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Water in Africa A political [governance]  &  a management challenge Tony Allan King’s College & SOAS London
The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall  Source Nasa
Endowments - including water Demographics Infrastructure Governance Outcomes
LWRG 2007 The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall  Source Nasa
Demographics
65mn 108mn 145mn
65mn 108mn 145mn
LWRG 2007 1268mn 1453mn 1424mn 1004mn 1448mn 1808mn Consequences of different political cultures
LWRG 2007
Infrastructure
RESPONSE  Global Irrigated Area Map  Source IWMI.org Look at the International Water Management Institute [IWMI] website
Government and Governance
Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Government & Governance .Go v . Com . Org Civil society
Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Government & Governance Government .Go v . Com . Org Civil society
Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Government & Governance Government Governance .Go v . Com . Org Civil society
Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Governance in a neo-liberal political economies - US, EU etc .Go v . Com . Org Civil society
Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Governance in a neo-liberal political economy . Gov .Com . Org Civil society Democracy Employment Pensions Subsidies Laws/regulation Welfare state Conscription Taxes Advocacy Markets Branding & advertising Employment Pensions
Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 .Org Government/Governance in different political economies . Gov . Com . Org Neo-liberal ‘democratic’ regime .Gov .Com . Org .Gov .Com Common Southern Authoritarian
Outcomes of Africa’s  endowments - including water  demographics, infrastructure levels of development  and governance  THE KEY ISSUE
LWRG 2007 See FAO website for 1970 to 2000 animation Data for 2000
Africa does have some of the most advanced infrastructure and water management and regulation in the world
$100000 ppy Adaptive status of the economy & society [Annual GDP per head as an indicator] Water resource status of the economy [m3 ppy as an indicator] Water rich but adaptively poor Water rich and adaptively rich Water poor and adaptively poor Water poor and adaptively rich 10000m3 1000m3 10m3 $1000 ppy $10 ppy The two dimensions of water poverty
$100000 ppy Adaptive status of the economy & society [Annual GDP per head as an indicator] Water resource status of the economy [m3 ppy as an indicator] Water rich but adaptively poor Water rich and adaptively rich Water poor and adaptively poor Water poor and adaptively rich 10000m3 1000m3 10m3 $1000 ppy $10 ppy The Malthusian relationship
Both the water status and the social adaptive capacity are  dynamic .   Communities and political economies have trajectories reflecting  worsening local water resource   availability  – because of rising populations, and  improving economies  – because of adaptive amelioration.
Water resource status of the economy [m3 ppy as an indicator] Water rich but adaptively poor Water rich and adaptively rich Water poor and adaptively poor Water poor and adaptively rich $100000 ppy 10000m3 1000m3 10m3 $1000 ppy $10 ppy Adaptive status of the economy & society [Annual GDP per head as an indicator] Socio-economic development not determined  by water status S Korea Israel Egypt S. Africa 1950 2000
$100000 ppy Adaptive status of the economy & society [Annual GDP per head as an indicator] The focus of WPI monitoring & evaluation Water resource status of the economy [m3 ppy as an indicator] Water rich but adaptively poor Water rich and adaptively rich Water poor and adaptively poor Water poor and adaptively rich 10000m3 1000m3 10m3 $1000 ppy $10 ppy Water poverty is concerned with the one to two billion facing poor water endowments & poor adaptive capacity
Poverty determines water poverty Water poverty does not determine poverty Adaptive capacity is the key resource
More crop per drop More jobs per drop More care per drop Concepts from economics
More crop per drop More jobs per drop More care per drop More stake per drop Concepts from economics Environ- metal paradigm 5th paradigm
A politicians prayer ‘ Some water for everyone for ever’ Kader Asmal  1996 Africa’s prayer ‘ Enough water for everyone and for the environment for ever’
Thank you [email_address]

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Tony Allan Keynote Speech

  • 1. Water in Africa A political [governance] & a management challenge Tony Allan King’s College & SOAS London
  • 2. The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall Source Nasa
  • 3. Endowments - including water Demographics Infrastructure Governance Outcomes
  • 4. LWRG 2007 The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall Source Nasa
  • 8. LWRG 2007 1268mn 1453mn 1424mn 1004mn 1448mn 1808mn Consequences of different political cultures
  • 11. RESPONSE Global Irrigated Area Map Source IWMI.org Look at the International Water Management Institute [IWMI] website
  • 13. Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Government & Governance .Go v . Com . Org Civil society
  • 14. Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Government & Governance Government .Go v . Com . Org Civil society
  • 15. Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Government & Governance Government Governance .Go v . Com . Org Civil society
  • 16. Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Governance in a neo-liberal political economies - US, EU etc .Go v . Com . Org Civil society
  • 17. Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 Governance in a neo-liberal political economy . Gov .Com . Org Civil society Democracy Employment Pensions Subsidies Laws/regulation Welfare state Conscription Taxes Advocacy Markets Branding & advertising Employment Pensions
  • 18. Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008 .Org Government/Governance in different political economies . Gov . Com . Org Neo-liberal ‘democratic’ regime .Gov .Com . Org .Gov .Com Common Southern Authoritarian
  • 19. Outcomes of Africa’s endowments - including water demographics, infrastructure levels of development and governance THE KEY ISSUE
  • 20. LWRG 2007 See FAO website for 1970 to 2000 animation Data for 2000
  • 21. Africa does have some of the most advanced infrastructure and water management and regulation in the world
  • 22. $100000 ppy Adaptive status of the economy & society [Annual GDP per head as an indicator] Water resource status of the economy [m3 ppy as an indicator] Water rich but adaptively poor Water rich and adaptively rich Water poor and adaptively poor Water poor and adaptively rich 10000m3 1000m3 10m3 $1000 ppy $10 ppy The two dimensions of water poverty
  • 23. $100000 ppy Adaptive status of the economy & society [Annual GDP per head as an indicator] Water resource status of the economy [m3 ppy as an indicator] Water rich but adaptively poor Water rich and adaptively rich Water poor and adaptively poor Water poor and adaptively rich 10000m3 1000m3 10m3 $1000 ppy $10 ppy The Malthusian relationship
  • 24. Both the water status and the social adaptive capacity are dynamic . Communities and political economies have trajectories reflecting worsening local water resource availability – because of rising populations, and improving economies – because of adaptive amelioration.
  • 25. Water resource status of the economy [m3 ppy as an indicator] Water rich but adaptively poor Water rich and adaptively rich Water poor and adaptively poor Water poor and adaptively rich $100000 ppy 10000m3 1000m3 10m3 $1000 ppy $10 ppy Adaptive status of the economy & society [Annual GDP per head as an indicator] Socio-economic development not determined by water status S Korea Israel Egypt S. Africa 1950 2000
  • 26. $100000 ppy Adaptive status of the economy & society [Annual GDP per head as an indicator] The focus of WPI monitoring & evaluation Water resource status of the economy [m3 ppy as an indicator] Water rich but adaptively poor Water rich and adaptively rich Water poor and adaptively poor Water poor and adaptively rich 10000m3 1000m3 10m3 $1000 ppy $10 ppy Water poverty is concerned with the one to two billion facing poor water endowments & poor adaptive capacity
  • 27. Poverty determines water poverty Water poverty does not determine poverty Adaptive capacity is the key resource
  • 28. More crop per drop More jobs per drop More care per drop Concepts from economics
  • 29. More crop per drop More jobs per drop More care per drop More stake per drop Concepts from economics Environ- metal paradigm 5th paradigm
  • 30. A politicians prayer ‘ Some water for everyone for ever’ Kader Asmal 1996 Africa’s prayer ‘ Enough water for everyone and for the environment for ever’