier aggregation would be beneficial to aggregate new ASA spectrum with existing spectrum,
but is not required.
12
13. ASA takes advantage of existing mobile technologies
and 3GPP standards
Regular multiband device
Cost-effective
Use available 3G/4G
infrastructure
Complements
installed 3G/4G
Leverages existing 3GPP
standards
3G/4G Macro
base station
Opportunity to aggregate
wider spectrum
Incumbent
user
3G/4G small cells
3G/4G macro
base station
Regular
multi-band
device1
Network controls device spectrum access
Simple
Simple technology with
defined interfaces
Regulatory framework
No device impact
ASA
controller
Permitted
ASA
spectrum
ASA
Repositor
y
Incumbent
Controlled
Enables predictable
quality of service
Protects incumbent
from interference
13
14. Higher spectrum bands suitable for small cells
INDOOR
60GHz
Very High Bands
enable Access In
Every Room
HOTSPOT
3.4 to 3.8 GHz
Emerging as a new
small cell band1
~3GHz
Wide Area
Spectrum
~450 MHz
1 Some
parts can be traditionally licensed, some parts need to be ASA licensed, such as ~3.5GHz in the US/EU1. 3GPP has already defined 3G/4G bands 42/43 for 3.4 GHz to 3.8 GHz,
3.5GHz in the US defined as 3550 – 3650 MHz. In addition, Wi-Fi in unlicensed such as 2.4GHz, 5GHz (802.11 ac) and 60GHz (802.11 ad).
14
15. EU and US are now considering ASA to unlock
spectrum for mobile broadband
Endorsed by EU 28 Member States, naming it LSA (Licensed Shared Access); EU28
spectrum Regulators currently consulting on their LSA Opinion
Endorsed by CEPT, releasing a report on ASA’s benefits and working on LSA
authorizations guidelines in a special project team called FM PT53
Implemented by CEPT, for the harmonization and release of the 2.3GHz1 on a shared
basis with various incumbents; work ongoing in project team FM PT52
Standardized by ETSI, defining LSA requirements and network architecture
Under consideration by FCC for the release of 3.5 GHz2 for small cells on a shared
basis with radars
1 3GPP
Band 40, 2.3-2.4 GHz
2 Target
3.5 GHz in the US is 3550-3650 MHz
15
16. Mobile traffic typically downlink centric
MAJORITY OF TRAFFIC ON
DOWNLINK (DL) 1
VIDEO BIGGEST CONTRIBUTOR
TO TRAFFIC VOLUMES2
100%
DL/UL Traffic Asymmetry
% internet traffic volumes
DL/UL Median Across Cells
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
Other
80%
Software
download/update
File sharing
60%
Email
Social networking
40%
Web browsing
Online video
20%
Online audio
1
0%
0
Operator 1
(Europe)
Operator 2
(US)
Operator 3
(US)
Operator 4
(Japan)
Ericsson, November 2011
Mobile PCs
Tablets
Smartphones
Traffic asymmetry could rise to a 10:1 ratio or more3
16
1Based
on measurements (median ) in live networks in 2009. 2Ericsson, November 2011. 3Plum consulting, 2011, some networks may already exceed 10:1 asymmetry
17. Aggregate unpaired spectrum for more downlink
capacity—supplemental downlink
Unpaired
L-Band 1.4GHz
Harmonized in Europe1
Paired
Paired
(Downlink)
(Downlink)
(Uplink)
F1’
F2’
F1
F2
F1
F2
L-Band (1452-1492 MHz) has 40 MHz
of idle unpaired spectrum available2.
Harmonization in final stage in Europe
with 40 MHz of unpaired spectrum for
SDL
Commercial launch 2014/2015
700 MHz in the US with AT&T3, planned
launch as early as 2014
LEVERAGES HSPA+ R9 MULTICARRIER ACROSS BANDS1,
OR LTE ADVANCED CARRIER AGGREGATION
1 L-Band in Europe: 1452 MHz to 1492 MHz, sometimes referred to as 1.4GHz or 1.5GHz spectrum.
2 Aggregation across bands is supported in HSPA+ R9 for two downlink carriers, but each specific band combination, e.g. combination of band 1 and L-band, has to be defined in 3GPP.
3 AT&T is planning to deploy supplemental downlink in lower 700 MHz (12 MHz of unpaired spectrum) using LTE Advanced.
17
18. L-Band ideal for supplemental downlink
Widely available globally allowing for economies of scale
Could be made fully or partly
available for SDL
Source: Plum Consulting, September 2012
L-Band: 1452-1492 MHz
18
19. 1.4 GHz SDL harmonization
ECC Decision 13(02)
Decision approved and published in June 2013, suppressing
satellite use, paving the way to use the whole 40 MHz for SDL
across Europe
ECC Decision 13(03)
Decision on “Harmonized use of the frequency band 1452-1492
MHz for SDL" published in November 2013
19
20. 3GPP specification started
Finalization of the Draft ECC Decision (May ‘13) was a pre-requisite
Work Item submitted to 3GPP RAN Plenary on June 2013
One Work Item covering both LTE and UMTS
Current proposed scenarios (higher priority):
− LTE: Band 20 (800MHz) + 1.4 GHz SDL
− UMTS: Band I (2.1GHz) + 1.4 GHz SDL
Work Item submitted by:
− Orange, KPN, Telenor, Telefonica, Ericsson, Qualcomm, ST-Ericsson, Huawei, ALU, Qatar
Telecom, Lightsquared
− Orange is the Rapporteur
3GPP RAN approved the Work Item on 14th June 2013
Plans for the specification work: feature complete by June 2014
20
21. IMT in the L-Band at WRC-15
Broadening the ecosystem in the L-Band in a phased approach
UL
UL
1375 MHz
1350 MHz
DL
1400 MHz
1427 MHz
SDL
1452 MHz
DL
1492 MHz
1517 MHz
Phase 1: 1452-1492 MHz (SDL)
−
−
ECC Decision to use 1452-1492 MHz for SDL
Brazil: 1452-1472 MHz used by aeronautical mobile telemetry (AMT) / 1472-1492 MHz allocated to fixed, mobile and
broadcasting but assignment is not regulated
Phase 2: 1375-1400 / 1427-1452 MHz (FDD, 2 x 25 MHz)
−
−
Used by fixed links and military, and is already subject to a harmonized channeling arrangement within CEPT (ERC
Recommendation T/R 13-01, Annex B)
Brazil: 1375-1400 MHz allocated to radiolocation but assignment is not regulated / 1427-1452 MHz used by fixed links
Phase 3: 1350-1375 / 1492-1517 MHz (FDD, 2 x 25 MHz)
−
−
−
1350-1375 MHz used by NATO (tactical radars)
1492-1517 MHz target for Wireless Mics by CEPT
Brazil: 1350-1375 MHz allocated to radiolocation but assignment is not regulated / 1492-1517 MHz used by fixed links
21
22. More efficient data pipe
—evolve 3G4G/Wi-Fi
More efficient
apps & services
Wi-Fi 802.11 ac
Intelligently
access 3G/4G/Wi-Fi
Smart Pipe
LTE broadcast
LTE Advanced
HSPA+ Advanced
Device-to-device
3
Higher efficiency
22
23. Utilizing finite spectrum resources better
Wi-Fi 802.11 ac
LTE Advanced
Squeezing more out
of unlicensed spectrum
Realizing the true
potential of 4G
2.8x
Wi-Fi 802.11 ad
WCDMA+
Leverage new spectrum
for ultra high-bandwidth
Freed up
for data
60 GHz
Evolve 3G/4G/Wi-Fi
1X/DO Advanced
1X Adv. quadruples voice
efficiency to free up data
4x
HSPA+
Advanced
Voice
users
HSPA+
Triples voice
efficiency to free up
resources for data
Voice
HSPA+
Advanced
Maximizing the
investments in 3G
HSP
A
23